Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12183 tópicos neste fórum
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Analysis of Trades and Tips for Trading the British PoundThe test of the price level at 1.3025 occurred when the MACD indicator was beginning its downward movement from the zero mark, confirming the correct entry point for selling the pound. However, the pair did not fall, which resulted in a loss. According to the ADP report, the number of jobs exceeded economists' forecasts. This unexpected jump strengthened the U.S. dollar, but there was no significant sell-off in GBP/USD. Today promises to be another interesting day. A decision on the main interest rate and the Bank of England's monetary policy report are ahead, along with a speech from Governor Andrew Bailey. While t…
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Analysis of Trades and Tips for Trading the EuroThe test of the price level at 1.1490 coincided with the MACD indicator moving significantly above the zero line, which limited the pair's upward potential. For this reason, I did not buy euros. The second test at 1.1490 occurred when the MACD was in the overbought area, allowing the execution of Sell Scenario #2 on the euro, resulting in a 20-pip decline in the pair. The ADP data showed an increase of 42,000 in the number of employed, while economists expected a smaller increase. This surprise prompted many to revise their forecasts for the labor market, as the ADP is often viewed as a preliminary indicator of the broader e…
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Bitcoin has just slightly recovered to around $104,000, but for now, this looks like nothing more than a minor correction before another plunge in the cryptocurrency market. Ethereum has also reached $3,480 and then paused. According to recent data, long-term investors in Bitcoin sold approximately 400,000 BTC last month, amounting to $45 billion. Clearly, such a volume of sales disrupted market stability, which we are currently witnessing. Ongoing selling pressures compound the current market crash, as seasoned participants actively realize profits. This is mainly due to macroeconomic uncertainty stemming from the U.S. government shutdown, which continues to affect all …
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An analyst has pointed out how Cardano is retesting a level that has helped the asset’s price rebound multiple times during the past year. Cardano Is Retesting The Support Level Of A Parallel Channel In a new post on X, analyst Ali Martinez has shared a pattern forming in the daily price of Cardano. The pattern in question is a Parallel Channel, a type of consolidation channel from technical analysis (TA). A Parallel Channel forms whenever an asset’s price trades between two parallel trendlines. If the channel has a positive slope relative to the graph axes, the pattern is called an Ascending Channel. Similarly, the trendlines pointing down create a Descending Channel.…
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Despite favorable conditions for growth, the U.S. dollar remains unnoticed by market participants. A fairly positive ADP report regarding the U.S. labor market only slightly helped the dollar strengthen its position yesterday. Traders seemed to prefer waiting for more official employment data from the Labor Department; however, it will take a while before the next report is released, likely due to the ongoing U.S. government shutdown. Strong labor market indicators could prompt the Federal Reserve to adopt a more hawkish policy, as mentioned last week by Fed Chair Jerome Powell. Today, several reports are expected in the first half of the day, including changes in industr…
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Solana started a fresh decline below the $162 zone. SOL price is now attempting to recover and faces hurdles near the $166 zone. SOL price started a fresh decline below $165 and $162 against the US Dollar. The price is now trading below $165 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at $155 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The price could continue to move up if it clears $165 and $166. Solana Price Attempts Recovery Wave Solana price failed to remain stable above $175 and started a fresh decline, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. SOL declined below the $170 and $165 support leve…
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Analysis of Macroeconomic Reports: Several macroeconomic reports are scheduled for Thursday. Germany will release its industrial production report for September, while the Eurozone will publish retail sales data for September. It is important to remind novice traders that on Monday and Wednesday, the market ignored much more significant ISM activity indices for the services and manufacturing sectors from the U.S., as well as the only labor market report currently published—the ADP report. Market movements remain purely technical. Analysis of Fundamental Events: Many fundamental events are scheduled for Thursday, but only one is truly significant. The Bank of…
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Trade Analysis for Wednesday: 1H Chart of the GBP/USD Pair The GBP/USD currency pair remained stagnant on Wednesday. If the U.S. dollar had continued to rise yesterday, it would not have come as a surprise, as there were solid reasons for the dollar to rise—namely, the ISM services activity index and the ADP report both showed higher values than anticipated. However, there is still very little logic in the current market movements. More precisely, the dependency of movements on macroeconomic and fundamental factors is minimal. The GBP/USD pair continues to trade based solely on technical factors. The situation we observe is as follows: on Monday and Tuesday, the doll…
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Trade Analysis for Wednesday: 1H Chart of the EUR/USD Pair The EUR/USD currency pair once again exhibited absurd movements on Wednesday. This time, the market ignored positive U.S. macroeconomic data, reaffirming our assumptions about the illogical current strength of the dollar and the independence of the ongoing movement from fundamentals and macroeconomic factors. Recall that on Monday, the ISM manufacturing activity index from the U.S. was ignored, coming in much worse than expected. On Wednesday, the ISM services activity index was also disregarded, which was significantly better than forecasts. Simultaneously, the market paid no attention to the ADP report, wh…
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The HYPE price has rebounded sharply, recovering from recent volatility that saw a $44 million whale liquidation earlier this week, which rattled traders. After plunging to around $36, the HYPE price surged over 7% in the past 24 hours, now trading around $40 as bullish sentiment returns. The rally follows its landmark listings on Binance and Coinbase, a move that has sparked renewed confidence in the fast-rising DeFi Layer 1 network. According to on-chain data from Coinglass, funding rates have flipped positive while whale accumulation has increased. Analysts suggest the next HYPE price target could be the $51.15 resistance level if buying pressure continues, with RSI…
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Gold is trading around $3,984 within the descending trend channel formed on October 22nd and above the 200 EMA and the 21 SMA, suggesting the possibility of an upward move, though this remains to be seen. Gold is close to a decisive breakout above the descending trend channel, and we could expect a strong upward move, potentially reaching the 6/8 Murray level around $4,062 and even the 7/8 Murray level around $4,218. Conversely, if gold falls below the 200 EMA at $3,961, we could expect the bearish cycle to resume, potentially reaching the 5/8 Murray level around $3,906 and even the 4/8 Murray level around $3,750. The outlook remains bullish for gold. As long as the instr…
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Bitcoin is trading around $103,125 above the 1/8 Murray level, bouncing after reaching the bottom of the descending trend channel formed on October 24th around $98,400. If Bitcoin pulls back towards the psychological $100,000 level in the next few hours, we could see this area as a buying opportunity, as we expect it to continue recovering some of its losses, and we believe this will be seen as a buy signal. Should Bitcoin consolidate below the psychological $100,000 level, it could test the key support around the -1/8 Murray level located at $96,875. The Eagle indicator is showing oversold signals, so any pullback while the price trades above $100,000 will be seen as an …
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EUR/USD is trading at 1.1504, rebounding after the consolidation above the 6/8 Murray level in recent sessions. This positive bias suggests that the euro will likely continue its rise in the coming hours, potentially reaching the 7/8 Murray level at 1.1596. If the euro undergoes a technical correction towards 1.1474 in the next few hours, we could consider this area a key buying level with targets at 1.1544 and 1.1596. Let me remind you that the euro left a gap around 1.1740 in October, so we believe that the euro could resume its upward cycle in the coming days and reach these resistance levels, thus covering the gap. The Eagle indicator is showing a positive signal, sug…
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Solana’s active validator count has dropped from about 2,500 to under 900 since early 2023, roughly a 64% decline. Even so, people working in the ecosystem say the network is stronger today. They note that many of the validators that left were slow or caused problems for the chain’s performance. With those operators gone, congestion has eased, and the system now runs more smoothly. Tomas Eminger, Chief Infrastructure Officer at RockawayX, noted that a large portion of existing validators were using outdated hardware, unable to support Solana’s expanding activity. DISCOVER: 9+ Best High-Risk, High-Reward Crypto to Buy in November2025 What Does the ‘Three-for-One’ Vali…
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XRP price started a recovery wave from $2.050. The price is now back above $2.25 and might attempt to surpass the $2.420 resistance zone. XRP price was able to start a recovery wave above $2.20. The price is now trading above $2.250 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There was a break above a bearish trend line with resistance at $2.240 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could continue to move up if it clears $2.420. XRP Price Starts Recovery XRP price extended losses below $2.25 and $2.20, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price dipped below the $2.150 and $2.120 levels. A low was formed at $2.066, and the price recently s…
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The crypto market looks beaten down again, but one veteran investor says that may be the exact signal to stay calm. Bitwise Chief Investment Officer Matt Hougan believes Bitcoin’s deep sell-off — now dragging prices below $102,000 for the first time since the last five months — is more about panic than fundamentals. Retail Sentiment At ‘Max Desperation’ Hougan told CNBC this week that small traders are hitting a breaking point. “It’s almost a tale of two markets,” he said, describing what he sees as “max desperation” among retail investors after months of heavy losses and leverage blowouts. He called the mood the most depressed he’s ever witnessed in crypto. For him, …
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Mastercard has joined forces with Ripple and Gemini to test a new way to settle credit card transactions using the RLUSD stablecoin on the XRP Ledger. The plan would connect Gemini’s credit card, which is issued through WebBank, to a blockchain-based system where settlement happens using RLUSD instead of the usual behind-the-scenes bank transfers. The project is expected to roll out in the coming months, once it clears regulatory reviews and participating partners are officially onboarded. A Regulated Stablecoin on a Public Ledger This isn’t just another blockchain test. It would mark one of the first times a fully regulated U.S. bank steps into a public blockchain to s…
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Metaplanet Inc., the Tokyo‑listed company building a large Bitcoin treasury, has taken out a $100 million loan backed by a portion of its existing Bitcoin holdings. The company drew from a credit facility on October 31 and pledged part of its 30,823 BTC stash, which was valued at about $3.5 billion at the time. The loan uses a floating interest rate linked to U.S. dollar benchmarks and can be repaid whenever the company chooses. Metaplanet says the pledged collateral represents only a small slice of its bitcoin reserve, which it points to as evidence of its conservative approach to leverage. Borrowing to Buy More Instead of Selling Rather than sell bitcoin to free up c…
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Ethereum price started a fresh decline below $3,500. ETH is attempting to recover from $3,050 but faces resistance near $3,500. Ethereum started another bearish wave after it settled below $3,550. The price is trading below $3,500 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There was a break above a bearish trend line with resistance at $3,410 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could continue to move down if it trades below $3,320. Ethereum Price Faces Resistance Ethereum price failed to stay in a positive zone and started a fresh decline below $3,500, like Bitcoin. ETH price declined below $3,450 and $3,350 to enter a bearish zone. The decl…
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Dogecoin (DOGE) is showing renewed weakness after a week of heavy whale distribution and technical breakdowns that erased much of its recent recovery. As traders brace for further declines, analysts warn that the meme coin could tumble below the $0.15 threshold if bearish sentiment persists. Currently trading at around $0.163, Dogecoin fell 5% to $0.16 on Tuesday, breaking below critical support levels amid intensified institutional selling. On-chain data reveals that large holders offloaded more than 1 billion DOGE in the past week, translating to roughly $440 million in outflows. 1 Billion DOGE Sell-Off Intensifies Selling Pressure The recent $1 billion sell-off came…
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Bitcoin price is struggling below $105,000. BTC could continue to move down if it stays below the $104,200 resistance. Bitcoin started a fresh decline below the $104,000 support. The price is trading below $104,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There was a break above a bearish trend line with resistance at $103,000 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might continue to move down if it fails to surpass the $105,000 zone. Bitcoin Price Faces Resistance Bitcoin price failed to stay above the $105,000 support level and started a fresh decline. BTC dipped below $103,500 and $102,000 to enter a bearish zone. The decline was …
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The question dominating crypto desks this week is whether the cycle is intact, and when the bull run will return. Two widely followed macro commentators sketched the same causal chain from public-sector cash management to crypto asset beta, arguing that the current drawdown is a liquidity story first and a sentiment story second—and that its reversal hinges on the mechanics of the US Treasury General Account (TGA), Federal Reserve balance-sheet policy, and the timing of Washington’s reopening. Crypto Market Awaits US Government Shutdown Resolution Macro analyst @plur_daddy on X summarizes the current state bluntly: “We are seeing the contraction in liquidity flowing thro…
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The GBP/USD currency pair struggled to avoid a new collapse on Wednesday. Yesterday, we pointed out that there were no grounds for a new fall of the British currency. We maintain that view today. Many experts believe the decline in the British currency, which has been falling for a month and a half, is due to the new speech by UK Chancellor Rachel Reeves. Is this true? Let's not hide the fact that Reeves is like a red rag to a bull for currency traders. As soon as traders see the word "Reeves," they immediately start to divest from the British currency to avoid potential losses. However, it is essential to remember that we seek not emotions but concrete and logical argume…
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The EUR/USD currency pair traded very weakly again on Wednesday, maintaining a downward inclination. The only significant events of the day included the ISM services activity index from the U.S. and the ADP report, which is now the only report on which market participants can base their judgments about the U.S. labor market. However, we will discuss macroeconomic data further on. In this article (despite its fundamental nature), we will focus on the most important factor driving the pair down for over a month. The daily timeframe best illustrates the current situation on the currency market. We frequently mention this because it is indeed true. It is worth recalling that …
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Analysis of GBP/USD 5M The GBP/USD currency pair managed to avoid a new decline on Wednesday —what is it? A calm before a new storm? Or before another fall of the British pound? Recall that today in the UK, the results of the Bank of England meeting will be announced, and any deviation in the interest rate, in the voting on the rate, or in the central bank's accompanying statement from market expectations could provoke a significant movement. However, on Wednesday, at least two reports from the U.S. could have triggered a good movement. But instead, we saw a flat market throughout the day. We already noted that the ADP report came in better than forecasts, but it is i…
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