Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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While the Bitcoin price seems to have deviated completely from the four-year cycle that dictated the previous bull and bear markets, there are still some similarities that remain that suggest that it could still play out in a similar way. The major similarity that has emerged is the formation of a bearish crab pattern back in 2021, and now, the same pattern has reappeared. Thus, taking a look at the direction of the 2021 formation could give an insight into where the Bitcoin price is headed next from here. The Pattern That Triggered The Bitcoin Price Explosion In an analysis, crypto analyst Weslad was the one who pointed out that the Bearish Crab Pattern had returned, an…
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Bitcoin has reached a new all-time high, hitting $125,710 over the weekend. Ethereum also rose, though not as significantly. This explosive growth marks the culmination of several weeks of steady accumulation by big players in support of the broader uptrend. A key driver behind the rally is growing global awareness of the instability of fiat currencies, with investors turning to BTC as digital insurance against fiat devaluation. Bitcoin's new high reflects a broader awakening and increasing trust in a new monetary system. This isn't just hype around another tech breakthrough, but rather a fundamental revaluation of financial principles. As the pioneer of decentralized cu…
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Last Friday, US stock indices ended mixed. The S&P 500 rose by 0.01%, while the Nasdaq 100 fell by 0.28%. The industrial Dow Jones jumped by 0.51%. On Friday, the tech rally slowed, pulling back from record highs. Optimism around artificial intelligence was dented by warnings from US President Donald Trump directed at Hamas and signs of economic weakness amid the ongoing US government shutdown. The yield on 10-year bonds, which sets the range for borrowing costs in the US, dropped by more than five basis points. Shares of Palantir Technologies Inc. were among the leading decliners, falling by 7.5% after reports of significant problems in the communication system. D…
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Bitcoin .cwp-coin-chart svg path { stroke-width: 0.65 !important; } Bitcoin BTC $123,433.02 0.98% Bitcoin BTC Price $123,433.02 0.98% /24h Volume in 24h $49.65B Price 7d Read The Full Article Here 56 minutes ago Hong Kong SFC Chief Julia Leung Secures New 3-Year Term as City Expands Crypto Regulation By Fatim…
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Even though Bitcoin reached a new all-time high over the weekend, crossing above the $125,700 mark, Swissblock reports record-breaking BTC outflows from exchanges. The last time such a large outflow was observed was in December 2022. However, at that time, Bitcoin was at its bottom near $15,000. Now, the situation is the opposite—it is trading near its all-time high. This paradox requires deeper analysis. Clearly, Bitcoin holders are not in a rush to take profits despite favorable market conditions. Instead, they see BTC as a long-term asset and prefer to store it off-exchange, in cold wallets. This behavior indicates confidence in further growth. Another possible expla…
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On Monday, from the 1.1741 level (Friday's daily candle close), the market may begin a downward move targeting 1.1685 – the 14.6% retracement level (red dotted line). Upon reaching this level, a possible upward move may occur toward 1.1689 – a historical resistance level (blue dotted line). Fig. 1 (Daily chart). Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis – down;Fibonacci levels – down;Volumes – down;Candlestick analysis – down;Trend analysis – up;Bollinger Bands – down;Weekly chart – down.Overall conclusion: Downward trend. Alternative scenario: From the 1.1741 level (Friday's daily candle close), the price may begin a downward move targeting 1.1655 – the 50% retraceme…
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Trend Analysis (Fig. 1). On Monday, from the 1.3478 level (Friday's daily candle close), the market may begin a downward move targeting 1.3405 – a historical support level (blue dotted line). When testing this level, the price may possibly begin an upward move toward 1.3416 – the 23.6% retracement level (blue dotted line). Fig. 1 (Daily chart). Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis – down;Fibonacci levels – down;Volumes – down;Candlestick analysis – down;Trend analysis – up;Bollinger Bands – down;Weekly chart – down.Overall conclusion: Downward trend. Alternative scenario: From the 1.3478 level (Friday's daily candle close), the price may begin a downward move targe…
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A recent interview with European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde points to a rather wait-and-see stance from the regulator, which lately has not been much help to the euro's growth. Lagarde stated that she is satisfied with the current policy parameters, as inflation in the eurozone overall remains stable. "We are in a good position, and we need things to stay that way," she said in the interview. In her view, this outcome is the result of coordinated actions by the European Central Bank, member state governments, and structural reforms aimed at strengthening competitiveness and improving economic productivity. Above all, price stability allows the central bank …
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Asia Market Wrap - Japan Politics Send Markets in a Tailspin, Nikkei Up 4.8% Most Read: USD/JPY Price Outlook: Key Levels, BoJ, and Political Risks Global markets were boosted over the weekend as stock prices soared while currencies and bonds fell. Some investors turned to gold and Bitcoin for safety as Japan’s election of a pro-stimulus leader fueled expectations for aggressive fiscal spending. In Asia, shares jumped to new highs. The Nikkei 225 rose about 5% percent, reaching a record after Sanae Takaichi won the election as the new Prime Minister. At the same time the yen fell close to two percent, slipping to about 150 per dollar and hitting a low against the euro.…
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Dogecoin is compressing beneath a dense band of weekly resistance that could unlock a powerful upside continuation once cleared, according to crypto analyst The Great Mattsby (@matthughes13). In his October 5 video, Mattsby frames the 0.618 retracement from the 2021 peak to the 2022 cycle low—marked at $0.26261—as the immediate trigger that “price is still getting rejected at,” adding: “That’s the area of interest to maybe try to close above.” Screenshots of his weekly DOGE/USDT chart show price hovering around $0.248–$0.249 at the time of recording, with a session high near $0.265 and low near $0.226, underscoring how repeatedly the market has tested the band without se…
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Yesterday (October 5), a bombshell was dropped on Aster Crypto, the newly launched Perp DEX platform that has taken the market by storm with a +7,000% price increase for its native token, ASTER. The YZi Labs-backed platform has also dominated TVL and trading volume metrics, quickly surpassing the competition, including Hyperliquid. However, it is these numbers that have come under scrutiny, with the Web3 data platform DefiLlama delisting its perpetual volume metrics and the founder of DefiLlama posting a thread on X, explaining why the platform has delisted Aster. Market Cap 24h 7d …
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Is Bitcoin about to steal the spotlight again? As the FOMC meeting looms, investors are fleeing risky altcoins and piling into the king of crypto. Bitcoin dominance just climbed past 59%, its highest level in months, as traders brace for what could be another rate cut in November. With the crypto market turning cautious, coins like MYX, ASTER, and LINEA are being hammered in what appears to be a textbook de-risking move. Crypto Fear and Greed Chart All time 1y 1m 1w 24h The big question now: is this the calm before a massive a…
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On the hourly chart, the GBP/USD pair on Friday rose to the 61.8% retracement level at 1.3482, bounced off it, turned in favor of the dollar, fell to the 76.4% Fibonacci level at 1.3425, and rebounded from it. Thus, today the growth process may resume toward the 1.3482 level. A consolidation of the pair below 1.3425 would allow us to expect a further decline toward the support level at 1.3332–1.3357, from where the bulls' last ascent began. The wave structure remains "bearish." The last completed downward wave did not break the previous low, and the last upward wave did not break the previous high. The news background over the past week was negative for the U.S. dollar…
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On Friday, the EUR/USD pair continued to rise after bouncing from the 76.4% retracement level at 1.1695. Thus, on Monday this process may continue toward the resistance zone of 1.1789–1.1802. A consolidation of quotes below 1.1695 would favor the U.S. dollar and a further decline toward the support level of 1.1637–1.1645. The wave situation on the hourly chart remains simple and clear. The last completed downward wave broke the previous wave's low, while the last upward wave did not break the previous peak. Thus, the trend currently remains "bearish." The latest labor market data and the changed outlook for the Fed's monetary policy support bullish traders, so I expect…
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According to Morgan Stanley’s wealth unit, some clients should hold only a small slice of cryptocurrencies in their portfolios. The firm’s guidance suggests a cautious approach: up to 2% for more measured portfolios and up to 4% for those seeking higher growth. For accounts built around income or capital preservation, the guidance points to 0% crypto exposure. Small Stakes, Careful Rules The bank tells its advisors that crypto belongs in the “speculative” part of a plan. Based on reports, the recommended exposure is meant to be modest and controlled. Morgan Stanley prefers clients access crypto through exchange-traded products rather than buying every coin directly. T…
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Trend Analysis (Fig. 1). This week, from the 1.1741 level (the close of the last weekly candle), the market may start moving downward toward the target of 1.1572 – the upper fractal (red dotted line). Upon testing this level, the price may rebound upward toward the target of 1.1649 – the 23.6% retracement level (blue dotted line). Fig. 1 (Weekly chart). Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis – down;Fibonacci levels – down;Volumes – down;Candlestick analysis – down;Trend analysis – down;Bollinger Bands – down;Monthly chart – down.Conclusion from comprehensive analysis: Downward movement. General outcome for the EUR/USD weekly candle calculation: The price this week …
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Overview: There are two main drivers today. The outcome of Japan's LDP leadership contest means Japan will have its first woman prime minister, She espouses the traditional LDP policy mix of expansionary fiscal policy and advocates easy monetary policy. The yen was sent reeling as were Japanese bonds, where the 40-year yield surged 15 bp to around 3.55%. Japanese stocks jumped 3%-4%. The second development was the unexpected resignation of the French prime minister who was in office less than a month. French bonds and stocks have been sold, and the euro has been dragged lower. Despite the continued shutdown of the US federal government and no sign of an off-ramp, the gree…
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Trend Analysis This week, from the level of 1.3478 (closing of the last weekly candle), the price may start moving downward with the target of 1.3270 – the historical support level (blue dotted line). When testing this level, the price may rebound upward with the target of 1.3332 – the lower fractal (weekly candle of September 21, 2025). Fig. 1 (weekly chart). Comprehensive Analysis Indicator analysis – down;Fibonacci levels – down;Volume – down;Candlestick analysis – down;Trend analysis – down;Bollinger Bands – down;Monthly chart – down.Overall conclusion for the GBP/USD weekly chart: The price this week will most likely have a downward tendency, with the absence of a…
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Today, the GBP/USD pair starts the week with a bearish gap amid broad U.S. dollar strength and is struggling to hold on to Friday's strong gains. Spot prices show no further upward momentum and remain below the 1.3500 level. Over the weekend, Japan's Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) elected Sanae Takaichi as its new leader. Since Takaichi is known as a supporter of loose fiscal policy, this choice increases expectations that the Bank of Japan will postpone raising rates, which may trigger a significant sell-off of the Japanese yen. As a result, this supports the U.S. dollar's rise, which is a key pressure factor on the GBP/USD pair. However, the dollar's upward potential i…
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What’s next for the Shiba Inu price chart after the recent crash? After ten straight days of nonstop incident response, the Shiba Crypto development team has stabilized the Shibarium network and rescued 4.6 Mn BONE tokens from an attacker’s delegation contract. .cwp-coin-chart svg path { stroke-width: 0.65 !important; } Dogecoin DOGE $0.2584 0.25% Dogecoin DOGE Price $0.2584 0.25% /24h Volume in 24h $2.67B …
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Wall Street and the cryptocurrency market are convinced that Fed Chair Jerome Powell will keep his promise and continue cutting rates. It’s the top story fueling FOMC crypto predictions. Futures markets now give a 95% chance of a quarter-point rate cut at month’s end, up from barely half that a few weeks ago. Moreover, the US government shutdown has locked the doors at the Bureau of Labor Statistics, killing the September jobs report and key spending data. With no numbers and no clarity, Powell’s team is running policy on instinct. “A lack of fresh data means the Fed can’t confirm that the labor market remains on solid ground,” said Krishna Guha, head of global policy a…
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BNB continues to dominate market headlines after surging to a new all-time high of $1,223 just a few hours ago. The price has shown remarkable resilience, holding firm above the key $1,200 level, as bullish momentum accelerates across the broader crypto market. The breakout underscores the growing strength of BNB, which has now become one of the clear leaders of this cycle’s rally. Analysts note that BNB’s upward trajectory reflects a powerful combination of technical and market-driven factors. The coin’s consistent growth, fueled by strong demand within the Binance ecosystem and increasing on-chain activity, has positioned it as one of the standout performers in 2025. …
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The AUD/JPY pair began the week with a bullish gap and reached 99.37 — levels last seen in November 2024. The strong intraday rally was driven by heavy selling of the Japanese yen, indicating the potential for further gains in the pair in the near term. On Saturday, Sanae Takaichi won the second round of the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) leadership election and is expected to be confirmed as Japan's first female prime minister at the parliamentary session in mid-October. Takaichi is considered a "fiscal dove" and may announce a more expansionary economic policy. This increases the likelihood that the Bank of Japan will not raise rates this month, triggering aggressive ye…
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Australia’s Predictive Discovery (ASX: PDI) and Canada’s Robex Resources (CVE: RBX)(ASX: RXR) have agreed to merge in an all-share deal worth A$2.35 billion ($1.55 billion), creating a new mid-tier gold producer in Guinea. Robex shareholders will receive 8.67 Predictive shares for each Robex share, giving them about 51% ownership of the combined company. The merger, announced jointly by the West Africa-focused developers, combines two of the region’s most advanced gold projects. “By combining two of West Africa’s largest and most advanced gold development projects and leveraging the proven track record of both management teams in Africa, we are creating a company …
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What is Bitcoin — a risky asset or a safe haven? While investors are still debating the right answer, BTC/USD has reached a new all-time high, benefitting from a "double win" amid the ongoing US government shutdown. As the S&P 500 hits its 31st record high of the year and gold soars past $3,900 per ounce, the environment is becoming increasingly favorable for tokens. Back in late September, Bitcoin was losing ground due to troubles with crypto treasuries and declining trading activity. But nature abhors a vacuum. By the week ending October 3, investors had poured $3.2 billion into a group of 12 crypto-focused ETFs — the second-largest weekly inflow in history. Open i…
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