Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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On Tuesday, the EUR/USD pair rebounded from the 38.2% retracement level at 1.1718 on the new Fibonacci grid, reversed in favor of the US dollar, and fell, consolidating below the support zone of 1.1645–1.1656. Thus, the decline may continue on Wednesday toward the next Fibonacci level of 61.8% at 1.1594. A rebound of the pair's rate from this level or a close above the 1.1645–1.1656 level would work in favor of the euro and some growth. Consolidation below the 1.1594 level will increase the likelihood of a continued decline toward the next retracement level of 76.4% at 1.1517. The wave situation on the hourly chart remains simple and clear. The last completed upward wa…
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There’s all sorts of market sayings that investors turn to when they want to ignore facts. “This time it’s different” or “This is the new normal.” But, here’s another saying to consider: “Be fearful when others are greedy and greedy when others are fearful.” The U.S. stock market has bounced back from its early year decline and is posting gains of about 13% since January. The S&P 500 has touched a new record high, but valuations are high—very high. The 12-month forward price-to-earnings ratio for the S&P 500 stands at 26—that’s bubble territory, and far above the 20-year average of 16. For some, today’s AI-driven euphoria on Wall Street is reminiscent of the dot…
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There’s all sorts of market sayings that investors turn to when they want to ignore facts. “This time it’s different” or “This is the new normal.” But, here’s another saying to consider: “Be fearful when others are greedy and greedy when others are fearful.” The U.S. stock market has bounced back from its early year decline and is posting gains of about 13% since January. The S&P 500 has touched a new record high, but valuations are high—very high. The 12-month forward price-to-earnings ratio for the S&P 500 stands at 26—that’s bubble territory, and far above the 20-year average of 16. For some, today’s AI-driven euphoria on Wall Street is reminiscent of the dot…
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After four years on the sidelines, the UK’s Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) has finally lifted its ban on crypto ETNs, reopening access for retail investors to Bitcoin and Ethereum Exchange-Traded Notes (ETNs) as of October 8, 2025. While the move is celebrated as a long-overdue nod toward financial innovation, critics argue it’s a symbolic half-measure. One that arrives years too late to capture the explosive early momentum of global crypto adoption. The reversal follows years of regulatory hesitation that left the UK Crypto market lagging behind the USD and EU, where spot Bitcoin ETFs and ETNs have already become mainstream investment vehicles. Many now view this as …
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As the crypto market rallies, BNB continues to hit new record levels, surpassing some of the largest cryptocurrencies by market capitalization and leading some analysts to suggest that its end-of-year run has just started. BNB Sees 30% Weekly Run After a massive Q3 rally, BNB has started the last quarter of the year with a remarkable 30% rally. Over the past week, the cryptocurrency has recorded four new all-time highs (ATHs), climbing the list of top cryptocurrencies by market capitalization. The altcoin recovered from the late September pullback a week ago, reclaiming the $1,000 barrier. At the time, Analyst Ali Martinez suggested that turning this level into su…
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The crypto market pulled back slightly today, with Bitcoin .cwp-coin-chart svg path { stroke-width: 0.65 !important; } Bitcoin BTC $121,695.23 1.91% Bitcoin BTC Price $121,695.23 1.91% /24h Volume in 24h $70.06B Price 7d Learn more jumped 8.8% to $1,356, now trading at $1306. …
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Trend Analysis (Fig. 1). On Wednesday, from the level of 1.3421 (yesterday's daily candle close), the market may possibly continue moving downward with the target at 1.3364 – retracement level 61.8% (yellow dotted line). When testing this level, the price may rebound upward with a target at 1.3381, retracement level 14.6% (blue dotted line). Fig. 1 (daily chart). Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis – down;Fibonacci levels – down;Volumes – down;Candlestick analysis – down;Trend analysis – down;Bollinger Bands – down;Weekly chart – down.Overall conclusion: downward trend. Alternative scenario: On Wednesday, from the level of 1.3421 (yesterday's daily candle close)…
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Trend Analysis (Fig. 1). On Wednesday, from the level of 1.1655 (yesterday's daily candle close), the market may continue downward toward 1.1593 — the 61.8% retracement level (blue dotted line). Upon testing this level, the price may rebound upward toward 1.1608 — a historical resistance level (light-blue dotted line). Fig. 1 (Daily chart). Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis – down;Fibonacci levels – down;Volumes – down;Candlestick analysis – down;Trend analysis – down;Bollinger Bands – down;Weekly chart – down.Overall conclusion: downward trend. Alternative scenario: from the level of 1.1655 (yesterday's daily candle close), the price may continue downward tow…
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On the hourly chart, the GBP/USD pair on Tuesday rebounded from the 61.8% Fibonacci level at 1.3482, turned in favor of the U.S. dollar, and fell below the 76.4% corrective level at 1.3425. Thus, the decline may continue toward the support level of 1.3332–1.3357. A rebound from this zone would favor the pound and a move higher toward 1.3425, while a close below it would increase the likelihood of further decline toward the 127.2% Fibonacci level at 1.3225. The wave structure remains "bearish." The last completed upward wave failed to break the previous peak, while the most recent downward wave did not break the previous low. The news background in recent weeks has been…
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Yesterday, the U.S. dollar continued its rise against a number of currencies — with the euro and the Japanese yen suffering the most. The dollar's rally resumed after Minneapolis Federal Reserve Bank President Neel Kashkari warned that any sharp cut in U.S. interest rates could lead to higher inflation. His remarks, delivered amid growing expectations of imminent monetary easing, had a significant impact on the currency market. Investors, weighing the risks associated with premature policy loosening, once again turned to the dollar as a relatively safe asset. Kashkari's comments highlighted the dilemma facing the Federal Reserve. On the one hand, slowing economic growth …
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Asia Market Wrap - Stocks Retreat Tracking Wall Street Most Read: USD/JPY Price Outlook: Key Levels, BoJ, and Political Risks Asian stocks fell taking their cues from Wall Street. Market participants are starting to become more careful because they are worried that stock prices have gone too high (stretched valuations) and that too much money is being invested into Artificial Intelligence. This caution is making them doubt whether the recent market gains will last. As a result, Asian stocks are heading for their biggest drop in two weeks, following declines in both the MSCI All-Country World Index and the U.S. S&P 500, both of which slipped after a seven-day winnin…
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As Bitcoin (BTC) resumes recording new all-time highs (ATH), focus is back on key price levels that could provide investors with an idea about the next possible resistance levels that may see a sell-off in BTC. Fresh on-chain data offers a map of BTC’s most important price levels. Bitcoin May Face Resistance At These Levels According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor Crazzyblockk, the cost basis (Realized Price) of BTC Short-Term Holders (STH) provides a snapshot of important support and resistance zones. Notably, the STH Realized Price highlights the aggregate price at which recent market participants acquired their BTC. This information can give analysts…
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The euro has weakened significantly. Recently, more and more policymakers from the ECB have been advocating for a more cautious approach when making decisions on interest rate cuts, but Governing Council member of the European Central Bank Olli Rehn is not among them. Yesterday, the policymaker warned that there is a risk consumer price growth could slow to below the 2% target. "We have roughly achieved the goal — in that sense the situation is good right now," said the head of the Bank of Finland. "However, in the next couple of years, we can expect inflation to slow, partly due to the strengthening of the euro and the stabilization of wages and service prices." Now, af…
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Bitcoin experienced a solid correction yesterday during the US trading session. The movement from $125,000 down to $120,500 was quite active, after which the first buyers began to step in, suggesting that the bullish rally is clearly not yet over. Yesterday, media outlets reported that the SEC is preparing an innovative exception for crypto projects. This will be a so-called "special regime" that allows startups to test blockchain solutions under regulatory supervision, without fear of immediate lawsuits or penalties. This step could mark a breakthrough in the relationship between the crypto industry and the SEC, which has been tense recently due to numerous lawsuits a…
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Just a couple of weeks ago, analysts at Goldman Sachs predicted that gold could soon reach the $4,000 mark. Yesterday, that prediction came true. Spot gold prices exceeded $4,000 per ounce for the first time and are now holding around $4,036. This milestone comes amid growing concerns that the ongoing government shutdown could have a severe impact on the U.S. economy. It's a historic moment for gold, which was trading below $2,000 just two years ago. This year alone, gold has surged more than 50%, driven by global trade uncertainty, questions surrounding the independence of the Federal Reserve, and concerns over U.S. financial stability. Heightened geopolitical tensions…
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We introduce you to the daily updated section of Forex analytics where you will find reviews from forex experts, up-to-date monitoring of financial information as well as online forecasts of exchange rates of the US dollar, euro, ruble, bitcoin, and other currencies for today, tomorrow and this trading week.Useful links: My other articles are available in this section InstaForex course for beginners Popular Analytics Open trading account Important: The begginers in forex trading need to be very careful when making decisions about entering the market. Before the release of important reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid being caught in sharp market fluctu…
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Cardano (ADA) is showing renewed momentum after weeks of sideways action, climbing back above its 50-day moving average and putting the $0.94 resistance back in focus. Traders view this level as the next major hurdle to unlock a run at the $1.00 psychological mark. On the daily chart, ADA has reclaimed its green 50-DMA as support, while RSI has rebounded toward 50, leaving room for further upside if buy volume continues to build. A clean daily close over $0.9 would confirm a trend shift and strengthen the case for a Q4 continuation rally. Coinbase Sparks Institutional Signal: Cardano (ADA) Reserves Jump 462% Fueling the bullish narrative, Coinbase’s ADA holdings sur…
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Where it is thin, it is prone to tearing. Investors are starting to ask the tough questions: what kind of real profits are technology companies generating from artificial intelligence? And when the answer turns out to be "barely detectable" — so small they need to be examined under a microscope — panic begins to set in. Disappointing results from Oracle regarding its partnerships with OpenAI and other companies triggered a sell-off in the S&P 500. Tesla added fuel to the fire with its underwhelming unveiling of new versions of its top-selling vehicles. With such a high level of concentration in the U.S. stock market, the broad index is forced to react to any news from…
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Bitcoin posted a notable decline yesterday, pulling back to more attractive buying levels around $121,000. Many traders are now wondering whether this drop will continue or if it's merely a temporary correction that could soon give way to a new bullish wave. Recent data shows that inflows into spot BTC and ETH ETFs continue to rise—most notably into BTC ETFs. This in itself suggests that the crypto bull rally is not over. As a reminder, inflows into spot BTC ETFs are one of the strongest bullish drivers in the crypto market. Rising inflows reflect growing institutional interest in cryptocurrencies, as ETFs offer institutions a regulated and convenient way to gain exposur…
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Trade Review and Strategy for the Japanese YenA price test at 151.17 occurred while the MACD indicator was beginning to rise from the zero line, confirming a valid entry point for buying the U.S. dollar. As a result, the pair gained more than 40 pips. The yen continued to rapidly lose ground against the dollar following yesterday's comments from Federal Reserve officials. Specifically, remarks from Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari — who warned that a sharp decrease in interest rates could lead to a surge in inflation — triggered a rally in the dollar and further weakness in the yen. However, the yen's current weakness is also driven by domestic factors. Following S…
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Trade Review and Strategy for the British PoundA price test at 1.3431 occurred while the MACD indicator was beginning to move downward from the zero line, confirming the right entry point for selling the pound. As a result, the pair dropped by more than 30 pips. Buying on a bounce from 1.3400 also allowed for a profit of approximately 20 pips. The pound fell and the dollar strengthened following comments by Neel Kashkari, President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, who warned that an aggressive rate cut could lead to rising inflation. Coming amid increasingly hawkish rhetoric from the Fed, his statement had an immediate impact on currency markets, boosting the d…
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Trade Review and Strategy for the EuroA price test at 1.1658 occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved significantly below the zero line, which limited the pair's downside potential. For this reason, I did not sell the euro. The second test of 1.1658 happened while the MACD was in the oversold zone. This allowed Buy Scenario #2 to unfold, resulting in a 20-pip upward movement. Comments by Federal Reserve officials about the potential for rising inflation if interest rates are cut too quickly contributed to the U.S. dollar's strength and a significant decline in the euro. Investors, anticipating tighter monetary policy in the U.S., actively sold the euro and other…
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[Gold] – [Wednesday, October 8, 2025] With the condition of both EMAs crossing a Golden Cross and the RSI at Extreme-Bullish levels today, buyers still dominate XAU/USD. Key Levels 1. Resistance 2: 4021.88 2. Resistance 1: 4003.09 3. Pivot: 3971.76 4. Support 1: 3952.97 5. Support 2: 3921.64 Tactical Scenario Positive Reaction Zone: If XAU/USD successfully breaks above 3971.76, it has the potential to test its nearest resistance level of 4003.09. Momentum Extension Bias: If 4003.09 is successfully broken and closes above it, it has the potential to strengthen Gold to 4021.88. Level Invalidation/ Bias Revision Upside bias weakens when Gold weakens and closes below 3921.64…
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The U.S. dollar continues to strengthen against risk-sensitive assets. Yesterday's comments from Federal Reserve officials that lower interest rates might lead to higher inflation supported the U.S. dollar. Traders, concerned about the likelihood of tighter U.S. monetary policy, quickly rotated out of the euro and other risky assets and into the safer dollar. Additional pressure on the euro came from an ECB official's remarks, suggesting that the eurozone could face a sharp decline in its inflation target. The market reacted instantly to the warning signs of potential deflationary pressures, sparking a sell-off in the euro and, consequently, boosting the U.S. dollar. This…
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According to market reports, open futures positions on XRP have grown sharply this month, even as the token struggles to push past the $3 mark. CryptoQuant data shows open interest near $2.92 billion, while Coinglass reports a much higher $8.94 billion figure, reflecting wider market coverage that includes venues such as the CME. Open Interest Climbs Despite Price Hurdles Reports have disclosed that XRP’s open interest rose from $2.34 billion on September 25 to roughly $2.92 billion as of Monday. That increase comes at the same time the token moved from a low of $2.74 to about $2.99, nearly 10%. Yet trading activity has not kept pace. Volume fell by 10% over 24 hours …
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