Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
7032 tópicos neste fórum
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Most Read: GBP/USD Forecast: Cable Recovers but the Outlook Remains Murky. WIll NFP Data Serve as a Catalyst? EUR/USD finally got the catalyst it needed to break the channel that price had been holding since the back end of July. August 22 and September 1 both saw EUR/USD attempt to break beyond the channel but the move was met with swift selling pressure. This led many to believe that a catalyst may be needed to inspire a breakout as the pair saw a lot of choppy price action over the last month. Jobs Report Weighs on the US Dollar Non farm payrolls rose only about 22k while economists guessed near 75k. There were about 29k upward revisions for the last two months, yet…
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Ethereum has entered a consolidation phase after losing the $4,500 level, now trading within a tight range above $4,250. The recent pullback has increased uncertainty across the market, with investors weighing whether ETH will break lower or gather enough momentum to attempt another rally. Despite this volatility, Ethereum continues to demonstrate strong underlying fundamentals, supported by consistent whale and institutional accumulation. According to top analyst Darkfost, whale activity on Ethereum remains elevated, with significant outflows recorded from Binance in recent sessions. These withdrawals highlight an important trend: whales are not selling but rather movi…
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China’s steel consumption is projected to decline steadily over the next decade, marking a structural shift in global steel demand dynamics, according to a new report from Wood Mackenzie. The country’s demand is expected to fall by an average of 5–7 million tonnes (Mt) annually, pushing its share of global steel consumption down from 49% in 2024 to just 31% by 2050. Meanwhile, India, Southeast Asia, and the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) are emerging as strategic growth hubs, reshaping both demand and supply chains across the steel industry. China’s structural decline The deceleration in Chinese steel demand reflects the economy’s pivot away from infr…
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Gold blasted to a new all-time high of near $3,600 an ounce on Friday, as fresh US jobs data further cemented market-wide expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut later this month. Spot prices jumped as much as 1.4% to a record $3,597.80 per ounce, surpassing its previous high of $3,670 set only two days earlier. The precious metal is now on track for a 4% weekly close. US gold futures posted similar gains, with the most active contract crossing the $3,650-an-ounce mark for the first time. Click on chart for live prices. Gold’s new record-setting move came as a pivotal US payrolls report on Friday showed a slowdown in hiring last month, while unemployment…
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An Ambitious Experiment in U.S. Coinage Among the rarest and most captivating coins in American numismatics is the $4 Stella. Produced only in 1879 and 1880, this short-lived gold piece was never meant for mass circulation. Instead, it represented an ambitious experiment by the U.S. Mint to create an international trade coin that could compete with Europe’s widely used gold standards, like the French 20 Franc and the British Sovereign. The name “Stella” comes from the star motif that appears on the coin’s reverse, symbolizing its intent to shine as a guiding light in global commerce. Though the project never advanced beyond a few hundred trial pieces, the $4 Stella remai…
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An Ambitious Experiment in U.S. Coinage Among the rarest and most captivating coins in American numismatics is the $4 Stella. Produced only in 1879 and 1880, this short-lived gold piece was never meant for mass circulation. Instead, it represented an ambitious experiment by the U.S. Mint to create an international trade coin that could compete with Europe’s widely used gold standards, like the French 20 Franc and the British Sovereign. The name “Stella” comes from the star motif that appears on the coin’s reverse, symbolizing its intent to shine as a guiding light in global commerce. Though the project never advanced beyond a few hundred trial pieces, the $4 Stella remai…
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The 4-Week High/Low Trading Strategy: A Simple Trend-Following System Explained Strategies When I first came across the 4-week high/low trading strategy, I was co-managing a forex dealing room for a commodities firm. Having spent years as an interbank dealer, this was my first real introduction to technical analysis. I was never quite sure whether to use the past 20 trading days or the prior 4 calendar weeks, but since it wasn’t a strategy I planned to use actively, I just kept it on my blotter as a reference point for what long-term traders might be watching. What Is the 4-Week High/Low Strategy? The 4-week high/low breakout strategy is a classic trend-following syste…
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Why is gold reaching all-time highs? The gold price has risen because investors are nervous. Political shocks, wars, and swings in monetary policy are driving people to seek instruments that maintain value when stocks and bonds fluctuate. When confidence in central banks or the dollar falls, gold often becomes the go-to “safe haven.” For example, spot gold briefly touched the mid-$3,500s in April amid market jitters and debate over the U.S. Federal Reserve’s independence — a reminder that politics can quickly lift demand for gold. According to the Financial Times, Tether is expanding its presence in the gold market, with plans to invest in mining, refining, trading, and…
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Markets got the release of the Non-Farm Payrolls number for August. With the consequential miss (22K vs 75K exp) and further downward revisions, the picture is bleak but stocks open slightly higher. There is immediate selling from profit-taking however, keep an eye on this. Some analysts report that the FED would have comfortably cut by 50 bps if it wasn't for the US Tariffs that have just started to impact the data. The 2Y yield is now at the lowest since April 2025 (Liberation Day trough) and Markets are still pricing more cuts for the year: Currently at 75 bps for the year and still rising. With the FED entering its Blackout Period (no interviews on Economic or f…
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Crypto analyst Costa has made an ultra-bullish prediction for the XRP price, stating that it could reach $473,214. He explained that such a massive price surge could happen thanks to tokenization on the XRP Ledger (XRPL). XRP Price To Reach $473,214 If This Happens In an X post, Costa predicted that the XRP price would reach $473,214 if 10% of global assets got tokenized onto the XRPL. This followed Ripple’s statement that 10% of global assets are expected to be tokenized by 2030. The analyst expects these assets, which amount to $50 trillion, to be tokenized on the XRP Ledger. Costa declared that the amount of inflows and utility will most definitely cause the XRP pr…
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Savannah Resources (LON: SAV) is pushing back against media reports that cited a United Nations committee accusing Portuguese authorities of breaching international law during the approval process for the company’s Barroso lithium project. In a statement to MINING.COM on Friday, Savannah’s Communications Manager António Neves Costa said two of the public bodies named in the UN document have since clarified their positions, stressing that no step of the licensing process was carried out outside Portuguese law. The Portuguese Environmental Agency (APA) said this week the Barroso project underwent the longest public consultation period ever granted to an industrial p…
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The British pound has pushed higher on Friday. In the North American session, GBP/USD is trading at 1.3519, up 0.66% on the day. About half the pound's gains have come following today's weak US nonfarm payrolls report. UK retail sales accelerate in JulyIt was a good-news-bad news retail sales report out of the UK today. July retail sales rose a respectable 0.6% m/m, up from a downwardly revised 0.3% in June and higher than the market estimate of 0.2%. The improvement was driven by warm weather and the women's European soccer championship. The bad news was the sharp downward corrections to the the previous months' data. Retail sales for June was revised lower to 0.3% …
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The first US exchange-traded fund offering exposure to Dogecoin (DOGE) could debut as soon as next week, after the ETF Opportunities Trust filed a post-effective amendment that sets September 9, 2025 as the effective date for a suite of single-coin funds that includes the REX-Osprey DOGE ETF (ticker: DOJE). The filing—Post-Effective Amendment No. 367—explicitly names the DOGE fund alongside proposed TRUMP, BTC, XRP and BONK funds, and states that the amendment “designates September 9, 2025 as the new effective date” for those products. Dogecoin ETF Set To Launch Market expectations were turbocharged by a teaser from the issuer itself. On Wednesday, REX Shares wrote: “The…
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In a monumental move that has taken the crypto market by storm, Netflix’s acclaimed series Black Mirror is set to launch its own token, according to Robbie Ferguson of Immutable. This development, announced yesterday (September 4), marks what could be the beginning of a massive influx of AAA franchises into the Web3 space. DISCOVER: Next 1000X Crypto: 10+ Crypto Tokens That Can Hit 1000x in 2025 Crypto Insiders Believe The Upcoming CLARITY Act Will Pave The Way For More AAA IPs Going On-Chain As regulatory clarity approaches with the upcoming CLARITY Act, which aims to establish a more transparent framework for digital assets in the United States, traders are viewi…
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The monthly release for US August jobs is at 22K vs 75K Expectations The prior month came at 74K vs 110K expectations, but the biggest surprise was to the downside revisions which turned a 291K increase in two months to an-only 33K increase. With the unemployment rate rising to 4.3%, there really is a decent slowdown happening in the US. Canadian jobs also regressed quite largely at -65K vs 10K expectations, sending the Loonie down vs other majors. The US Dollar is falling off, about to break support, equities are rallying but mixed : a more than 25 bps is starting to price but still has low probabilities of happening. The data still shows an increase, albeit a very s…
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The corporate Bitcoin sector has just smashed a major milestone. Public companies now own over 1M $BTC, showing massive confidence in the growing crypto market. Read on for three of the best cryptos to buy as institutional adoption skyrockets. Strategy and MARA Lead the Pack BitcoinTreasuries’s data shows that over $111B in $BTC assets are now in the hands of publicly traded companies. Leading the pack is Michael Saylor’s Strategy, with 636K $BTC. In second place, MARA Holdings has built a balance sheet of 52K $BTC. While MARA has successfully pivoted from a mining company into the treasury world, many mining firms chose to liquidate their $BTC holdings during the 202…
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American Bitcoin, a mining company tied to US President Donald Trump’s sons Eric and Donald Trump Jr., wrapped up its first day of trading on the Nasdaq with sharp swings but still managed to finish 16.75% higher at just over $8. After-hours trading pushed the stock up another 6% to $8.50, reports confirmed. Wild Price Swings On First Day Trading opened with a rush. The newly rebranded company, formed through a merger with Gryphon Digital Mining (GRYP), jumped as high as $13.21 from Gryphon’s previous close of $6.90, a 90% surge. That early momentum collapsed quickly, sending the stock down to $6.70 in the afternoon before it recovered part of the loss. Nasdaq halted t…
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Burkina Faso has moved to reassure investors that its request to acquire an additional 35% stake in West African Resources’ (ASX: WAF) Kiaka gold mine is an option, not a demand, under the country’s new mining framework. Speaking at a mining conference in Australia, Mamadou Sagnon, director-general of the mining registry, explained that the Mining Code introduced in July last year allows the state to secure a minimum 30% paid interest in mining projects, in addition to its 15% free-carried stake. The paid portion is linked to exploration and feasibility costs rather than the mine’s market valuation. Speaking at at mining conference in Australia, the country’s dire…
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In an interview with Dutch host Paul Buitink published on September 4, Henrik Zeberg, Head Economist at SwissBlock, set out a two-stage roadmap for Bitcoin and crypto: a final, powerful “melt-up” driven by liquidity and momentum, followed by a dot-com-style bust that he says will be catalyzed by a surging dollar and tightening financial conditions. “We do have the largest bubble ever,” Zeberg said, arguing that equities, crypto and real estate will first climb further before the cycle turns. “The music is still playing and you can still get a drink at the bar,” he quipped, extending his Titanic metaphor to explain why he believes sentiment and macro signals have not yet …
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The Canadian dollar has edged lower on Friday. In the European session, USD/CAD is trading at 1.3793, down 0.19% on the day. We could see stronger movement from the Canadian dollar later in the day, as Canada and the US release the August employment reports. Canada's employment expected to rebound Canada's labor market took a beating in July, with the loss of 40.8 thousand jobs, including 10 thousand job losses in manufacturing. The markets expect a rebound in August, with an estimate of 7.5 thousand new jobs. The unemployment rate is expected to tick up to 7.0% from 6.9%. The weak July reading was directly attributable to the US tariffs, which have hurt the Canadian…
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The XRP price is still showing bullish momentum despite the previous wave of downtrends. After falling below $2.8, a quick bounce was able to reclaim this level once again as support, putting it on a path lined with further gains. With the formation of an ascending trendline, the XRP price may be sitting on a ticking time bomb primed for explosion, and this would send it back toward its July peaks as bulls find their way back into the market again. XRP Price Breakout Could Notch 20% Gains The analysis from CMF Trading Point shows that the XRP price is at a critical level after the formation of an ascending trend line. This trend line has always been bullish, and with the…
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Overview: The focus is on US employment today. Weak jobs growth and a tick up in the unemployment rate are expected to spur the Fed's first rate cut of the year in a couple of weeks. Position adjusting ahead of the report has weighed on the greenback broadly and overwhelmed the unexpectedly poor Germany factory orders and the data problem in UK that has exaggerated activity. Only a handful of emerging market currencies have not been lifted by the selling pressure on the greenback. These include the Turkish lira, Russian ruble, and Indian rupee. Stocks and bonds are firm. All the large bourses in the Asia Pacific region rallied, led by the nearly 2.2% surge China's CSI 30…
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This is a follow-up analysis and a timely update of our prior report, “GBP/USD Technical: Sterling torpedoed by spike in 30-year gilt yield, watch the 1.3315/3280 key support”, published on 2 September 2025. The price actions of the GBP/USD have shaped the expected minor corrective decline in the past two sessions to print an intraday low of 1.3333 on Wednesday, 3 September, just whiskers above the pre-defined 1.3315/1.3280 key medium-term pivotal support highlighted in our last publication. Let’s now determine its next short-term (1 to 3 days) directional bias and key levels to watch as we await the key US labour data release: non-farm payrolls and unemployment rate …
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This year, AI and blockchain have crossed paths in compelling new ways. We know that AI projects like FET ▲1.82% and NEAR ▲1.36% have been making a lot of news 1-2 years ago. Today, though, projects like Story Protocol and Sahara AI are building practical crypto tools that the market needs, and they are capturing attention and attracting news headlines. They are building AI applications. (source, AI Crypto – CoinGecko) Biggest crypto coin, BTC ▲1.84%, has also climbing back above $112,000. A rebound after it flatlined for weeks under $110,000. Now, it offers a prime entry before the next push, as analysts look for $115,000–$120,000 with Fed rate cuts on the horizon. …
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Trump-backed DeFi project World Liberty Financial has blacklisted an address linked to Justin Sun after it reportedly transferred some of its WLFI tokens, sparking allegations of market manipulation. World Liberty Financial Blacklists Justin Sun On Thursday, World Liberty Financial reportedly blacklisted the Tron founder’s address following his recent movements of his WLFI holdings and multiple online accusations that he was selling. According to Arkham data, Sun claimed 600 million WLFI tokens at the Token Generation Event (TGE), valued at $200 million at the time, as 20% of the 100 billion tokens were unlocked. The Tron founder was one of the earliest investors in W…
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