Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12183 tópicos neste fórum
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After Bitcoin returned to the $92,000 level yesterday, the price failed to make an active breakout of this range. However, it is fair to note that there were also no significant selling activities from major players. This keeps the chances for further market growth alive, but likely only after the weekend. Ethereum also remains stagnant at the $3,000 mark, maintaining its potential for further correction. While the cryptocurrency market is currently in a phase of rest, an interesting report from Syndica caught my attention. According to the data, the Solana blockchain currently dominates the market for tokenized stocks, holding over 95% market share for the past four mo…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin once again failed to hold near the $124,000 level, after which it quickly pulled back downward, returning to where it had started the day. Ethereum also came under pressure. Yesterday, it was announced that Luxembourg became the first EU country to invest 1% of its sovereign wealth fund in a Bitcoin ETF. This step will undoubtedly go down in history as a precedent signaling a new era in how state financial institutions perceive cryptocurrency. Once viewed as a high-risk asset, Bitcoin and its counterparts are now gradually gaining the trust of those managing public finances. Luxembourg's decision is not just a matter of portfolio diversification—it is a bold ex…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin plummeted to $101,000, later stabilizing near $112,000. It is currently trading at $115,000, opening a real opportunity for recovery above $116,000. Ethereum has reclaimed nearly 80% of its losses from the end of last week. According to data, the crypto market crash led to a record $19 billion in liquidated long positions. Many market participants connect the sudden drop in Bitcoin and altcoins to potential new aggressive tariffs from U.S. President Donald Trump aimed at China. A combination of factors—leverage, automatic sell triggers, and lack of liquidity during off-market hours—contributed to the rapid reduction in positions. This event marks the largest sing…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin reached the $116,000 mark yesterday but once again came under pressure. Ethereum also fell after a relatively strong recovery the day before. The intensifying trade conflict between China and the United States continues to weigh on risk assets, including the cryptocurrency market. Traders concerned about the prospects of a global economic slowdown and rising uncertainty are being cautious and reducing their exposure to assets considered high-risk. Despite growing popularity, cryptocurrencies are still perceived by many as speculative instruments prone to significant volatility. Amid growing trade tensions, the U.S. dollar continues to strengthen, which places add…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin remains in the $110,000–$111,000 range—an area that is technically very significant. A breakout below this level could trigger a more active sell-off of the cryptocurrency down toward $106,000, bringing it dangerously close to the $100,000 range. A test of that range would represent a critical moment for the entire cryptocurrency market. Ethereum has also declined sharply, barely holding above the $4,000 level. A move below this mark could result in a significantly more aggressive sell-off. While traders continue to battle for direction, news has emerged that the Bank of England plans to introduce temporary limits on the size of holdings and transactions in stabl…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin and Ethereum resumed their decline. After breaking the $109,500 support level during the Asian session, Bitcoin faced heavy selling pressure. Ethereum also dropped back below the $4,000 mark, raising concerns about a potential extended sell-off. Adding to bearish sentiment, a report from Glassnode revealed that long-term holders (LTHs) are still actively selling BTC. This exerts additional downward pressure on the price, signaling waning long-term confidence from experienced investors—traditionally viewed as more resilient to market volatility. The increased supply could trigger a chain reaction of further sell-offs, accelerating the bearish trend. The only fact…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin failed to hold the $113,800 level yesterday and quickly lost ground by the end of the day, returning to the $108,000 area. Ethereum also fell below the $4,000 mark, which raises further concern about potential large-scale sell-offs. Bitcoin's growth yesterday occurred following comments in an interview by Federal Reserve member Christopher Waller, who stated that BTC could eventually become a form of electronic gold. Not many Fed officials are willing to make such statements; however, the stance of one of the Fed's key figures on cryptocurrencies is certainly a positive signal for traders and investors. Given Bitcoin's sharp drop, such a view from a high-ranking …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin continues to face selling pressure on every moderate upswing, which paradoxically supports its medium-term bullish outlook. Ethereum is also attempting to regain ground above the $4,000 mark, but so far with little success. Yesterday, reports surfaced that U.S. federal agencies have outlined major steps for cryptocurrency regulation to be completed by the end of 2025. Acting Chairman of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), Christy Goldsmith Romero, stated that the agency will prioritize crypto and tokenized asset markets. Later on Wednesday, SEC Chairman Paul Atkins also confirmed plans to advance crypto regulatory initiatives by year-end. In an inter…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin has once again attempted to consolidate above the $110,000 level and, at the time of writing, is trading at $111,400. If it breaks above this range, we will likely see a swift return to $116,000. However, throughout the week, bitcoin has been quickly sold off on every rally. We'll soon find out if that pattern continues this time. Meanwhile, Bitwise published a report suggesting that if just 4–5% of the capital currently invested in gold were reallocated to BTC, the price could at least double from its current level of $110,000. Many optimists point to growing institutional interest in cryptocurrencies, especially bitcoin, as a new asset class. They argue that bi…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin has finally broken above the $118,000 mark, consolidated at this level, and yesterday set a new monthly high around $121,000. Ethereum also saw a gain of over 4% in just one day. So far, Bitcoin has not posted a single red day for October, reinforcing the historical pattern indicating that traders and investors typically return to the crypto market following a weak September. This year appears to be no exception. An interesting piece of news surfaced yesterday: in late September, one of the largest long liquidations in Bitcoin history occurred, totaling $370 million. This event is historically considered bullish. Contrary to the intuitive assumption that such eve…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin has reached a new all-time high, hitting $125,710 over the weekend. Ethereum also rose, though not as significantly. This explosive growth marks the culmination of several weeks of steady accumulation by big players in support of the broader uptrend. A key driver behind the rally is growing global awareness of the instability of fiat currencies, with investors turning to BTC as digital insurance against fiat devaluation. Bitcoin's new high reflects a broader awakening and increasing trust in a new monetary system. This isn't just hype around another tech breakthrough, but rather a fundamental revaluation of financial principles. As the pioneer of decentralized cu…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
If we examine the daily chart, Bitcoin has displayed a steady and strong uptrend for nine consecutive days, excluding October 4. The price rebounded from $109,000 to $126,200. Ethereum has also surged significantly and is approaching its all-time high. One of the key drivers behind this rally is the prolonged U.S. government shutdown. The political stalemate has led to notable institutional inflows into crypto ETFs. Ongoing uncertainty over U.S. fiscal policy traditionally pushes large market players to seek alternative investment assets that can preserve and grow capital during periods of increased volatility. Crypto ETFs, offering regulated and convenient access to dig…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin posted a notable decline yesterday, pulling back to more attractive buying levels around $121,000. Many traders are now wondering whether this drop will continue or if it's merely a temporary correction that could soon give way to a new bullish wave. Recent data shows that inflows into spot BTC and ETH ETFs continue to rise—most notably into BTC ETFs. This in itself suggests that the crypto bull rally is not over. As a reminder, inflows into spot BTC ETFs are one of the strongest bullish drivers in the crypto market. Rising inflows reflect growing institutional interest in cryptocurrencies, as ETFs offer institutions a regulated and convenient way to gain exposur…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin recently tested the $124,000 level before quickly pulling back. Selling pressure was observed during the Asian trading session, which drove the leading cryptocurrency back to the $121,500 area, where buyers once again became active. However, how long they can maintain this level of support remains uncertain. According to recent data, inflows into spot Bitcoin ETFs have slowed but not reversed, supporting the broader market as Bitcoin trades near its historical highs. This stable, albeit moderate, stream of capital reflects continued interest from institutional investors, despite market volatility and rumors of a deeper correction. In the context of global economi…
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Bitcoin remains above 114,000 and is preparing for a significant move. Ethereum has also shown good growth. All the focus will be on US inflation. If prices decrease significantly, Bitcoin may respond with a fresh surge, as this will increase the chances of a more active rate-cutting cycle by the Federal Reserve. As the leading cryptocurrency, Bitcoin is especially sensitive to changes in Federal Reserve monetary policy. Lower US inflation can be seen as a signal for a more dovish monetary stance. This, in turn, would weaken the US dollar and increase the attractiveness of alternative assets such as Bitcoin. Lower interest rates also reduce borrowing costs, which can stim…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Yesterday, the cryptocurrency market experienced another significant sell-off, driving key crypto assets down to psychologically important levels. Bitcoin dropped to $100,000, while Ethereum fell to around $3,000, from which it was quickly bought back. However, the bullish structure of the cryptocurrency market remains intact. While the panic selling continues and traders are locking in losses, it is essential to understand that the market correction is occurring for two primary reasons: the shutdown in the US, which is set to become the longest in history and is expected to inflict some damage on the economy, along with the probability of a delayed interest rate cut by…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Currently, Bitcoin has once again fallen into the $91,000 range and is now trying to make a comeback to the $92,000 mark as the hype surrounding meme tokens is beginning to fade. As seen on the chart, trading volumes and the market capitalization of various "shitcoins" launched this year continue to stabilize at lower levels. Notably, more than 50% of the sector's total capitalization still belongs to Dogecoin. A decline in this altcoin could significantly pull down the entire meme token market. The influence of Dogecoin on the meme token market is hard to overstate. Despite the emergence of many new projects, none have come close to matching the popularity of Dogecoin. …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin rose to $107,500 today, then quickly fell back to around $105,000. It seems that $105,000 is currently a balanced midpoint, above which there are significantly fewer buyers. Consolidation is necessary for further growth, so there are no serious concerns regarding the bullish market that began last weekend. Today, an interesting report from CryptoQuant caught my eye, highlighting a sharp increase in spot market demand for BTC. This is corroborated by the increase in Bitcoin outflows from centralized exchanges. Large investors appear to be actively absorbing the available supply, withdrawing coins to cold wallets for long-term storage. Such a trend usually indicate…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin remains below $100,000, which is a concerning signal for traders. The recent price update to $93,000 and the lackluster buying activity that followed indicate that traders are not yet ready to return to the market, fearing further declines in BTC and the broader cryptocurrency market. Ethereum also nearly tested the $3,000 mark yesterday. According to the latest data from CryptoQuant, there has been a significant inflow of USDT and USDC (ERC20) onto exchanges. The last time such a large inflow was observed was before the massive BTC rally in November 2024. However, in November 2024, BTC was in a strong bullish trend following the excitement of Trump's election vi…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Currently, Bitcoin has quickly returned to the psychological level of $100,000. According to economists at JPMorgan, in the next 6-12 months, the price of Bitcoin may rise to approximately $170,000. This growth is expected only after a full "shakeout" of traders leveraging large amounts in the market. The report states that the cryptocurrency market has corrected nearly 20% from its recent highs, with the steepest decline occurring on October 10 amid record liquidations of perpetual futures—the largest in cryptocurrency history—followed by less significant liquidations on November 3. The decline on November 3 was driven by a loss of investor confidence due to a Balancer …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin and Ethereum continue to lose ground. It now appears likely that the scenario involving a move down to $106,000 for Bitcoin will play out in the coming days. All focus is now on this level. A breakout below $106,000 could lead to a decline toward the $100,000 area—a critical test for the long-term bullish trend. Ethereum has fallen below the $4,000 mark and could easily retreat to $3,500. Meanwhile, Florida has withdrawn two state-level bills aimed at creating a strategic BTC reserve. With this, Florida joins other states such as Wyoming, Pennsylvania, and Oklahoma, where similar initiatives related to Bitcoin investment failed to pass legislative approval. The …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin and Ethereum have shown a notable rebound over the past day. Bitcoin, for example, rose from $106,000 to $111,300, indicating a renewed appetite for risk assets. One of the catalysts for renewed buying was the softening of Donald Trump's rhetoric toward China and ongoing trade tensions—the very issue that triggered last week's widespread sell-off. However, it's important to note that the recovery of the cryptocurrency market is taking place amid persistent global economic uncertainty. Much will depend on the outcome of upcoming trade negotiations between the United States and China, as well as the actions of central banks regarding monetary policy. It is worth re…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin has slid to around $108,000, and Ethereum has dropped below $3,900, which undermines the bullish market expectations observed earlier this week. Yesterday, as expected, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) reduced the federal funds rate by 25 basis points to a range of 4% to 3.75%. However, the cryptocurrency market reacted with a decline, as it had anticipated more aggressive actions ahead of future monetary easing. This market reaction highlights its sensitivity to the subtle nuances in central bank announcements. Cryptocurrency investors appeared to be hoping for a more definitive signal regarding further rate cuts, which could weaken the dollar and make …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
CryptoQuant’s research head has pointed out how demand to absorb Bitcoin at higher prices has been low recently, potentially explaining the asset’s decline. Bitcoin Apparent Demand Metric Has Turned Red Recently In a new post on X, Julio Moreno, head of research at on-chain analytics firm CryptoQuant, has looked at recent BTC market dynamics from a different angle. “Instead of looking at Bitcoin long-term holder distribution/spending, I like to look at the other side of the trade,” noted Moreno. Long-term holders here refer to the BTC investors who have been holding onto their coins for a period longer than 155 days. This cohort is considered to include the high-convic…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin’s violent futures deleveraging earlier this month reset market positioning but did not break the broader bull trend, according to Julio Moreno, Head of Research at CryptoQuant. Speaking on the Milk Road podcast on October 20, Moreno argued that the path to fresh highs remains open if spot demand stabilizes and the macro overhang from US–China tariff negotiations clears. The key inflection he’s watching is Bitcoin reclaiming its on-chain traders’ realized price near $115,000. “The resistance will be around $115K,” he said. “If the price goes above that… the range that we could expect is $150–$195K. To the downside… it’s around like $100K.” Bitcoin Bull Run Is Rese…
Last reply by Ben Graham,
