Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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The U.S. dollar continues to strengthen against risk-sensitive assets. Yesterday's comments from Federal Reserve officials that lower interest rates might lead to higher inflation supported the U.S. dollar. Traders, concerned about the likelihood of tighter U.S. monetary policy, quickly rotated out of the euro and other risky assets and into the safer dollar. Additional pressure on the euro came from an ECB official's remarks, suggesting that the eurozone could face a sharp decline in its inflation target. The market reacted instantly to the warning signs of potential deflationary pressures, sparking a sell-off in the euro and, consequently, boosting the U.S. dollar. This…
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According to market reports, open futures positions on XRP have grown sharply this month, even as the token struggles to push past the $3 mark. CryptoQuant data shows open interest near $2.92 billion, while Coinglass reports a much higher $8.94 billion figure, reflecting wider market coverage that includes venues such as the CME. Open Interest Climbs Despite Price Hurdles Reports have disclosed that XRP’s open interest rose from $2.34 billion on September 25 to roughly $2.92 billion as of Monday. That increase comes at the same time the token moved from a low of $2.74 to about $2.99, nearly 10%. Yet trading activity has not kept pace. Volume fell by 10% over 24 hours …
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Key takeaways AUD/NZD nears breakout: The pair rallied 1.10% since 6 October 2025, approaching the key long-term resistance at 1.1470.RBNZ turns more dovish: The central bank cut its cash rate by 50 bps to 2.5%, signaling openness to further easing to boost demand.Yield spread widens: The AU–NZ 10-year bond yield spread expanded to 0.16%, reinforcing bullish momentum for AUD/NZD.Technical setup remains strong: Uptrend within a medium-term ascending channel; breakout above 1.1470 could target 1.1510 next. This is a follow-up analysis and timely update of our prior report, “AUD/NZD: Bullish en route towards a 10-year high at 1.1470 with a less dovish RBA”, published o…
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Solana started a fresh decline from the $238 zone. SOL price is now consolidating losses below $225 and might decline further below $218. SOL price started a fresh decline below $232 and $230 against the US Dollar. The price is now trading below $225 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There was a break below a key bullish trend line with support at $230 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The price could start another increase if the bulls defend $218 or $212. Solana Price Dips Below Support Solana price extended gains above $225 and $230, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. SOL even surpassed $235 before the bears appeared. A high was form…
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Macroeconomic Report Overview: Only one macroeconomic release is scheduled for Wednesday — Germany's industrial production data. We believe that most traders already understand that this report, even if it generates a short-term reaction, is unlikely to have any significant influence on the broader market trend. The U.S. dollar continues to strengthen for reasons that defy fundamental and macroeconomic logic. We consider the current movement entirely illogical, and traders need to recognize and accept that. Key Fundamental Events: Despite a thin macro data calendar, several fundamental events are lined up. In the Eurozone, European Central Bank President Chri…
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Arthur Hayes believes Bitcoin can double into year-end—and he says the catalyst is a White House blueprint to capture the levers of US monetary policy. In an appearance on The Rollup, the BitMEX co-founder sketched a path to $250,000 per coin predicated on what he calls a “secret weapon”: a rapid consolidation of control over the Federal Reserve (Fed) that would clear the way for aggressive credit creation, yield-curve engineering, and an eventual flood of fiat liquidity into digital assets. Trump’s Fed Plan Could Catapult Bitcoin To $250,000 Hayes’ $250,000 year-end Bitcoin call rests on a narrow but explosive thesis: Donald Trump can seize functional control of the Fed…
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Tuesday's Trade Review1-Hour GBP/USD Chart On both Tuesday and Wednesday, the GBP/USD currency pair continued to move downward, with no apparent reason for this decline. Many analysts have attributed the strength of the dollar to the political crisis in France. However, that doesn't explain why the British pound is falling too. Could it be that it's the dollar rising? However, let's recall that on Monday and Tuesday, no significant U.S. events occurred, and the U.S. Senate failed for the fifth time to pass a budget for the upcoming fiscal year. Is that reason enough for the dollar to rise? Because the government shutdown continues? That's why we consider this movement…
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Tuesday Trade Review1-Hour EUR/USD Chart On Tuesday, the EUR/USD currency pair continued falling despite an entirely empty macroeconomic calendar. The U.S. dollar, which had declined throughout 2025, is now unexpectedly rising — and many analysts are scrambling to find explanations for this move. There are no convincing arguments in favor of dollar strength this week. Last week, the dollar at least moved sideways, although even that didn't make sense considering the weak overall macro and fundamental backdrop. To recap: ISM business activity indexes came in weak, U.S. employment data disappointed again, and a government shutdown began in the U.S. We believe there are …
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Bitcoin's exchange rate against the U.S. dollar has been correcting for the second consecutive day after a strong upward movement that began on September 26. If today's daily candle closes as a bearish (black) candle, this will confirm the price's consolidation below the target level of 122,185, as well as below the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level. The next downside target will be the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level, which aligns with support at 117,418 — the August 22 high. Further decline toward 115,679 is also possible. This level corresponds to the low from July 15 and lies near the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level. A deeper correction below that zone is unlike…
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At the end of yesterday's trading session, the euro fell by 53 pips. During today's Pacific session, the price has already dropped another 30 pips, approaching the target level of 1.1605. The Marlin oscillator is also declining after rebounding from the zero line. Even on the weekly chart, divergences are present and Marlin remains in negative territory. Formally, the price action is developing in line with our primary scenario, under which the euro is expected to continue its long-term decline toward the key target at 1.1066 — the May low — which nearly coincides with the 50% Fibonacci retracement of the rally that began in January this year. However, this otherwise cle…
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On the weekly chart, the price is trying to push through the support of the MACD line. This line has been broken several times in the past (marked by green arrows), but each time the price quickly rebounded as there was no weekly close below it. The same may happen now — if the next weekly candle does not close below the current level of 1.3400, then a breakout into a medium-term downtrend is unlikely. However, the probability of a true breakout is significantly higher this time compared to previous attempts, because back then the Marlin oscillator remained in positive territory, whereas now it is situated in negative territory. On the daily chart, the price has moved …
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XRP price started a fresh decline below $2.920. The price is now consolidating losses and might continue to move down if it trades below $2.850. XRP price is slowly moving lower below the $2.920 pivot zone. The price is now trading below $2.950 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There was a break below a key declining channel with support at $2.90 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could start a fresh decline if it settles below $2.850. XRP Price Dips Again XRP price failed to stay above $3.020 and started a fresh decline, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price declined below $3.00 and $2.950 to enter a short-term bearish z…
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While most eyes remain fixated on Bitcoin’s price swings and ETF inflows, the real revolution is unfolding quietly in its code. This silent evolution is redefining how value, contracts, and trust can operate on the leading secure blockchain. How Layer-2s Are Turning Bitcoin Into A Dynamic Ecosystem Bitcoin’s new all-time high (ATH) is dominating the timeline, but it’s not the real story. Under the surface of price charts and speculation, a quiet technological revolution is taking shape and could redefine BTC’s utility in the ecosystem. In an X post, High Tower revealed the real ATH is in the code, and the movement centers on BitVM2, an evolution of the original BitVM mod…
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Ethereum price failed to extend gains above $4,750 and declined. ETH is now consolidating and might struggle to rise above $4,600 in the short term. Ethereum started a downside correction below $4,620 and $4,600. The price is trading below $4,600 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There was a break below a key bullish trend line with support at $4,560 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could continue to move down if it trades below $4,420. Ethereum Price Corrects Gains Ethereum price extended gains above $4,600 and $4,620, like Bitcoin. ETH price even tested the $4,750 resistance zone before the bears appeared. A high was formed at $…
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In stark contrast to the broader resurgence in the cryptocurrency market, where many assets are approaching or exceeding record highs, the XRP price finds itself in a precarious position. The altcoin has consistently failed to breach its nearest resistance level at $3, resulting in a retracement to crucial support levels that are vital for preventing a significant correction and further declines. XRP Price Struggles As Bitcoin Hits New High While Bitcoin (BTC) recently celebrated a new all-time high above $126,000, Ethereum (ETH) is inching closer to its own record of $4,900, and Binance Coin (BNB) mirrors Bitcoin’s ascent with prices rising above $1,300, XRP has faced…
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SharpLink Gaming’s Ethereum portfolio has ballooned in value after the cryptocurrency climbed nearly 4.5% over the past day, pushing the company’s unrealized profits close to the $1Bn mark In a statement on Tuesday, SharpLink said its gains from Ether purchases have topped $900M since the firm began accumulating the asset on June 2. Data from the Strategic ETH Reserve shows SharpLink holds 838,730 ETH, valued at roughly $3.93Bn at current prices. That stake represents about 0.69% of Ethereum’s total circulating supply, placing the company among the largest corporate holders of the token. DISCOVER: 9+ Best High-Risk, High-Reward Crypto to Buy in October2025 How Di…
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Wall Street’s biggest exchange owner is betting $2Bn that prediction markets are going mainstream. Intercontinental Exchange (ICE), the parent company of the New York Stock Exchange, announced on Tuesday that it will invest up to $2Bn in crypto prediction platform Polymarket. The deal makes ICE a global distributor of Polymarket’s event-driven data and opens the door for future tokenization projects between the two firms. The investment values Polymarket at about $8Bn before the deal and $9Bn after, according to company statements. ICE shares rose in pre-market trading following the announcement. DISCOVER: 9+ Best High-Risk, High-Reward Crypto to Buy in October…
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Bitcoin price struggled to surpass $126,200 and corrected gains. BTC is now consolidating near $122,000 and might aim for a recovery wave. Bitcoin started a downside correction below the $125,000 level. The price is trading below $124,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $123,500 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might continue to move down if it trades below the $120,500 zone. Bitcoin Price Corrects Gains Bitcoin price extended gains above the $124,000 zone. BTC climbed above the $125,000 and $125,500 resistance levels before the bears appeared. A new high wa…
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The GBP/USD currency pair continued to trade lower on Tuesday, and we continue to view this movement as entirely illogical. In the EUR/USD article, we suggested that the euro pair is in a flat range on the daily timeframe. With GBP/USD, there's really no need to guess — the flat is plain to see. Given the traditionally high correlation between the euro and pound, there's every reason to assume that both currencies are trading sideways. If true, then the current decline in the pound is purely technical and has nothing to do with macroeconomic or fundamental factors. Even on the 4-hour chart, it's clear that the price has been bouncing around in every direction over the pas…
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On Tuesday, the EUR/USD currency pair continued trading lower. But why? Why is the U.S. dollar continuing to strengthen when all key factors seem to indicate it should be falling? The macroeconomic and fundamental background is virtually nonexistent, yet for once, the dollar is clearly in demand among traders. To understand what's going on, we need to look back at last week when the U.S. government shutdown began. The ADP employment report missed expectations by a wide margin, and the ISM business activity indices came in weak, showing figures nobody wanted to see. Yet even amid all this, the dollar remained resilient and even advanced on some days. This week, with no maj…
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GBP/USD 5-Minute Chart Analysis On Tuesday, the GBP/USD currency pair remained under pressure, despite the fact that the political crisis in France has no direct connection to the UK. In recent days, the British pound has been clearly trading within a classic flat range, observable on both the hourly and daily timeframes. So, these abrupt upward and downward moves are not surprising. Ideally, we prefer to see the dollar decline and the pound rise, as most fundamental and macroeconomic indicators still support this scenario. However, over the past several months, the market has consistently demonstrated an unwillingness to sell the dollar aggressively. It's also possib…
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EUR/USD 5-Minute Chart Analysis The EUR/USD currency pair remained under downward pressure throughout Tuesday. For the second consecutive day, the pair gravitated toward the downside. The political crisis in France remains the only noteworthy event so far this trading week, and we've already discussed that in earlier reviews. However, we do not believe this political development is significant or impactful enough to justify two days of sustained euro declines. In our view, the U.S. government shutdown carries far more weight in the eyes of traders. To be fair, the pair hasn't fallen too far — for two consecutive days, the 1.1657–1.1666 zone has halted the decline. The…
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Intercontinental Exchange, the same company that owns the New York Stock Exchange, is betting big on the future of prediction markets. ICE is investing up to $2 billion into Polymarket, a blockchain-powered platform that lets users bet on real-world events. That puts Polymarket’s valuation around $8 billion before any of this money even hits the table. From Wall Street to What’s Going to Happen Next Polymarket isn’t your typical trading platform. Instead of buying stocks or crypto, users wager on things like election outcomes, celebrity drama, or even sports results. The site had to pull out of the U.S. for a while after regulators questioned its legal status. Howev…
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Hyperliquid (HYPE) extended its pullback for a fifth straight session on Tuesday, sliding about 6% intraday to the $45–$46 zone after a sharp rejection at a reclaimed trendline. While near-term momentum has flipped bearish, several on-chain and market-structure cues still point to a potential rebound toward $55–$60 if buyers can quickly stabilize the price above key supports. Derivatives Tilt Bearish, but Spot Holds the Line Futures positioning has swung defensively, and according to Coinglass, the long-to-short ratio slipped to 0.80, its lowest in over a month, signaling traders are leaning short into weakness. Momentum indicators echo the caution, daily RSI near 45 …
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Grayscale has introduced staking within its spot Ethereum exchange-traded products. Investors holding the Ethereum Trust ETF (ETHE) and the Ethereum Mini Trust ETF (ETH) can now earn staking rewards as part of their investment. The company framed this as giving people more flexibility, letting some reinvest their rewards for compounding while others take cash payouts instead. A Milestone for U.S. Crypto ETFs This development marks a first in the U.S. Grayscale is the only asset manager so far to integrate staking rewards into spot Ethereum ETFs. The firm also expanded staking to its Solana Trust (GSOL), but that fund still needs regulatory approval before it can trade as…
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