Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12183 tópicos neste fórum
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Bitcoin has pushed back above the $90,000 level after several days of intense selling pressure, bringing a brief moment of relief to a market overwhelmed by fear and uncertainty. Despite the rebound, bulls remain under pressure as speculation of an incoming bear market continues to grow. Many investors are still digesting the sharp correction from October’s all-time high, and confidence has yet to fully return. According to top analyst Darkfost, one of the key indicators reinforcing this cautious environment is the Coinbase Premium Index, which remains negative. This metric compares Bitcoin’s price on Coinbase — the preferred exchange for US institutions and professiona…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Solana (SOL) is showing remarkable resilience this week, holding firmly above the critical $140 support zone despite heightened market anxiety following a $37 million hack on South Korea’s Upbit exchange. The stability comes at a time when institutional interest in Solana is accelerating, highlighted by Franklin Templeton’s recent Form 8-A filing with the U.S. SEC to launch a Solana ETF. Franklin Templeton’s Solana ETF Fuels Institutional Momentum The global investment giant, which manages $1.67 trillion in assets, is positioning itself at the forefront of crypto-focused investment products. The proposed ETF would offer regulated exposure to Solana without requiring …
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Yesterday's rally in the pair encountered resistance around the 100-hour Simple Moving Average (SMA) near 156.70. This level has become a key barrier before further broad-based growth. A sustained move above this level would allow spot prices to overcome the round 157.00 level, continuing the rise toward intermediate resistance at 157.20, then 157.50, and eventually reaching the 158.00 round level — the highest value since mid-January, which was nearly reached last week. On the other hand, a decline below the Asian session low near 155.70, as well as the previous Asian session low around 155.65, will open the path to deeper losses, pushing USD/JPY toward the psychological…
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A crypto analyst has issued a decisive projection that challenges the long timelines often associated with major price milestones for Bitcoin. His outlook was presented in response to the ultra-bullish forecasts from Michael Saylor and Jack Mallers, who have spoken openly about the possibility of Bitcoin reaching between $1 million and $20 million per coin. Rather than focusing on Bitcoin’s distant targets, the analyst directed attention to XRP, insisting that XRP will reach $100 long before Bitcoin touches the seven-figure mark. Analyst Says XRP Will Reach $100 Before Bitcoin’s Million-Dollar Target There have been many bullish predictions of Bitcoin breaking above th…
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Log in to today's North American session Market wrap for November 27 American traders have taken a break after weeks of volatility, and when the US is off, the entire market feels off. Market participants from around the globe tend to take their day off when US markets are closed, due to a considerably lower amount of transactions, which generates a self-nourishing effect of market boredom. Still, a few pairs and names generated some movement today, counting the New Zealand Dollar (NZD) on a second day of gains after publishing a strong beat on their Retail Sales number yesterday evening. The Kiwi enjoyed the most recent RBNZ 25 basis point cut to 2.25%, as the market …
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XRP is under intense selling pressure as the broader crypto market enters a decisive stage marked by fear, uncertainty, and a rapid shift in investor sentiment. With Bitcoin struggling to recover and altcoins posting steep losses, many analysts are warning that XRP could face a continued decline in the coming days. Investors are bracing for more volatility as liquidity thins and market confidence weakens. Yet, despite the bearish narrative, the XRP ecosystem has shown unusual levels of activity—particularly on the institutional front. The arrival of the first US spot XRP ETFs has reshaped its market profile. Canary Capital was the first to launch on November 13, soon fo…
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Karnalyte Resources announced the completion of an updated feasibility study for the Wynyard deposit in central Saskatchewan, which highlights a projected mine life of 70 years and reveals positive economics that establish a foundation for long-term, stable returns from the project. The Wynyard project is located 175 km east of Saskatoon, within a recognized potash belt. This area is in proximity to established producers and has access to infrastructure for serving North American and export markets. The unique project involves mining from a carnallite deposit, which includes both potassium chloride (KCl) and magnesium chloride (MgCl2), allowing for the production of p…
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The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) lowered the interest rate by a quarter of a point to 2.25%, a decision that fully aligned with expectations. Expectations for further actions from the RBNZ have shifted to a more hawkish stance; not long ago, the market saw a relatively high probability of a 50-basis-point rate cut in November following a disappointing GDP report. However, after the release of third-quarter data and inflation rising to 3%, sentiments changed. As indicated in the meeting minutes, the discussion regarding the appropriateness of lowering the rate no longer involved a 50-basis-point step; rather, the probability of keeping the rate unchanged increased. T…
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Why isn't EUR/USD rising? The Federal Reserve will be one of the few central banks to lower rates in 2026. The influence of Hassett is pressuring the U.S. dollar, while hopes for peace in Ukraine should support all European currencies, including the euro. Nevertheless, the main currency pair is moving in a "two steps forward, one step back" mode. Perhaps the crux lies in the greenback's ability to confront its fears? Dynamics of Swap Rate Expectations for the Fed After the Reserve Bank of New Zealand lowered the cash rate, it adopted "hawkish" rhetoric. Most likely, the cycle of monetary expansion is over. The same can be said for the European Central Bank. The acce…
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Inflation in Australia is on the rise again, and this is perhaps the most important news that will influence the Reserve Bank of Australia's stance on rates and the Australian dollar's exchange rate. After inflation rose to 3.2% in the third quarter, the highest level in more than a year, forecasts for the RBA's rate changed. Before the publication, the market confidently predicted further rate cuts, but afterward, the likelihood of such a move decreased. The RBA did not disappoint—at the beginning of November, the rate was maintained at 3.6%, but this decision appeared to be only a temporary pause. However, on Wednesday, the October inflation index was published, showing…
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It is U.S. Thanksgiving Day, so American trading platforms are closed. Considering the short day on November 28 (which coincides with "Black Friday"), it can be stated that traders have gone on mini-vacations that will end on December 1. Ahead of the extended weekend, buyers attempted to enter the 16-figure16-figure area, testing the intermediate resistance level at 1.1610, which corresponds to the upper line of the Bollinger Bands indicator on the four-hour chart. However, this attempt failed—the sellers took the initiative, and the pair drifted amid an almost empty economic calendar. Wednesday—important macroeconomic reports were supposed to be released in the United…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
In recent months, the British pound has been under pressure amid debate over the UK budget for the next financial year. Personally, I do not understand the panic in the markets, and I even allow for the possibility that the pound's decline was not due to uncertainty about the budget and taxes. However, Chancellor Rachel Reeves has repeatedly caused market participants to panic and sell the British currency with her statements about taxes and the budget. Thus, a logical pattern emerges without difficulty. To begin this extensive topic, it is essential to note that the Labour Party promised British voters during the election campaign not to raise taxes. On Wednesday, it bec…
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Let's move on to the next tax—the dividend income tax. Starting April 6 next year, all rates will increase by 2%. Economists point out that for many small business owners, these 2% are significant. Previously, directors of small enterprises and firms could pay themselves a minimal salary while receiving the rest of their earnings as dividends, but now they will have to pay more taxes on that amount. An additional 2% tax on the company's overall income is quite substantial. The next tax is on the luxury housing tax. From 2028, owners of luxury apartments and houses will pay an annual rate on their property. The tax will apply to properties valued at over £2 million. The mi…
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Avalanche (AVAX) is back in the spotlight after reclaiming its position among the top 20 cryptos to surpass Hedera (HBAR), just as Securitize secures EU approval to launch the region’s first fully regulated blockchain-based securities market on the Avalanche network. This convergence of regulatory momentum, institutional adoption, and renewed technical strength has positioned AVAX for a potential market revival heading into 2026. Securitize Wins EU Approval and Selects Avalanche for Settlement System Securitize received regulatory authorization from Spain’s National Securities Market Commission (CNMV) to operate a tokenized trading and settlement system under the EU…
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Bolivia has moved to bring stablecoins into its formal banking system, a shift that could change how people save and pay for things in the country. Banks will be allowed to offer accounts, custody and payment services tied to stablecoins such as USDT, government statements and local reports disclosed. The move follows a sharp rise in crypto use as people seek ways to hold dollar-pegged value amid currency pressure. Banks To Offer USDT Accounts Reports have disclosed that Economy Minister Jose Gabriel Espinoza announced the change, and at least one lender, Banco Bisa, has already begun offering custody and transfer services for USDT. Based on reports, crypto transactio…
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As Thursday came to a close, the EUR/USD pair remained in a sideways range, with buyers unable to decisively overcome the round level of 1.1600. Despite the bullish momentum remaining intact, with oscillators mixed and the RSI (Relative Strength Index) in positive territory, this suggests further consolidation within the current range. The EUR/USD pair resumed its upward trend after breaching the 20-day simple moving average (SMA) at 1.1570, but it is not yet ready for further growth. When the bulls break above the round 1.1600 level, buyers will face resistance at the 50-day SMA around 1.1622 and the 100-day SMA at levels of 1.1645, with the next resistance being the rou…
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Galaxy Digital CEO Mike Novogratz says the October 10th crash in crypto was far more than a routine shakeout, claiming that roughly a third of market makers in parts of the ecosystem were effectively wiped out. “We had a flash crash and it did a lot of damage to the fabric of the market,” Novogratz told Anthony Scaramucci on the first-ever episode of “All Things Markets,” recorded November 26. “Even on Hyperliquid, the market makers, you know, 30 percent of them went out of business. Got zeroed.” Scaramucci framed the last 20 trading days as another brutal reminder of crypto’s structural volatility. “I know I have a trap door on my portfolio,” he said. “Once in a while …
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As the market matures and the broader economic landscape shifts, Bitcoin has once again found itself at a thrilling crossroads, with the entire crypto market watching closely as momentum builds on both sides of the chart. This moment of market volatility is a profound inflection point, where the interplay of rising institutional adoption and changing global macroeconomic conditions is converging. Historical Breakout Zones Align With Price Structure Bitcoin is currently sitting at a thrilling crossroads. In an X post, an analyst known as CryptoCrewU has stated that BTC is witnessing the strongest bearish divergence in years, paired with a rare 2-week close below the 21-pe…
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Bitcoin price started a recovery wave above $90,000. BTC is now struggling to clear $92,000 and might start another decline below $90,000. Bitcoin started a recovery wave and climbed toward $92,000. The price is trading above $90,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There was a break below a short-term bullish trend line with support at $90,800 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might continue to move down if it settles below the $90,000 zone. Bitcoin Price Faces Resistance Bitcoin price managed to stay above the $88,500 level. BTC formed a base and recently started a recovery wave above the $90,000 resistance zone. The …
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The EUR/USD currency pair rose slowly but steadily on Wednesday and Thursday. On Wednesday, the macroeconomic background did not support the rise of the European currency; however, the bulls made an effort and pushed the pair up by several dozen pips. On Thursday, the macroeconomic background was completely absent, yet the euro appreciated by another couple of dozen pips. Thus, the euro is growing, albeit with great difficulty. The question is, how long will such a struggle for growth continue? We continue to expect only growth for the EUR/USD pair in the medium term, but the market has been in a total flat pattern for the past five months. Therefore, the number one task …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The GBP/USD currency pair continued its upward movement on Wednesday and Thursday, driven by the publication of the UK budget for the 2026 financial year. Traders reacted positively to news of tax increases in the UK, as these measures are likely to help avoid budget deficits and other financial problems. However, we cannot overlook one important question: the alignment between British voters' expectations and reality. It's important to note that the key disagreements regarding the budget revolved around the Labour Party's promise not to raise taxes during the election campaign. However, the party received such a "legacy" after 14 years of Conservative rule that it became…
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On-chain analytics firm Glassnode has revealed in a report how long-term Bitcoin liquidity has witnessed a sharp decline alongside the market downturn. Bitcoin Long-Term Holder Liquidity Ratio Has Plunged Recently In its latest weekly report, Glassnode has talked about how liquidity in the Bitcoin market has changed following the recent downturn. Glassnode has gauged the “liquidity” using the Realized Profit/Loss Ratio, an on-chain metric that measures the ratio between the profit and loss that BTC investors are realizing through their transactions. Current demand momentum can be tracked using a version of this indicator that specifically tracks the profitability of th…
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Ethereum price started a recovery wave and surged above $3,000. ETH might continue to rise if it clears the $3,080 resistance. Ethereum started a recovery wave above $2,980 and $3,000. The price is trading above $2,960 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a key bullish trend line forming with support at $2,950 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could continue to move up if it settles above the $3,080 zone. Ethereum Price Eyes More Gains Ethereum price managed to stay above $2,880 and started a recovery wave, like Bitcoin. ETH price was able to climb above the $2,920 and $2,950 levels. The bulls were able to push the price abo…
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Solana-based memecoin Bonk is now trading on Switzerland’s SIX Swiss Exchange after Bitcoin Capital AG launched a regulated exchange-traded product tied to the token. The listing puts the memecoin on one of Europe’s main stock markets. Investors can buy exposure to Bonk through standard brokerage accounts. There is no need to set up a wallet or hold the token directly. Bonk is a dog-themed token built on Solana. It launched on Christmas Day in 2022 through a community distribution. The project often calls itself “the first Solana dog coin for the people, by the people.” DISCOVER: Next 1000X Crypto – Here’s 10+ Crypto Tokens That Can Hit 1000x This Year How Big Is BON…
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Thailand has officially adopted a new tax-rule giving a 0% personal income tax rate on capital gains from cryptocurrency trades — but only under certain conditions. According to regulation Ministerial Regulation No. 399 (MR 399), profits earned from selling or transferring cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin via exchanges, brokers, or dealers licensed by the Securities and Exchange Commission of Thailand (SEC) will be tax-free from January 1, 2025 until December 31, 2029. What The 0% Tax Means Under the new scheme, individual investors who trade crypto through SEC-licensed platforms don’t pay personal income tax on any gains. The exemption applies only if the trade is don…
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