Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
11716 tópicos neste fórum
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The EUR/USD currency pair continued trading on Tuesday in a manner that has become familiar over the past few months: weak, "choppy" movements with constantly changing directions, resulting in either "rollercoaster" patterns or a complete flat on the higher timeframes. Many traders are becoming frustrated with this situation in the currency market. For long-term investors, it may be feasible to buy and forget or sell and forget. However, most traders enter the forex market to generate profits here and now, not a year from now. How can one profit if the most popular and traded currency pair, EUR/USD, has been stuck in a total flat for six consecutive months? Yes, this flat…
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Ethereum saw a flurry of big moves that traders say could matter for its next price swing. In just a few hours, major accounts pulled large sums off an exchange and big wallets opened sizable margin longs. Market watchers are parsing those moves for clues. Institutions Shift Big Stakes According to Arkham Intelligence, Amber Group and Metalapha pulled out 9,000 Ether from Binance in a short span, a haul worth more than $28 million at current prices. Based on reports, institutional flows have been heavy for months — nearly 4 million ETH has been accumulated by institutions over five months. Those kinds of transfers are often linked to custody setups or long-term holding…
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Bitcoin is currently holding steady, trading water around the critical $90,000 level as the market enters a period of high compression. With ETF inflows slowing down, the price lacks the momentum to break through overhead resistance. The highly anticipated FOMC meeting is expected to provide the necessary catalyst to end the current consolidation and dictate Bitcoin’s next major directional move. BTC Compression Intensifies: Scaling Back Intraday Scalps According to a recent update from Lennaert Snyder, Bitcoin continues to tighten within a compression phase. The market has been trading in an increasingly narrow range, signaling that a larger move is approaching. Snyder …
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Critical Metals (Nasdaq: CRML) announced Tuesday it has executed the term-sheet for creating a 50%-50% joint venture (JV) with Romanian state-owned Fabrica de Prelucrare a Concentratelor de Uraniu (FPCU). Critical Metals’ Tanbreez project in Greenland is one of the world’s largest heavy and medium rare earth deposits. Last month, CRML signed a letter of intent with US-based rare earth processor REalloys for a ten-year offtake agreement covering 15% of production from the project. The FPCU term sheet provides CRML with long-term offtake rights for 50% of the entire Tanbreez concentrate production and outlines the development, financing, and commissioning to…
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Dogecoin (DOGE) is, in another consecutive week, settling into a familiar pattern: holding firm at a crucial support zone while market participants weigh technical signals, shifting adoption trends, and the ever-present influence of its community. As the token trades around $0.14, its price behavior reflects a broader phase of consolidation, characterized by tighter volatility and increasing on-chain engagement. With new real-world use cases emerging and traders watching for a breakout, DOGE’s long-term trajectory is becoming a point of renewed discussion. Network Activity Strengthens as Dogecoin Price Holds Key Support Despite muted market reaction to Dogecoin’s 12…
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Senators engaged in bipartisan discussions regarding the anticipated crypto market structure bill met on Tuesday amid ongoing disagreements about the timing of a committee vote on the legislation. According to a report from Politico, Sen. Cynthia Lummis, a key negotiator for the Republican side, expressed optimism that a new draft of the bill could be released this week. Lummis aims to have the bill ready for markup before Congress adjourns for the holiday break, stating, “Knock on wood, I hope to share a draft at the end of this week that reflects our best efforts to date.” Lummis Urges Swift Progress On Crypto Legislation During a panel discussion hosted by the Blo…
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Log in to today's North American session Market wrap for December 9 Erratic flows across Markets yet again as the countdown to the FOMC decision goes on. While US Stock Markets were snoozers today, but risk-asset enjoyers did get a volatility dose: Cryptos offered quite a strong session, with Bitcoin coming shy of $95,000 and Ethereum touching the $3,300 level before retreating lower. The unambiguous winner of today's session, however, is easily Silver, which broke its fresh $59 record to mark an intraday All-time High at $60.83 in an aggressive late-session move. This price action is highly suggestive of a late session short squeeze, with some traders unfolding some a…
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Ethereum has spent the past several days consolidating in a tight range between $3,000 and $3,200, signaling a moment of hesitation as the broader market struggles to find direction. Despite attempts to push higher, momentum has flattened, and uncertainty continues to dominate sentiment. Many analysts now warn that Ethereum may be entering a deeper bearish phase, pointing to weakening spot demand, fragile market structure, and fading optimism across major exchanges. However, one on-chain development has captured the market’s attention. According to new data from CryptoQuant, December 5, 2025 saw a massive spike in Ethereum Exchange Netflow to Binance, marking one of the…
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In the previous review, we discussed the reasons that could trigger a new dollar collapse in the second half of 2025. I recommend reviewing that analysis. In this overview, we will take a closer look at the European Central Bank's monetary policy. The ECB completed its monetary policy easing process last summer, conducting a total of 8 rounds of 25 basis points each. Inflation has been successfully "calmed" and brought back to the target mark of 2%. Therefore, the ECB has justifiably stopped lowering interest rates. It is worth noting that the lower the central bank's rates are, the lower the cost of borrowing becomes, and consequently, the lower the yield on bank deposit…
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The American currency has successfully avoided its worst-case scenario for five consecutive months. Personally, I do not fully understand why the market is hesitating with new dollar sell-offs when the news picture is as clear as day. However, it is not my place to tell the market what to do; I can only analyze what is happening. My conclusions over the past months, despite the lack of anticipated growth in EUR/USD and GBP/USD instruments, have not changed. I do not believe my conclusions are erroneous because, apart from the growth of these instruments, we do not see any significant declines either. Predicting when the next sideways movement in the market will occur is i…
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On Wednesday, the Federal Reserve's verdict may determine the direction of the U.S. dollar for several weeks (or even months) ahead. The December meeting is particularly significant because, amid internal disagreements, the central bank must define its position regarding the pace of monetary policy easing. First, it is essential to note that the formal outcomes of the December meeting are virtually predetermined. According to CME FedWatch data, the probability of a 25-basis-point rate cut is 90%. Thus, the market has little doubt about this. The implementation of the base scenario will not surprise anyone—traders' attention will be focused on the accompanying statement…
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2025 has marked a rare moment in financial history—a time when two opposing asset classes have begun to rise simultaneously. Gold, traditionally a safe haven against risk, and stocks, symbolizing a bet on economic growth, have suddenly moved in the same direction. This unusual coincidence has prompted the Bank for International Settlements (BIS) to publicly warn the markets: we are witnessing "explosive behavior" in both asset categories—and this could mean much more than just a good year for investors. Such a combination contradicts the classic logic of financial markets, where gold rises when stocks fall and vice versa. Now, both curves are pointing upwards. The main co…
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The cryptocurrency market is ending 2025 on a troubling note: as of Monday, the price of Bitcoin has dropped to $90,600, which is 10.5% lower than the values at the end of the previous year. This marks the first annual decline for the leading digital currency since 2022, signaling a trend reversal after impressive highs at the beginning of the year. In October, Bitcoin surged above $126,000, setting a new all-time high. However, subsequent geopolitical events and macroeconomic upheavals drastically changed the trading landscape. A turning point occurred on October 10 when U.S. President Donald Trump announced a 100% tariff on Chinese goods and threatened to impose export …
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"Beat the enemy with his own weapon." Donald Trump intends to force the Federal Reserve to lower rates to 1% and stimulate the U.S. economy by the end of his presidency. What happens next – whether it is uncontrollable inflation or a double recession – is of little concern. "After me, the flood." Jerome Powell has a response for the White House occupant. He is playing a subtle game, making EUR/USD and all markets tense. The U.S. dollar may react sharply to the outcomes of the last FOMC meeting in 2025, or it may not react at all. The base scenario involves a "hawkish" cut, where, after a rate decrease in federal funds, Jerome Powell indicates the Fed's intention to mainta…
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At the conclusion of the Reserve Bank of Australia's December meeting, the central bank maintained all monetary policy parameters unchanged, including the interest rate at 3.6%. The central bank implemented the baseline, most-expected scenario; thus, initially, the Aussie declined across the market, including against the American currency. However, subsequent comments from RBA Governor Michele Bullock turned the AUD/USD pair around, and the price again tested the 0.6650 resistance level (the upper line of the Bollinger Bands indicator on the D1 timeframe). It is worth noting that ahead of the December meeting, traders had heightened hawkish expectations regarding the RB…
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Since Bitcoin’s launch, the number of addresses holding more than 0.1 BTC has climbed steadily through every market cycle, until now. Data shows that addresses in this cohort haven’t grown at all over the past two years, breaking a trend that held for more than a decade. The stagnation indicates a change in how smaller and mid-sized investors engage with Bitcoin, even as broader institutional activity in the market continues to rise. Small Holder Participation Reaches A Standstill The 0.1 BTC threshold has historically represented an important milestone for retail holders, large enough to signal commitment but small enough to remain widely attainable. For more than a d…
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This article is a complement to our previous pre-FOMC analysis which explores the Fed Decision, Dot Plot and different scenarios for the US Dollar: Discover: FOMC Meeting Preview: How the FOMC's December Dot Plot Will Affect the US Dollar (DXY) We will now turn to a more technical look into the US curve, a 10-Year Bond chart to see what's going on behind the pricing for tomorrow's meeting, and provide a few more scenarios depending on the rate cut path. More particularly, with the 25 bps cut being a quasi-certainty, we will provide potential scenarios on if the cut is hawkish or dovish and a few potential reactions. A first move to signal in Markets, is the recent move…
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Circle’s slow but steady expansion into the Middle East has taken a decisive step forward, as the USDC issuer secured a Financial Services Permission (FSP) license from Abu Dhabi Global Market (ADGM). The move positions the company at the center of the UAE’s growing digital-asset ecosystem, strengthening its ability to scale stablecoin adoption across the region. For a market actively developing clearer regulatory frameworks and attracting global crypto players, Circle’s entry underscores the central role stablecoins have come to play in payment infrastructure and cross-border finance. Circle Secures ADGM Approval and Expands Regional Strategy The license, granted …
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Today, the Australian dollar is attracting new buyers in response to aggressive statements made by Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Governor Michele Bullock. The Reserve Bank of Australia decided to leave the Official Cash Rate (OCR) unchanged at 3.6%. In the accompanying statement, the regulator noted that the Board will closely monitor incoming data and change assessments of risks and outlook when making policy decisions. During the press conference, RBA Governor Michele Bullock emphasized that inflation and labor market indicators will play a key role in decisions made at the February meeting. She added that further rate cuts are unlikely to be necessary and that the Bo…
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Today, the Australian dollar is attracting new buyers in response to aggressive statements from Reserve Bank of Australia Governor Michele Bullock. From a technical standpoint, the AUD/USD pair is finding some support near the 0.6610–0.6620 level. Moreover, oscillators on the daily chart remain firmly in positive territory and are still far from the overbought zone, confirming a constructive short-term outlook for the currency pair. Buying above 0.6650 — the multi-month high reached on Monday — would create conditions for testing the yearly high, a level just above the round 0.6700 level set in September. On the other hand, weakness in the pair below the round 0.6600 leve…
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Anglo American (LON: AAL) and Teck Resources (TSX:TECK.A | TECK.B) announced Tuesday that its shareholders have approved the previously announced $53B merger at company’s general meetings. The all-stock, nil-premium $53-billion transaction, first announced in September, creates a major copper heavyweight, capable of production that could surpass BHP’s massive Escondida mine in Chile by the early 2030s, according to analysts. On Monday, Anglo dropped a proposal to change executive bonus awards from the agenda of Tuesday’s shareholder vote after investors objected to the plan. Anglo American noted the incentive plan was meant to support the deal and help ret…
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The USD/CAD pair is struggling to strengthen after a decent rebound from the round level of 1.3800, which is the lowest value since September 22. At the moment, spot quotes fluctuate around 1.3850, but traders are cautious and avoid opening active positions amid mixed fundamental factors. Optimistic employment data from Canada, published last Friday, reinforced the Bank of Canada's "hawkish" outlook, which typically supports the Canadian dollar and puts pressure on USD/CAD. At the same time, the potential for CAD appreciation is limited by risks that the United States, under President Donald Trump, may introduce new tariffs on agricultural products, including Canadian fer…
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Bitcoin’s on-exchange supply has dropped sharply, and traders are taking note. According to Santiment, more than 403,000 BTC have left exchanges since December 7, 2024 — roughly 2% of Bitcoin’s total supply. That shift, measured against an on-exchange balance of about 2.11 million BTC in late November, is being seen as a sign that fewer coins are poised for quick sale. Exchange Balances Shrink Santiment said lower exchange balances have historically been linked with fewer sudden sell-offs, an observation many market watchers find encouraging. The math is straightforward: when a big chunk of supply sits outside exchanges, there is less immediately available stock to me…
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The wave pattern on the 4-hour chart of EUR/USD has transformed, but overall it remains fairly clear. There is no talk of canceling the upward trend segment that began in January 2025, but the wave structure has become significantly more complex and extended since July 1. In my view, the instrument has completed the formation of corrective wave 4, which has taken on a very unusual form. Inside this wave, we observe exclusively corrective structures, so there is no doubt about the corrective nature of the decline. I believe that the upward trend segment is not yet complete, and its targets extend all the way to the 1.25 level. The series of waves a-b-c-d-e looks finished, …
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Rio2 (TSX: RIO) is expanding its Latin American presence and its metals exposure by acquiring a majority interest in a producing copper mine in Peru in a deal worth $241 million. In a statement on Monday, Rio2 said it will acquire a 99.1% interest in the Condestable mine from Southern Peaks Mining, a company backed by UK private equity firm Global Natural Resource Investments. Total consideration comprises an upfront payment of $180 million, paid $80 million in cash, $65 million in debt financing and about $35 million in Rio2 common shares. Southern Peaks will also receive a deferred payment of $37 million, due between 2027 and 2030. Rio2 will also assume $24 mill…
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