Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
7139 tópicos neste fórum
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The BNB price has staged a powerful recovery, surging over 16% to trade past $1,350, outpacing Bitcoin and Ethereum as optimism builds around an imminent spot ETF approval and renewed confidence in the Binance ecosystem. The rally comes after a sharp sell-off triggered by geopolitical tensions earlier this month, followed by an aggressive rebound fueled by whale accumulation and institutional inflows. According to CoinGlass, daily trading volume jumped 55% to $10.7 billion, while open interest rose 25%, signaling fresh leveraged positions betting on continued upside momentum. BNB’s sharp turnaround mirrors broader market stabilization but with stronger conviction. Tra…
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Ethereum whales are back in accumulation mode after a turbulent weekend, sparking debate over whether this dip is an entry point or another short-term bounce for ETH crypto. Large holders, including one of the biggest corporate treasuries in the market, have been buying heavily over the past 24 hours. The move follows a leverage-driven sell-off that briefly pushed Ether toward $3,500. BitMine Immersion Technologies stated that its recent purchases have increased its total holdings to more than 3.03 million ETH, equivalent to approximately 2.5% of the total supply. Market Cap 24h 7d …
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A black swan has landed on the cryptocurrency market. Donald Trump's announcement of 100% tariffs on Chinese goods—made via social media—served as the unforeseen trigger that led to record sell-offs in Bitcoin from its historic highs. BTC/USD plummeted by 12% in intraday trading. According to Coinglass, a staggering $19 billion in positions were liquidated within 24 hours, and over 1.6 million trader accounts were closed due to unrecoverable losses. The crypto market incurred the heaviest damage due to its 24/7 trading cycle. Trump, careful to spare his beloved equities, made his tariff announcement after U.S. stock markets had closed. Bitcoin fared relatively well under …
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Who is more dangerous: the wicked jester or the mad philosopher? The latest political gamble by the president of France borders on irrationality. He continues to repeat the same actions, expecting different outcomes. Sebastien Lecornu has once again become Prime Minister after leading what was the shortest-lived government in French history. His two predecessors, Francois Barnier and Francois Bayrou, were both ousted via votes of no confidence. Will the third time be the charm? Donald Trump, in contrast, resembles a wicked jester. His threats, imposing tariffs and then rolling them back, resemble a circus act. His behavior even inspired a new trading philosophy—TACO: "Tru…
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The GBP/USD pair has been under pressure since mid-September, following the unexpectedly dovish outcome of the Bank of England's September meeting. While pound buyers have launched regular counterattacks, their short-term victories have mostly been fueled by U.S. dollar weakness rather than genuine pound strength. To recap briefly, last month the Bank of England held interest rates steady but signaled a readiness to lower them in the near future. The central bank notably softened its tone, stating that the disinflationary trend "continues overall." Moreover, contrary to the expectations of most analysts, the Monetary Policy Committee voted 0–2–7 (zero for a hike, two …
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The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) plans to release the September inflation report on Friday, October 24. This will be the only report BLS intends to publish during the ongoing government shutdown, which underscores its significance—especially with the Federal Reserve scheduled to meet on October 29. Without updated inflation data, any justification for a rate cut from the Fed may evaporate. The market is currently convinced that the Fed will lower rates two more times before year-end. That's why BLS is determined to prevent market imbalance or a panic-driven reaction surrounding this key data. That said, markets are already in a state of heightened uncertaint…
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One of the most notable developments on Monday was the release of China's export and import statistics. The data revealed that in September, China's export volume not only increased but exceeded market expectations by a wide margin. What relevance does this have to EUR/USD and GBP/USD? Direct relevance—even though the U.S. dollar has been strengthening recently, which, to say the least, contradicts the news backdrop, though it partially matches the wave structure. So, export volumes are rising. This means China is successfully exporting more goods to other countries—excluding the U.S. Exports rose by 8.3% in September, and the trade surplus reached $90 billion. For contex…
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It is also noted that Chinese companies are not only actively seeking alternative markets but are also using third countries to route their goods into the United States. I wrote about this back in the summer. The practice of bypassing sanctions through intermediary countries is widely used worldwide. For example, if China cannot export goods directly to the U.S. due to high tariffs, those same goods can be shipped first to South Korea or Japan and then re-exported to the United States under the guise of Korean or Japanese origin. The added costs for logistics and reprocessing are far less than the draconian tariffs imposed by Trump. It's well understood in financial marke…
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In recent years, central banks have been preoccupied with monetary easing, and few in the market have considered the question: who will be the first to raise interest rates again? That central bank could potentially be the European Central Bank (ECB), which was the first to cut rates to "neutral" levels and the first to return inflation to its target. Therefore, a moment may come in the future when inflation starts to accelerate again, prompting the ECB to take a more hawkish stance. Among major central banks, the ECB appears closest to that point. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) in the eurozone remains slightly above 2%. However, according to ECB President Christine Lagar…
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As the dust settles over a dramatic mass liquidation weekend, crypto prices are recovering, but with open interest already rising – what does it mean for Uptober? Leverage is quietly returning to the crypto market just as “Uptober” begins, a month known for strong Bitcoin rallies. Over the past 24 hours, derivatives traders have started rebuilding their positions after the weekend’s massive wipeout. Bitcoin’s futures open interest has bounced, and funding conditions are stabilizing across major exchanges. This rebound on October 13 comes as Bitcoin price steadies near $115,000. Market Cap …
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Singapore’s High Court has given the green light to a restructuring plan for crypto exchange WazirX, clearing a major obstacle in the company’s effort to repay users after last year’s large theft. According to reports, the court’s approval on October 13 allows the exchange to move ahead with a court-supervised recovery process tied to the $234 million hack that hit the platform in July 2024. Creditor Vote And Numbers Based on reports from the company, the revised plan won broad backing from affected account holders. In an August revote, 95.7% of participating scheme creditors voted in favor, and those votes came from 143,190 participating creditors representing about $…
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BlackRock CEO Larry Fink has taken a noticeably different tone on Bitcoin. The man who once dismissed it as a tool for money launderers now calls it a legitimate “alternative” investment. He said he’s had to go back and challenge some of his earlier assumptions about the crypto world. In a recent CBS interview, Fink admitted that back in 2017, he considered Bitcoin to be mostly used by criminals. He openly acknowledged calling it “an index of money laundering.” That view, it seems, has changed dramatically. Today, he compares Bitcoin to gold. Not as a replacement for traditional investments, but as something that could sit alongside them in a well-diversified portfolio. …
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Binance has confirmed that it reimbursed $283 million to users affected by a recent wave of liquidations triggered by asset depegging during sharp market volatility. The compensation was issued after USDe, BNSOL, and wBETH briefly lost their pegs, leading to a cascade of liquidations across several trading products. According to Binance, the reimbursement process was completed within 24 hours. Despite the chaos, the exchange stated that its core systems stayed functional throughout. It attributed the disruption to overall market conditions rather than any internal technical failure. What Actually Happened on October 10 On October 10, a sudden market crash sparked widesp…
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Mantle (MNT) has reignited its bullish momentum, surging 30% in the past 24 hours to reclaim the $2.20 level after dipping as low as $1.50 over the weekend. The swift rebound underscores renewed buyer confidence following last week’s sharp correction from record highs. While MNT remains below its $2.84–$2.86 all-time high, the strong recovery suggests bulls are regaining control, potentially setting the stage for another push toward the upper range if momentum holds. Spot activity exploded, with daily trading volume up more than 60% to about $1.2 billion, while futures open interest climbed 9% to $269.7 million, a signal that speculative demand is accelerating alongsid…
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Ethereum is showing early signs of recovery after a dramatic sell-off on Friday that sent prices plunging to $3,450. The drop came amid what analysts describe as the largest liquidation event in crypto market history, wiping out billions in leveraged positions across major exchanges. While bulls briefly lost control during the panic, ETH has since begun to stabilize, with renewed buying interest emerging near key demand zones. Onchain analyst Maartunn highlighted that leverage is once again building up on Ethereum, signaling that traders are returning to the market following the reset. According to his data, open interest on ETH surged significantly over the past 24 hou…
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An analyst has revealed the key Bitcoin charts that could be to keep an eye on while Bitcoin is slowly making recovery from its latest crash. These Bitcoin Charts Could Be Ones To Watch In a shock to the market, Bitcoin ended last week with a steep crash, falling from above $122,000 to below $110,000. The coin managed to make some recovery on Sunday, and that rebound has held so far into Monday. However, while BTC appears to be rebuilding its structure, its direction remains unclear, as noted by CryptoQuant community analyst Maartunn in an X thread. Maartunn has shared a few key charts that could determine whether the recovery will hold or fade. First, the analyst has…
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Join OANDA Senior Market Analyst Kelvin Wong and podcast host Jonny Hart as they review the latest market news and moves. MarketPulse provides up-to-the-minute analysis on forex, commodities, and indices from around the world. MarketPulse is an award-winning news site that delivers round-the-clock commentary on a wide range of asset classes, as well as in-depth insights into the major economic trends and events that impact the markets. Opinions are the authors'; not necessarily that of OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc. or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. The provided publication is for informational and educational p…
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EUR/USD 5M Analysis On Monday, the EUR/USD currency pair once again traded lower, despite having no fundamental reason to do so. There were no economic reports, and no meaningful speeches occurred on the first trading day of the week. Only Donald Trump, who triggered crashes in both crypto and equity markets on Friday, surfaced to say that things "will be fine" between the U.S. and China. Thanks for that. As before, we view the recent strength in the U.S. dollar as completely illogical. There are no fundamental or macroeconomic justifications for dollar appreciation at this time. The situation is starting to resemble the recent crypto crash, when prices dropped dramat…
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GBP/USD 5M Analysis On Monday, the GBP/USD currency pair declined slightly once again, but the moment of truth is approaching. Price action is now very close to the second successive descending trendline, which could be breached as early as this week. The Ichimoku Kijun-sen line is also nearby, so both technical barriers may be overcome simultaneously. We continue to view the current downturn in the pair as completely illogical and unjustified. Over the past 2–3 weeks, there hasn't been enough negative news for the British pound—or positive data for the dollar—to warrant such sustained pressure on GBP/USD. Many of the reasons behind this move seem fabricated. For instance…
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The EUR/USD currency pair showed no noteworthy movement on Monday, largely remaining stagnant throughout the day. A slight dip occurred in the first half of the session, perhaps triggered—as always—by Donald Trump. Honestly, we considered the possibility that the U.S. dollar would begin weakening right at the market open. But either the market has grown tired of Trump's recurring tariff rhetoric, or it simply doesn't believe that the U.S. president will stick to his hardline stance on China. In either case, the dollar avoided the fate that seemed likely. Recall that on Friday, the U.S. president announced 100% tariffs on all Chinese imports starting November 1—a decision …
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The GBP/USD currency pair retreated slightly downward on Monday, though not significantly or for long. In principle, we continue to expect just one thing – a new drop in the dollar. We immediately advise traders to switch to the daily time frame and confirm that the upward trend remains intact. In recent months, the market has been in a flat phase. As we've mentioned before, flat markets are a time when major players build new positions. What kind of positions can they be forming in the current circumstances? Buying dollars? Unlikely. That means selling dollars. If that's the case, then a new wave of the upward trend is only a matter of time. The fundamental backdrop rema…
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Bitcoin price corrected losses and traded above the $114,200 level. BTC is now struggling and might face hurdles near the $116,000 level. Bitcoin started a recovery wave above the $114,000 resistance level. The price is trading below $115,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $119,250 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might continue to move down if it trades below the $112,500 zone. Bitcoin Price Faces Hurdles Bitcoin price started a recovery wave above the $110,000 pivot level. BTC recovered above the $112,500 and $113,200 resistance levels. The price climbed abov…
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Natural Gas (NG) The decline in natural gas prices stopped yesterday at the indicator lines of the Balance and MACD lines on the daily scale. The lower shadow pierced the support level at 3.086. The Marlin oscillator has dipped into negative territory but not deeply, likely preparing to move sideways along the zero neutral line, as it did from September 23 to 26. If the sideways oscillator movement drags on, the price may remain in the 3.086–3.333 range for an extended period (up to three weeks). Possible price movement paths are sketched on the chart. For now, the main trend is assumed to be upward—both in the short term toward the 3.333 level and after the consolidatio…
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GBP/USD The British pound declined slightly yesterday, but this morning it is showing growth. This signals a price consolidation near the resistance level of 1.3369. A breakout above this level will not greatly ease the situation for the bulls, as the MACD line lies ahead near the 1.3400 mark. However, breaking above the MACD line opens the path to the target level of 1.3525. The Marlin oscillator may not have time to move into positive territory by the moment the price reaches the MACD line, which underscores the difficulty of further growth. On the four-hour chart, the Marlin oscillator has entered positive territory. The price is nearly ready to challenge the 1.3369 …
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EUR/USD Markets are gradually recovering, and gold has even accelerated its growth. The 1.1605 level, which the price "ignored," has been removed. Currently, the euro is consolidating in the middle of the range formed by the 1.1495 support level and the MACD line on the daily timeframe. However, this consolidation is occurring below both declining indicator lines, while the Marlin oscillator remains in a downward trend zone. Therefore, if the price falls below Friday's low of 1.1543, it will complete the full downward movement that began on September 17, reaching support at 1.1495. Conversely, if the price breaks above yesterday's high (either today or tomorrow), it will…
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