Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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On the hourly chart, the GBP/USD pair on Tuesday continued a very sluggish upward move after consolidating above the 76.4% Fibonacci level at 1.3425. Thus, the pound's growth may continue today towards the next corrective levels at 1.3482 and 1.3528. Consolidation below 1.3425 or a rebound from 1.3482 would work in favor of the U.S. dollar and a pullback toward the nearest levels. The wave structure remains "bearish." The last completed downward wave broke the previous low, while the new upward wave has not yet broken the last high. The news background for the pound over the past two weeks has been negative, but I believe traders have already fully priced it in. This w…
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GBP/USD The British pound has settled below the support level of 1.3369. There is little remaining to reach the target level of 1.3253, which may be achieved today. A consolidation below this level will open the next target at 1.3140 — the low of August 1. The pound has no unclosed gap from the beginning of the week, unlike the euro, which allows it more freedom in its downward movement. On the four-hour chart, the price is slightly correcting from yesterday's low. The situation with the Marlin oscillator indicates that the correction will soon end, as the oscillator's signal line is about to encounter resistance from the forming line and the consolidation range. We are…
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On the hourly chart, the GBP/USD pair continued its upward movement on Wednesday. The rebound from the 50.0% retracement level at 1.3528 worked in favor of the U.S. dollar, leading to a slight decline with a close below the 61.8% Fibonacci level at 1.3482. Thus, today the pair's decline may continue toward 1.3425 and even the support level of 1.3332–1.3357. A consolidation above 1.3482 would allow expectations of renewed growth toward 1.3528 and 1.3574. The wave pattern remains "bearish." The last completed downward wave broke the previous low, while the new upward wave has not yet broken the last high. The news background for the pound over the past two weeks has been ne…
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GBP/USD By the end of Thursday, the price returned below the balance and MACD indicator lines. The daily close occurred 23 pips below the MACD line, marking a conditional consolidation under it and significantly increasing the likelihood of further decline. Support at 1.3364 is formally open. The Marlin oscillator turned downward while remaining in bearish territory. A close above the MACD line on Friday near 1.3475 would indicate conditional consolidation above it, opening the path to 1.3525. For now, the base scenario remains bearish. On the H4 chart, the price attempted conditional consolidation twice above the MACD line, but each time it closed firmly below it. Toda…
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- 25 👀 Traders
On the hourly chart, the GBP/USD pair on Thursday turned in favor of the U.S. dollar and declined to the 76.4% Fibonacci level at 1.3425. A rebound from this level worked in favor of the British pound and a resumption of growth toward 1.3528 and 1.3574. Fixing below the 1.3425 level will increase the probability of further decline toward the support zone of 1.3332–1.3357. The wave structure remains "bearish." The last completed downward wave broke the previous low, while the new upward wave has not yet broken the last peak. The news background for the pound has been negative over the past two weeks, but I believe it has already been fully priced in by traders. This week, …
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On the hourly chart, the GBP/USD pair on Tuesday rebounded from the 100.0% Fibonacci retracement level – 1.3587, turned in favor of the U.S. currency, and began a decline toward the 76.4% Fibonacci level – 1.3482. Today, the pair is stuck between two important levels, so the formation of new signals will depend on which direction the price moves during the day. The wave situation continues shifting toward "bullish." The last completed downward wave broke through two previous lows, while the new upward wave broke through the last two peaks. Thus, it can currently be considered that a new "bullish" trend is starting after more than two months of bearish dominance. That d…
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GBP/USD Sterling rose 40 pips yesterday against the backdrop of a 0.37% decline in the dollar index. However, this rise occurred on below-average volumes, which only underlines the risks of such a move in the absence of large players. The target level of 1.3631 could be reached, but this would hardly change the signals of the Marlin oscillator, which is poised to reverse from the upper boundary of its own channel. A consolidation above 1.3631 would open the target at 1.3700 – the upper boundary of the global 18-year descending price channel. A reversal from this level is also expected. A return below 1.3525, which would also correspond to moving under the MACD line, woul…
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On the hourly chart, the GBP/USD pair continued to rise on Monday, worked through the resistance zone of 1.3611–1.3620, and on Tuesday morning closed above it. Thus, the pound continues to gain momentum, bulls keep attacking, and quotes keep rising toward the next Fibonacci level of 127.2% – 1.3708. The wave structure continues to shift to a bullish stance. The last completed downward wave did not break the previous low, while the new upward wave broke the last peak. Therefore, the trend can currently be considered bullish. The news background does not allow bears to launch a serious offensive. On Monday, traders received no significant data, but bulls still kept press…
Last reply by Redator, -
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On the hourly chart, the GBP/USD pair on Tuesday continued its upward move and consolidated above the resistance zone of 1.3611–1.3620. Thus, the upward movement may extend today toward the next Fibonacci level at 1.3708. A decline in the pound will be considered only if the pair closes below the 100.0% Fibonacci level at 1.3587, with a target at 1.3482. The wave structure remains bullish. The last completed downward wave did not break the previous low, while the new upward wave easily broke the last peak. The news background does not allow bears to go on the offensive. The market expects strong monetary policy easing from the FOMC, which adds strength to bulls. At pre…
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- 16 👀 Traders
On the hourly chart, the GBP/USD pair on Wednesday rose to the 127.2% Fibonacci level at 1.3708, rebounded from it, and reversed in favor of the U.S. dollar, falling into the support zone of 1.3587–1.3620. Today, consolidation below this zone would allow for a continued decline toward the 76.4% corrective level at 1.3482. A rebound from the zone would work in favor of the pound and a return to growth toward 1.3708. The wave structure remains "bullish." The last completed downward wave did not break the previous low, while the last upward wave easily broke the previous peak. The news background does not allow bears to go on the offensive. The market expects strong monetar…
Last reply by Redator, -
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- 15 👀 Traders
On the hourly chart, the GBP/USD pair on Thursday consolidated below the support zone of 1.3587–1.3611, which allows for a continued decline of the pound toward the 76.4% retracement level at 1.3482. A rebound from 1.3482 followed by growth will keep the trend "bullish." However, over the past two days, developments have been unfavorable for bulls and for the pound. The wave structure remains "bullish." The last completed downward wave did not break the previous low, while the last upward wave easily broke the previous peak. For the most part, the news background this week was neutral for the pound, but Thursday and Friday spoiled the picture. The trend will shift to "…
Last reply by Redator, -
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GBP/USDBy the end of Friday, the price consolidated below the 1.3525 level and below the Kijun line on the daily scale. The price now only needs to break through the balance line (the red moving average). The Marlin oscillator has settled in the territory of a downward trend, so breaking through the balance line appears to be only a matter of time. The target level at 1.3364 is now open, and the price is moving toward it. The support at 1.3364 is strong, so a correction is possible from there. On the four-hour chart, the signal line of the Marlin oscillator shows signs of developing consolidation. With such behavior from the oscillator, the price may continue its declin…
Last reply by Redator, -
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- 11 👀 Traders
On the hourly chart, the GBP/USD pair continued its decline on Friday after consolidating below the 1.3587–1.3620 zone and ended the day with a close below the 76.4% Fibonacci level at 1.3482. This suggests that the pound's decline may continue toward the next support zone of 1.3416–1.3425. A consolidation above the 1.3482 level would work in favor of the British pound and could lead to some growth toward the 100.0% corrective level at 1.3587. The wave pattern has shifted to a "bearish" one. This happened suddenly and unexpectedly. The last upward wave broke the previous high, but the following downward wave easily broke the last low. The information backdrop was mostl…
Last reply by Redator, -
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- 19 👀 Traders
On the hourly chart, the GBP/USD pair on Wednesday formed a new reversal in favor of the U.S. dollar and consolidated below the 76.4% Fibonacci level at 1.3482, working through the support zone of 1.3416–1.3425. A rebound from this zone favored the pound and led to some growth toward 1.3482. A consolidation above this level will increase the likelihood of continued growth toward the next 100.0% corrective level at 1.3587. The wave situation has turned "bearish." This happened suddenly and unexpectedly. The last completed upward wave broke the previous high, but the last downward wave easily broke the previous low. The news background was mostly neutral for the pound la…
Last reply by Redator, -
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- 67 👀 Traders
On the hourly chart, the GBP/USD pair continued to decline on Thursday and ended the day within the support zone of 1.3332–1.3357. A rebound of quotes from this zone would work in favor of the pound and lead to some growth toward the 76.4% Fibonacci level at 1.3425. A consolidation of the pair below the 1.3332–1.3357 level would increase the likelihood of continued decline toward the next corrective level of 127.2% at 1.3226. The wave pattern has shifted to a bearish outlook. This happened suddenly and unexpectedly. The latest completed upward wave broke the previous peak, but the most recent downward wave easily broke the last low. The information background last week…
Last reply by Redator, -
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- 10 👀 Traders
On the hourly chart, the GBP/USD pair on Friday rebounded from the support zone of 1.3332–1.3357 and turned in favor of the pound. Today, consolidation above the 76.4% Fibonacci level – 1.3524 – was recorded, which allows for expectations of further growth toward 1.3482 and 1.3528. A close below 1.3425 would once again favor the U.S. dollar and a return to the 1.3332–1.3357 zone. The wave situation remains "bearish." The last completed downward wave broke the previous low, while the new upward wave has not yet broken the last peak. The news background for the pound has been negative over the past two weeks, but I believe traders have already fully priced this in. This w…
Last reply by Redator, -
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- 36 👀 Traders
On the hourly chart, the GBP/USD pair on Friday continued its upward movement after rebounding from the support zone of 1.3416–1.3425 and consolidated above the 76.4% retracement level at 1.3482. The rebound from this level overnight suggests further pound growth toward the next Fibonacci level of 100.0% at 1.3587. A move below 1.3482 would favor the U.S. dollar and some decline toward the 1.3416–1.3425 level. The wave structure remains "bearish." The last completed downward wave broke through two previous lows at once, while the latest upward wave has not yet managed to surpass the previous peak. The news background has played a significant role in shaping the waves w…
Last reply by Redator, -
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- 38 👀 Traders
On the hourly chart, the GBP/USD pair on Monday rebounded from the 76.4% Fibonacci level at 1.3482, reversed in favor of the pound, and began a new upward move. Today, a rebound from the 100.0% corrective level at 1.3587 or from the resistance zone 1.3611–1.3620 will work in favor of the U.S. currency and a certain pullback. A breakout above these two resistances will increase the likelihood of further growth for the pound toward the next corrective level at 127.2% – 1.3708. The wave situation is beginning to shift to "bullish." The last completed wave down broke through two previous lows, while the new upward wave broke the last two peaks. Thus, at this point, one can…
Last reply by Redator, -
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The Canadian dollar continues to weaken against the U.S. dollar, with no notable fluctuations, largely due to a relatively steady decline in oil prices (yesterday, -1.50%). The Marlin oscillator has settled in positive territory and is poised to turn upward. A breakout above the resistance level of 1.3958 (the high from September 26) opens the way to the next target at 1.4060. The first sign of a potential alternative (bearish) scenario for the Canadian dollar would be a decline below the 1.3890 level (high from September 11 and yesterday's low). However, a more significant signal would be a break below the 1.3860 level, which would open the path toward 1.3810. On the …
Last reply by Redator, -
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USD/CAD On the daily chart of USD/CAD, a relatively weak, likely corrective divergence has formed. The price reversed from the target level of 1.3977. The MACD line is approaching the 1.3878 level at a steep upward angle. Likely, the intersection point of the MACD line with the target level will create a point of attraction and, at the same time, a potential reversal point for the next upward movement, as illustrated by the dashed line in the chart. A consolidation of the price below the 1.3878 level and also below the MACD line will deepen the decline to the 1.3810 level—either to create a false breakout or for a medium-term downward move. On the four-hour chart, the s…
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Today's labor data from Japan showed a jump in the August unemployment rate from 2.3% to 2.6% (forecast: 2.4%). According to market participants, such figures will slow the Bank of Japan's monetary tightening. Considering that the yen has spent 2.5 months in the 146.29–149.38 range precisely in anticipation of tightening signals, after a signal pointing to easing, the pair may break out of the range upward. On the daily chart, we see that the upper boundary of the range at 149.38 will soon align with the MACD line, so their overlap may provoke another strong price surge, continuing the uptrend. The target is the 151.70–152.10 range. The Marlin oscillator is close to ente…
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We introduce you to the daily updated section of Forex analytics where you will find reviews from forex experts, up-to-date monitoring of financial information as well as online forecasts of exchange rates of the US dollar, euro, ruble, bitcoin, and other currencies for today, tomorrow and this trading week.Useful links: My other articles are available in this section InstaForex course for beginners Popular Analytics Open trading account Important: The begginers in forex trading need to be very careful when making decisions about entering the market. Before the release of important reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid being caught in sharp market fluctu…
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We introduce you to the daily updated section of Forex analytics where you will find reviews from forex experts, up-to-date monitoring of financial information as well as online forecasts of exchange rates of the US dollar, euro, ruble, bitcoin, and other currencies for today, tomorrow and this trading week.Useful links: My other articles are available in this section InstaForex course for beginners Popular Analytics Open trading account Important: The begginers in forex trading need to be very careful when making decisions about entering the market. Before the release of important reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid being caught in sharp market fluctu…
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We introduce you to the daily updated section of Forex analytics where you will find reviews from forex experts, up-to-date monitoring of financial information as well as online forecasts of exchange rates of the US dollar, euro, ruble, bitcoin, and other currencies for today, tomorrow and this trading week.Useful links: My other articles are available in this section InstaForex course for beginners Popular Analytics Open trading account Important: The begginers in forex trading need to be very careful when making decisions about entering the market. Before the release of important reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid being caught in sharp market fluctu…
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We introduce you to the daily updated section of Forex analytics where you will find reviews from forex experts, up-to-date monitoring of financial information as well as online forecasts of exchange rates of the US dollar, euro, ruble, bitcoin, and other currencies for today, tomorrow and this trading week.Useful links: My other articles are available in this section InstaForex course for beginners Popular Analytics Open trading account Important: The begginers in forex trading need to be very careful when making decisions about entering the market. Before the release of important reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid being caught in sharp market fluctu…
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