Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12164 tópicos neste fórum
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China has ordered its steelmakers and traders to suspend purchases of dollar-denominated seaborne iron ore from BHP (ASX: BHP) as annual price talks stall. The directive from China Mineral Resources Group (CMRG), the state-run buyer created in 2020 to strengthen Beijing’s hand in global negotiations, blocks new contracts, even for cargoes already en route from Australia, Bloomberg News reported. Talks between BHP and CMRG have so far failed to produce an agreement, with the dispute believed to centre on discounts applied to BHP’s medium-grade ore. BHP, the world’s largest mining company, is China’s third-biggest iron ore supplier after Rio Tinto (ASX: RIO) and Val…
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As part of an initiative to internationalize the renminbi (Chinese Yuan) and enhance its competitiveness against the US dollar, China is poised to launch its first stablecoin. Meanwhile, the US is making significant progress toward its mission of becoming the crypto capital of the world. Despite this ambitious plan, concerns about potential capital flight are reportedly hindering the rapid advancement of stablecoin technology within the country. China Explores Stablecoin Initiatives According to a report from the Financial Times, Hong Kong has emerged as a testing ground for cryptocurrency, particularly given the strict bans on the mainland. Recently, the territory p…
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China Industrial Bank (CIB) is stepping up its digital game with plans for an AI-enchanced stablecoin, aiming to push itself from the US dollar’s grip on global finance. This move forms part of its wider digital-to-smart bank transformation strategy. The initiative reflects a calculated response to growing stablecoin adoption and evolving regulatory frameworks like the US GENIUS Act. While the AI angle remains mysterious, the project signals China’s intensifying ambition to build tech-forward financial tools with global reach. BitcoinPriceMarket CapBTC$2.34T24h7d30d1yAll time Stablecoin, AI, and a Smarter China Industrial Bank At the heart of China Industrial Bank’s la…
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Despite facing criticism for lagging behind the United States in creating a more accommodating environment for cryptocurrency growth and adoption, China reaffirmed its stringent stance on crypto once again this week. Authorities issued warnings about the alleged risks posed by stablecoins, particularly amid concerns that the US may have solidified its dollar dominance through these digital assets. US GENIUS Act Vs. China’s Crypto Caution According to local media reports, Pan Gongsheng, governor of the People’s Bank of China, announced plans to expand the use of the country’s central bank digital currency (CBDC), known as the “e-CNY.” He remarked, “[Stablecoins] are s…
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China is moving closer to exploring stablecoins, a change that could reshape global payments and help push the yuan onto the world stage. Reports say the State Council is reviewing a roadmap that would set targets for using a yuan-backed stablecoin, assign roles to domestic regulators, and lay out rules to manage risks. Senior leaders are expected to meet this month to discuss yuan internationalisation and stablecoin policy — a notable shift from the 2021 ban on crypto trading and mining, and a development closely watched by projects like Conflux crypto, which position themselves as regulatory-compliant blockchains in China. If energy majors like PetroChina begin set…
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One of the most notable developments on Monday was the release of China's export and import statistics. The data revealed that in September, China's export volume not only increased but exceeded market expectations by a wide margin. What relevance does this have to EUR/USD and GBP/USD? Direct relevance—even though the U.S. dollar has been strengthening recently, which, to say the least, contradicts the news backdrop, though it partially matches the wave structure. So, export volumes are rising. This means China is successfully exporting more goods to other countries—excluding the U.S. Exports rose by 8.3% in September, and the trade surplus reached $90 billion. For contex…
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It is also noted that Chinese companies are not only actively seeking alternative markets but are also using third countries to route their goods into the United States. I wrote about this back in the summer. The practice of bypassing sanctions through intermediary countries is widely used worldwide. For example, if China cannot export goods directly to the U.S. due to high tariffs, those same goods can be shipped first to South Korea or Japan and then re-exported to the United States under the guise of Korean or Japanese origin. The added costs for logistics and reprocessing are far less than the draconian tariffs imposed by Trump. It's well understood in financial marke…
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China has issued the first batch of new, streamlined export licences for rare earths in fulfillment of its recent trade truce with the United States, Reuters reported on Tuesday. These new licences, according to sources cited by Reuters, were issued to three of China’s leading magnet makers: JL Mag Rare Earth, Ningbo Yunsheng and Beijing Zhong Ke San Huan High-Tech. Issuance of the licences comes more than a month after China agreed to temporarily suspend its expanded rare earth export controls as part of a broader trade deal with the United States. Rare earth controls Rare earths have become a central flashpoint in this year’s trade tensions between the w…
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China has lifted a nearly year-long ban on exports of gallium, germanium and antimony to the US, in a further de-escalation of trade tensions between the world’s two largest economies. In a statement issued on Sunday, China’s commerce ministry said it will pause its export ban on these minerals and related end-use items for about one year. The ban was first imposed in December 2024 in retaliation for US export controls on high-bandwidth memory chips into China towards the end of the Biden administration. The US considers all three minerals to be critical to its national security and economy. Gallium and germanium are both essential for semiconductors, with the for…
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China is limiting its flow of critical minerals to Western defense manufacturers, leading to significant production delays and sharp price spikes, the Wall Street Journal reported on Sunday. Beijing controls over 90% of the world’s supply of rare earth elements used a myriad of military technologies, including jet-fighter magnets, infrared sensors, drone motors and precision munitions. According to the WSJ, citing sources, the Chinese government is now refusing or delaying exports of minerals designated for such applications, and has introduced measures to enforce its control by requiring exporters to submit documentation — such as product or production-line photo…
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Despite agreeing to relax its export controls on rare earths, China is now preparing a new licensing regime that would continue to restrict shipments to US military-linked firms, The Wall Street Journal reported on Wednesday. According to sources cited by WSJ, the Chinese government plans to launch a “validated end-user” (VEU) framework that would vet companies with no ties to US defense contractors to receive faster export approvals for rare earths and other sensitive materials, while keeping tighter scrutiny over dual-use exports. The new system is designed to let Chinese leader Xi Jinping honor his pledge to US President Donald Trump to ease the flow of strateg…
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China has emerged as a key catalyst behind gold’s record-setting rally this year, according to Torsten Sløk, the chief economist at Apollo Global Management. In a daily newsletter published last week, Sløk highlighted three major trends in China that are driving gold prices higher: central bank buying, arbitrage trading, and increased speculative and safe-haven demand. These trends are confirmed by data, such as the surge in Chinese gold stock levels (see graph below) and consumer demand for physical gold and gold-backed exchange-traded funds. Source: Apollo The Apollo economist also predicted that at the current pace of buying, global central banks will soo…
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Overview: After recovering impressively yesterday, the US dollar saw some follow-through buying initially but has reversed lower and is paring yesterday's gains against the G10 and most emerging market currencies. East Asian emerging market currencies that had surged have now traded lower for the past three sessions. The main talking point today is tomorrow's trade talk between the US and China. The mutual tariffs are so high that even if they were halved, they would still be prohibitive. China's April trade figures show it was able to more than replace the loss of exports to the US and overall Chinese exports rose. While China has replaced US demand, at least initially, …
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Overview: The US dollar has stabilized after yesterday's surge. Following words of caution by Japan's finance minister, the yen is the strongest of the G10 currencies today, with around a 0.15% gain. The slowest underlying inflation in Norway in four months has weighted on the krone, which is off about 0.35%. Excluding the krone, the G10 currencies are little changed. Emerging market currencies are in a wide range but also mixed. Since the end of tis long national holiday, China has announced several measures including broader export controls on rare earths EV battery technology, and a levy on US ships making port calls in China. Japanese and Chinese equities fell with t…
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China agreed to suspend a planned expansion of export controls on rare earth elements (REE) for a year after US President Donald Trump struck a broad trade deal with his Chinese counterpart, Xi Jinping. The meeting, in the South Korean city of Busan, also saw Trump agree to lower tariffs on Chinese goods from 57% to 47%, news agencies including Agence France-Presse and Reuters reported Thursday. In exchange, Beijing vowed to crack down on fentanyl exports and buying US soybeans, the reports said. China, which accounts for most of the world’s rare earth production, imposed export restrictions in April on seven REE in response to US tariffs and limits on semiconduct…
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The Australian dollar is coming off its best week since April, posting gains of 1.4%. In the European session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6657, up 0.12% on the day. China's industrial production, retail sales slip in August China posted disappointing data in September, as the second largest economy in the world continues to cool. Industrial production expanded 5.2% y/y, down from 5.8% in August and below the market estimate of 5.7%. This was the lowest pace of growth since August 2024, as manufacturing activity slowed and domestic remained weak. China's retail sales rose 3.4% y/y in September, below 3.7% in August and the market estimate of 3.8%. This was the slowest pace…
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At a regular press conference on Monday, Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesperson Lin Jian stated that if the United States continues on its current path, China will firmly take all necessary measures to protect its legitimate rights and interests. He emphasized that China strongly urges Washington to immediately cease its improper actions, and calls on the United States to adhere to the principles of equality, respect, and mutual benefit. This statement followed a threat made by U.S. President Donald Trump on Friday to impose an additional 100% tariff on Chinese goods starting November 1. The market reaction was not globally negative. Sentiment remains supported by easing …
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The Australian dollar is almost unchanged on Wednesday. In the European session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6532, up 0.03% on the day. China's PPI declines 3.6% China's producer price index surprised on the downside in June, with a steep 3.6% y/y decline. This was below the May decline of 3.3% and the consensus of -3.2%. China has posted producer deflation for 33 successive months and the June figure marked the steepest slide since July 2023. Monthly, PPI declined by 0.4%, unchanged over the past three months. Opinions are the authors'; not necessarily that of OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc. or any of its affiliates, …
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Xinhua is reporting China PM Xi speaking and says: Should adhere to openness and win-win cooperationMaintain the international economic and economic trade orderHe adds that: Certain countries severely impact world economy with a trade war.U.S.–China trade tensions remain high, with recent data showing China’s exports slowing to their weakest pace in six months and shipments to the U.S. plunging by over 30%, underscoring the weight of tariffs on both sides. Recall that the Trump administration extended its tariff truce with Beijing through November 10, keeping average duties around 30% but avoiding fresh hikes for now. This article was writt…
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Authorities in China’s Jiangxi province have identified permitting issues at eight lithium mines in Yichun, one of the country’s key production hubs, as Beijing tightens oversight of its critical mineral sector. The Yichun Natural Resources Bureau recently issued notices to the mine operators requiring them to provide resource reserve verification reports after finding discrepancies between their licensed mining rights and the actual minerals being extracted, according a report by Benchmark Mineral Intelligence. It follows similar measures taken last week in the western province of Qinghai, where local authorities in Haixi Prefecture ordered the shutdown of a mine…
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China’s export controls on certain critical minerals could reduce US GDP by more than $1 billion a year, even if America’s reliance on Chinese imports is not as strong as publicized, according to analysts at Macquarie Group. This estimate — a product of modelling by a team led by chief economist Ric Deverell — was based on Chinese export curbs placed on four rare earths (samarium, lutetium, terbium, dysprosium) plus gallium. All five appear on the US government’s recently updated list of critical minerals, which now has 60 items including copper and silver. In a report published on Tuesday, Deverell and his team outlined the degree of US dependence on foreign sour…
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According to a recent report by Bloomberg, the cybersecurity arm of China has openly accused the US government of orchestrating the theft of approximately $13 billion in Bitcoin (BTC), adding tension to the ongoing cyber relations between the two nations. China Alleges State-Level Operation The incident in question revolves around the theft of 127,272 BTC from the LuBian Bitcoin mining pool in December 2020, constituting one of the most substantial crypto heists in history. The Chinese National Computer Virus Emergency Response Center suggests that this large-scale hack was likely a planned “state-level hacker operation” orchestrated by the US. The agency points to …
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China’s overseas mining investment has soared to its highest level in over a decade, driven by Beijing’s push to secure critical raw materials amid rising geopolitical tensions. There were 10 deals worth more than $100 million in 2024, the most since 2013 according to data from S&P and Mergermarket data, cited by the Financial Times. Separate research from the Griffith Asia Institute found that last year was the most active for Chinese overseas mining investment and construction since at least 2013. Long the world’s biggest consumer of many strategic resources, China has invested abroad for years to shore up supply. But analysts say this latest wave reflects a…
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The China crypto ban just added another delicious layer to the Asian markets. China is creating a dip so they can buy it. Our theory at 99B is that China bans BTC ▼-0.28% when the price is high and unbans it when the BTC price is low, so their citizens and companies don’t buy high. Forced diamond hands. In addition, Beijing announced this week that it will start unloading its stockpile of seized crypto through licensed exchanges in Hong Kong. By pushing confiscated assets into licensed platforms, China injects liquidity, props up volume, and molds Hong Kong into a pricing engine for global crypto markets. Here’s what you need to know: BitcoinPriceMarket CapBTC$2.27T24…
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China’s exports of rare earth products surged in July to levels not seen since January, underscoring Beijing’s easing of export restrictions and tensions with the US. Volumes rose 69% to 6,422 tonnes, according to customs data compiled by Bloomberg. The rebound comes after China introduced sweeping export controls during April-May in response to US tariff measures, prompting concerns of a global supply squeeze on rare earth products, particularly permanent magnets, which are crucial for advanced technologies such as electric vehicles, wind turbines and defense systems. Industries that rely heavily on these magnets, from automakers in Europe and India to electro…
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