Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12166 tópicos neste fórum
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Analysis of Trades and Tips for Trading the British PoundThe price test at 1.3089 coincided with the MACD indicator just beginning to move up from the zero mark, confirming the correct entry point for buying the pound and leading to a rise near the target level of 1.3118. The pound reacted positively to news that the US unemployment rate rose. Weaker-than-expected unemployment data initially pressured the US dollar, as investors became more cautious about the US economic outlook. The rise in unemployment hints at a potential slowdown in economic growth, which may lead the Federal Reserve to reconsider its restrictive stance on interest rates. However, the non-farm payroll…
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Analysis of Trades and Tips for Trading the Japanese YenThe price test at 157.45 coincided with the MACD indicator already moving significantly above the zero mark, which limited the pair's upward potential. For this reason, I did not buy the dollar and missed a good upward move. After data showed the US unemployment rate rising to 4.4% in September, the dollar weakened against the Japanese yen. Weaker-than-expected unemployment data contributed to the decline in the US currency's value, as market participants became cautious about the US economy's outlook. However, the non-farm payroll report mitigated the negative impact of the unemployment rate report. The number of ne…
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Yesterday, stock indices closed lower. The S&P 500 fell by 1.56%, while the Nasdaq 100 plummeted by 2.15%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average decreased by 0.84%. The indices are poised for their worst week in seven months, as concerns regarding high valuations and the profitability of large investments in artificial intelligence compel investors to pull back from risky assets. The MSCI All Country World Index has dropped by 3% this week, putting it on track for its sharpest weekly decline since April 4, when President Donald Trump's tariffs shook the markets. Asian indices also fell by 1.7%, nearing their largest weekly drop since April. Bitcoin traded below $86,000. …
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Bitcoin's fall below the $90,000 mark did not trigger active buying, and by the end of today's Asian session, the leading cryptocurrency reached a low around $85,500, where it again failed to attract significant purchases from major players. Several experts note that BTC has fallen below the average cost of purchases for institutional investors in spot BTC ETFs, indicating the onset of a panic and liquidation season. The losses incurred by buyers exceeding $1 billion in the market just yesterday speaks volumes. Institutional investors, previously seen as guarantors of stability and long-term growth, are now also susceptible to fear and mass sell-offs. Falling below thei…
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Bitcoin (BTC) experienced a slight rebound after reaching a near eight-month low of $87,500 on Wednesday. By Thursday, the leading crypto surged back toward $90,000. However, market expert Leshka warns that this brief increase may signal only the start of a new distribution phase for Bitcoin, as selling pressure continues to build. Possible Bottom Between $40,700 And $47,500 In a recent post on X (formerly Twitter), Leshka assessed Bitcoin’s position on the weekly chart, identifying critical demand zones between $40,700 and $47,500 that could take shape throughout 2026. She suggested that these levels might represent the bottom for Bitcoin during the anticipated bear m…
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The S&P 500 started strong but ended weak. After a 1.9% surge at the beginning of the trading session, driven by the positive results from NVIDIA for the third quarter, the broad stock index quickly reversed direction and closed in the red, down 1.6%. The reasons behind such a dramatic rollercoaster remain unclear. Dynamics of US Stock Indices NVIDIA's revenue and profits are indeed impressive, but one company alone cannot carry the weight. Even this largest company in the world is supported by other players in the tech sector spending colossal amounts on artificial intelligence, yet their results leave much to be desired. The bubble of tech giants is the main conc…
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Data shows the Bitcoin Mayer Multiple has declined to the lower bound of its range recently, which suggests a slowdown in momentum for BTC. Bitcoin Mayer Multiple Is Now Retesting Its Lower Bound As explained by on-chain analytics firm Glassnode in a new post on X, the Bitcoin Mayer Multiple has retraced to the lower bound of its long-term range. The “Mayer Multiple” refers to an indicator that keeps track of the ratio between the BTC spot price and its 200-day moving average (MA). In technical analysis (TA), the 200-day MA is considered as a boundary between macro bullish and bearish trends. Whenever BTC is trading above this line, a bullish bias may be assumed to be …
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Trend Analysis (Fig. 1).On Friday, from the level of 1.1527 (yesterday's daily candle close), the market may begin moving upward with the target of 1.1556 – a historical resistance level (blue dashed line). When testing this level, a pullback movement downward is possible with a target of 1.1534 – the 14.6% pullback level (yellow dashed line). Fig. 1 (daily chart). Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis – upwardFibonacci levels – upwardVolumes – upwardCandlestick analysis – upwardTrend analysis – upwardBollinger Bands – upwardWeekly chart – upwardOverall conclusion: upward trend. Alternative scenario:Today, from the level of 1.1527 (yesterday's daily candle close), …
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Trend Analysis (Fig. 1).On Friday, from the level of 1.3069 (yesterday's daily candle close), the market may begin moving upward with the target of 1.3113 – the 14.6% pullback level (blue dashed line). When testing this level, a downward pullback is possible with a target of 1.3098 – the 8-period EMA (thin blue line). Fig. 1 (daily chart). Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis – upwardFibonacci levels – upwardVolumes – upwardCandlestick analysis – upwardTrend analysis – upwardBollinger Bands – upwardWeekly chart – upwardOverall conclusion: upward trend.Alternative scenario:From the level of 1.3069 (yesterday's daily candle close), the price may begin moving upward …
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The British pound reacted with a sharp decline to news that UK retail sales in October fell much more than expected. The report from the Office for National Statistics stated that the volume of goods sold online and in stores in the UK fell by 1.1% month-on-month after an upwardly revised 0.7% increase in September. This figure ended a five-month streak of consecutive growth and was significantly worse than economists' expected decline of 0.2%. Economists attribute the drop in retail sales to several factors. First, inflation continues to put pressure on consumer spending. Second, interest rates remain high, increasing the cost of borrowing. Third, economic uncertainty c…
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On the hourly chart, the GBP/USD pair on Thursday rose toward the 161.8% Fibonacci level at 1.3110, bounced off it, dropped slightly, and then resumed growth toward 1.3110. Today, another rebound from this level will again work in favor of the U.S. currency and a slight decline toward the 200.0% corrective level at 1.3024. A consolidation of the pair's rate above the 1.3110 level will return the pound into the sideways range of 1.3110–1.3186. The wave situation remains "bearish." The latest upward wave failed to break the previous peak, while the most recent downward wave (completed) broke the previous low. Unfortunately for the pound, the news background has deteriora…
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Michael Saylor’s Strategy, formerly known as MicroStrategy, has found itself significantly exposed to the ongoing downturn in the cryptocurrency market, which has seen more than $1 trillion in total market capitalization wiped out over the past month. As the largest public holder of Bitcoin, with over 650,000 coins, the company is now facing the real threat of being removed from major benchmark indices, which have been crucial for its visibility in mainstream portfolios. Analysts Predict Major Impact On Strategy According to a recent Bloomberg report, analysts at JPMorgan Chase have issued a warning that Saylor’s firm may lose its standing in key indices such as MSCI …
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On Thursday, the EUR/USD pair bounced from the 76.4% corrective level at 1.1517 and turned in favor of the euro, while showing absolutely no interesting movements despite a strong news background. Today, the upward movement may continue toward the 61.8% Fibonacci level at 1.1594. A consolidation of the pair below 1.1517 will work in favor of the U.S. dollar and continue decline toward the next 100.0% corrective level at 1.1392. The wave structure on the hourly chart remains simple and clear. The latest upward wave did not break the peak of the previous wave, while the last completed downward wave broke the previous low. Thus, the trend remains "bearish" at the moment. …
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Today, after five consecutive days of decline, the EUR/USD pair is stabilizing near the 1.1540 level amid a slight weakening of the U.S. dollar. The employment data released for September strengthens expectations of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve in December. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, the market is now pricing in a 36% probability of a 25-basis-point cut in the federal funds rate. This is slightly higher than the 30% probability priced in by the markets yesterday. In the U.S., NFP — the number of nonfarm payroll jobs created in September — increased by 119,000 compared with the revised August figure of +22,000 and the previously projected growth of 50,000. Th…
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Most Read: Brutal Market Reversals – Market wrap for the North American session - November 20 Provisional PMI data for November shows that business activity in the eurozone is still growing strongly, and companies are feeling optimistic about the upcoming year. However, there are some mixed signals: the growth of new orders has slowed down, and businesses stopped hiring new workers after a brief increase in October. Financially, companies are facing higher expenses. Their operating costs rose at the fastest speed in eight months, largely due to higher prices in manufacturing. Despite these rising costs, businesses only raised their own prices slightly, the smallest increa…
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Key takeaways US equities suffered a sharp reversal, with major indices wiping out strong intraday gains and closing deeply in the red, marking the sharpest swing since April’s tariff shock.Nvidia’s failed post-earnings rally was the main catalyst, reversing from a 5% intraday surge to a 3.2% loss and erasing nearly $400 billion in market cap, triggering negative reflexivity across the Nasdaq 100.Technical conditions point to growing downside risk, with Nasdaq 100 market breadth deteriorating and Nvidia’s bearish setup threatening to drag the index into a deeper medium-term downtrend. The US stock market delivered a dramatic reversal on Thursday, 20 November 2025, i…
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Overview: The sharp fall in global equities after the stunning reversal in the US yesterday is the main development today. The largest markets in the Asia Pacific region fell more than 2% today. Europe's Stoxx 600 is off more than 1%. It is selling off for the sixth session in the past seven. After posting larger losses early, US index futures have recovered in the European morning. The S&P futures are off fractionally and the Nasdaq futures are down around 0.25%. Bonds have caught a haven bid, including JGBs, where the very long-end is rally for the first time in more than two weeks. European bond yields of 2-5 bp lower. Moody's is set to announce the results of its…
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Global oil markets are showing a rapidly growing supply surplus.“Oil on water” volumes have surged, signaling difficulties in placing cargoes.Sanctioned oil flows increasingly contribute to the buildup in floating storage.New sanctions on Russia may intensify oversupply pressures in the coming weeks. A clear supply-side pressure is emerging in the global oil market, a trend that agencies such as the EIA and IEA have been signaling since the start of the year but which had not been fully visible in official statistics. The main reason was China accumulating crude oil outside the OECD reporting system. This situation, however, is now beginning to shift. Data from recent…
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Unstoppable Domains won a major legal case just a year ago when the US Patent and Trademark Office (USPTO) rejected a challenge from ENS Labs. At the time, ENS Labs had tried to cancel Unstoppable’s patent for “Resolving Blockchain Domains.” The Trademark Office, however, had other plans. It confirmed that the US Patent No. 11,558,344 was valid and strong, unceremoniously closing the case. On 22 November 2024, the Patent Trial and Appeal Board ruled that ENS Labs didn’t have a strong enough case to overturn the patent. The decision backed Unstoppable’s outlook towards tech and its responsible approach towards intellectual property. Since then, Unstoppable Domains has r…
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Buying Bitcoin now is like trying to catch a falling knife. For all that’s clear, sentiment is in tatters. Crypto has been in turmoil for the past few weeks. After Bitcoin crashed below $100,000, it has been a one-way trip. There have been dead cat bounces here and there, but sellers are pretty much in charge. Following the dip below $90,000, the total crypto market cap is below $2.9 trillion. What’s more? As retailers dump, there is a clear rotation to stablecoins. The Bitcoin and Ethereum dominance is falling, while that of stablecoins like USDT has increased over the last week of trading. (Source: Coingecko) DISCOVER: 20+ Next Crypto to Explode in 2025 Why is B…
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Ethereum is still struggling after the initial market crash on October 10 that rocked the market. The subsequent market declines have pushed the largest altcoin by market cap toward $3,000, breaking below it for the first time at the start of the week. With the price looking to find support, there is the possibility of a dead count bounce happening that could see the price rise by more than 10%. However, with a dead count bounce being ultimately bearish, the target remains much lower. Why Ethereum Could Be Headed Lower Crypto analyst TradingShot, in a recent analysis, outlined how the Ethereum price looks to be caught in a bearish trend since early October. This had firs…
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We introduce you to the daily updated section of Forex analytics where you will find reviews from forex experts, up-to-date monitoring of financial information as well as online forecasts of exchange rates of the US dollar, euro, ruble, bitcoin, and other currencies for today, tomorrow and this trading week.Useful links: My other articles are available in this section InstaForex course for beginners Popular Analytics Open trading account Important: The begginers in forex trading need to be very careful when making decisions about entering the market. Before the release of important reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid being caught in sharp market fluctu…
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What to Know: Tom Lee’s market maker balance sheet thesis suggests the crypto market crash on October 10, 2025, was driven by structural liquidity gaps, not just speculative panic. Liquidity crises can spread rapidly from institutional books to retail users, impacting execution quality, fees, and access to cross-chain opportunities as volatility spikes. Best Wallet Presale aims to target a 40 percent wallet market share by 2026, combining Fireblocks MPC security, multichain aggregation, and a mobile-first UX. Competition among wallets is shifting toward integrated tooling, with staking, presale access, and fee incentives becoming central to how users choose their primary…
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The cryptocurrency market crash is at full swing, showcasing the collapse of a substantial bubble in terms of volume. Just last month, I expressed concerns that the overvaluation and inflated market prices in the crypto industry had reached their peak. I suggested that the likelihood of a series of rate cuts in the US and growing demand for stocks—which, unlike cryptocurrencies, generate interest income—could lead to serious sell-offs and, in turn, a decline in demand for these assets. Such a stunning rally could not last indefinitely, despite the active involvement of US President Donald Trump, who effectively stimulated demand for tokens, including his own. It is likel…
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