Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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The final US Q2 GDP data provided significant support for the dollar. Nearly all components of the report came in "in the green"—that is, revised upward. This result added to the already optimistic tone set by recent reports and paved the way for further dollar strength. Now, the last puzzle piece for dollar bulls is the release of the core PCE index (September 26). If this release also lands in the green zone, "dovish" sentiment in the market will be greatly diminished. Even one additional rate cut this year could be called into question. We will discuss inflation further below, but for now, let's return to the figures, which sparked a downward impulse in EUR/USD. Acc…
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- 33 👀 Traders
Trend Analysis (Fig. 1). On Wednesday, the market may start moving upward from the 1.1707 level (yesterday's daily close) toward the target at 1.1742 – upper fractal (blue dotted line). Upon testing this level, the price may continue rising toward 1.1788 – upper fractal (yellow dotted line). Fig. 1 (daily chart). Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis – upward;Fibonacci levels – upward;Volumes – upward;Candlestick analysis – downward;Trend analysis – upward;Bollinger Bands – upward;Weekly chart – upward.Overall conclusion: upward trend. Alternative scenario: from the 1.1707 level (yesterday's daily close), the price may start moving upward toward 1.1742 – upper fra…
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Trend analysis (Fig. 1). On Monday, from the level of 1.1734 (the closing of Friday's daily candle), the market may continue upward toward 1.1788 – the upper fractal (yellow dashed line). Upon reaching this level, a downward move toward 1.1747 – the upper fractal (daily candle of September 12, 2025) – is possible. Fig. 1 (daily chart). Comprehensive analysis: Indicator analysis – upward;Fibonacci levels – upward;Volumes – upward;Candlestick analysis – upward;Trend analysis – upward;Bollinger Bands – upward;Weekly chart – upward.Overall conclusion: upward trend. Alternative scenario: from the level of 1.1734 (the closing of Friday's daily candle), the price may continue…
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- 18 👀 Traders
Trend analysis (Fig. 1). On Tuesday, the market from the level of 1.1760 (closing of yesterday's daily candle) may continue upward movement with the target at 1.1788 – the upper fractal (yellow dotted line). When testing this level, the price may pull back downward to test the upper fractal at 1.1774 (daily candle from 15.09.2025). Fig. 1 (daily chart). Comprehensive analysis: Indicator analysis – upward;Volumes – upward;Candlestick analysis – upward;Trend analysis – upward;Bollinger Bands – upward;Weekly chart – upward.Overall conclusion: upward trend. Alternative scenario: from the level of 1.1760 (closing of yesterday's daily candle), the price may continue moving u…
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- 22 👀 Traders
Trend Analysis (Fig. 1). On Wednesday, from the level of 1.1866 (yesterday's daily close), the market may start moving downward toward 1.1828 — a historical support level (blue dashed line). Upon testing this level, the price may continue moving upward toward 1.1881 — the resistance line (thick blue line). Fig. 1 (daily chart). Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis – upward;Fibonacci levels – upward;Volumes – upward;Candlestick analysis – downward;Trend analysis – upward;Bollinger Bands – upward;Weekly chart – upward.General conclusion: upward trend. Alternative scenario: From the level of 1.1866 (yesterday's daily close), the price may continue moving upward towa…
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- 22 👀 Traders
Trend analysis (Fig. 1). On Thursday, from the 1.1812 level (yesterday's daily candle close), the market may continue moving downward toward the target of 1.1762 – the 85.4% pullback level (red dotted line). Upon testing this level, the price may rebound upward toward 1.1779 – the upper fractal (red dotted line). Fig. 1 (daily chart). Comprehensive analysis: Indicator analysis – downward;Fibonacci levels – downward;Volumes – downward;Candlestick analysis – downward;Trend analysis – downward;Bollinger Bands – downward;Weekly chart – downward.General conclusion: bearish trend. Alternative scenario: on Thursday, from the 1.1812 level (yesterday's daily candle close), the …
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- 18 👀 Traders
Trend analysis (Fig. 1). On Friday, the market from the level of 1.1788 (yesterday's daily candle close) may continue moving downward toward the target of 1.1727 – the 21-period EMA (black thin line). When testing this line, a corrective upward movement is possible with a target of 1.1751 – the 13-period EMA (yellow thin line). Fig. 1 (daily chart). Comprehensive analysis: Indicator analysis – down;Fibonacci levels – down;Volumes – down;Candlestick analysis – down;Trend analysis – down;Bollinger Bands – down;Weekly chart – up.General conclusion: downward trend. Alternative scenario: Today, from the level of 1.1788 (yesterday's daily candle close), the price may start m…
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Trend Analysis (Fig. 1) On Monday, from the 1.1745 level (Friday's daily candle close), the market may begin moving upward, targeting 1.1794 – the 23.6% retracement level (blue dashed line). Upon reaching this level, a possible downward movement may follow, targeting 1.1779 – the upper fractal (red dashed line). Fig. 1 (daily chart). Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis – upward;Fibonacci levels – upward;Volume – upward;Candlestick analysis – upward;Trend analysis – upward;Bollinger Bands – upward;Weekly chart – upward.Overall conclusion: upward trend. Alternative scenario:From the 1.1745 level (Friday's daily candle close), the price may continue to move downwar…
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- 19 👀 Traders
Trend analysis (Fig. 1). On Thursday, from the 1.1737 level (yesterday's daily close), the market may continue moving downward toward 1.1706 – the 38.2% retracement level (red dotted line). When testing this level, the price may rebound upward toward 1.1720 – the 50% retracement level (red dotted line). Fig. 1 (daily chart). Comprehensive analysis: Indicator analysis – downward;Fibonacci levels – downward;Volumes – downward;Candlestick analysis – downward;Trend analysis – downward;Bollinger Bands – downward;Weekly chart – downward.Overall conclusion: downward trend. Alternative scenario: On Thursday, from the 1.1737 level (yesterday's daily close), the market may conti…
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- 26 👀 Traders
Trend analysis (Fig. 1). On Monday, from the level of 1.1718 (Friday's daily candle close), the market may begin moving downward with a target of 1.1691 – the 14.6% pullback level (blue dotted line). Upon reaching this level, an upward move is possible with a target of 1.1697 – the 76.4% pullback level (yellow dotted line). Fig. 1 (daily chart). Comprehensive analysis: Indicator analysis – up;Fibonacci levels – up;Volumes – up;Candlestick analysis – up;Trend analysis – up;Bollinger Bands – up;Weekly chart – up.Overall conclusion: Uptrend. Alternative scenario: From the level of 1.1718 (Friday's daily candle close), the price may start moving downward with a target of 1…
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- 40 👀 Traders
Trend Analysis (Fig. 1). On Tuesday, from the level of 1.1752 (yesterday's daily candle close), the market may continue moving upward with the target at 1.1788 – the upper fractal (yellow dotted line). Upon testing this level, the price may retreat downward to test the upper fractal at 1.1765 (daily candle from September 8, 2025). Fig. 1 (daily chart). Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis – up;Volumes – up;Candlestick analysis – up;Trend analysis – up;Bollinger Bands – up;Weekly chart – up.Overall conclusion: upward trend. Alternative scenario: from the level of 1.1752 (yesterday's daily candle close), the price may continue moving upward with the target at 1.1…
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- 38 👀 Traders
The pair is consolidating above the 1.1685 support level as the market awaits US inflation data and the outcome of next week's FOMC monetary policy meeting. Unlike the Federal Reserve, which is expected to lower interest rates, today the European Central Bank is anticipated to keep its rates and all monetary policy parameters unchanged. If today's US CPI report does not show inflation rising above the consensus forecast, the pair could receive support and continue its upward movement. From a technical point of view, the pair is above the support level of 1.1685. Technical View and Trade Idea: The price is below the middle line of the Bollinger Bands, below the 5-SMA, an…
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- 17 👀 Traders
The euro-dollar pair is trying to reach the resistance level of 1.1800 (the upper line of the Bollinger Bands indicator on the four-hour chart). The price has been rising for three days in a row, driven by overall weakness in the US dollar. The US dollar index on Tuesday fell to the base of 97 ahead of the release of key US inflation growth reports. The euro, in turn, is showing resilience, ignoring political turmoil in France, where a political crisis has erupted. The current fundamental backdrop for EUR/USD favors further price growth—only strong PPI/CPI reports can "redraw" the overall picture if they come in strong. However, even a rise in US inflation is unlikely t…
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- 31 👀 Traders
Good day, traders! On Wednesday, EUR/USD made several bounces from the 76.4% correction level at 1.1695, but as of Thursday morning, it has returned to test this level again. Another bounce from here would support the euro and renew the uptrend toward the resistance zone at 1.1789–1.1802. Consolidation below 1.1695 would increase the chances for further decline toward the support zone at 1.1637–1.1645. The wave structure on the hourly chart remains simple and clear. The last completed wave up broke a previous top, while the latest down wave failed to break the prior low. This means the current trend is bullish—though not particularly strong or assured. Recent US labor …
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Good afternoon, traders! On Thursday, the EUR/USD pair reversed in favor of the euro and consolidated above the 76.4% Fibonacci level at 1.1695. Initially, traders were focused on selling and even achieved consolidation below 1.1695. However, the news flow dramatically shifted market sentiment. Thus, the upward movement may continue today toward the next 100% Fibonacci level at 1.1789. The wave structure on the hourly chart remains simple and clear. The last completed upward wave broke above the previous wave's peak, while the most recent downward wave did not break the previous low. Thus, the trend remains bullish—though not particularly strong or confident. The lates…
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On Friday, the EUR/USD pair consolidated ahead of a new and important week. Quotes remained throughout the day above the 76.4% retracement level at 1.1695, which preserves the prospects of growth toward the resistance zone at 1.1789–1.1802. Thus, on Monday and Tuesday, in the absence of new signals, I expect the uptrend to continue. Likely weak growth, as the news background during these days will be light. A close below 1.1695 would favor the U.S. currency and a decline toward the support zone at 1.1637–1.1645. The wave picture on the hourly chart remains simple and clear. The last completed upward wave broke the peak of the previous wave, while the last downward wave…
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On September 11th – that is, on Thursday – the next meeting of the European Central Bank (ECB) will take place, and the central bank is widely expected to leave all monetary policy settings unchanged. This is the base case and the most anticipated scenario, so its realization won't trigger volatility in the EUR/USD pair. Still, this doesn't mean the September meeting is just a formality. The real intrigue concerns the ECB's future actions: Will the central bank consider its easing cycle complete, or are further rate cuts still on the table? Let's first analyze the general macroeconomic picture in the Eurozone. In short, we are seeing weak but still positive economic gr…
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- 26 👀 Traders
Trend Analysis In October, from the level of 1.1732 (closing of the September monthly candle), the price may continue moving upward with the target at 1.1918 – the upper fractal (yellow dashed line). From this level, a corrective move downward is possible with the target at 1.1664 – the 14.6% retracement level (yellow dashed line). Fig. 1 (monthly chart). Indicator Analysis: Indicator analysis – upward;Fibonacci levels – upward;Volumes – upward;Candlestick analysis – upward;Trend analysis – upward;Bollinger Bands – upward.Comprehensive analysis conclusion: an upward trend is possible. Overall outcome for the EUR/USD monthly candle calculation: the price will most likel…
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- 13 👀 Traders
Trend Analysis (Fig. 1)This week, from the level of 1.1621 (the closing price of the last weekly candle), the market may continue to move downward, aiming for 1.1488 — a historical support level (light blue dashed line). When testing this level, the price may bounce upward toward 1.1536 — the 38.2% retracement level (blue dashed line). Figure 1: Weekly Chart Comprehensive Analysis Indicator analysis – downward;Fibonacci levels – downward;Volumes – downward;Candlestick analysis – downward;Trend analysis – downward;Bollinger Bands – downward;Monthly chart – downward.Conclusion of comprehensive analysis: downward movement. Overall Summary for the Weekly EUR/USD Candle Thro…
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- 20 👀 Traders
Trend Analysis (Fig. 1). This week, from the 1.1741 level (the close of the last weekly candle), the market may start moving downward toward the target of 1.1572 – the upper fractal (red dotted line). Upon testing this level, the price may rebound upward toward the target of 1.1649 – the 23.6% retracement level (blue dotted line). Fig. 1 (Weekly chart). Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis – down;Fibonacci levels – down;Volumes – down;Candlestick analysis – down;Trend analysis – down;Bollinger Bands – down;Monthly chart – down.Conclusion from comprehensive analysis: Downward movement. General outcome for the EUR/USD weekly candle calculation: The price this week …
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- 19 👀 Traders
Trend analysis (Fig. 1). This week, from the level of 1.1734 (the closing of the last weekly candle), the market may continue moving upward toward 1.1886 – the 161.8% target level (red dashed line). Upon testing this level, the price may retrace downward toward 1.1828 – the upper fractal (blue dashed line). Fig. 1 (weekly chart). Comprehensive analysis: Indicator analysis – upward;Fibonacci levels – upward;Volumes – upward;Candlestick analysis – upward;Trend analysis – upward;Bollinger Bands – upward;Monthly chart – upward.Conclusion from comprehensive analysis: upward trend. Overall summary of EUR/USD weekly candle calculation: during the week, the price is most likel…
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- 8 👀 Traders
Trend Analysis (Fig. 1) This week, from the 1.1745 level (the close of the last weekly candle), the market may begin moving down with a target of 1.1536 – the 38.2% retracement level (blue dashed line). Upon testing this level, the price may bounce upward toward the target of 1.1572 – the upper fractal (red dashed line). Fig. 1 (weekly chart) Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis – downward;Fibonacci levels – downward;Volume – downward;Candlestick analysis – downward;Trend analysis – downward;Bollinger Bands – downward;Monthly chart – downward.Conclusion from comprehensive analysis: downward movement. Overall candle projection for the EUR/USD pair on the weekly ch…
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Trend analysis (Fig. 1). This week, the market from the level of 1.1699 (close of the last weekly candle) may start moving downward with the target at 1.1536 – the 38.2% pullback level (blue dotted line). When testing this level, the price may retrace upward with the target at 1.1572 – the upper fractal (red dotted line). Fig. 1 (weekly chart). Comprehensive analysis: Indicator analysis – down;Fibonacci levels – down;Volumes – down;Candlestick analysis – down;Trend analysis – down;Bollinger Bands – down;Monthly chart – down.Conclusion of the comprehensive analysis: downward movement. Overall outcome of the weekly candle calculation for EUR/USD: during the week, the pri…
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- 30 👀 Traders
Trend analysis (Fig. 1). This week, from the level of 1.1718 (close of the last weekly candle), the market may start moving downward with a target of 1.1536 – the 38.2% retracement level (blue dotted line). Upon testing this level, the price may begin moving upward with a target of 1.1571 – the upper fractal (red dotted line). Fig. 1 (weekly chart). Comprehensive analysis: Indicator analysis – down;Fibonacci levels – down;Volumes – down;Candlestick analysis – down;Trend analysis – down;Bollinger Bands – down;Monthly chart – down.Conclusion from comprehensive analysis: Downward movement. Overall summary of the EUR/USD weekly candle calculation: The price will most likel…
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- 28 👀 Traders
Trend Analysis (Fig. 1). On Wednesday, the market from the level of 1.1732 (yesterday's daily candle close) may continue moving upward with the target at 1.1782 – the 50% retracement level (red dashed line). When testing this level, the price may possibly roll back downward with the target at 1.1710 – the 23.6% retracement level (red dashed line). Fig. 1 (daily chart). Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis – upward;Fibonacci levels – upward;Volumes – downward;Candlestick analysis – downward;Trend analysis – upward;Bollinger Bands – upward;Weekly chart – upward.General conclusion: upward trend. Alternative scenario: from the level of 1.1732 (yesterday's daily candl…
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