Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
7005 tópicos neste fórum
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Today, Thursday, the EUR/GBP pair nearly reached the round level of 0.8700. The euro strengthened against the British pound amid expectations that French President Emmanuel Macron will appoint a new prime minister within the next 48 hours. Later in the day, the European Central Bank will release its monetary policy meeting report, and ECB member Philip Lane is scheduled to speak. The political crisis in France, triggered by the unexpected resignation of Prime Minister Sebastien Lecornu and his cabinet, pressured the euro during the previous session. On Wednesday, President Emmanuel Macron stated that within the next 48 hours he would once again attempt to appoint a new pr…
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- 49 👀 Traders
EUR/JPY The EUR/JPY pair has reversed for the second time from the upper boundary of the price channel and is now holding below the MACD line on the daily chart. The signal line of the Marlin oscillator remains in positive territory but is hesitating in front of the zero line, viewing it as a significant barrier. This likely reflects the price's indecision in overcoming the balance indicator line, where it has lingered for a second day. Today, the market is waiting for the release of US inflation data for August (CPI). If the data supports yen strengthening, the support level at 171.32 (the first target) could be reached today. In this case, the Marlin indicator would mo…
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Today, the EUR/JPY pair attracts new sellers after rising in the Asian session to nearly the round level of 174.00, and is now breaking through 173.00, extending the decline from the psychological 175.00 level — the highest since July 2024, which was retested last week. The Japanese yen maintains its momentum under the influence of aggressive expectations regarding Bank of Japan monetary policy, which remains a key driver for EUR/JPY. At Tuesday's September BoJ conference, board members discussed the likelihood of a rate hike at upcoming meetings, confirming expectations for a 25-basis-point increase in October. In addition, the yen gained support amid heightened geopolit…
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- 50 👀 Traders
Yesterday, the EUR/NZD pair broke below the daily-scale MACD line at its intersection with the balance line. This is a strong signal for a continued decline. The Marlin oscillator is also moving downward, already into the bearish zone. Downside targets are: 1.9519 (the August 8 low)1.9350 (the July 11 low)1.9188 (the price channel line, as a possible third target, though here the Marlin oscillator would be in oversold territory)We expect a correction from the 1.9350 support level. On the four-hour chart, price and the Marlin oscillator have formed a bullish divergence. However, since the price has passed the magnetic point on the daily chart, the correction is unlikely …
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- 7 👀 Traders
The EUR/USD currency pair once again traded calmly on the second trading day of the week. While there was a minor intraday upward bias on Monday, it remained weak, accompanied by low volatility. Now that it's October 1 — and there's a 95% chance the U.S. government will shut down along with all federal agencies — the dollar's reaction to negative news is surprisingly modest. In fact, we would say it isn't reacting at all. Is this justified? Of course not. Even without the shutdown threat, there are already plenty of solid reasons for the dollar to be falling. While the pair has undergone a correction over the last two weeks, the fundamental and macroeconomic backdrop has …
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- 18 👀 Traders
The wave structure on the 4-hour chart for EUR/USD has not changed for several months, but in recent days it has taken on a rather complex form. It is still too early to conclude that the upward section of the trend is canceled, though a more complicated wave structure in the near term is quite possible. The formation of the upward trend section continues, and the news background largely supports not the dollar but the euro. The trade war initiated by Donald Trump continues. The confrontation with the Fed continues. The market's "dovish" expectations regarding Fed rates are growing. The market holds a very low opinion of Trump's first 6–7 months in office, despite nearly …
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- 20 👀 Traders
The EUR/USD exchange rate barely changed on Thursday, and over the course of the current week it has risen by only 35 basis points. The wave pattern on the 4-hour chart for EUR/USD has remained unchanged for several months, but in recent days it has started to look increasingly complex. It is still too early to conclude that the upward segment of the trend has ended, but further complication of the wave pattern is quite possible in the near future. The construction of the upward segment of the trend continues, and the news background continues to mostly work against the dollar. The trade war launched by Donald Trump goes on. His confrontation with the Fed also continues. …
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- 26 👀 Traders
The wave structure on the 4-hour chart for EUR/USD has remained unchanged for several months, but in recent days it has started to take on a rather complicated shape. It is still too early to conclude that the upward trend segment has been canceled, but further complication of the wave pattern in the near future is quite possible. The upward trend segment continues to build, while the news backdrop mostly favors currencies other than the dollar. The trade war initiated by Donald Trump continues. The confrontation with the Fed continues. The market's "dovish" expectations regarding the Fed's rate are growing. The market has a rather low opinion of Donald Trump's first 6–7 …
Last reply by Redator, -
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- 26 👀 Traders
The wave pattern on the 4-hour chart for EUR/USD has remained unchanged for several months, but in recent weeks it has taken on a more complex form. It is still too early to conclude that the upward section of the trend has been canceled, but a new decline in the European currency would require adjustments. The upward section of the trend continues to form, while the news background largely does not support the dollar. The trade war initiated by Donald Trump continues. The confrontation with the Fed continues. Market expectations for a dovish Fed rate policy are growing. A government shutdown has begun in the U.S. The market rates the results of Donald Trump's first 7–8 m…
Last reply by Redator, -
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- 25 👀 Traders
The wave pattern on the 4-hour chart for EUR/USD has remained unchanged for several months, but in recent weeks it has taken on a more complex form. It is still too early to conclude that the upward trend segment has been canceled, but another decline in the European currency would require adjustments. The construction of the upward trend segment continues, and the news background continues to support mostly not the dollar. The trade war initiated by Donald Trump is ongoing. The confrontation with the Fed is ongoing. The market's "dovish" expectations regarding the Fed's rate are growing. The U.S. has entered a government "shutdown." The market holds a very low view of Do…
Last reply by Redator, -
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- 6 👀 Traders
The wave structure of the 4-hour EUR/USD chart has remained unchanged for several months, but in recent weeks it has become more complex. It is still too early to conclude that the upward trend section is canceled, but a further decline in the euro will require adjustments. The formation of the upward trend section continues, while the news background largely does not favor the dollar. The trade war initiated by Donald Trump continues. The confrontation with the Fed continues. The market's dovish expectations regarding the Fed rate are growing. The U.S. "shutdown" continues. The market evaluates the results of Trump's first 7–8 months in office rather poorly, even though …
Last reply by Redator, -
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- 28 👀 Traders
The wave pattern on the 4-hour chart of EUR/USD has not changed for several months, but in recent weeks it has taken on a more complex form. It is still too early to conclude that the upward trend section has been canceled, but a new decline in the euro will require adjustments. The upward trend construction continues, while the news background mostly supports not the dollar. The trade war initiated by Donald Trump is ongoing. The confrontation with the Fed continues. The market's "dovish" expectations for the Fed rate are growing. The U.S. government shutdown is still in place. The market evaluates the first 7–8 months of Trump's presidency very poorly, even though econo…
Last reply by Redator, -
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- 26 👀 Traders
The wave pattern on the 4-hour chart for EUR/USD has remained unchanged for several months, which is encouraging. Even when corrective waves form, the overall structure is preserved. This allows for accurate forecasts. It should be noted that the wave pattern does not always look textbook-like. At present, however, it looks very clear. The formation of the upward trend segment continues, while the news background continues to support mostly not the dollar. The trade war initiated by Donald Trump continues. The confrontation with the Fed continues. Market "dovish" expectations are growing. Trump's "One Big Law" will add 3 trillion dollars to the U.S. national debt, and the…
Last reply by Redator, -
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- 18 👀 Traders
The wave structure of the 4-hour EUR/USD chart has remained unchanged for several months, which is encouraging. Even when corrective waves form, the overall structure holds together. This makes accurate forecasting possible. It should be noted that wave patterns do not always look like textbook examples. At the moment, the pattern looks very clear. The upward segment of the trend continues to develop, while the news background continues to support mostly not the dollar. The trade war initiated by Donald Trump is ongoing. The confrontation with the Fed continues. Market "dovish" expectations for the Fed's rate are growing. The market's assessment of Trump's first 6–7 month…
Last reply by Redator, -
- 0 💬
- 37 👀 Traders
The wave structure on the 4-hour chart for EUR/USD has not changed for several months, which is encouraging. Even during the formation of corrective waves, the integrity of the structure remains intact, allowing accurate forecasts. Wave patterns do not always look like textbook examples, but the current structure does. The upward trend segment continues to build, and the news backdrop largely supports not the dollar. The trade war initiated by Donald Trump continues. The confrontation with the Fed continues. The market's dovish expectations regarding Fed rates are growing. Market assessments of Trump's first 6–7 months in office are very low, despite 3% GDP growth in Q2. …
Last reply by Redator, -
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- 30 👀 Traders
The wave structure on the 4-hour chart for EUR/USD has remained unchanged for several months, which is very encouraging. Even when corrective waves form, the integrity of the structure is preserved. This makes accurate forecasting possible. I should remind you that wave counts rarely look textbook-perfect. Right now, however, they look very good. The construction of the upward trend section continues, while the news background mostly supports everything but the dollar. The trade war initiated by Donald Trump continues. The confrontation with the Fed continues. The market's dovish expectations regarding Fed policy are growing. Market participants rate the results of Trump'…
Last reply by Redator, -
- 0 💬
- 12 👀 Traders
The wave pattern on the 4-hour chart for EUR/USD has remained unchanged for several months, which is very encouraging. Even when corrective waves form, the structure's integrity is preserved, allowing for accurate forecasts. Recall that wave structures do not always look like textbook examples. At present, however, the pattern looks very good. The upward segment of the trend continues to develop, while the news background largely does not support the dollar. The trade war initiated by Donald Trump continues. The confrontation with the Fed continues. Market expectations for Fed rate cuts are becoming more dovish. The market's assessment of Trump's first 6–7 months in offic…
Last reply by Redator, -
- 0 💬
- 31 👀 Traders
The wave analysis on the 4-hour EUR/USD chart has remained unchanged for several months now, which is very encouraging. Even when corrective waves are forming, the overall structure stays intact. This allows for accurate forecasting. It's worth noting that wave patterns don't always appear textbook-perfect. However, the current pattern still looks quite solid. The formation of the upward trend segment continues, and the news background mostly fails to support the dollar. The trade war initiated by Donald Trump is ongoing. The standoff with the Federal Reserve also continues. The market's "dovish" expectations for the Fed rate are growing. The market holds a rather grim vi…
Last reply by Redator, -
- 0 💬
- 19 👀 Traders
The wave pattern on the 4-hour chart for EUR/USD has not changed for several months, which is very encouraging. Even when corrective waves are forming, the structure remains intact. This allows for accurate forecasts. It is worth remembering that wave patterns do not always look like textbook examples. Right now, the structure still looks very good. The upward trend section continues to build, while the news background mostly does not support the dollar. The trade war launched by Donald Trump continues. The confrontation with the Fed continues. Market "dovish" expectations for Fed rate policy are rising. The market is rating the results of Trump's first 6–7 months very po…
Last reply by Redator, -
- 0 💬
- 46 👀 Traders
The wave pattern on the 4-hour chart of EUR/USD has remained unchanged for several months, but in recent days it has started to look more complex. It is still too early to conclude that the upward trend segment has been canceled, but a more complicated wave structure in the near term is quite possible. The upward trend segment is still in progress, while the news backdrop continues to support, for the most part, not the dollar. The trade war initiated by Donald Trump continues. The standoff with the Fed persists. Market expectations of a dovish Fed stance are growing. Market assessments of Trump's first 6–7 months in office are rather low, even though GDP growth in the se…
Last reply by Redator, -
- 0 💬
- 27 👀 Traders
The wave markup of the 4-hour chart for EUR/USD has not changed for several months, but in recent days it has started to look rather complicated. It is still too early to conclude that the upward trend section has been canceled, though a more complex wave structure is possible in the near future. The upward section of the trend continues to build, and the news background continues to mostly support currencies other than the dollar. The trade war initiated by Donald Trump continues. The standoff with the Fed continues. Market expectations of a dovish Fed rate outlook are rising. The market's assessment of Trump's first 6–7 months in office is very low, even though GDP grow…
Last reply by Redator, -
- 0 💬
- 20 👀 Traders
The wave structure on the 4-hour chart for EUR/USD has not changed for several months, but in recent days it has started to look more complicated. It is still too early to conclude that the upward section of the trend is canceled, but further complication of the wave pattern is quite possible. The upward section of the trend continues to form, and the news background continues to support mostly not the dollar. The trade war launched by Donald Trump continues. Confrontation with the Fed continues. The market's dovish expectations for the Fed rate are growing. Market participants rate the results of Trump's first six to seven months in office very poorly, even though econom…
Last reply by Redator, -
- 0 💬
- 44 👀 Traders
The wave structure on the 4-hour chart for EUR/USD has remained unchanged for several months, which is encouraging. Even during the formation of corrective waves, the structure has maintained its integrity. This allows for accurate forecasts. It is worth noting that the wave structure does not always resemble the textbook pattern. Right now, however, it looks very clear. The bullish section of the trend is still developing, while the news background continues to support mostly not the dollar. The trade war initiated by Donald Trump continues. The confrontation with the Fed continues. Market "dovish" expectations are increasing. Trump's "One Big Law" will raise U.S. public…
Last reply by Redator, -
Most Read: GBP/USD Forecast: Cable Recovers but the Outlook Remains Murky. WIll NFP Data Serve as a Catalyst? EUR/USD finally got the catalyst it needed to break the channel that price had been holding since the back end of July. August 22 and September 1 both saw EUR/USD attempt to break beyond the channel but the move was met with swift selling pressure. This led many to believe that a catalyst may be needed to inspire a breakout as the pair saw a lot of choppy price action over the last month. Jobs Report Weighs on the US Dollar Non farm payrolls rose only about 22k while economists guessed near 75k. There were about 29k upward revisions for the last two months, yet…
Last reply by Redator, -
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- 60 👀 Traders
EUR/USD is rallying today early in the London session and trades around the ~1.17173 level, up ~0.47%. As a new wave of dollar weakness sweeps the markets, EUR/USD hopes to continue a 5-day winning streak in today’s session. EUR/USD: Key takeaways from today’s session A recent renewal of dollar weakness is allowing EUR/USD to extend gains, and currently trades at 45-month highsFollowing recent Fed commentary suggesting inflation is becoming a secondary issue compared to labour market stability, markets keenly await US jobless claims data later today close …
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