Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12177 tópicos neste fórum
-
Analysis of GBP/USD on 5-Minute Timeframe The GBP/USD currency pair continued its upward movement for almost the entire day on Friday, with no significant local factors driving it. It should be noted that for the past month and a half, the British currency has only been falling, which completely contradicts, at least, the global fundamental background. However, a flat trend has developed on the daily timeframe for both the euro and the pound sterling. Thus, from a technical perspective, the pound's one-and-a-half-month decline can be explained. The GBP/USD pair has now even gone below the lower line of the sideways channel on the daily chart, but it is important to re…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Analysis of EUR/USD on 5-Minute Timeframe The EUR/USD currency pair traded higher for most of Friday but retreated from local highs as the evening approached. Overall, the movements were entirely logical from a technical point of view, as shown on the 5-minute timeframe. There were virtually no fundamental or macroeconomic events that could have influenced market sentiment during the day. However, for the past month and a half, such events have not been necessary for the market. The dollar has risen at every opportunity, ignoring weak data, the absence of important data, and any fundamental events. Therefore, we have been saying for several weeks that trading should r…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin price is attempting to recover above $103,500. BTC could continue to move up if it clears the $106,500 resistance zone. Bitcoin started a decent recovery wave above the $103,500 support. The price is trading above $104,500 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at $102,000 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might continue to move up if it clears the $106,500 zone. Bitcoin Price Recovers 3% Bitcoin price managed to stay above the $101,000 support level and started a recovery wave. BTC recovered above the $102,500 and $103,500 resistance levels. There was a…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The economic calendar for the week does not include any major events for the EUR/USD pair. The ZEW indices, which will be published on Tuesday (November 11), are of some interest. All other scheduled releases are of not even secondary, but tertiary importance. Therefore, the market's attention will be focused on other fundamental factors, such as the rhetoric of Federal Reserve representatives. Several members of the U.S. central bank will speak throughout the week. The ongoing shutdown, which has already become the longest in U.S. history, remains in the spotlight. Towards the end of Friday's trading, sellers of EUR/USD recovered some lost positions amid a strength…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The American currency has been rising in value for over a month, but confidence in its stable future has waned. After the last five weeks, it remains extremely difficult to pinpoint why the demand for the U.S. dollar has been slowly but steadily growing. However, wave analysis can partially answer this question. Both instruments have seen the construction of corrective wave sets, within which the dollar's strength occurred. Currently, the likelihood of these trend segments reaching completion is high, suggesting that the market may return to its usual activity—selling the American currency. Given that many recent news items have either been ignored by the market or interp…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The news flow from the UK will be the most interesting. In Europe, there will be very few significant events, and in the U.S., many important reports will again be missed rather than published. However, the UK will delight us with a wealth of important data. The key is that this data should, in turn, favor the British pound. In my opinion, wave analysis is currently the cornerstone of all analysis. The current wave analysis suggests a rise in quotes and the formation of a bullish trend segment. We have observed a five-wave corrective structure, so it is now reasonable to expect the construction of an ascending wave set. The news backdrop must not hinder this process. Let'…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
All the most interesting events are behind us. To briefly recap, all three central bank meetings have taken place, significant ISM indices were released in the U.S. last week (along with a lone ADP labor market report), and American inflation figures were published (albeit with considerable delay). Additionally, the Nonfarm Payrolls report and unemployment rate have been missed for the second consecutive month due to the "shutdown." Undoubtedly, there are also important indicators in the Eurozone, but in my opinion, the market, which has ignored significant news for over a month, is not eagerly awaiting European reports to react to them. What should we pay attention to? T…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
How much longer can the "shutdown" last? BBC correspondents believe that in recent days there have been signs of a potential resolution to the "shutdown" by November 27—Thanksgiving Day in the U.S. Senate. Majority Leader John Thune has expressed the view that progress in negotiations might be forthcoming soon. However, Congressman Tim Burchett (Republican) stated that the "shutdown" could continue even after Thanksgiving. In his opinion, the Democrats have every right to negotiate an extension of healthcare subsidies, and he personally does not understand why this cannot be done after the government resumes operations. Overall, Republicans continue to hold their ground, …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
What threats does the "shutdown" pose to America and the American economy? The first clear consequence right now is financial loss. Each week costs the economy approximately $15 billion, and by the end of the "shutdown," GDP could lose several tenths of a percent. Such a minor contraction may not instill fear in American lawmakers, which is why progress is not being made from a "dead point." However, the problems could become significantly larger. It's important to remember that government officials are not just school teachers and bus drivers; they also include, for example, air traffic controllers. In all previous instances when Democrats and Republicans could not agree…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
On Saturday, the 40th day of the "shutdown" in the United States began. Remember that it all started with discussions about ending the "shutdown" within two weeks. Now, the "shutdown" has set a new record for duration, surpassing the previous one (also under Donald Trump) that lasted 35 days in 2019. One could overlook this new record if the Democrats and Republicans were at least approaching an agreement. However, this time they are not even striving to negotiate. As I have written previously, the current "shutdown" is unlike any before it. Donald Trump began his second presidential term by violating a significant number of laws (thus regularly facing legal challenges) a…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
I would also like to point out that the latest ADP report was weak but still above market expectations and higher than the previous month. Therefore, one could theoretically even argue that the labor market is improving. Last week, the Federal Reserve lowered interest rates once again, so by the beginning of December, the labor market could be back on its feet. At that point, the question of a third consecutive policy easing will become critical. Then, most Fed governors will not only observe the dire state of the labor market, which has been largely shaped by Donald Trump and the AI boom, but will also take inflation into account. To be fair, it should be noted that infl…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
With great difficulty, the EUR/USD and GBP/USD pairs have reversed by the end of the week, and this reversal may mark the start of a new bullish trend segment. It should be noted that both instruments have recently formed five-wave corrective structures a-b-c-d-e, which appear to be completed. Are there reasons for the U.S. currency to decline? Yes, and there are plenty. In this review, I will not cover all the reasons why the U.S. dollar should have been setting new lows long ago. I will focus only on one of the main reasons: the Federal Reserve's inflationary monetary policy. The last Fed meeting took place, and as a result, the American currency continued to strengthen…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
XRP has spent the past week on the continuation of a downtrend from the previous week, slipping from above $2.50 before rebounding around $2.12 and now hovering around $2.30. The price action reflects a market struggling to find direction, caught between bullish optimism and lingering selling pressure. Despite the broader slowdown in its price action, technical analysis shows that XRP is still displaying a resilient structure on the charts that maintains its critical support levels. According to Egrag Crypto, a popular analyst known for his long-term technical outlooks on XRP, the token may soon enter what will become the most explosive fifth wave yet. XRP Elliott Wave…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Rich Dad Poor Dad author Robert Kiyosaki says he’s buying more gold, silver, Bitcoin, and Ethereum as he prepares for what he believes could be a sharp economic downturn. In a post on X on Sunday, Kiyosaki warned that markets may be heading toward trouble. He said he’s shifting more of his money into what he calls “real money,” suggesting he sees these assets as safer than cash. Kiyosaki said his view on gold is influenced by economist Jim Rickards. He also repeated his long-held call that Bitcoin could reach $250,000, arguing that BTC acts as protection against what he describes as the Federal Reserve’s “fake money.” He pointed to growing interest in Ethereum, c…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
After a disappointing performance during the week, the price of Bitcoin has continued its sluggish action over the weekend. According to data from CoinGecko, the premier cryptocurrency has been hovering around the $102,000 level over the past 24 hours. While this current choppy price action seems like an improvement from the severe downturn witnessed in recent days, it doesn’t particularly bring calm to the world’s largest cryptocurrency. Interestingly, the latest on-chain data suggests that the Bitcoin price might still be at risk of further correction in the coming days. Why BTC Price Might Find Bottom Around $95,000 In a November 8 post on the social media platform X…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin and Ether steadied Sunday as traders weighed a fragile hold above $100,000 for BTC and a rebound in ETH toward the mid-$3,000s amid tentative risk appetite. Market Cap 24h 7d 30d 1y All Time Bitcoin and Ether held steady on Sunday as traders balanced on a knife-edge. As per Coingecko data, Bitcoin traded near $102,100, about +2% in 24 hours. On the other hand, Ethereum hovered around $3,530, about +4% in 24 hours. Market Cap 24h 7d 30d 1y All Time …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Ontario is one of Canada’s most productive gold mining regions, known for its vast deposits, long mining history, and world-class geology. For American investors, especially pre-retirees and retirees focused on protecting their financial future, Ontario’s gold wealth offers an important reminder of the enduring value of physical gold. While exploring gold mining regions can be fascinating, many investors prefer owning physical precious metals directly through a Gold IRA, which can provide diversification and an inflation hedge for long-term retirement savings.This article explores Ontario’s gold mining landscape, including how many mines operate in the province, the best …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
American Bitcoin, the Nasdaq-listed mining and treasury firm backed by Eric Trump and Donald Trump Jr., has raised its Bitcoin stash to 4,000 BTC, worth about $415 million, according to a company announcement released Friday. The firm purchased nearly 170 BTC between October 24 and November 5, a haul valued at more than $14 million at current market rates. American Bitcoin Boosts Holdings Eric Trump, listed as co-founder and Chief Strategy Officer, said the company is growing its stock of Bitcoin through a mix of scaled mining operations and market purchases. Reports have disclosed that this size of accumulation puts American Bitcoin at about the 25th spot among corp…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The price of Bitcoin has struggled so far in the month of November, briefly falling below the psychological $100,000 level twice already. Although the flagship cryptocurrency appears to be in a state of calm this weekend, a recent on-chain evaluation shows the possibility of more price corrections in the short term. Bitcoin Risk-Adjusted Returns See Growing Downturn In a Quicktake post on the CryptoQuant platform, data analytics platform Arab Chain revealed that there seems to be a growing amount of risks for Bitcoin market participants on Binance. This on-chain observation revolves around the Bitcoin Sharpe Signal metric on Binance, which tracks the efficiency of the re…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
China has lifted a nearly year-long ban on exports of gallium, germanium and antimony to the US, in a further de-escalation of trade tensions between the world’s two largest economies. In a statement issued on Sunday, China’s commerce ministry said it will pause its export ban on these minerals and related end-use items for about one year. The ban was first imposed in December 2024 in retaliation for US export controls on high-bandwidth memory chips into China towards the end of the Biden administration. The US considers all three minerals to be critical to its national security and economy. Gallium and germanium are both essential for semiconductors, with the for…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin’s price has struggled to maintain stability above $102,000 in recent days, and data shows this is due to an apparent imbalance between selling pressure and fresh demand. On-chain data from CryptoQuant reveals that while long-term holders have been actively taking profits, the market is showing limited capacity to absorb their sell-offs. This is a contrast to previous phases of the bull run, where rising demand was able to offset increased long-term holder activity. Rising Long-Term Holder Selling Pressure Mirrors Past Bull Cycles Data from on-chain analytics platform CryptoQuant, which was initially shared by Julio Moreno, head of research at CryptoQuant, sho…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
In crypto news today, billions are being wiped off balance sheets as .cwp-coin-chart svg path { stroke-width: 0.65 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-graph-container.positive svg path:nth-of-type(2) { stroke: #008868 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-trend.positive { color: #008868 !important; background-color: transparent !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-popup-holder .cwp-coin-trend.positive { border: 1px solid #008868; border-radius: 3px; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-trend.positive::before { border-bottom: 4px solid #008868 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-price-holder …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Another week has come and gone, and the emergence of Asia within the larger crypto landscape has been ever-rapid and consistent. Its tech-savvy population, mobile-first economies, and an ever-increasing appetite for financial innovation have fueled crypto’s widespread adoption in Asia. While there are differences in the regulatory approaches of different countries toward crypto, it cannot be denied that Asia as a whole has come into its own as a crypto powerhouse. Here are some of the big headliners from this past week. Binance CEO Richard Teng: India Drives Crypto Growth In Asia India has become a major player in the global crypto scene. Binance CEO, Richard Teng, bel…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The Bitcoin market has suffered through a disappointing performance over the past few weeks, leading to a price retest of the $100,000 support zone. However, an exciting on-chain evaluation predicts a positive price action in the near future. Bitcoin Price Below Average Cost — Details On November 8, popular market analyst Burak Kesmeci shared on X the underlying reasons behind his expectations of a bullish reversal. Kesmeci’s post mostly depends on the Bitcoin: 90-Day Market Price vs Realized Price Gradient Oscillator. Essentially, this indicator functions as a means of tracking the distance of Bitcoin’s market price deviation from its realized price over the past 90 d…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
In Africa crypto news this week, the Central Bank of Ghana has published a policy paper on crypto regulation. It addresses the need for action-driven, collaborative regulations rather than implementing outright bans on crypto. South African logistics and supply chain giant Super Group is set to launch its stablecoin. This product aims to boost engagement with its customer base. Meanwhile, Changpeng Zhao, the co-founder of Binance, has sparked the ire of Nigerians after his latest comments on the arrest of a Binance executive in 2024. DISCOVER: Best Meme Coin ICOs to Invest in 2025 Let’s look at these stories making continental headlines this week: Ghana Crypto News…
Last reply by Ben Graham,
