Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
7017 tópicos neste fórum
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Trade Review and Advice on Trading the EuroThe price test at 1.1752 occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved significantly down from the zero mark, which, in my opinion, limited the downward potential of the pair. For this reason, I did not sell the euro. Despite the absence of key economic data from the United States, the dollar was able to partially recover its previously lost ground. This indicates that market participants chose to take a cautious stance, refraining from active trading. Nevertheless, such restraint may be misleading. Market conditions are still shaped by several factors that could put considerable pressure on the US currency in the future. Fo…
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Trade review and tips for trading the euro The test of 1.1702 coincided with the moment when the MACD indicator had just started moving down from the zero line, confirming the correct entry point for selling the euro. As a result, the pair fell by only 7 points, after which sellers exited. Italian industrial data exceeded expectations, which helped euro buyers withstand the pressure seen during the first half of trading. This favorable signal from Italy somewhat eased concerns about the overall situation in the country's industrial sector. However, fluctuations in energy prices, inflation—slowing but still significant—and the geopolitical backdrop continue to influence th…
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Trade Review and Advice on Trading the EuroThe price test at 1.1690 occurred at a moment when the MACD indicator had already moved significantly below the zero line, which limited the pair's downside potential. In the second half of the day, everyone will be closely watching the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, both including and excluding food and energy prices. An increase in these indicators will likely support the dollar while putting pressure on the euro. The data will influence the Fed's decision as it will shed light on price trends. It's worth noting that despite a recent slight decrease in inflationary pressure, it still significantly exceeds the target level.…
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Trade Review and Advice on Trading the EuroA test of the 1.1718 level coincided with the MACD indicator just starting to rise above the zero mark, which confirmed this as a valid long entry in EUR and resulted in only a 10-pip upward move. The 0.1% decline in the US Producer Price Index for August triggered a weakening of the dollar and, consequently, a strengthening of the euro. This development came as a surprise to many and forced analysts to reconsider their outlook on the Fed's future monetary policy. However, a major risk asset rally did not materialize—indicating that FX markets remain volatile and uncertain. Market participants are closely watching economic releas…
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Trade Review and Advice on Trading the EuroA test of the 1.1742 level occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved far above the zero line, which limited the upside potential of the pair—especially after weak data from the eurozone. Reported inflation in eurozone countries was almost exactly in line with analysts' expectations, which did not allow the euro to show significant growth. In the second half of the day, only a limited set of US economic data will be released, including the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index and related inflation expectations. Only convincing numbers can trigger renewed dollar gains against the euro. The index is expected to s…
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Trade Review and Advice on Trading the EuroA test of the 1.1692 level occurred just as the MACD indicator began moving up from the zero line, confirming a good entry point for buying euros. As a result, the pair rose by more than 50 pips. The US Consumer Price Index increased, but the growth was relatively modest. The actual increase was 0.4% versus an expected 0.3%. This put moderate pressure on the dollar and boosted demand for the euro. Evidently, August's CPI rise in the US was minor, which could push the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates at its next meeting. The released figures suggest inflationary pressures are slowing, giving the Fed more flexibility. Econom…
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Trade Review and Advice on Trading the EuroThe first test of the 1.1712 price occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved well below the zero mark, which limited the pair's downside potential. For this reason, I did not sell the euro. The second test of this price occurred when the MACD entered the oversold area, enabling the implementation of buy scenario #2 and resulting in a 20-pip rise for the pair. Last Friday, the US dollar came under pressure due to an unexpected drop in the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index. This indicator, which reflects the public's outlook on economic conditions, fell to a level of 55 (versus a forecasted rise to 58), spark…
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Trade review and tips for trading the euro The price test of 1.1738 occurred when the MACD indicator was just beginning to move upward from the zero line, confirming the correct entry point for buying the euro and resulting in a 20-point rise. A slight narrowing of the eurozone trade surplus only temporarily slowed the pair's growth, after which the euro's upward trend resumed. Now, in the second half of the day, the Empire Manufacturing Index will be released. An increase in the Empire Manufacturing Index in the U.S. may strengthen the dollar, but it is unlikely to be enough to reverse the current market trend. Traditionally, the Empire Manufacturing Index, which reflect…
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Trade Review and Advice on Trading the EuroThe price test at 1.1773 coincided with the MACD indicator moving far above the zero mark, which limited the pair's upward potential. For this reason, I did not buy the euro. Yesterday, the euro continued its rise, with weak U.S. data helping it break through to new monthly highs. This morning, business confidence indicators in the eurozone and Germany from the ZEW research center, the German current conditions index, and fresh eurozone industrial production figures will be released. These will serve as key markers of the region's economic health. The ZEW Economic Sentiment Index will provide valuable information for assessing gr…
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Trade analysis and tips for trading the euro The test of 1.1778 occurred at the moment when the MACD indicator had just started moving up from the zero line, which confirmed the correct entry point for buying the euro and resulted in a 20-point rise. A sharp rise in eurozone business sentiment led to another strengthening of the euro. Investors welcomed the data pointing to a recovery in industrial production, easing fears of a possible recession in the region. At the same time, the U.S. dollar remains under pressure. Tomorrow's Federal Reserve decision, following recent labor market reports, could push the dollar even lower. Dollar weakness may also continue during today…
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Trade Review and Advice on Trading the EuroThe test of the 1.1821 price occurred when the MACD indicator was just starting to move up from the zero mark, confirming the right entry point for buying the euro in line with the trend. As a result, the pair reached the target level of 1.1848. The euro's confident climb was driven by encouraging data from Germany's ZEW institute, reflecting positive shifts in economic sentiment across the eurozone. The main driving force on the currency market then became expectations for continued dovish policy from the US Federal Reserve. Initial expectations pointed to a cautious Fed approach to rate cuts, but now many traders expect at leas…
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Trade review and tips for trading the euro The price test of 1.1845 occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved far below the zero mark, which limited the downward potential of the pair. For this reason, I did not sell the euro. Weak inflation data in the euro area, which fell to the target of 2.0%, is holding back EUR/USD growth, as it gives the European Central Bank the freedom to cut rates promptly if necessary. For this reason, the ECB will most likely approach decision-making with caution, carefully assessing all possible risks. In the current economic situation, the most probable scenario is maintaining the existing policy, providing room for maneuver dependi…
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Trade Review and Advice on Trading the EuroThe test of 1.1864 coincided with the MACD indicator just beginning to move upward from the zero line, which confirmed the correct entry point for buying the euro in line with the trend. As a result, the pair gained 50 pips. Yesterday's decision by the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 0.25% initially pushed the euro higher. However, since Fed Chair Powell did not provide clear, stronger guidance for further substantial monetary easing this year, the U.S. dollar quickly regained ground. Investors had hoped for a more decisive signal confirming the Fed's commitment to a dovish policy stance. The absence of firm promises dis…
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Trade review and advice for trading the euro The price test at 1.1805 occurred when the MACD indicator had just begun moving upward from the zero mark, confirming the correct entry point for buying the euro—especially after yesterday's Fed decision. As a result, the pair gained more than 45 points. Despite the absence of important Eurozone statistics, demand for the euro returned. Clearly, the Fed's strong dovish stance yesterday is maintaining demand for risk assets. The current situation reflects broader trends in global financial markets. Investors are showing an appetite for risk, supported by confidence that central banks will continue to backstop the economy. The Fe…
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Trade Review and Advice on Trading the EuroThe test of the 1.1823 price coincided with the moment when the MACD indicator had just started to move down from the zero line, confirming the validity of the sell entry for the euro. As a result, the pair dropped by 50 pips. The explosive growth of the Philadelphia Manufacturing Index triggered an instant surge in demand for the dollar and, as a result, a weakening in the euro's position. The optimistic data encouraged investors to actively buy the US currency, which was perceived as a sign of an improving US economy. In the near term, the dollar's strengthening trend is likely to persist, especially if positive economic report…
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Trade review and tips for trading the euro The first test of 1.1768 occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved far below zero, which limited the pair's downward potential. The second test of 1.1768 coincided with MACD being in the oversold area, which allowed scenario #2 (buy) to materialize, but no significant rally followed. News of a sharper-than-expected decline in German producer prices had a negative impact on the euro. The decline in prices will benefit the country's economy and manufacturers, but that alone is not enough. Other economic indicators also need to show improvement. Against this backdrop, the euro weakened against the US dollar and other major …
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Analysis of Trades and Trading Tips for the Euro Currency The price test at 1.1764 occurred at a time when the MACD indicator had already moved significantly above the zero mark, which limited the pair's upward potential. The second test of 1.1764 coincided with the MACD being in the overbought zone, which activated Sell Scenario #2 and resulted in a 20-point drop in the pair. Thanks to the lack of key macroeconomic data from the U.S., the position of the U.S. dollar improved at the end of last week. Investors interpreted the absence of news as an opportunity to stabilize their portfolios following the volatility caused by the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut. Today, d…
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Trade Review and Advice on Trading the EuroThe test of the 1.1755 price occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved far below zero, which limited the pair's further downside potential. For this reason, I did not sell the euro and missed the entire downward move. Long positions on the rebound from 1.1731 yielded about 10 pips in profit. The release of strong new home sales data in the US triggered a rise in the dollar and a decline in the euro. The optimistic figures prompted market participants to revise their expectations regarding upcoming Federal Reserve decisions. Today, we'll see the preliminary German GfK Consumer Sentiment Index, private sector lending figur…
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Trade Review and Advice on Trading the EuroA test of the 1.1738 level occurred just as the MACD indicator was starting to move down from the zero line, confirming a suitable entry point for a euro short. As a result, the pair moved down to the 1.1708 target area. Yesterday's upward GDP revision for the US (Q2) to an impressive 3.8% triggered strong buying of the US dollar. The U.S. economy displayed unexpected resilience, despite the Federal Reserve's aggressive monetary policy. This, in turn, boosts investor confidence that the US economy can continue to grow after rate cuts, which already began in September this year. Today, there is no significant fundamental news from…
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Trade Review and Advice on Trading the EuroThe test of the 1.1689 level coincided with the moment when the MACD indicator had already moved significantly above the zero mark, which limited the pair's upside potential. For this reason, I did not buy the euro. The second test of this price coincided with the MACD being in the overbought zone, which allowed scenario #2 for selling to play out, although a major decline in the pair did not materialize. The core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index in the US matched economists' forecasts, indicating moderate price pressure. This event served as a catalyst for a reassessment of risks and opportunities in global financia…
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Trade Review and Advice on Trading the EuroThe test of 1.1713 coincided with the MACD indicator moving well below the zero line, which limited the downside potential for the pair. For this reason, I did not sell the euro. The second test of this level occurred while the MACD was in the oversold area, which allowed scenario No. 2 for buying to be realized, resulting in an increase of more than 35 pips. The probability of a U.S. government shutdown has risen sharply following negotiations between Democratic and Republican representatives. Against this backdrop, investors are growing increasingly concerned about how political instability could impact the U.S. economy, potent…
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Trade Review and Advice on Trading the EuroThe test of the 1.1709 price level occurred when the MACD indicator began to move upwards from the zero line, confirming a correct entry point for buying the euro. As a result, the pair grew by more than 50 pips. August US data showing only a slight increase in nonfarm payrolls led to a decline in the dollar and a rise in the euro. According to the US Department of Labor, only 22,000 new jobs were created in August, far less than the 75,000 expected. This information had an immediate impact on the currency markets, causing the dollar to fall and several risk assets, including the euro, to rally. Market participants interpreted th…
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Trade review and tips for trading the euro The price test of 1.1735 occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved well above the zero mark, which limited the pair's upward potential. For this reason, I did not buy the euro. In the first half of the day, the euro received some support from positive data on German industrial production growth. However, unlike the reaction to Friday's U.S. labor market data, there was no significant continuation of the upward move. In the second half of the day, the economic calendar does not contain events likely to cause major market swings. While the release of U.S. consumer credit data is of some interest, it is unlikely to be a dec…
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Trade Review and Advice on Trading the EuroThe price test at 1.1735 occurred when the MACD indicator was starting to move upward from the zero line, which confirmed the correct entry point for buying the euro. As a result, the pair rose by 20 pips. Today is marked by the release of fresh data on the dynamics of France's industrial sector and a speech by the head of Germany's central bank, Joachim Nagel. The Eurogroup meeting will also be in focus. The French data will move the market only if actual figures differ from expectations. Joachim Nagel's speech also attracts traders' and analysts' attention. The Bundesbank president usually takes a tough stance, but his comments…
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Trade Analysis and Advice on the Euro The test of 1.1563 occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved far below the zero mark, which limited the pair's downward potential. For this reason, I did not sell the euro. Predictably, in the absence of key economic data from the eurozone, the euro showed a modest rise in the first half of the day. This pause in the series of negative factors that had been weighing on the euro in recent days led to a slight easing of tensions in financial markets. Overall economic instability and ongoing political problems in France continue to exert significant negative pressure on the single currency. Most experts agree that for the euro t…
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