Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
7062 tópicos neste fórum
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Trade Review and Advice on Trading the British PoundThe test of the 1.3445 level occurred at a moment when the MACD indicator had just started moving upward from the zero line — a confirmation of a valid entry point for buying the pound, which resulted in a 20-pip gain. Today, the British pound continued to rise during the Asian session, benefiting from additional pressure on the U.S. dollar due to the ongoing government shutdown. This shutdown, caused by a lack of consensus on government spending for the upcoming fiscal year, has triggered a wave of concern among investors, prompting them to shift away from dollar-denominated assets in search of safer havens. The pound t…
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Trade Review and GBP/USD Trading TipsA test of the 1.3310 level occurred at a moment when the MACD indicator had already moved significantly above the zero line, which limited the pair's upward potential. The British pound rose sharply, while the U.S. dollar declined following Donald Trump's renewed consideration of implementing 100% tariffs against China. Waves of panic swept through financial markets, forcing investors to hastily reassess their strategies. Trump's statements, as unexpected as a bolt from the blue, immediately drove the dollar down, exposing its vulnerability in the face of geopolitical uncertainty. The British currency—seemingly unaffected directly by t…
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Trade Review and Advice on Trading the British PoundThe test of the 1.3474 price level occurred at the moment when the MACD indicator had just started moving upward from the zero line, confirming the correct entry point for buying the pound and resulting in a 40-pip rise. The sharp drop in U.S. employment data from ADP for August triggered a strong sell-off of the U.S. dollar and a strengthening of the British pound. Investors, concerned about a slowdown in the U.S. economic recovery, quickly moved away from dollar-denominated assets, while the pound, conversely, found support amid expectations of a more cautious monetary policy from the Bank of England. However, this out…
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Trade Review and Tips for Trading the British PoundThe test of the 1.3490 price level occurred just as the MACD indicator began moving downward from the zero line, confirming a valid entry point for selling the pound, which resulted in a drop of over 40 pips. Strong U.S. data, supported by hawkish rhetoric from the Federal Reserve, restored confidence in a more cautious approach by the Fed regarding interest rate cuts. This, in turn, makes the U.S. dollar more attractive to yield-seeking investors. The pound, however, came under pressure. The situation is further complicated by the fact that the Bank of England is facing a greater challenge than the Fed. The UK central ba…
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Trade Analysis and Tips for Trading the British PoundThe test of the 1.3465 price level occurred when the MACD indicator had risen significantly above the zero line, which limited the pair's upside potential. A second test of 1.3465, while the MACD was in overbought territory, provided an entry point for a sell trade according to Scenario 2; however, no major decline in the pair occurred afterward. The British pound responded with solid growth to the news that the U.S. ISM Services PMI had returned to the 50-point area. This morning, expectations for the UK Construction PMI are not optimistic, which may limit the upside potential of the pair. Additionally, a public speech…
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Trade Analysis and Tips for Trading the British PoundThe price test at 1.3456 occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved significantly above the zero line, which limited the pair's upward potential. The U.S. dollar resumed its decline against the British pound yesterday after Republicans and Democrats once again failed to reach a budget agreement, extending the government shutdown. Investors, exhausted by political uncertainty and concerned about its potential economic consequences, continued to abandon dollar-denominated assets, which immediately impacted the exchange rate against major global currencies. As is well known, a prolonged shutdown erodes confidence i…
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Trade Breakdown and Strategy for the British PoundA test of the 1.3436 level occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved significantly above the zero line, which limited the pair's upward potential. A second test of the same level while the MACD was in the overbought zone triggered Sell Scenario No. 2 and resulted in a sharp GBP sell-off of more than 50 pips. U.S. economic data continues to point to a slowdown in growth while inflation remains above the Fed's 2% target. Despite this, the Federal Reserve appears committed to supporting the economy, as noted in yesterday's FOMC meeting minutes. This outlook pressured the dollar, giving the pound a small opportunity t…
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Trade Review and Advice on Trading the British PoundThe price test at 1.3573 occurred when the MACD indicator was starting to move downward from the zero line, which confirmed the correct entry point for selling the pound and resulted in a drop toward the target level of 1.3533. The pound declined against the dollar after buyers failed to hold the weekly high. This cautious approach, typical in the market ahead of the release of key economic data, is due not only to the desire to avoid unjustified risks but also to an understanding of the potential impact of this data on the future dynamics of the currency pair. US economic data—whether inflation, employment, or industria…
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Trade review and tips for trading the British pound The test of 1.3527 coincided with the moment when the MACD indicator had already moved well below the zero line, which limited the pair's downward potential. The absence of U.K. statistics predictably put pressure on the pound in the first half of the day, but it did not lead to a larger correction of the pair. Investors remain in a wait-and-see mode, assessing the prospects of further moves by the Bank of England and the Federal Reserve on interest rates. Expectations regarding a possible rate cut at the upcoming meeting remain fairly muted, which supports the British currency. Technical analysis shows that GBP/USD cont…
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Trade Review and Advice on Trading the British PoundThe price test at 1.3518 occurred at a moment when the MACD indicator had already moved significantly below the zero line, which limited the pair's downside potential. In the second half of the day, US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for August will be released, and a decline in this indicator will restore demand for the British pound, significantly weakening the dollar's position. The CPI excluding food and energy prices is also important. Investors and traders constantly analyze every point of the report carefully, trying to anticipate the Federal Reserve's next moves. It is expected that the Fed will make decisions ba…
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Trade Review and Advice on Trading the British PoundA test of the 1.3545 price level coincided with the MACD indicator just starting its move up from the zero line, confirming a good buy entry in GBP. However, the pair never developed a significant upward move. The sharp 0.1% drop in US producer prices in August led to a dollar decline and a strengthening of the British pound. Still, a major bullish run did not materialize. First, the PPI drop was a one-off event, shifting the focus to today's US Consumer Price Index figures. Second, ongoing uncertainty over the British economy continued to weigh on sterling. There are no UK data releases today, so most of the market move…
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Trade Review and Advice on Trading the British PoundThe test of the 1.3548 level came when the MACD indicator had just started moving down from the zero line, confirming a correct entry point for selling the pound. As a result, the pair dropped by 20 pips. There was no reaction to the UK GDP data. The report fully matched economists' forecasts, recording zero growth for the past month. The market seemed to have already priced in this scenario, keeping investors focused on more pressing issues like inflation and geopolitical tensions. Zero GDP growth highlights the fragility of the British economy, calling further growth prospects into question and putting pressure on the …
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Trade Review and Advice on Trading the British PoundThe test of the 1.3525 level occurred when the MACD indicator was starting to move upward from the zero line, confirming a good entry point for buying the pound. As a result, the pair rose to the target area around 1.3582. US inflation data once again weakened the dollar and led to growth in the British pound. Investors welcomed the slowdown in US consumer price growth, which increased the likelihood of Federal Reserve rate cuts. This weakened the US dollar and provided significant support to the pound. A lot of important data for the UK is expected out this morning. Economists and analysts will closely watch the numbers…
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Trade Review and Advice on Trading the British PoundThe test of the 1.3528 price occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved well below the zero line, which limited the pair's downside potential. For this reason, I did not sell the pound. The British pound rose against the dollar after last Friday's data showed a decline in the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index. The unexpected drop in the index weakened the dollar and provided a boost for the pound. Markets reacted immediately, as investors revised their expectations towards a more dovish Federal Reserve policy. No major fundamental data are expected from the UK today, which is likely positive for the…
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Trade review and tips for trading the British pound The price test of 1.3573 occurred when the MACD indicator was just beginning to move upward from the zero line, confirming the correct entry point for buying the pound. As a result, the pair rose toward the target level of 1.3608. The absence of U.K. statistics had a positive effect on the pound. Without fresh data to assess the state of the British economy, investors tend to rely on existing trends and the overall perception of risk. In the second half of the day, the Empire Manufacturing Index will be released, and only strong data could help the dollar rise against the pound. However, even with positive results, it wo…
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Trade Review and Advice on Trading the British PoundThe first test of 1.3588 coincided with MACD moving far below zero, which limited downside potential. For this reason, I did not sell the pound. The second test at 1.3588 occurred when MACD was in oversold territory, allowing Scenario #2 to play out with a 20-pip rise. Today, reports on U.K. jobless claims, the unemployment rate, and average earnings will be published. Together, these reports offer a comprehensive view of labor market conditions, and their simultaneous publication creates a powerful flow of information that requires careful analysis. The change in the number of applications for unemployment benefits serv…
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Trade analysis and tips for trading the British pound The test of 1.3628 occurred at the moment when the MACD indicator had already moved well above the zero line, which limited the pound's upward potential. Weak UK labor market data prevented pound buyers from achieving strong growth in the pair. However, there was no sharp decline either. A possible explanation for this dynamic is that the market had already priced in weak employment figures. In addition, speculative factors cannot be ruled out. Large players with significant resources may have taken advantage of the pound's temporary weakness to build long positions, betting on further strengthening after tomorrow's Fe…
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Trade Review and Advice on Trading the British PoundThe first test of the 1.3646 price occurred when the MACD indicator had just started to move up from the zero mark, confirming this as the correct entry point for buying the pound. As a result, the pair rose, stopping just short of the 1.3671 target. UK labor market data kept demand for the pound healthy in the first half of the day, after which dollar weakness returned. Despite the lack of strong positives in the published data, the mere resilience of the UK labor market—contrary to some analysts' expectations—supported the national currency. Investors who feared a sharp deterioration got a signal that the UK economy is…
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Trade review and tips for trading the British pound The price test of 1.3631 occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved far below the zero mark, which limited the pound's downward potential. In the first half of the day, inflation data was released in the UK. The market showed no reaction. The pound sterling continued to trade within a narrow sideways channel. It will likely remain there until the Fed's decision. In the second half of the day, the FOMC decision on the key interest rate, FOMC economic projections, and Jerome Powell's press conference are expected. Markets are frozen in anticipation. Investors and analysts around the world are preparing for the mome…
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Trade Review and Advice on Trading the British PoundThe test of 1.3660 occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved far above the zero line, which limited the pair's upside potential. For this reason, I did not buy the pound. The Fed's decision to cut rates initially strengthened the pound, but demand for the dollar quickly returned. The market had expected more decisive action from the regulator, possibly clearer signals of further rate cuts in the near future. The absence of such guidance triggered a reassessment of risks and a return to more conservative strategies. The dollar, as a traditional safe-haven asset, once again drew investor interest amid concerns abo…
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Trade review and advice for trading the pound The price test at 1.3611 occurred when the MACD indicator had just begun moving upward from the zero mark, confirming the correct entry point for buying the pound. As a result, the pair rose by more than 30 points. The European session only reinforced the intentions of major players, pushing the pound to new local highs. Optimism about the outlook for the British economy, supported by expectations that the Bank of England will maintain a cautious stance on interest rates, continues to fuel demand for the pound. Technical analysis also points to a favorable picture for the currency. Beyond the regulator's decision, the pound ma…
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Trade Review and Advice on Trading the British PoundThe test of the 1.3631 price coincided with the moment when the MACD indicator had just started moving down from the zero line, confirming the validity of the sell entry on the pound and resulting in a drop of more than 60 pips for the pair. The Bank of England's decision to keep rates unchanged did not help the pound; the market reacted with disappointment, viewing the lack of hawkish signals as a sign of caution and indecisiveness from the central bank in tackling inflation. On the one hand, the decision to hold rates at current levels can be seen as a balanced approach, accounting for the risks of slowing economic gro…
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Trade review and tips for trading the British pound The price test of 1.3524 occurred when the MACD indicator had just started moving downward from the zero mark, confirming the correct entry point for selling the pound. As a result, the pair fell by more than 25 points. The drop was caused by a sharp increase in public sector borrowing, which threatens the UK's economic outlook and the political career of Rachel Reeves. The surge in government debt, reported at far higher levels than expected, triggered panic among investors. Many economists questioned the government's ability to manage finances effectively, which immediately weighed on the pound sterling. This significa…
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Trade Analysis and Recommendations for Trading the British Pound The test of the 1.3490 price level occurred while the MACD indicator had already moved significantly above the zero line, which limited the pair's upward potential. In the second half of the day, all eyes will be on speeches by FOMC members John Williams and Thomas Barkin. If their tone is cautious or dovish, it could trigger further U.S. dollar weakening and, as a result, strengthen the pound. Should Williams and Barkin express concerns about the current economic situation, it may prompt another round of dollar selling. Investors are likely to interpret such comments as a signal of potential future monetary…
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Trade Review and Advice on Trading the British PoundThe test of the 1.3467 price occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved well below zero, limiting the pair's downside potential. Long positions on the rebound from 1.3434 (Scenario #2) returned about 15 pips of profit. News that US new home sales came in much higher than economists had forecast strengthened the dollar and led to a decline in the British pound. Investors immediately reconsidered their positions, anticipating good economic growth momentum. The prospect of keeping rates higher for longer returned appeal to the US dollar. Today, the Confederation of British Industry will release UK retail sales figur…
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