Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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Today marked the first trading day of the week for many North American traders after Columbus Day for the US and the Canadian Thanksgiving — and the session opened with what felt like a long-weekend hangover. Overnight markets had reacted sharply to China’s condemnations regarding the escalating US-China trade tensions, notably hurting Oil markets even further. Despite Trump’s reassuring comments on Sunday, which helped risk assets rebound over the weekend and led to a bullish Monday session, sentiment reversed during the Asia session leading to a scary opening Bell. Major indices gapped down, with the Nasdaq dropping 1.2% and cryptocurrencies also taking another hit …
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Dogecoin just endured a sharp weekend drawdown, slipping back below the $0.20s after failing to extend its early October rebound. This decline was enough to wipe out many weeks of steady gains and shake retail sentiment. However, amid the volatility, the monthly chart is still bullish. Despite the weekend crash, Dogecoin is well above its 25-month moving average and is trading near the same structural zone that preceded past parabolic rallies. This setup caught the attention of a technical analyst on X known as EᴛʜᴇʀNᴀꜱʏᴏɴᴀL, who pointed out that the same pattern that preceded Dogecoin’s 36,000% breakout in 2021 has now resurfaced. Historical Structure Reappears On Doge…
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Log in to today's North American session Market wrap for October 14 Market sentiment has been yo-yoing since Friday’s turmoil, with investors struggling to find stable footing after the week’s chaotic end. While equities appear to have found an intermediate bottom, the price action remains uncertain, reflecting caution and the price action in risk-assets is now much more open compared to the prior up-only trend. Every US-China headline is being closely dissected, the latest being this Axios update, which reignited some anxiety over the increasingly fragile trade relationship between the two global leaders. The overall ambiance is one of hesitation — a fitting tone for…
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After a blistering run to fresh all-time highs, Binance Coin (BNB) has seen a significant drop. Following a push to roughly $1,370–$1,376, BNB slid about 10% in the past 24 hours, making it one of the biggest decliners on the day as traders reassess risk and profits come off the table. The retreat follows a dramatic weekend across crypto, but also arrives after a string of BNB-specific catalysts that pushed the token into price discovery. What Drove The BNB Price Surge, And The Snapback BNB ripped to record levels as the market rebounded from the largest liquidation event on record (nearly $19B wiped in 24 hours), with BNB Chain on-chain activity surging to record t…
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The study involves examination of public reporting as well as interviews with member companies, and three in-depth case-study visits to mine sites. The MSV team has recently visited the South Deep operation of Gold Fields in South Africa to speak with the company and its suppliers. “With its social and economic contribution reports showing most in-country spending goes to procurement, the World Gold Council deserves credit for working with its member companies to highlight and promote the economic benefits for host communities and countries that can be created through local procurement,” Jeff Geipel, managing director of the MSV said in a news release. Many mini…
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The UK labor market report for August showed no indication that inflationary pressure is likely to ease. Average wages, including bonuses, rose by 5% year-over-year over the last three months, significantly higher than the previous reading of 4.7%. At the same time, unemployment increased, as did the number of jobless claims. Adjusted for inflation, the real annual growth in total wages increased by 1.2%, which is also higher than for the previous three-month period. On a broader scale, there has been no change in the inflation outlook. In September, the National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) published calculations from its own inflation forecas…
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The EUR/USD pair remains under pressure: for the second consecutive week, bearish traders are targeting the 1.1550 support level, which corresponds to the lower Bollinger Bands line on the D1 timeframe. The primary reason behind this price dynamic is escalating U.S.–China tensions. The trade war continues to gain momentum, risk-off sentiment is intensifying, and the safe-haven U.S. dollar is increasingly in demand. Additional pressure on the pair came from ZEW survey results, which unexpectedly fell into the "red zone." However, in our view, market participants may have rushed to judgment. The German economic sentiment index came in at 39.3, while analysts had forecast…
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In his latest display of geopolitical confrontation, U.S. President Donald Trump tightened oil sanctions against Venezuela, forcing Caracas to seek alternative suppliers of crude oil. Venezuela, one of the world's leaders in oil reserves, has been crippled by international sanctions, outdated infrastructure, and a chronic lack of investment, limiting its ability to develop the oil sector. Although the country does produce and sell some oil, its thick, viscous crude is not highly valued on global markets. Caracas must dilute it with lighter grades of oil before exporting. Until recently, that lighter oil came from the United States—but Trump decided to cut the flow due to …
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Bitcoin is testing a critical support level near $110,000 after being rejected from the $116,000 supply zone, a level that has now become a major point of contention between bulls and bears. The market remains fragile following the historic volatility from Friday’s crash, which erased billions in leveraged positions and triggered widespread uncertainty. While the price has managed to stabilize above key moving averages for now, momentum appears to be weakening as buyers struggle to absorb continued selling pressure. Some analysts warn that if Bitcoin fails to hold this zone, a deeper correction toward the $105,000–$107,000 region could follow, marking another shakeout b…
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The Dogecoin price slipped roughly 4% on the day and 24% on the week, hovering near $0.20–$0.21 at press time. While the pullback cools last week’s rebound, analysts say fresh Nasdaq-listing headlines and ETF momentum could reset the narrative and revive the long-standing $1 target if key levels hold. Nasdaq Listing & Dogecoin ETF Buzz Put $1 Back in Sight The House of Doge, a corporate arm tied to the Dogecoin Foundation, plans to go public via a $50 million merger with Brag House Holdings (NASDAQ: TBH). The new entity is set to steward an ecosystem treasury of 837 million DOGE and push DOGE integrations across gaming, campus sports, and digital media, bringin…
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The sudden and violent market correction triggered by geopolitical shockwaves served as an unprecedented stress test for the entire cryptocurrency ecosystem, exposing critical differences in network architecture. While the multi-billion-dollar liquidation event sent prices plunging across the board, Solana demonstrated remarkable resilience, whereas the Ethereum network and liquidity thinned during the peak volatility. Why Solana High-Performance Design Continues To Shine In an X post, the Nasdaq-listed go-to Solana Digital Asset Treasury (DAT), DefDevCorp, has revealed that when the largest liquidation event in crypto history hit last Friday, most of the market froze, a…
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Elon Musk waded back into the money-meets-energy debate on X today, endorsing Bitcoin and Dogecoin. The Tesla CEO replied to a viral ZeroHedge thread that framed artificial intelligence as a government-funded arms race that will turbocharge monetary debasement. “True. That is why Bitcoin is based on energy: you can issue fake fiat currency, and every government in history has done so, but it is impossible to fake energy,” Musk wrote, aligning BTC’s value proposition with physical power constraints. Minutes later, when community account Sir Doge of the Coin (@dogeofficialceo) added, “Dogecoin is also based on energy,” Musk replied with a simple “,” his first explicit nod…
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EUR/USD 5-Minute Chart Analysis The EUR/USD currency pair fluctuated throughout Tuesday. In the first half of the day, another decline was observed, potentially driven by weaker-than-expected ZEW economic sentiment indices from both Germany and the EU. In the second half of the day, the pair experienced a slight recovery, likely in response to remarks from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. It remains unclear what exactly Powell communicated to the markets, but in any case, the Fed is expected to maintain a generally dovish stance over the next one to two years. The only question is the pace at which the key interest rate will be lowered. Even the modest upward move…
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GBP/USD 5-Minute Chart Analysis The GBP/USD currency pair opened on Tuesday with a sharp decline. This time, the market had legitimate reasons to sell the British pound: UK unemployment data and jobless claims came in well below expectations. Unemployment continues to rise, which on its own is negative for the economy. Beyond that, the Bank of England may consider restarting monetary easing due to weakness in the labor market. In short, Tuesday morning brought bad news for the pound. In the second half of the day, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell came to the pound's aid. It's still unknown what exactly Powell said, but demand for the U.S. dollar began to drop sharp…
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Bitcoin price corrected losses and traded above the $115,000 level. BTC is now struggling and might start another decline below $110,000. Bitcoin started a fresh decline after it failed to clear the $116,000 resistance level. The price is trading below $115,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $118,250 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might continue to move down if it trades below the $110,500 zone. Bitcoin Price Faces Resistance Bitcoin price started a recovery wave above the $112,000 resistance level. BTC recovered above the $112,500 and $113,200 resistance leve…
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Nigel Farage is stepping into the UK crypto conversation with a bold pitch that looks a lot like something out of Donald Trump’s playbook. He wants the country to hold a £5 billion bitcoin reserve, using coins already seized by the government. He’s also pushing for a 10 percent flat tax on crypto profits, an end to the Bank of England’s digital pound project, and even the option for citizens to pay their taxes in crypto. In a speech that felt more like a campaign rally than a policy talk, he positioned himself as the UK’s crypto advocate, borrowing Trump’s tone and timing with just weeks before a general election. A Bold Plan That Looks Better on Paper There’s no denyin…
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Dogecoin fell sharply on Tuesday, losing a quarter of its value and retreating to the $0.19 mark after a recent run of gains ran out of steam. Traders said the move followed a failure to hold above the $0.23–$0.24 range and a break below a short-term rising channel that had been supporting prices earlier in October. Technical Weakness Deepens The price action on the daily chart points to weakening momentum. Dogecoin could not defend $0.22, and that breach opened the door to faster selling that sent the token to its lowest level in over three weeks. The 20-day and 50-day EMAs sit around $0.23 and are now acting as overhead resistance. The Parabolic SAR has flipped to a …
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Ethereum price started a fresh recovery above $4,050. ETH is now showing positive signs and might rise further toward the $4,350 level. Ethereum started a recovery wave above the $4,000 and $4,020 levels. The price is trading above $4,050 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a key bullish trend line forming with support at $3,980 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could continue to move up if it trades above $4,200. Ethereum Price Holds Support Ethereum price started a recovery wave above the $3,950 level, like Bitcoin. ETH price formed a base and was able to recover above the $4,000 level. The price cleared the 50% Fib retra…
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The U.S. government is preparing to add around 127,271 bitcoin, valued at roughly $14.2 billion, into what it now calls a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve. During a joint operation with UK authorities, these coins were confiscated in connection with a massive crypto fraud operation led by Chen Zhi, a Chinese national tied to the Cambodia-based Prince Group. Instead of offloading the assets as it typically would, the government appears ready to hold the Bitcoin. The move marks a potential turning point in how states treat digital assets, suggesting that officials now see this stash as a long-term financial tool rather than something to liquidate. A Web of Scams, Trafficking, an…
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Bitcoin is trading around 112,800, retreating after reaching the 5/8 Murray level around 115,625 and encountering strong resistance around the 200 EMA, which pressured Bitcoin. We now believe BTC could continue its fall in the coming days, reaching the psychological level of $110,000. If Bitcoin consolidates above 112,500 and then breaks and consolidates above the 21 SMA located at 113,200, this will be seen as a clear buy signal with targets at the 200 EMA around 116,114. Conversely, if Bitcoin consolidates below the 4/8 Murray level, then the outlook could be negative. Thus, the price could even reach the bottom of the downtrend channel around 105,800. The eagle indicat…
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EUR/USD is trading around 1.1618, bouncing after forming a double bottom pattern around 1.1543. After bouncing above 1.1550, the euro is now consolidating above the 7/8 Murray and above the 200 EMA, suggesting it could continue its rise in the coming days, reaching the 200 EMA around 1.1670. EUR/USD is expected to rise in the coming hours until it breaks the downtrend channel and reaches the 8/8 Murray around 1.1718. The euro is expected to cover the bottom it left at around 1.1739. Therefore, we could look for opportunities to continue buying at current levels while the EUR/USD pair trades above 1.1580. Any pullback will then be seen as a buying opportunity. The outl…
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Early in the European session, gold is trading around 4,182, below the uptrend channel formed on September 15 and with a positive bias after a strong rebound above 4,100. In the coming hours, gold could continue its rise and reach the top of the uptrend channel around 4,205 and could even reach the 7/8 Murray around 4,218. If gold falls below the 7/8 Murray and fails to consolidate above this area, we can expect a pullback to reach the 21SMA around 4,080. The instrument could even get the 6/8 Murray at 4,062. Technically, the Eagle indicator has reached the overbought zone, so a strong technical correction is likely in the coming days, and gold could reach the psychologic…
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USD/JPY After two days of consolidation, the USD/JPY pair has exited the target range of 151.70–152.10 and is now, in our view, heading toward the closure of the price gap left on October 6. Along this path, the pair faces two key support levels: 150.50, represented by the MACD line, and 149.38, a target level marked by the peak from July 16. Once the gap is closed, the price may complete the current downward leg within the 146.29–146.59 target range — a strong support zone formed during three months of consolidation. The Marlin oscillator is leading price action lower, providing a strong indication of the market's current bearish direction. On the four-hour chart, the …
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GBP/USD On Tuesday, the British pound didn't even attempt to break through the resistance level at 1.3369. Instead, it worked through support at 1.3253, a level it previously approached but failed to reach on October 10. By the end of the day, the daily candlestick left a long lower wick, which adds another signal supporting a potential upward reversal. The signal line of the Marlin oscillator is now pointing upward. The price must now complete two difficult tasks in succession: overcome the resistance of the 1.3369 target level, followed by the MACD line at 1.3400. A successful breakout through both would allow the market to aim for the next target at 1.3525. On the fo…
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EUR/USD By the end of the previous trading day, the euro gained 36 pips amid mixed performance in U.S. stock indices and a slight decline in government bond yields. There are external signs that bond yields may continue to decline. However, if that's the case, we shouldn't expect a strong euro rally in the medium term—such as a move to the upper boundary of the price channel on the daily chart at 1.1908. For now, the euro has two active targets: 1.1662 – the MACD line1.1779 – the highs from October 1 and September 9If the price suddenly falls below yesterday's low at 1.1543, it may attempt to consolidate under the 1.1495 support level, which would open the path toward th…
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