Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12158 tópicos neste fórum
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The Canadian dollar is steady on Tuesday, after starting the week with gains of 0.48% against the US dollar. In the European session, USD/CAD is trading at 1.3765, down 0.09% on the day. It's a busy mid-week for Canadian events, with the August inflation report later today and the Bank of Canada decision on Wednesday. Canada's CPI expected to climb to 2% Headline CPI is expected to rise to 2% in August, up from 1.7% in July. Two key core inflation indicators are projected to post an average of 3.05% unchanged from July. The Bank of Canada is widely expected to lower rates at Wednesday's meeting, after holding rates for three consecutive meetings. The markets are expec…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The Canadian dollar is calm on Friday. In the European session, USD/CAD is trading at 1.3947, up 0.05% on the day. Canada's GDP expected to post 0.1% gain Canada's economy hasn't looked all that sharp, with three straight monthly declines in GDP. The markets are expecting a slight improvement in July, with a consensus of 0.1% y/y. The economy has been hurt by the trade war with the United States, with trade talks ongoing but no breaktrhough in sight. US tariffs have been particularly detrimental to the manufacturing sector, which slipped 1.5% y/y in June. The Bank of Canada lowered rates by a quarter-point earlier this month, bringing the benchmark rate to 2.5%, …
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The Canadian dollar has edged lower on Friday. In the European session, USD/CAD is trading at 1.3793, down 0.19% on the day. We could see stronger movement from the Canadian dollar later in the day, as Canada and the US release the August employment reports. Canada's employment expected to rebound Canada's labor market took a beating in July, with the loss of 40.8 thousand jobs, including 10 thousand job losses in manufacturing. The markets expect a rebound in August, with an estimate of 7.5 thousand new jobs. The unemployment rate is expected to tick up to 7.0% from 6.9%. The weak July reading was directly attributable to the US tariffs, which have hurt the Canadian…
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The Canadian dollar is unchanged on Friday, trading at 1.3912. Earlier, USD/CAD hit 1.3917, its highest level since May. Canada's retail sales expected to reboundCanada wraps up the week with the June retail sales report, which is expected to rebound with a gain of 1.5% y/y. This follows a 1.1% decline in May, as consumers cut back on spending when US tariffs took effect in April. The trade war between Canada and the US continues but consumers have had time to adjust to the new reality of tariffs and the markets expect a strong rebound in consumer spending. It is somewhat surprising that the US has concluded trade agreements with the EU and Japan but not Canada, whi…
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The Canadian dollar is showing limited movement for a third straight day. In the European session, USD/CAD is trading at 1.3698, down 0.02% on the day. We could see some movement from the Canadian dollar in the North American session after the release of Canadian retail sales. Opinions are the authors'; not necessarily that of OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc. or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. The provided publication is for informational and educational purposes only. If you would like to reproduce or redistribute any of the content found on MarketPulse, an award winning forex, commodities and global i…
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The Canadian dollar has steadied on Monday after surging 0.90% on Friday. In the European session, USD/CAD is trading at 1.3714, down 0.13% on the day. Earlier the Canadian dollar improved to 1.3686, its strongest level since Oct. 2024. US markets are closed for Memorial Day and there are no US or Canadian events, which likely will mean a quiet day for USD/CAD. Canada's retail sales boosted by auto salesCanada's retail sales impressed in March, rising 5.6% y/y, up from 4.7% in February and beating the forecast of 3.8%. Monthly, retail sales rose 0.5%, lower than the 0.8% in February but above the forecast of -0.1%. The strong gain was driven by a sha…
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The Canadian dollar continues to drift but that could change with the release of Canadian and US inflation later today. In the North American session, USD/CAD is trading at 1.3687, down 0.13% on the day. Canadian, US CPI expected to have accelerated in June It promises to be an interesting day as both Canada and the US release the June inflation reports. In Canada, headline CPI is expected to rise to 1.9% y/y from 1.7% in May, while the monthly rate is projected to ease to 0.1% from 0.6%. Two key core CPI indicators are expected to show an average of 3.0% y/y, unchanged from May. Opinions are the authors'; not necessarily t…
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The Canadian dollar extended its losses on Wednesday. In the North American session, USD/CAD is trading at 1.3811, up 0.29% on the day. The Canadian dollar is down for a fifth straight trading day, declining 1.6% during that time. Earlier, the Canadian dollar weakened to 1.3819, its lowest level since May 30. Bank of Canada holds rates As expected, the Bank of Canada held the benchmark rate at 2.75% for a third consecutive meeting. The rate statement noted that US trade policy remains "unpredictable". Canada and the US are still locked in a trade war and the BoC will be hesitant to lower rates until there is greater clarity with regards to US trade policy vis-à-vis Can…
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The Canadian dollar has edged lower on Tuesday. In the European session, USD/CAD is trading at 1.3718, down 0.12% on the day. Opinions are the authors'; not necessarily that of OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc. or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. The provided publication is for informational and educational purposes only. If you would like to reproduce or redistribute any of the content found on MarketPulse, an award winning forex, commodities and global indices analysis and news site service produced by OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc., please refer to the MarketPulse Terms of Use. Visit h…
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The Canadian dollar has risen this week, but the increase is primarily due to the U.S. dollar's weakening and an overall appetite for risk, rather than domestic economic factors. The GDP growth for the third quarter outpaced expectations at 2.6% year-on-year, primarily explained by a rebound after a disappointing second quarter, which was revised from -1.6% year-on-year to -1.8%. Excluding external factors, the final domestic demand hardly changed, registering a -0.1% quarter-on-quarter decline, while the preliminary estimate for October showed a decrease of 0.3% month-on-month. Consumer spending contracted by 0.4% quarter-on-quarter compared to 4.2% in the second quarter…
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The Canadian Dollar is under renewed selling pressure, currently ranking the second-worst performing major currency in 2025 after the US Dollar. The combination of a degrading domestic economy and ongoing tariff uncertainty continues to weigh on the loonie, leaving traders skeptical about near-term upside. Canada’s most recent GDP release confirmed sluggish growth, underscoring the drag from weaker domestic activity., with this bringing Bank of Canada cuts back to the table (close to 90% priced in) in spite of a core inflation still at 3.0% A surprising upbeat employment data in June did not generate enough traction for Canada to maintain its employment at higher le…
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After the Bank of Canada (BoC) cut the interest rate by a quarter point and expectations for the Federal Reserve's rate policy became more hawkish, a further weakening of the Canadian dollar became nearly certain. The accompanying statement from the BoC indicated that the Bank is satisfied with the current interest rate level, which reduces the likelihood of further cuts. Now all attention is focused on how the government under Prime Minister Carney intends to lead the country out of the structural crisis. The long-awaited budget has been published in its first reading, and its direction looks far from optimistic for the Canadian dollar. Hundreds of revenue-boosting measu…
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Markets just received the Canadian labor report — and unlike the still-missing U.S. one (thanks, government shutdown), this one actually delivered. Canada added +60K jobs vs. +5K expected, a sharp rebound from last month’s -65K loss. Even better, most of these gains came from full-time positions, signaling renewed strength in the labor market. Being bullish on the CAD hasn’t been a winning trade this year. It’s been one of the top underperformers in FX—now only slightly ahead of the even weaker JPY—caught in the middle of a challenging macro backdrop. As a cyclical economy, Canada cooled rapidly after its huge 2022–2023 period. The job market softened, real estate activ…
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Amid the absence of key US labor data during the longest US government shutdown in history (which has undoubtedly started to weigh on market sentiment, look at stocks this week!), the northern neighbor Canada was still able to deliver a surprise to traders. The Canadian labor market delivered a second consecutive beat in employment growth, reporting an actual gain of 66.6K jobs (exp -2.5K). This unexpected surge provides a much-needed lift.: while Canada has been struggling with tariffs biting into some of its key sectors, notably metals and lumber, this comeback in employment marks some slow but tangible regaining of confidence from businesses after what was a rough su…
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Canada’s Liberal government plans to form a C$2 billion ($1.4bn) sovereign fund for critical minerals, earmark hundreds of millions in mining industry spending and widen exploration tax credits to a dozen other minerals, according to the federal budget presented on Tuesday. The spending document, which forecasts a C$78.3 billion deficit for the fiscal year to March 31, includes plans to replace the industrial emissions cap. It also proposes incentives that may reduce the tax on capital spending — such as buildings for a critical minerals’ processor — to 0.4%, according to an analysis by CBC. “Budget 2025 confirms the federal government’s unwavering commitment to t…
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Canadian pension fund La Caisse is acquiring Australian renewables developer Edify Energy for C$1.1 billion ($725 million), securing a foothold in a market it has long sought to enter. La Caisse, which manages nearly C$500 billion ($550 billion) in net assets, will commit about C$1 billion in equity. Roughly one-third will go toward the acquisition, with the rest funding two integrated solar-and-battery projects. The deal marks La Caisse’s first investment in Australian renewables after years of searching for an entry point, including an unsuccessful bid for Tilt Renewables in 2021. “We don’t have renewables in Australia, which is something I was trying to fix…
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Canagold Resources (TSX: CCM) surged on Monday after releasing results of a feasibility study for its New Polaris project in British Columbia, outlining a low-cost underground gold operation with total production of over 800,000 oz. over an 8.3-year life. The estimated preproduction capital expenditures are C$250 million, while its all-in sustaining cost (AISC) over the life of mine is pegged at $1,247 per payable ounce of gold. Under the base case gold price scenario of $2,500/oz., the project has a post-tax net present value (at 5% discount) of C$425 million, with an internal rate of return of 30.9% and payback period of 2.4 years. At a spot price of $3,300/oz.,…
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Canary Capital has filed a proposal for a new spot ETF that focuses entirely on American-built digital assets. The fund would track what they’re calling the Made-in-America Blockchain Index, spotlighting tokens with strong ties to the United States. It’s a clear attempt to bring national identity into the increasingly global crypto landscape. Only Tokens with U.S. Roots Make the Cut To qualify for inclusion, a token must be created in the U.S., primarily mined or minted on American infrastructure, or operated by a team based in the country. It’s a tight filter that puts geographic origin and operational control at the center of index design. This is not just about where …
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What to Know: An $XRP spot ETF listing widens regulated access to altcoins, which usually tightens spreads and deepens liquidity across adjacent sectors. Canary’s 8-A form points to a Thursday debut; $XRP already saw a price pop and volume surge into the launch window. SUBBD introduces on-chain subscriptions, token-gated content, and AI assistants that turn creator-fan interactions into repeatable transactions. The presale sits at over $1.33M, with $SUBBD valued at $0.056925 and staking at a fixed 20%. Canary Capital’s spot XRP ETF has cleared the last major hurdle and is now teed up to begin trading on the Nasdaq as early as Thursday, with listing references pointing…
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After months of growing uncertainty and anticipation, the debut of exchange-traded funds (ETFs) for Hedera (HBAR) and Litecoin (LTC) is set to commence tomorrow, as confirmed by Canary Capital’s CEO Steven McClurg on Monday. Hedera And Litecoin ETF Launches Imminent Crypto reporter Eleanor Terret shared the news on X (formerly Twitter), revealing that the ETF launches for Litecoin and Hedera are imminent, with a statement from McClurg underscoring the excitement for the upcoming launch. Notably, the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) has also made significant moves in the ETF sector by certifying 8-A filings and issuing listing notices for Bitwise Invest’s spot Solana (SOL…
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Canary Capital is back with another ETF proposal, this time targeting Injective. The New York-based firm has filed with the SEC to launch a fund that tracks INJ while also staking it. The idea is simple. Instead of just following Injective’s price, the ETF would also collect staking rewards along the way. Investors could earn yield automatically, with no wallets, no validators, and no crypto know-how needed. Why Injective and Why Now Injective is a fast, low-cost Layer 1 built for financial apps and DeFi trading. More importantly, it runs on proof of stake, which lets token holders earn rewards for helping secure the network. Canary plans to wrap that process into a sing…
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Cantor Fitzgerald, one of the world’s leading asset management firms, has released an in-depth report highlighting the promising future of the decentralized exchange (DEX) Hyperliquid (HYPE). The 62-page analysis predicts significant growth for both the platform and its native token over the next decade, painting a bullish outlook for investors. Hyperliquid As ‘The Exchange Of All Exchanges’ As detailed in the report, Hyperliquid operates as a decentralized exchange specializing in trading perpetual futures and is built on a custom layer-1 blockchain. Currently, HYPE has a fully diluted market cap of approximately $15.8 billion. Year-to-date (YTD) 2025, the platform…
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Overview: The US tariff saga continues. Yesterday, President Trump announced a 50% tariff copper, sending the red metal screaming higher (13%+), and threatening 200% tariffs on pharma. Other sectoral investigations are expected to wrap up toward the end of the month. There is a vigorous effort to check "transshipments," but it is not clear how it will be defined. How much domestic input is required, and how will it be decided? In any event, outside of copper than has pulled back a little today, the capital markets have taken it in stride and are fairly subdued so far today. The greenback is narrowly mixed against the G10 currencies, mostly within yesterday's ranges. Emerg…
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A resource update for Capitan Silver’s (TSXV: CAPT) Cruz de Plata silver-gold project in north-central Mexico’s Durango state lifts contained ounces in the inferred category by more than 120%. The update, which focuses only on the Capitan Hill portion of the project, gives the deposit about 39.8 million inferred tonnes grading 0.41 gram gold per tonne for 525,000 oz. gold and 3.3 grams silver for 4.2 million silver oz., Capitan said in a release on Friday. That represents a 72% rise in contained gold and a 129% increase in contained silver compared to the initial resource from 2020. “While silver remains our primary focus and the strongest driver of value at Cruz …
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Crypto analyst Capo of Crypto, who is currently one of the most recognizeable names in crypto spaces on social media, has sounded a warning for the market. The analyst has completely dismissed the current trajectory of the Bitcoin price and, by extension, the altcoin market, calling for only a short-lived rally. His analysis points to a Bitcoin price crash, but the most impact is expected to be felt by the altcoin market as they tumble further. Bitcoin Price Is Headed Below $100,000 In the post on the social media platform X (formerly Twitter), Capo of Crypto shares a rather bearish thesis that suggests that the current strength in Bitcoin won’t last. He points out that …
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