Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12184 tópicos neste fórum
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After failing to close the week above a crucial level, Bitcoin (BTC) is attempting to hold $100,000 as support, leading some analysts to suggest that this is the make-or-break moment for the cryptocurrency. Bitcoin Plunges To Physiological Barrier On Tuesday, Bitcoin saw a 9% drop from its weekly opening, dropping to the $100,000 area for the first time in months. The flagship crypto has been trading above $105,000 since late June, hovering between $108,000-$120,000 over the past four months. During the early October correction, BTC’s price briefly deviated below these crucial levels, hitting a three-month low of $102,000 before recovering. Since then, the cryptocurren…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Shiba Inu has been added to the FTSE Grayscale Crypto Sectors Framework, a move that gives the meme coin fresh institutional recognition. Marketing lead Lucie announced the development on X with a post titled “Good News for SHIB Holders.” According to the listing, SHIB joins the Consumer & Culture sector alongside Dogecoin, identifying it as a token tied to community, culture, and entertainment. Inclusion Signals Institutional Recognition Based on reports, the FTSE–Grayscale framework was launched in 2023 to sort crypto assets into clearer groups for investors. The framework covers five niches, and Grayscale’s latest report lists SHIB among the assets that me…
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The GBP/USD currency pair continued its downward movement on Tuesday, with a significant drop in the morning. Is it worth mentioning that there were no important macroeconomic reports or fundamental events on Tuesday in either the UK or the US? The British pound simply continues to fall every day. If there are formal reasons for this, great; if not, it doesn't matter. We believe that Tuesday's movements are, in some sense, a response to all market participants who consider the current rise in the dollar justified. In the past 4-5 weeks, many events have been interpreted by the market as negative for the British currency and positive for the US dollar. In general, absolute…
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The EUR/USD currency pair traded with minimal volatility and in a downward direction on Tuesday. This time, all blame can be placed on Christine Lagarde. Her morning speech was the only event of the day. It doesn't matter that Lagarde didn't address monetary policy at all, focusing instead on Bulgaria's transition to the euro and the potential for the European Central Bank to regulate the cryptocurrency market. Analysts, traders, and experts do not care about this now. What matters is having a reason to sell euros and buy dollars. Why? That too is irrelevant. Thus, the euro continues to slide, with no fundamental or macroeconomic grounds. The CCI indicator has "grown tire…
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Analysis of GBP/USD 5M The GBP/USD currency pair traded lower again on Tuesday, without any apparent reason. Throughout Tuesday, there were no significant macroeconomic reports or important events in either the UK or the US. Nonetheless, even without a minimum correction (once again), the British pound continued to decline. By the end of the day, it had already dropped to 1.3050 and seemed unwilling to stop. It should be noted that the US dollar is not rising out of nowhere, but is doing so amid various negative factors. This makes the current movement doubly illogical. From a technical perspective, on the hourly timeframe, the situation is straightforward. The price …
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Analysis of EUR/USD 5M. The EUR/USD currency pair continued to trade lower on Tuesday. Volatility was somewhat higher this time, at an average level, but there was no logic behind the movements. The euro has been falling for more than a month, almost without reason. Of course, there have been occasional less favorable macroeconomic data from the Eurozone, and sometimes there is good news from the U.S., but overall, it's the opposite trend. Nevertheless, the dollar has been rising on almost all fronts for over a month. On Tuesday, no significant reports were published throughout the day. The only noteworthy event was a speech by Christine Lagarde, in which monetary pol…
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Arthur Hayes argues that the next leg of the crypto cycle will be driven not by a headline pivot to quantitative easing, but by a “stealth” version executed through the Federal Reserve’s Standing Repo Facility (SRF). In a new essay titled “Hallelujah” published on November 4, 2025, the former BitMEX CEO lays out a balance-sheet-driven case that persistent US fiscal deficits, hedge-fund demand for Treasuries financed via repo, and the Fed’s need to cap funding stress will translate into incremental dollar liquidity that ultimately “pumps the price of Bitcoin and other cryptos.” As he frames the core mechanism: “Government issued debt grows the money supply.” Hayes’ logic …
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Kinterra Capital and its operating subsidiary, Southwest Critical Materials LLC, announced Tuesday the receipt of a Non-Binding Letter of Interest from the Export-Import Bank of the United States (EXIM) indicating potential debt financing of up to $200 million under EXIM’s Make More in America Initiative. The letter outlines $180 million in potential funding to complete the fully financed restart of the Pumpkin Hollow underground copper mine in Nevada, and $20 million to advance technical work related to the Southwest Open Pit project. The company acquired Pumpkin Hollow last October through a $128 million stalking horse bid for its previous owner Nevada Copper…
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Bitcoin’s price continues to face mounting pressure as it hovers near key support levels. With sellers pushing toward the $102,000 zone, BTC is now at a moment that may mark the final washout before a major rebound. The coming days could be decisive in determining whether Bitcoin finds its footing or continues its decline. Bitcoin Faces Pressure Below $108,000 As Bears Regain Control Crypto analyst Crypto Candy shared insights into Bitcoin’s latest price action, noting that the flagship cryptocurrency tried to hold the $107,000–$108,000 support zone but ultimately failed to do so, closing below that level. This development signals a potential shift in market dynamics, as…
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Canada’s Liberal government plans to form a C$2 billion ($1.4bn) sovereign fund for critical minerals, earmark hundreds of millions in mining industry spending and widen exploration tax credits to a dozen other minerals, according to the federal budget presented on Tuesday. The spending document, which forecasts a C$78.3 billion deficit for the fiscal year to March 31, includes plans to replace the industrial emissions cap. It also proposes incentives that may reduce the tax on capital spending — such as buildings for a critical minerals’ processor — to 0.4%, according to an analysis by CBC. “Budget 2025 confirms the federal government’s unwavering commitment to t…
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Bitcoin might be currently trending downwards, but a full fundamental breakdown shows it is ready to return to $120,000, and it is only a matter of time. According to an extensive fundamental analysis shared by Mr. Wall Street on X, the recent months of price stagnation and sudden drops are part of a larger accumulation phase dominated by institutional players. The overall setup, he argued, points clearly to Bitcoin’s eventual climb back above $120,000. Institutional Accumulation And Controlled Bitcoin Price Range The analyst’s first point is how Bitcoin has been trading within a 120-day range, oscillating between $107,000 and $123,000 to form what is a controlled cons…
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The Securities and Exchange Commission has hit the brakes on a wide‑reaching investigation into how public companies have been using crypto in their treasuries. The reason has nothing to do with the industry itself, but with the government shutdown that forced SEC attorneys and investigators into furlough. The agency was preparing to dig into firms that added Bitcoin, Ethereum, or Solana to their balance sheets and may have seen their stock prices spike shortly after. With most staff out, subpoenas and other enforcement tools have been temporarily shelved. Where All This Started More than 200 public companies had disclosed crypto asset placements in their treasuries. A…
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Stream Finance has been thrown into crisis after revealing that an external fund manager lost around $93 million of the platform’s assets. The news sent shockwaves through its ecosystem, triggering a rapid sell‑off and causing its stablecoin, XUSD, to plunge by nearly 77 percent. The collapse has left users stranded with frozen accounts and a trail of unanswered questions about how such a massive loss occurred. The Domino Effect Behind the Collapse According to Stream Finance, the missing funds originated from assets managed externally across various yield farming and investment strategies. Once the loss came to light, the protocol immediately froze deposits and withdraw…
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The "shutdown" in America is becoming increasingly evident. Ordinary Americans are suffering as they have faced delays and cancellations of many domestic flights in recent weeks. Reports indicate that US airports are experiencing a shortage of air traffic controllers, and many employees have not been paid for over a month. It's likely clear to everyone how someone performs their duties when they are not being paid—sloppily. And an airport is not the kind of place where one can afford to be negligent. In New York, over the weekend, 80% of air traffic controllers were absent. Last Friday, around 6,200 flights were delayed nationwide, and 500 were canceled. Transportation Se…
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I want to remind you that, in addition to Stephen Miran, the Federal Reserve has at least two other open "doves": Christopher Waller and Michelle Bowman. Both were appointed by Republican presidents, both are willing to vote for a rate cut, and both believe that the labor market is currently more important than inflation. However, Waller and Bowman operate with much more nuance than Miran. They do not diverge from the general consensus among FOMC members. At this time, many Fed policymakers support easing monetary policy, so it would be strange to see a "hawkish" stance from Waller and Bowman. However, by early 2026, most FOMC members may opt for a pause instead of furthe…
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One of the Federal Reserve's governors, Lisa Cook, whom Donald Trump recently attempted to fire—and who retained her position thanks to the US Supreme Court—stated on Monday that the Fed is open to lowering interest rates at its final meeting in 2025. On one hand, her stance raises no questions, as Cook clarified that "if the economic data allows for easing." In other words, her position is not different from that of most FOMC members—if economic data demands a new round of easing, it will be implemented. On the other hand, Cook noted that the Fed would need to gather data from "unconventional sources" amid the ongoing "shutdown" in America. What are these "unconventional…
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The EUR/USD pair was attempting to stabilize around the 14th figure on Tuesday– the first time since the beginning of August this year. Sellers have updated the three-month price low thanks to the Federal Reserve and the shutdown. To be precise, the dollar received support from some Fed officials who expressed hawkish rhetoric, as well as from U.S. House Members who proposed a bipartisan plan to end the shutdown. At the same time, traders ignored the ISM manufacturing index, with almost all its components in the "red zone." Furthermore, market participants disregarded the rise in "dovish" expectations regarding the Fed's future actions, despite hawkish signals from so…
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Rarely but significantly. The US dollar has risen in only two months of the year out of ten—July and October. However, this has been enough to recover a substantial portion of losses against major global currencies since the beginning of the year. Many of the advantages for EUR/USD have already been priced in, and by the end of 2025, the euro is likely to hinder rather than help, as it did previously. Monthly Dynamics of the US Dollar The three main drivers of the USD index's decline in 2025 are expectations of a rate cut in federal funds, undermining of confidence in the US dollar due to Donald Trump's criticisms of the Fed, and hedging currency risks by non-residents in…
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The main event for the Kiwi this week will be the third-quarter labor market report. The report is expected to be weak, with unemployment rising from 5.2% to 5.3% if the participation rate remains stable. The dynamics of the average wage will be of particular interest, with a forecasted quarter-on-quarter growth of 0.4%, corresponding to a decline in the annual wage growth rate from 2.3% to 2.1%. If the report is close to forecasts, it will align with the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's expectations and increase pressure on the Kiwi amid the threat of a faster rate cut. The latest data on the state of the New Zealand economy looks mixed. Consumer confidence has slightly de…
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CryptoQuant’s research head has pointed out how demand to absorb Bitcoin at higher prices has been low recently, potentially explaining the asset’s decline. Bitcoin Apparent Demand Metric Has Turned Red Recently In a new post on X, Julio Moreno, head of research at on-chain analytics firm CryptoQuant, has looked at recent BTC market dynamics from a different angle. “Instead of looking at Bitcoin long-term holder distribution/spending, I like to look at the other side of the trade,” noted Moreno. Long-term holders here refer to the BTC investors who have been holding onto their coins for a period longer than 155 days. This cohort is considered to include the high-convic…
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In the dynamic and often opaque world of Bitcoin trading, institutional traders are operating with a fundamentally different playbook. These players are actively hunting for low-volume areas and under-traded levels, seeing them as strategic advantages for maximizing profit. Why Institutions Avoid The Crowd And Target The Gaps Bitcoin’s institutional traders and big players are actively hunting low-volume areas. These zones are thinly traded areas, which shows that there are fewer resting orders, making it easier to fill massive positions with less slippage. In an X post, a crypto analyst known as Killa has stated that throughout this entire rally, players have hunted Low…
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On Tuesday, the Bitcoin price briefly dipped below the significant $100,000 threshold for the first time since June. Market expert Lark Davis summarized the facts behind the ongoing sell-off on the social media platform X (formerly Twitter), describing the situation as “absolutely relentless.” Bitcoin Price Set For Deeper Correction Davis highlighted a range of factors contributing to the Bitcoin price downturn, including selling activity from exchange-traded funds (ETFs), and large-scale investors known as whales. He suggested that fear among investors is reaching a peak, indicating a phase of significant capitulation. Amid these developments, reports have emerged t…
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Dogecoin (DOGE) is experiencing heightened turbulence as on-chain metrics reveal a $2 billion surge in trading volume and an increase in whale movements. While such explosive market activity may be misconstrued as bullish, deeper analysis suggests a more bearish atmosphere, as large holders offload their positions amid waning retail demand. With DOGE prices consolidating near critical levels after its recent breakdown, analysts warn of an impending continuation of the downtrend as key supports fail to hold. Dogecoin $2 Billion Volume Surge Raises Red Flags On-chain data from TradingView has revealed a significant surge in Dogecoin’s trading activity, with volume climbi…
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Gold prices saw a sharp decline in the US session today with the precious metal down around 1.5%. Gold tested the $4000/oz in the European session but failed to break higher as the rally ran out of steam. The current resurgence in the US dollar which accelerated following a hawkish recalibration of market expectations regarding the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) monetary policy has played a big part in the precious metals struggles. Fundamental Catalysts: The Fed Repricing Shock and USD Strength After last week's Fed meeting, officials made it clear they are less likely to cut rates soon. The market's confidence in a rate cut this December quickly fell from 94% to about 70%. …
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Trading at 1.30244, a level last seen in early April, GBP/USD has fallen 0.87% in today’s session alone. Continuing a period of bearish momentum, cable is now on pace for its worst two-weekly performance since November 2024, with four days to spare until the candle closes. Recently breaking through previously held support and the 200-day SMA, one has to ask: What’s next for GBP/USD? GBP/USD: Key takeaways 30/10/2025 With today’s session signifying the worst GBP/USD performance in over 140 calendar days, price action has convincingly broken previously held support at 1.31403, and the 200-day SMA at 1.31011 Writing ahead of the Bank of England’s Thursday decision, Gov…
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