Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
11716 tópicos neste fórum
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Analysis of Macroeconomic Reports: No macroeconomic reports are scheduled for Wednesday. Thus, throughout the day, traders will have nothing to react to. Only late in the evening will the FOMC meeting results be announced, which will certainly provoke a storm of emotions in the market and significant volatility. Analysis of Fundamental Events: Several fundamental events are scheduled for Wednesday. Of course, the FOMC meeting stands out as the only event of the day, broken into several parts. The decision on the interest rate can be considered already made – a 0.25% decrease. However, in addition to the rate, traders will learn about the FOMC's plans for 20…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
On Tuesday, the Ethereum price experienced a notable surge, climbing by 6.5% and reclaiming the critical $3,300 mark for the first time in nearly a month. This has allowed Ethereum to outpace its peers among the top ten cryptocurrencies by market capitalization, showcasing a nearly 12% recovery for the leading altcoin over the past week. ETH Grows In Demand Analysts from Bull Theory attribute this resurgence to several key factors, including significant institutional interest in Ethereum. The firm highlighted BitMine, which holds the largest public company collection of ETH, as a major player in this recovery phase. In a recent social media update on X (formerly Twitt…
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Ethereum’s momentum in institutional markets just hit a major roadblock. After months of enthusiasm surrounding spot Ethereum exchange-traded funds (ETFs), new data has shown that ETF flows have sunk to their worst monthly total since their launch. The sharp drop reflects a broader cooldown in investor demand, as market volatility and shifting risk appetite weigh on crypto allocations. Will Staking ETFs Emerge To Stabilize Flows? In an X post, a crypto analyst known as Milk Road revealed that the Ethereum ETFs had just printed their worst month on record since launch, which is roughly $1.4 billion in net outflows, the largest single-month withdrawal that ETH has ever enc…
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Ethereum is trading around $3,300, undergoing a slight technical correction after decisively breaking the 200 EMA and reaching the top of the downtrend channel, which acted as strong resistance. In the coming hours, Ether is expected to continue its technical correction and could reach the 200 EMA around 3,181. According to the H4 chart, ETH has reached overbought levels, so a technical correction is more likely to occur in the coming hours and could suggest an opportunity to open short positions. In the event of a pullback towards the 3/8 Murray located at 3,437, this level coincides with the top of the uptrend channel and could be seen as an opportunity to sell with sh…
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Bitcoin is trading around $9,281, retreating after reaching strong resistance at the 94,200 level, which coincided with the 3/8 Murray and, in turn, with the 200 EMA. In the coming days, Bitcoin is expected to continue its technical correction until it reaches the 2/8 Murray located at 87,500. If Bitcoin consolidates below $94,000 in the coming hours, any failed attempt to break through this zone will be seen as an opportunity to open short positions with a target around the 21 SMA located at $90,780 and finally at the bottom of the uptrend channel around $87,700. The Eagle indicator is showing overbought signs, so any technical rebound is expected to be seen as an opport…
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Gold is trading around 4,214 with an upward bias but showing signs of exhaustion. We could also see low trading volume due to the upcoming holidays. Gold could consolidate in the coming days within the downtrend channel formed since early December. Hence, we could expect the price to reach 4,253 as strong resistance, or it could reach the key support level of 4,203 and even the bottom of the downtrend channel around 4,170. Gold is expected to trade within the range between 4,264 and 4,170 in the coming days, so we will look for opportunities to enter short positions below this resistance. If the price reaches the weekly support at 4,175, it could be an opportunity to take…
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EUR/USD is trading around 1.1627 within a downtrend channel formed on the H1 chart since early December and is likely to remain under bearish pressure in the coming hours, potentially reaching the 2/8 Murray level around 1.1596. A sharp breakout and consolidation above the 200 EMA and above the 21 SMA at about 1.1633 could allow us to continue buying the euro. EUR/USD could reach 3/8 Murray around 1.1657. A sharp breakout of the downtrend channel could give the euro strong momentum, and EUR/USD could reach 4/8 Murray around 1.1718 and finally cover the gap left around 1.1740 in October. Conversely, a drop below 2/8 Murray could change the euro's direction, and we could e…
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Analysis of Trades on Tuesday: 1H Chart of the GBP/USD Pair The GBP/USD pair showed no interesting movements on Tuesday, despite the presence of a fundamental and macroeconomic background. Yesterday, the Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey gave a speech, and the U.S. released the JOLTs and ADP reports. We immediately warned that one should not expect much from U.S. reports, as they either relate to a period no longer relevant or reflect changes over just one week. In fact, the JOLTs reports provided the dollar with some support (as the number of job openings in September and October exceeded forecasts), but we essentially saw the same movements as in the previous …
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Analysis of Trades on Tuesday: 1H Chart of the EUR/USD Pair The EUR/USD currency pair continued its sluggish, almost sideways downward movement on Tuesday. Market volatility has been weak in recent months, and over the last five days, movements have been virtually non-existent. This may be related to the upcoming FOMC meeting, as the market is reluctant to take on risk beforehand, unsure which monetary policy path the central bank will choose in the near term. Alternatively, it could simply be a result of the flat on the daily timeframe that has been ongoing for the sixth consecutive month. It is worth recalling that in September and October, there were no questions…
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Solana failed to stay above $142 and corrected gains. SOL price is now trading below $140 and might find bids near the $135 zone. SOL price started a downside correction below $142 against the US Dollar. The price is now trading above $135 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There is a bullish trend line forming with support at $135 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could extend losses if it dips below the $135 zone. Solana Price Starts Downside Correction Solana price failed to surpass $145 and started a downside correction, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. SOL dipped below $142 and $140 to enter a short-term bearish zone. Th…
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[Silver] With both EMAs still in a Golden Cross formation, the trend for Silver likely remains upwards, despite the potential for a limited correction where it is confirmed by the appearance of a Bearish Divergence on the RSI(14). Key Levels 1. Resistance. 2 : 62.853 2. Resistance. 1 : 61.737 3. Pivot : 59.658 4. Support. 1 : 58.542 5. Support. 2 : 56.463 Tactical Scenario: Positive Reaction Zone: If the price breaks above 61.737, Silver will likely continue to strengthen up to 62.853. Momentum Extension Bias: If 62.853 is broken, there is potential for Silver to test the level at 64.932. Invalidation Level / Bias Revision: The upside bias weakens …
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[Platinum] Although the RSI(14) indicator is in the Neutral-Bearish level and a Bearish Divergence has appeared, both EMAs are still in a Golden Cross formation, which indicates that there is potential for a limited correction. However, the bias for Platinum remains strengthen. Key Levels 1. Resistance. 2 : 1754.0 2. Resistance. 1 : 1730.5 3. Pivot : 1687.5 4. Support. 1 : 1664.0 5. Support. 2 : 1621.0 Tactical Scenario: Positive Reaction Zone: If the price of #PLF strengthens and breaks above 1730.5, Platinum has the opportunity to test the level at 1754.0. Momentum Extension Bias: If 1754.0 is broken, there is potential for the price to reach 1797.…
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Bitcoin is holding above $90,000 as the market heads into a highly anticipated FOMC meeting, a moment that could define the next direction for risk assets. But while price action keeps traders on edge, on-chain indicators are painting a surprisingly different picture beneath the surface. According to a new CryptoQuant report by XWIN Research Japan, Bitcoin’s exchange reserves have continued to fall sharply throughout 2025, even as price corrected toward the $90K range. The data shows that the total amount of BTC held on centralized exchanges has dropped to 2.76 million BTC, reaching one of the lowest levels ever recorded. What makes this trend even more striking is its …
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XRP holds above $2 with steady futures activity on both sides of the market. Ripple’s XRP traded in a calm but active range on December 10, staying close to the $2 level across global spot and futures markets. The token held its ground as derivatives venues showed firm participation, and open interest remained high. Market data points to steady demand from futures traders. XRPL on-chain activity also shows active perp flows, which helped keep the price stable through the session. DISCOVER: Top 20 Crypto to Buy in 2025 Is XRP’s 24-Hour Price Action Showing Real Strength Near $2.11? According to CoinGecko, XRP trades around $2.11, up about +0.9% in the past 24 hours. I…
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XRP price started a decent increase above $2.150. The price is now correcting gains and might struggle to stay in a positive zone. XRP price started a downside correction and tested the $2.080 zone. The price is now trading above $2.050 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a bullish trend line forming with support at $2.070 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could start another increase if it clears $2.120. XRP Price Dips Again XRP price started a downside correction from the $2.180 zone, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price dipped below the $2.150 and $2.120 levels to enter a consolidation phase. The price even d…
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Cardano is back in the headlines after its privacy-focused sidechain, Midnight, secured a listing on Binance for its native token, NIGHT. The listing gained attention because NIGHT was featured on Binance Alpha’s front page and came with airdrop perks for eligible users. The move coincides with renewed momentum for ADA. As per the Coingecko data, the token has risen nearly +10% over the past week and is trading around $0.4325. Binance Wallet confirmed that Binance Alpha listed NIGHT on December 9. Binance added that supporting the token aligns with its goal of promoting “rational privacy,” a core principle behind Midnight’s design. Meanwhile, Cardano’s ADA broke th…
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During what many anticipated would be the year of a major Bitcoin (BTC) bull run, market expert Axel Adler has revealed that the leading cryptocurrency finds itself at the midpoint of a bear cycle. A Mild Bear Cycle Compared To History As of now, Bitcoin has recorded a modest year-to-date decline of 4%. However, the cryptocurrency has shown some stability this week, consolidating in the range of $89,000 to $94,000, with the latter figure serving as immediate resistance. According to Adler, this current correction, which stands at approximately -32%, is considered less severe compared to previous bear cycles. He emphasizes that approximately 88% of Bitcoin holdings rem…
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Analysis of GBP/USD (5M) The GBP/USD currency pair continued its sluggish decline on Tuesday, similar to its "older sister" – the EUR/USD pair. In general, the British pound's positions currently appear more convincing than those of the European currency, and the technical picture is clearer. The British currency continues to trade above the trendline and the Kijun-sen line. Therefore, the upward trend is undoubtedly maintained. Of course, this evening it could easily turn into a downward trend if the market considers the results of the FOMC meeting to be "hawkish." It is difficult for us to say how a decrease in the key interest rate and the unconditionally "dovish" …
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Analysis of EUR/USD (5M) The EUR/USD currency pair continued its movement on Tuesday, which might only provoke a nervous tic in most traders. For the fifth consecutive day, the quotes of the European currency slid down at a pace not even a pregnant turtle would envy. Over the full five trading days, the pair fell 44 pips, while the average volatility during this period was 49 pips. Thus, we continue to note the obvious fact – market movements are virtually non-existent. Yesterday, even relatively important reports like ADP and JOLTs did not help. We warned that the data on job openings has long been outdated and that the ADP report is now published not once a month bu…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Solana is back in focus as large traders build fresh futures positions while Bitcoin holds near recent highs. SOL trades around $142 on December 10, up about +6% in the past day. According to CoinGecko, spot activity is strong too, with roughly $6.3Bn in volume. Traders are rotating into high-beta majors again, and Solana often becomes the go-to choice when sentiment improves. Bitcoin’s steady position near the top range gives the market a stable backdrop, and Solana is reacting quickly to that tone. DISCOVER: Next 1000X Crypto – Here’s 10+ Crypto Tokens That Can Hit 1000x This Year What Do On-Chain Metrics Reveal About Solana’s Recent Move? Derivatives data shows wh…
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Ethereum price started a fresh increase above $3,250. ETH is now consolidating gains and might aim for more gains if it clears the $3,380 resistance. Ethereum started a fresh increase above the $3,200 and $3,250 levels. The price is trading above $3,200 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a bullish trend line forming with support at $3,210 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could continue to move up if it settles above the $3,350 zone. Ethereum Price Rallies Over 8% Ethereum price managed to stay above $3,000 and started a fresh increase, beating Bitcoin. ETH price gained strength for a move above the $3,120 and $3,250 resist…
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The prospect of a “Trump Fed takeover” is rapidly becoming a central macro theme for 2026, with some traders arguing that markets still underestimate how radical the shift could be for global liquidity – and by extension for crypto. Macro commentator plur daddy (@plur_daddy) describes it bluntly via X: “The Trump Fed takeover being underpriced is my primary theme going into 2026 (hence my gold bet). This is a momentous shift: the bigger and more convex the catalyst, the more difficult it is for markets to price it in properly.” Former Fed trader Joseph Wang known as “Fed Guy” echoes the concern from inside the plumbing, warning: “The market underestimates the likelihood…
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The Fed at a CrossroadsThe market is formally preparing for the standard scenario. The Federal Reserve is likely to cut interest rates by 0.25%, and the rhetoric will shift to a moderately dovish stance looking ahead to 2026. While tariffs have a moderate impact on inflation, the employment segment is losing momentum much faster. The hiring rate is slowing, layoffs are not increasing, and unemployment is rising. Logically, a weak labor market pushes the central bank toward further easing. But the real intrigue lies elsewhere. The situation with the repo system and the reduction of bank reserves heightened money market volatility in November. Authorities face the risk of a…
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Bitcoin price started a decent increase above $92,000. BTC is now consolidating gains and might aim for another increase if it clears $93,400. Bitcoin started a downside correction from the $94,500 zone. The price is trading above $92,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There is a bullish trend line forming with support at $91,500 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might continue to move up if it settles above the $93,400 zone. Bitcoin Price Holds Support Bitcoin price managed to stay above the $91,000 zone and started a fresh increase. BTC gained strength for a move above the $92,500 and $94,000 levels. However, the be…
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The GBP/USD currency pair remained stagnant on Tuesday. During the U.S. trading session, there was a brief surge in activity, but it had little lasting impact. What could it have influenced when the most important events of the day were the JOLTS and ADP reports? The "headlines" of these reports may be loud, but what do they really represent? The ADP report has recently been published weekly, perhaps to somewhat fill the gaps created by the "shutdown." The shutdown ended a month and a half ago, yet relevant macroeconomic data is still lacking. Clearly, the weekly ADP report is akin to weekly unemployment data—markets pay virtually no attention to it, as there are monthly …
Last reply by Ben Graham,
