Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12179 tópicos neste fórum
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Raoul Pal’s latest “Journey Man” episode brings back Michael Howell, CEO of CrossBorder Capital, for a sweeping tour of the liquidity landscape that has propelled risk assets like crypto for nearly three years. Both agree the global liquidity cycle is “late,” still advancing but increasingly mature, with its eventual peak most likely pushed into 2026 by policy engineering, bill-heavy issuance, and rising use of private-sector conduits. The investment implication running through the conversation is unambiguous: long-duration assets—crypto and technology equities—remain the primary beneficiaries of ongoing currency debasement, yet the endgame is now visible on the horizon …
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A bold forecast has stirred debate in crypto circles. Based on reports, a long-time investor known as Pumpius argues that XRP could one day trade at a whopping $1 million per coin! That’s a huge jump from its current price near $2. The prediction rests on the idea that XRP will become the main bridge asset in a tokenized global economy worth up to $1 quadrillion. Tokenization Efforts Gain Ground According to Pumpius, Ripple is quietly moving real-world assets onto its blockchain. A government-backed real estate token pilot in Colombia is already under way. Reports have disclosed that Ripple has rolled out massive network upgrades. Then, there’s also a $100 million com…
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Tether Holdings SA, issuer of the world’s largest stablecoin, is said to have stockpiled $8 billion worth of gold in a secure vault in Switzerland, according to a Bloomberg report. In a statement to Bloomberg this week, the El Salvador-based crypto firm confirmed that it holds around 80 metric tons of gold, the majority of which are owned outright by the company. The amount, it adds, makes Tether “one of the largest gold holders in the world outside of banks and nation states,” comparable to that of UBS Group. Tether is the issuer of the USDT stablecoin, a cryptocurrency whose value is pegged to the USD on a near one-to-one basis. The company receives dollars in r…
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The Ethereum price outlook is heating up as market optimism collides with shifting monetary policy signals. BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes has projected that Ethereum could surge to $20,000, citing strengthening market dynamics and favorable macro conditions. The bold forecast comes just as Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell adopts a more dovish tone, indicating a possibility of future rate cuts. Ethereum Price Projected To Hit Five Figures Hayes has issued a bold Ethereum price forecast, predicting that the second-largest cryptocurrency could soar as high as $10,000 or even $20,000 before the end of the cycle. In a recent interview, the BitMEX co-founder dismissed the…
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Justin Bons, the founder and CIO of Cyber Capital, has issued a stark warning about Bitcoin’s (BTC) future, predicting that the world’s largest cryptocurrency could collapse in the coming years. The crypto founder has cited Bitcoin’s declining security model and shrinking block rewards as some of the indicators of this seemingly inevitable crash. Bitcoin Forecasted To Collapse Within 7-11 Years This week, the crypto community was shaken by a striking prediction from Bons, who warned that Bitcoin could face a catastrophic collapse within the next decade. According to an X social media post released by the Cyber Capital founder, the foundations of Bitcoin’s security model…
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Ethereum has finally broken above the critical $2,850 level, igniting momentum across the broader altcoin market. After weeks of sideways trading, this breakout marks a potential turning point, as many altcoins followed ETH’s lead with sharp upward moves. Analysts are calling this shift the early stages of a new altseason — a period where alternative cryptocurrencies outperform Bitcoin and deliver significant gains. Among those spotlighting Ethereum’s strength is Ryan Sean Adams, founder of Mythos Capital, who took to X to highlight the strategic evolution of Ethereum’s positioning. “The ETH community has executed blue money gospel marvelously over the past 2 months,” h…
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BitMEX co-founder and crypto investor, Arthur Hayes, has outlined the key catalysts that could drive the Ethereum price to a $10,000 all-time high by year-end. In a detailed market analysis, Hayes explains how expanding US credit policies, growing institutional interests, and a shift toward wartime economic strategies could create the ideal conditions for a major ETH price rally. Ethereum Price Set To Hit $10,000 By Year End On July 23, Hayes published an in-depth report on Substack, analyzing geopolitical trends and how they could create the ideal conditions for a major Ethereum price surge. The crypto founder has set a bold target of $10,000 for ETH by the end of 2025…
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The market has been gaining momentum in recent weeks, with industry leaders suggesting that the Bitcoin price is only at the beginning of its next major rally. As the digital asset shows resilience against broader market volatility, Adam Back, the co-founder and Chief Executive Officer of Blockstream, a blockchain technology company, has made a bold prediction that Bitcoin at $100,000 is still cheap. The crypto founder believes the flagship cryptocurrency holds far greater potential, predicting its real peak value for this cycle. Why Bitcoin Price At $100,000 Is Still Cheap Back, a long-time advocate of Bitcoin, recently emphasized that the market continues to underesti…
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Recent commentary from the Kobeissi Letter has underscored a troubling trend in the capital markets: crypto-focused funds have encountered substantial outflows, with a notable $2 billion exiting last week alone. This marks the most significant withdrawal since February and extends a concerning streak, bringing total outflows to $3.2 billion over the last three weeks. Bitcoin And Ethereum Face Massive Withdrawals Leading these outflows is the market’s leading crypto, Bitcoin (BTC), which experienced a massive $1.4 billion in withdrawals, while the second largest cryptocurrency, Ethereum (ETH), followed closely with $689 million. As a result of these dynamics, the aver…
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Crypto asset investment products experienced another challenging week as capital outflows continued for a second consecutive period. According to the latest report from CoinShares, a total of $584 million exited crypto-focused investment vehicles, pushing the two-week cumulative outflows to $1.2 billion. This movement coincides with investor uncertainty surrounding the likelihood of interest rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve this year, which James Butterfill, Head of Research at CoinShares, believes is contributing to waning sentiment in the market. Butterfill attributed the investor pullback to growing skepticism about macroeconomic policy shifts, particularly rate r…
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Since late 2024, BBVA’s private‑banking arm in Switzerland has been quietly advising clients to add Bitcoin and Ether to their holdings. According to Philippe Meyer, who leads digital and blockchain solutions at BBVA Switzerland, wealthy customers should allocate between 3% and 7% of their portfolios to crypto. Based on reports, this advice aims to boost returns without exposing investors to outsized risk. Early Adoption Timeline BBVA began executing crypto trades in 2021 for a handful of clients. By September 2024, Meyer says the bank had started formally recommending a 3% Bitcoin stake in balanced portfolios. Now, risk‑tolerant clients can move up to 7% into digital …
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What to Know: 2025 is on pace to eclipse 2024’s $2.2B theft total, with this year’s Bybit exploit underscoring rising attack sophistication and concentration risk. Non-custodial architecture, MPC key management, and transaction-level defenses address the real attack surface end users face today. Emerging MPC self-custody apps like Best Wallet are rising to meet growing retail demand for hot wallet security. The $BEST token presale is set to hit $20M before its November 28 end date, highlighting increased investor interest. For all the regulation talk going on lately, crypto crime didn’t cool off. No, 2025 turned up the heat. Blockchain forensics tally billions siphone…
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As the market soared in July, crypto hacks also saw a significant increase from the previous month, with crypto exchanges losing over $100 million in the past 30 days. This follows a concerning trend that has been developing this year, which suggests that theft from digital asset services could reach a new milestone by the end of 2025. Crypto Exchanges Lose $114 Million In July On Friday, security firm PeckShield noted that the total losses from crypto hacks reached $142 million in July, with crypto exchanges topping the list. CoinDCX, GMX, and BigONE recorded 80% of the total losses. Notably, Indian exchange CoinDCX suffered the highest loss of the month after a secur…
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Crypto scammers have evolved their tactics. According to a recent report by the blockchain security firm CertiK, crypto hacks have evolved into social engineering of victims to reveal sensitive information instead of targeting contract vulnerabilities. So far in 2025, more than $2.2 billion has been stolen from investors by crypto hackers. The report by CertiK suggests that a sizeable chunk of these crypto hacks have come from phishing attacks and wallet compromises. Additionally, the report emphasises that a few major incidents among numerous hacks have caused significant losses and can be traced back to state-backed perpetrators or critical infrastructure flaws. Not…
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Global liquidity specialist Michael Howell used an appearance on the Bankless podcast to deliver a clear, if uncomfortable, message for risk assets: the post-GFC “everything bubble” is ending as the global refinancing machine rolls over, and crypto is late in that cycle rather than at the start of a fresh one. Howell’s starting point is his own definition of liquidity, which diverges sharply from textbook aggregates like M2. “This is the flow of money through global financial markets,” he said. It is not bank deposits in the real economy, but “money that is in the financial markets… it looks at the repo markets, it considers shadow banking,” and “pretty much begins where…
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Crypto markets awoke on Wednesday to the first meaningful bout of selling in more than a month, and Kev Capital TA did not sound surprised. In a late-night livestream, the analyst told viewers that Bitcoin’s failure to clear the “brick-wall” band between $120,000 and $123,000 had made an altcoin shake-out “the most obvious pullback spot ever,” capping four straight weeks of euphoric gains across Ethereum, Solana, Dogecoin, XRP and the rest of the sector. Crypto Bulls Crushed: Why Altcoins Ran Out Of Gas “Daily RSIs were at ninety on everything, including ETH, while Bitcoin was pinned under one-twenty,” he said. “That is a textbook sell wall. You don’t blast through that …
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Crypto in Asia keeps gaining momentum. Another busy week in the Asian crypto landscape brings fresh partnerships, policy moves and cross-border shakeups. From Seoul to Abu Dhabi, crypto in Asia is setting new benchmarks for the cryptosphere. Here’s what transpired this week. Trump-Backed WLFI Expands Crypto In Asia Through South Korea’s Bithumb The South Korean crypto exchange Bithumb has partnered with World Liberty Financial (WLF), a US President Trump-linked crypto firm. The initiative aims to support the growth of decentralised finance (DeFi) worldwide. According to the official statement released on 23 September 2025, the deal aims to explore business opportunitie…
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While Bitcoin and Ethereum continue to struggle for bullish momentum, news has emerged that a group of top crypto industry executives is set to meet with pro-crypto Democratic senators. The meeting, scheduled for tomorrow, aims to discuss the future of cryptocurrency market structure legislation. This dialogue could certainly provide much-needed support to the market on the condition that it proves successful. The discussions are expected to cover key topics such as the classification of digital assets, licensing requirements for crypto exchanges, anti-money laundering measures, and taxation policies. The outcome of this meeting may significantly influence the directi…
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After a summer marked by cautious investor sentiment and shifting priorities across the sector, new figures show that capital flows into crypto are starting to cool. Overall funding for crypto protocols was down 30% in August, sliding to nearly $2 billion from July’s $2.67 billion, according to DeFiLlama. Funding Dips Yet Quarter Gains Based on reports, third-quarter totals reached $4.57 billion in just two months, pushing past Q2’s $4.54 billion. That shows money is still moving, even if monthly flows look cooler compared with past peaks. At the start of 2022, monthly raises hit about $7 billion. Numbers have come down since then, but 2025 has shown several big spike…
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The US markets have seen a surge of digital coins. Millions of Americans now hold tokens in their wallets. Blocking all of it suddenly would be nearly impossible. At the same time, leaving this sector with no rules puts everyday investors in harm’s way. Why Ban Is Off The Table According to Bloomberg columnist Matt Levine, outright banning crypto is off the table. He points out that tens of millions of people own digital assets today. Pulling the plug now would ripple through trading platforms, payment apps, and even major Wall Street firms. Levine argues that such a move would simply drive innovation and jobs offshore. Hostile Past Still Looms Under former SEC Chair …
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Arthur Hayes argues that the next leg of the crypto cycle will be driven not by a headline pivot to quantitative easing, but by a “stealth” version executed through the Federal Reserve’s Standing Repo Facility (SRF). In a new essay titled “Hallelujah” published on November 4, 2025, the former BitMEX CEO lays out a balance-sheet-driven case that persistent US fiscal deficits, hedge-fund demand for Treasuries financed via repo, and the Fed’s need to cap funding stress will translate into incremental dollar liquidity that ultimately “pumps the price of Bitcoin and other cryptos.” As he frames the core mechanism: “Government issued debt grows the money supply.” Hayes’ logic …
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Arthur Hayes, BitMEX co-founder, thinks Bitcoin will hit $250,000 and Ethereum will break $10,000 in 2025. Global credit growth and institutional demand will lift valuation. The crypto rally of 2025 has been unprecedented. By August 2024, many thought Bitcoin and some of the best cryptos to buy were teetering on the brink. It could have been a different story if Kamala Harris had won. Instead, Donald Trump emerged victorious, and his crypto-friendly policies lifted Bitcoin above $75,000, an all-time high, to over $100,000 by December 2024. Although prices cooled in Q1 2025, the comeback saw BTC ▲0.08% spike from $110,000 to $112,000, then to $113,000, before surging to…
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The cryptocurrency market faced a brutal shake-up as Bitcoin slipped below the $115,000 mark and Ethereum dropped under $4,500, erasing weeks of bullish momentum. What started as a period of cautious optimism quickly turned into a wave of panic selling, leaving bulls struggling to regain control. The sharp correction has pushed the market into a new, uncertain phase where confidence is being tested, and short-term volatility is dominating sentiment. Top analyst Maartunn highlighted one of the key drivers behind the downturn: an overleveraged derivatives market. In the last 24 hours alone, the crypto market witnessed $597 million in BTC and ETH long liquidations, marking…
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The cryptocurrency derivatives market has suffered heavy liquidations as altcoins like XRP (XRP) and Dogecoin (DOGE) have plummeted. Crypto Has Seen Almost $1 Billion In Liquidations During The Past Day According to data from CoinGlass, the cryptocurrency derivatives sector has been shaken up by a wave of liquidations in the last 24 hours. “Liquidation” here refers to the forceful closure that any open contract undergoes when its losses exceed a certain percentage (as defined by the platform). Below is a table that breaks down the numbers related to the latest liquidations in the digital assets market: As displayed, the cryptocurrency sector has seen a whopping $967 …
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Investors are awaiting the release of the PCE indices. If the PCE figures come in weaker than forecast (and especially weaker than the previous readings), signaling a slowdown in inflation, the dollar will almost certainly resume its decline. On the other hand, a stream of positive macroeconomic data from the US and lingering risks of further inflation growth are contributing to dollar strength. Therefore, both a renewed decline and a continuation of the upward correction are possible. Meanwhile, a downward correction continues on the crypto market, partly due to the strengthening of the dollar. For instance, Ethereum (ETH) yesterday dropped below 3,900.00 for the first …
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