Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12166 tópicos neste fórum
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Dave Portnoy has re-entered the digital-asset arena with a seven-figure allocation in XRP that has raised eyebrows across the market. At a time when XRP continues to face downward pressure and muted investor sentiment, the Barstool Sports founder executed a decisive million-dollar purchase. The timing, scale, and narrative surrounding the move have prompted renewed scrutiny of an asset many assumed had exhausted its momentum. Strategic Capital Deployment Amid XRP’s Weak Price Performance Portnoy recently revealed that he acquired $1,000,000 worth of XRP, alongside $750,000 in Bitcoin and $400,000 in Ethereum. He framed his move bluntly, describing the market as “bleeding…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The wave pattern on the 4-hour chart for EUR/USD has transformed, but overall it remains quite clear. There is no talk of canceling the upward trend segment that began in January 2025, but the wave structure has become significantly more complex and extended since July 1. In my view, the instrument is in the process of forming corrective wave 4, which has taken on a non-standard shape. Within this wave we observe exclusively corrective structures, so there is no doubt about the corrective nature of the decline. In my opinion, the formation of the upward trend segment is not yet complete, and its targets extend up to the 1.25 level. The series of waves a-b-c-d-e appears co…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
For GBP/USD, the wave pattern continues to indicate the formation of an upward trend segment (see lower chart), but over the past few weeks it has taken on a complex and extended form (see upper chart). The trend segment that began on July 1 can be considered wave 4—or any global corrective wave—since it has a corrective rather than impulsive internal wave structure. The same applies to its internal subwaves. Therefore, despite the prolonged decline of the pound, I believe that the upward trend remains intact. The downward wave structure that began on September 17 has formed a five-wave pattern a-b-c-d-e and may now be complete. If this is the case, the instrument is curr…
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Today marks the fifth straight day of positive sentiment for the USD/CHF pair. At the moment, spot prices are fluctuating just below the 0.8060 level. The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY), which reflects the dollar's value against a basket of major currencies, has reached its highest level since late May amid less "dovish" expectations from the Federal Reserve. Following Wednesday's release of the minutes from the October FOMC meeting, it became clear that due to disagreements within the Federal Open Market Committee, the likelihood of another interest rate cut in December has decreased. This development helps ease fears of a prolonged economic downturn caused by U.S. government c…
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The USD/JPY pair has been rising for four consecutive days, but it is important to note that the RSI—the daily Relative Strength Index—shows overbought conditions, thereby discouraging traders from entering new bullish positions. Therefore, before planning for further upside, it would be prudent to wait for short-term consolidation or a minor pullback. However, any corrective decline may find strong support at the psychological level of 157.00, as well as around 156.60. A break below this level could allow USD/JPY to extend its decline toward the psychological level of 156.00. This level will act as a pivot, and prolonged movement below it would trigger technical selling,…
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Today, gold is trading within its familiar four-day range, finding support at the 100-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) on the 4-hour chart. From a technical standpoint, any decline is likely to find solid support near the 200-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA), which currently lies around $4020. Next comes the weekly low, slightly below the psychological level of $4000; a break beneath this level would accelerate the decline toward support at $3930. The downward trajectory may continue toward a test of the late-October low near $3886. On the other hand, the 50-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) on the 4-hour chart, located around $4110, is the nearest resistance. A…
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Today, gold is attempting to rise for the third consecutive day as the minutes of the FOMC meeting held on October 28–29, published on Wednesday, showed that most participants supported lowering the target range for the federal funds rate, although some remained opposed. The document also noted that further rate cuts could lead to entrenched inflation. This "hawkish" tone prompted investors to further reduce their expectations for a December rate cut, pushing the U.S. dollar to its highest level since late May and putting pressure on gold. Also this week, U.S. President Donald Trump approved a 28-point peace plan between Russia and Ukraine. According to preliminary inform…
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Dogecoin finds itself at a critical crossroads as price action sinks into the lower 5% of its long-term channel, a zone that has historically preceded explosive rallies. Yet with fresh bearish pressure triggered by a sharp Tenkan-sen cross, the market now faces a defining moment: rebound or extended grind? A Critical Turning Point For Dogecoin DOGECAPITAL, in a recent analysis, highlighted that Dogecoin has slipped into the lower 5% of its long-term trading channel. Each time price has entered this zone in the past, it has preceded powerful rallies following periods of consolidation. That history raises an important question: Is Dogecoin once again preparing for a major …
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Cryptocurrencies are once again enduring a brutal selloff. With Bitcoin breaching its recent lows, currently below $87,000, we are witnessing a massive wave of profit-taking that is dragging the broader market down with it. Many altcoins have shed 50% to 70% of their value—or worse in the most volatile cases—with major names like Solana down roughly 48% from its highs. zoom_out_map Daily overview of the Crypto Market (15:39 ET), November 20, 2025 – Source: Fin…
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At the time of writing, gold trades at $4077 per troy ounce, having erased gains made prior to the months-delayed September US Nonfarm Payrolls release. Relatively unchanged at -0.02% in today’s session, gold currently trades approximately 7.00% shy of all-time highs made in October, and remains on pace to secure a remarkable yearly gain of over 50% in 2025. What’s next for gold? Gold (XAU/USD): Key takeaways 20/11/2025 Picking up in volatility in recent weeks, precious metal markets remain highly active as markets readjust expectations for the Federal Reserve’s December 10th decision With yesterday’s FOMC minutes revealing “strongly differing views” in the most recen…
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The conversation around XRP has grown louder in recent months as the asset continues to gain traction through ecosystem growth, Spot XRP ETFs, and market interest. Despite this momentum, XRP still sits far below Bitcoin, the industry’s dominant cryptocurrency, when comparing total valuation. That gap raises a simple question: how high would the XRP price need to climb in order to actually flip Bitcoin? Data from MarketCapOf provides a direct, real-time look at what XRP’s price would be if it matched Bitcoin’s market capitalization today. The Market Cap Required To Flip Bitcoin Although it is currently going through a correction phase, Bitcoin has the largest presence i…
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Log in to today's North American session Market wrap for November 20 The question of whether Markets would give more emphasis to the Fed Hawkish turn or the Nvidia earnings, emitted yesterday found an answer: Markets are not playing games anymore; Higher for longer rates may dampen investment and activity looking forward. The year is ending on some doubts, after quite a spectacular run to new highs since April 2025. After opening on a strong leg higher, the first resistance that traders saw got used as a mean mean-reversion point, which took the Nasdaq from up 1.50% to down 3% at its extremes. Today was one of the most brutal reversal days that Markets have seen in a w…
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The economic situation in New Zealand continues to improve slowly, with indicators of economic activity generally rising. The PMI, net migration, tourist arrivals, and construction activity are all showing growth, while stable inflation expectations alleviate concerns about a resurgence in inflation. Data for the fourth quarter is expected to confirm that inflation has already peaked and will not rise further. After New Zealand's GDP unexpectedly contracted by 0.9% in the second quarter, further rate reductions from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand looked like a foregone conclusion. However, the situation has changed; market forecasts for the third quarter suggest gr…
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Nature loves cleanliness, but financial markets do not. The shutdown created a vacuum, sucking up all data on the state of the U.S. economy. As a result, volatility in the currency market declined, and investors displayed caution. The same situation occurred with the Federal Reserve. In August, Jerome Powell indicated that the labor market is more important to the central bank than inflation. The central bank makes decisions based on data, and if there is no employment data, how can there be a rate cut? Since mid-October, the U.S. dollar has significantly strengthened against major global currencies amid the declining likelihood of the Fed easing monetary policy at the en…
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The Australian wage index in the third quarter remained stable at 3.4% year-on-year, continuing to outpace inflation. Real annual wages have grown for eight consecutive quarters, representing a clear pro-inflationary factor as purchasing power increases. Deputy Governor of the Reserve Bank of Australia, Hauser, made hawkish comments on Monday that essentially confirmed the RBA's position expressed at the November meeting. He stated that the data reflecting the forecasts for the November RBA meeting may not necessarily be sufficient for further easing, noting that "financial conditions are clearly closer to neutral than we thought some time ago," and that high capac…
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Finally, after a two-and-a-half-month delay (initially scheduled for October 3), the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics released the official labor market data for September. Non-Farm Payrolls are significant in their own right, but given the current circumstances, they have taken on special importance. The next official labor market report will not be available until December, when the November data will be released. Meanwhile, the October figures will not be published on time; according to BLS representatives, they were unable to collect the relevant information for the previous month due to a 43-day shutdown. Thus, the October results will be calculated and released …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
On Wednesday evening, the FOMC minutes were released in the U.S. To be honest, I do not pay much attention to these minutes, as they rarely prompt market participants to react. It should be understood that they are published with a three-week delay, and many of the points raised by the Federal Reserve officials at that time are no longer relevant. It is no secret that the FOMC's position changes over time, influenced by economic data. While there has been little data from the U.S. in the last three weeks, some information has emerged. We have already been briefed on the positions of almost all officials through their own speeches. Thus, the FOMC minutes did not generate m…
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On Thursday, the long-awaited report was released, and market participants had high hopes for it while also understanding that it would have a minimal impact on the Federal Reserve's decision in December. Data on unemployment and the labor market have their own "expiration dates." No one will take the September report seriously in December. Even with the Bureau of Labor Statistics not publishing October reports, the relevance of the September data remains questionable. As a result, we observed a very weak reaction to Thursday's reports. First, the reports contradicted each other; second, the data is outdated. However, we can still draw some conclusions. If the labor marke…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Crypto analyst Will Taylor, founder of Cryptoinsightuk, says talk of an XRP bear market is premature, arguing that the token’s higher-time-frame structure and liquidity profile remain bullish despite extreme volatility and record liquidations. Is The XRP Bear Market Here? In a video published on 19 November, Taylor acknowledged the “doom and gloom” dominating crypto sentiment but insisted that, from a technical standpoint, “nothing’s really changed” for XRP. His core claim is that XRP is still trading above a reclaimed multi-year resistance level that now acts as structural support. “We have spent over a year above our 7-year resistance holding it as support,” he said, …
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Surge Copper (TSXV: SURG; OTCQB: SRGFX) revealed its progress towards delivering a pre-feasibility study (PFS) on its Berg project in west-central British Columbia. The company provided its first detailed announcement describing the study’s scope, engaged technical consultants, and the substantial new datasets underpinning the work. The company completed trade-off studies that began in August 2025, finalizing key design decisions on throughput and power connection. The PFS advanced into full design and cost estimation work, with completion anticipated in mid-first half of 2026. In 2023, Surge Copper announced a maiden preliminary economic assessment (PEA), outlini…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin continues to struggle around the $90K level as the market battles intense selling pressure and widespread fear. Short-term sentiment remains fragile, with investors reacting to rapid price swings and mounting downside volatility. Yet, beneath the noise, key on-chain metrics are beginning to show signs that the correction may be nearing exhaustion. According to analyst On-Chain Mind, Bitcoin’s Mean Reversion Oscillator has just printed its first green oversold bar in months, a signal that has historically aligned with late-stage retracements during bull markets. This oscillator measures how far price has deviated from its cyclical mean, helping identify when Bitc…
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Zcash (ZEC) is back in the spotlight after a dramatic rebound. Following Monday’s steep fall to roughly $548, the privacy coin has bounced sharply, gaining 12% in the last 24 hours and reclaiming the $670 level. After surging more than 1,500% year-to-date and rallying 175% in the past month, the privacy-focused cryptocurrency is now testing a major bullish breakout pattern, leaving traders wondering what comes next and whether ZEC can truly sustain this momentum. Institutional Accumulation Fuels a Powerful Upswing A major catalyst behind Zcash’s meteoric rise has been aggressive accumulation from high-profile institutional players. The newly rebranded Cypherpunk Te…
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Bitcoin is currently trading below $92,000, and the market is showing clear signs of exhaustion as selling pressure intensifies. Fear has pushed sentiment toward the bearish end of the spectrum, with many analysts now arguing that BTC may be entering a new bear market. The loss of key support levels and the rapid acceleration of downside volatility have only fueled these concerns, especially as short-term holders continue to capitulate at scale. However, not all perspectives are bearish. Some analysts believe that Bitcoin may be forming a local bottom, as the current correction resembles previous mid-cycle retracements seen during strong bull markets. They argue that th…
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Analysis of EUR/USD 5M The EUR/USD currency pair traded in a super-volatile manner on Thursday. The volatility was an "unreal" 47 pips. This occurred on a day when reports on U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls and unemployment were released, eagerly awaited by traders for a month and a half. As it turned out, the anticipation was in vain—the market remained "dead." Of course, we saw a brief spike of emotion within the first 10 minutes after the data was released, but that was where it ended. To be honest, when was the last time the market reacted to significant labor and unemployment reports with only a 35-pip move? Non-Farm Payrolls reported a result more than double the forecas…
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GBP/USD 5M Analysis The GBP/USD currency pair initially rose, only to decline on Thursday. Yesterday, reports were released in the U.S. that the market had eagerly anticipated, although we warned in previous articles that these data might not be particularly significant for either the Federal Reserve or the market. This is mainly because the figures published were for September, while it is now almost December. Moreover, the reports themselves raise many questions regarding their accuracy. The unemployment rate in the U.S. rose to 4.4%, while the number of new jobs created outside the agricultural sector increased significantly by 119,000. But that's not all. After th…
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