Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12184 tópicos neste fórum
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A stronger US dollar, weaker cryptocurrencies, fundamental overvaluation, and excessive attention to technology giants have made the S&P 500 vulnerable to corrections. When the broad stock index sets 36 record highs in 2025, trading above the 50-day moving average since April, and has not declined by 3% or more, caution is warranted. A pullback could occur at any moment, even without visible reasons. Over the past ten days, the S&P 500 has risen by 1.7%, and shares of the Magnificent Seven have increased by 5.2%. In the third quarter, the profits of its constituents are expected to grow by 27%, double the forecasts of Wall Street analysts. It is not surprising th…
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Bitcoin endured one of its sharpest selloffs of the year on Tuesday, knifing below the six-figure threshold and printing lows around the $99,000 area on major composites before rebounding. At press time, bitcoin (BTC) hovered near $101,700 after an intraday trough just above $99,000 on widely used benchmarks, marking a fall of roughly 6% day-over-day and the lowest print since June. The slide came as US equities limped into mid-week, with the Nasdaq up 20.9% year-to-date and the S&P 500 up 15.1% as of Tuesday’s close—gains that underscore how much bitcoin has lagged other risk assets during long stretches of 2025. That divergence, together with a growing body of ETF-…
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Yesterday, amid a crash in risk assets, gold seized the opportunity to gain some weight. It is evident that gold has recovered as traders sought safe assets following a drop in the stock market amid concerns about inflated valuations. Spot gold prices rose to $4,000 per ounce after falling nearly 2% in the previous session. Global stock indices fell on Wednesday, marking the sharpest decline in almost a month. Treasury bonds gained on the back of demand for safe-haven assets. The fall in gold on Tuesday followed three members of the U.S. Federal Reserve who did not support further rate cuts in December, weighing the associated risks of inflation and a weakening labor mar…
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Yesterday, US stock indices closed with losses. The S&P 500 fell by 1.17%, the Nasdaq 100 plummeted by 2.04%, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 0.53%. Global indices continued to drop after their sharpest decline in nearly a month, fueled by concerns over inflated valuations. Bonds rose, and investors turned to safe-haven currencies such as the yen. Futures on US stock indices decreased, signaling further declines for the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 after a large sell-off in tech stocks. Market sentiment was unstable at the start of the Asian session after shares of Super Micro Computer Inc. sharply fell at the end of trading, and Advanced Micro Devices Inc. …
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Analysis of Trades and Tips for Trading the Japanese YenThe tests of the levels I designated in the afternoon did not occur. Comments from the Japanese Minister of Finance regarding the yen's exchange rate led to a decline in the USD/JPY pair during the first half of the day, after which traders preferred to adopt a wait-and-see position in anticipation of new directions, as the warnings did not lead to any actions. The prevailing situation highlighted the general trend of indecision in the currency market, where verbal interventions often lack real steps, leaving investors in a state of uncertainty. However, such a pause may be the calm before the storm. The market is wa…
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Analysis of Trades and Tips for Trading the British PoundThe test of the price level at 1.3055 coincided with the MACD indicator beginning its downward movement from the zero mark, confirming the correct entry point for selling the pound further down the trend. As a result, the pair declined toward the target level of 1.3015. The pound collapsed after the likelihood of another tax increase by the UK government increased. Yesterday, UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer stated that such a decision would be fair within the context of the expected new budget for next year. This news instantly sparked a wave of concern among investors accustomed to the unstable economic environment …
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Analysis of Trades and Tips for Trading the EuroThe test of the price level at 1.1497 occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved significantly below the zero mark, which limited the pair's downside potential. For this reason, I did not sell euros. Statements from the Federal Reserve significantly impact the environment in global financial markets. Recent comments from regulatory officials about the possibility of changing the approach to interest rate cuts, with particular emphasis on deciding at the upcoming December meeting, led to a notable rise in the value of the U.S. dollar. This effect stems from traders interpreting such communication as a signal of a more…
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Just yesterday, I mentioned that Bitcoin was eyeing the $100,000 level, and during today's Asian trading session, the $99,000 level was breached, triggering panic in the market. On Tuesday, the net outflow from Bitcoin and Ethereum exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in the United States amounted to $797 million, as institutional investors were spooked by the market crash. According to SoSoValue, the net outflow from spot Bitcoin ETFs reached $577.74 million, the largest daily outflow since August 1 of this year. From Fidelity's FBTC fund, $356.6 million left, $128 million flowed out from ARKB by Ark & 21Shares, and $48.9 million exited from Grayscale's GBTC. In total, seve…
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Bitcoin dominance sits at 60% and has been testing a vital long-run support line. According to market veteran Michaël van de Poppe, that support — the 20-month MA, near 59% — is the signal traders should watch. He warned that a confirmed break under that level could flip the market’s favor toward altcoins. Short moves can happen. Big shifts follow. Bitcoin Dominance At A Crossroads Based on reports and chart reads, The 20-month MA has been touched several times recently. In September, Bitcoin dominance briefly slipped below 59% before bouncing back, a move that shows the index is being pushed and probed. Van de Poppe drew a parallel to late 2019, when a long run above…
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The U.S. dollar continued its rise against risk assets, especially against the British pound, which has been facing difficulties lately. The influence of verbal interventions from the U.S. Federal Reserve on financial markets remains significant, as does the political statements made yesterday by the Prime Minister of the UK regarding taxes. Recent statements by regulatory officials about maintaining flexibility in interest rate cuts, particularly their emphasis on decision-making at the December meeting, have triggered a wave of U.S. dollar strengthening. This effect is explained by the market's tendency to interpret such rhetoric as a signal of a more conservative monet…
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[Gold] – [Wednesday, November 05, 2025] Even though currently there is a strengthening trend, as long as it does not break above its Support 2, Gold will likely weaken again. Key Levels 1. Resistance. 2 : 4032.09 2. Resistance. 1 : 3981.77 3. Pivot : 3954.99 4. Support. 1 : 3904.67 5. Support. 2 : 3877.89 Tactical Scenario Pressure Zone: If the price breaks down and closes below 3904.67, Gold will test the next support level at 3877.89. Momentum Extension Bias: If 3877.89 is breached, Gold has the potential to continue its decline down to 3827.57. Invalidation Level / Bias Revision The downside bias is contained if the price of Gold strengthens and bre…
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[Silver] – [Wednesday, November 05, 2025] With the RSI positioned in the Neutral-Bearish zone and both EMAs firmly in a Death Cross configuration, Silver is likely to continue its weakness in the near term. Key Levels 1. Resistance. 2 : 48.707 2. Resistance. 1 : 47.908 3. Pivot : 47.377 4. Support. 1 : 46.578 5. Support. 2 : 46.047 Tactical Scenario Pressure Zone: If the price breaks down and closes below 47.377, it could move toward 46.578. Momentum Extension Bias: If 46.578 is breached, Silver will target the level at 46.047. Invalidation Level / Bias Revision The downside bias is contained if the price of Silver strengthens and breaks above 48.707. …
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EUR/USD is trading around 1.1487, bouncing above the 6/8 Murray level and within the descending trend channel formed on October 27th. The euro has found strong support around 1.1475. So, we believe that if the price consolidates above this area in the coming hours, it could reach the 21 SMA around 1.1530 and even the 7/8 Murray level around 1.1596. The euro has reached oversold levels, so it is more likely that it will attempt to recover some of its losses in the coming days. Therefore, we should pay attention to the key support level of 1.1474. This level would signal a buying opportunity for the euro, as it has acted as strong support in the past. If the price falls bel…
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Gold traded around 3,957, rebounding after reaching the bottom of the uptrend channel formed on October 27th and attempting to break the 200-EMA, which is located around 3,960. If gold consolidates above 3,960 in the next few hours, it could be seen as a buying opportunity, with targets at the 6/8 Murray level around 4,062. The price could potentially reach the top of the ascending trend channel around 4,087. If the bullish momentum prevails, gold could continue rising to cover the cap left on October 24th around 4,110 and could even reach the 7/8 Murray level around 4,218. Conversely, if gold falls below the weekly low around 3,930, we could see a further downward moveme…
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BTC/USD, after several weeks of trading above $100,000, reached the psychological level of $100,000 and even briefly traded at the $98,700 level. From this key level, we observed a strong recovery in BTC, and the price is now consolidating around $102,134. It is likely to continue rising in the coming hours to reach the 2/8 Murray level around $106,250, which represents strong resistance. Bitcoin has been trading within a descending trend channel formed since the end of September, and we are now observing a recovery. A technical rebound suggests that the psychological level of $100,000 could act as good support for Bitcoin in the coming days. Conversely, if the price cont…
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Solana started a fresh decline below the $165 zone. SOL price is now consolidating losses below $165 and might decline further below $150. SOL price started a fresh decline below $165 and $162 against the US Dollar. The price is now trading below $165 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $158 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The price could start a recovery wave if the bulls defend $150 or $145. Solana Price Dips Heavily Solana price failed to remain stable above $180 and started a fresh decline, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. SOL declined below the $175 and $165 support lev…
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Key takeaways Nikkei 225 correction: The index fell 6.6% from its record high of 52,664, testing a key support zone at 49,370/48,450 that may trigger a short-term bullish reversal.Macro resilience: Japan’s Citigroup Economic Surprise Index rose to 16.8, indicating continued economic outperformance and reinforcing long-term bullish fundamentals.Technical setup: Oversold RSI and a bullish hammer candlestick near the 20-day moving average signal potential bullish momentum. This is a follow-up analysis and timely update of our prior report, “Nikkei 225: Bullish trend remains intact for another potential all-time high of 50,860/51,030”, published on 24 October 2025. The …
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In the last few weeks, the Ethereum price has performed poorly, thanks to the bearish pressure triggered by the Bitcoin price decline. After losing support above $4,000, the second-largest cryptocurrency by market cap is now showing more signs of a breakdown that could trigger a spiral. Multiple analysts have already shared where they see the Ethereum price going, and we take a look at two that look at both ends of the spectrum. A Recovery And Then A Crash Crypto analyst Melikatrader highlighted an important structure that the Ethereum price has formed recently, and that is a clear structure of recovery. This comes after the cryptocurrency completed a liquidity sweep aro…
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Trade Breakdown for Tuesday: 1H Chart of the GBP/USD Pair The GBP/USD pair continued its downward movement on Tuesday. This time, the decline of the British currency was "provoked" by a new speech from the UK Chancellor of the Exchequer, Rachel Reeves. It's noteworthy that in recent months, almost every speech by Reeves triggers a crash in the British currency. Initially, such market reactions could be seen as justified, but yesterday they were not. The British pound has been falling for over a month for absolutely any reason. Even when no reasons exist, it continues to decline. Therefore, the new speech from Reeves was just another excuse for the pound to drop even …
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Analysis of Macroeconomic Reports: Several macroeconomic reports are scheduled for Wednesday, including important reports. Unfortunately, many significant reports and events have been ignored by the market over the past month. A prime example is the important ISM manufacturing index published in the U.S. on Monday, which showed a resonant but weak value, yet we did not see any decline in the dollar. A similar fate might befall today's ADP and ISM reports for the services sector, which are the most important for Wednesday. In the Eurozone, Germany, and the UK, service sector activity indices will be published in their second assessments for October, but these are abso…
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Trade Breakdown for Tuesday: 1H Chart of the EUR/USD Pair The EUR/USD currency pair continued to slide downward on Tuesday without any compelling reasons. During the past day, the only significant event was the speech by Christine Lagarde, the President of the European Central Bank, but Lagarde did not touch upon the topic of monetary policy or the economy. Therefore, this event could not have triggered a new fall of the euro. Nevertheless, we have been repeating the same thing for more than a month: the current downward movement is based solely on technical factors. The fundamental and macroeconomic background remains unfavorable for the U.S. dollar. The daily time…
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XRP price started a fresh decline below $2.350. The price is now showing bearish signs and is at risk of more losses below $2.120 in the near term. XRP price gained bearish momentum and traded below $2.30. The price is now trading below $2.250 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $2.250 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could start a recovery wave if it stays above $2.150. XRP Price Dips Further XRP price remained in a bearish zone below $2.50 and extended losses, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price dipped below the $2.350 and $2.30 levels. The decline gained pace …
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On-chain data shows signs of an altcoin winter may be emerging as Ethereum, Solana, and other cryptocurrencies have seen a decline in activity. Altcoins Are Observing A Drop In On-Chain Activity In a new thread on X, institutional DeFi solutions provider Sentora (formerly IntoTheBlock) has talked about how interest in altcoins has been cooling off recently. The on-chain indicator of relevance here is the “Active Addresses,” which measures, as its name suggests, the total number of addresses that are participating in some kind of transaction activity on a given network every day. When the value of this metric rises, it means more users are making transfers on the block…
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Ethereum price started a fresh decline below $3,550. ETH is struggling below $3,400 and might decline further if it stays below $3,500. Ethereum started another bearish wave after it failed to clear $3,650. The price is trading below $3,500 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $3,450 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could continue to move down if it trades below $3,200. Ethereum Price Dips Sharply Ethereum price failed to stay in a positive zone and started a fresh decline below $3,550, like Bitcoin. ETH price declined below $3,500 and $3,450 to enter a bearish zone. The decli…
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Bitcoin price is gaining bearish pace below $103,500. BTC could continue to move down if it stays below the $103,500 resistance. Bitcoin started a fresh decline below the $105,000 support. The price is trading below $104,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $103,500 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might continue to move down if it settles below the $100,000 zone. Bitcoin Price Dips Again Bitcoin price failed to stay above the $105,500 support level and started a fresh decline. BTC dipped below $104,000 and $103,500 to enter a bearish zone. The decline was such t…
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