Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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Reports from CryptoQuant suggest that large holders are moving aggressively while smaller players are bailing out. Over the past week, wallets linked to key Bitcoin participants grabbed more than 16,000 BTC during a price decline. At the same time, retail investors have been selling into weakness, taking losses and widening the gap between whales and small traders. Analysts see this as a possible clue that the market could be forming a local bottom. Seasonal Pressure And Fed Expectations The timing of these moves adds more complexity. September is rarely kind to markets. Data over the last 35 years shows the S&P 500 slipping an average of 1% during this month, an…
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Gold prices advanced on Friday, buoyed by rising optimism of a September rate cut following comments by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell at this year’s Jackson Hole symposium. Spot gold rose 1% to $3,372.60 per ounce by 12:30 p.m. ET, the highest in nearly two weeks. US gold futures also gained 1%, trading at $3,416.90 an ounce in New York. Click on chart for live prices. In his highly anticipated speech Friday morning, Powell acknowledged that the US economy is facing a “challenging situation”, with inflation risks now tilted to the upside and employment risks to the downside. This shift in the balance of risks, he remarked, may warrant adjusting the Fed…
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The Market is going wild from Powell's speech, interpreted as largely dovish! In case you missed it, you can access the text and a review of his live speech at the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium on this page: Access Jerome Powell's full speech at the Jackson Hole Symposium Jerome Powell just concluded his nuch-anticipated speech at the Jackson Hole economic conference and the reactions are strong. Holding a very nuanced approach, as we're used to from Powell, Markets still interpreted some of his wording as a slightly dovish opening. These lines on employment are a good example: "Overall, while the labor market appears to be in balance, it is a curious kind of …
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As Australian gold producers set annual guidance for the 2026 financial year, a clear trend has emerged across the sector. While miners outside the gold sector are expecting to see flat to lower unit costs for the 12 months to June 30, 2026 (FY26), gold miners are almost universally forecasting a rise in costs. Shares in sector leader Northern Star Resources (ASX: NST) were heavily sold off last month after the company said it expected all-in sustaining costs (AISC) for FY26 to rise to A$2,300-2,700 an ounce ($1,477-1,862/oz) from A$2,163/oz in FY25. “Unfortunately, we’re not seeing costs plateau, and that pressure still remains and you’re seeing that across t…
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Bitcoin is trading at a pivotal level after losing momentum from the $120,000 zone and slipping into deeper volatility. The price is now testing the $112,000 support level, a key zone for bulls to defend in order to avoid further bearish pressure. While the broader trend remains constructive in the long term, the short-term outlook has tilted toward weakness, with momentum indicators showing a leaning toward the downside. Analysts highlight this moment as a potential inflection point for the market. A strong defense of current levels could reset sentiment and allow Bitcoin to consolidate before another breakout attempt. However, failure to hold above $112K may trigger a…
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Germany’s GDP fell 0.3% q/q in Q2 2025 (0.2 pp below the flash); y/y: –0.2% unadjusted, +0.2% calendar-adjusted. Previous quarters: +0.3% (Q1 2025), +0.2% (Q4 2024). Destatis’ annual revision altered earlier quarters by –0.7 to +0.6 pp.Demand & supply: consumption edged up (total +0.3% q/q; households +0.1%, government +0.8%), but investment –1.4% and negative net exports (exports –0.1%, imports +1.6%) dragged growth. By sector: construction –3.7%, manufacturing –0.3%, IT & business services +0.5%.Labour, incomes & peers: employment ~46m (stable), productivity/hour +0.3% y/y, wages +4.8%. Consumption rose faster than income (+3.7% vs +2.5%), cutting the saving…
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A new study from the Colorado School of Mines has found that the United States could meet much of its demand for critical minerals by recovering materials currently discarded in mining waste. Published this week in Science, the analysis shows that nearly all critical minerals used in clean energy technologies, electronics, and defense applications are already present in ore processed at US mines. However, the majority of these materials end up in tailings and other waste streams rather than being refined for use. The analysis highlights cobalt and germanium as prime examples. Recovering less than 10% of the cobalt already mined and processed but lost to waste stre…
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Recent drill results by First Nordic Metals (TSXV: FNM), in which Agnico Eagle Mines (TSX, NYSE: AEM) holds a stake, have identified new gold-bearing structures at its Aida target in Sweden’s north near a producing mill. Highlight hole 2025-AID-038 cut 21.5 metres grading 1.94 grams gold per tonne from 317 metres depth in the Central zone, First Nordic reported on Thursday. That intercept included 7 metres at 1.3 grams gold in the eastern contact of the main Aida shear and 6.7 metres grading 1.45 grams gold in the newly-identified Pharao zone. Aida, inside the company’s Paubäcken project, is about 630 km north of Stockholm. “We are encouraged by this first bat…
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Electra Battery Materials (NASDAQ, TSXV: ELBM) says it is conducting a “comprehensive financial restructuring” to shore up its balance sheet as it looks to advance the commissioning of what would be the first cobalt sulfate refinery in North America. On Thursday, the battery metals developer announced plans to convert approximately $40 million of its outstanding debt into equity, with its lenders receiving shares priced at $0.60 each. This exchange would result in a 60% reduction in Electra’s total debt to $27 million. Its remaining notes will take the form of a new three-year loan. The company will also launch a $30 million equity financing, offering units priced…
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XRP has been under pressure in recent days, trading just below the $3 mark after a series of pullbacks that echoed the wider cooling seen across the crypto market. However, according to a technical analysis shared by crypto analyst Nehal, the asset may be approaching a key accumulation zone. According to his outlook, this could set the stage for an explosive rally that carries XRP to at least $5 before the end of 2025. XRP Dips Below $3; Here’s When To Buy After hitting highs above $3.35 earlier in August, XRP has since faced steady selling pressure alongside the rest of the crypto market. This in turn, has seen the cryptocurrency dipping below $2.90 and into the $2.80 z…
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Kodiak Copper’s (TSXV: KDK) first, near-surface drill results of the year from its MPD project confirming near-surface copper-gold across 950 metres in the South zone A highlight result was 111.3 metres grading 0.39% copper, 0.1 gram gold per tonne and 1.63 grams silver, the company reported on Thursday. That result, from 1.5 metres depth in hole RC-AXE-25-010, included 59.4 metres of 0.51% copper, 0.13 gram gold and 2.24 grams silver from surface. Hole RC-AXE-25-006 cut 147.8 metres grading 0.26% copper, 0.06 gram gold and 0.99 gram silver from 4.6 metres. MPD is located roughly between Merritt and Princeton, about 3.5 hours east of Vancouver. “We are very encour…
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Jerome Powell is giving a much-anticipated speech at the key Jackson Hole Symposium, known to generate volatility for FX, Equity and all-types of Markets. He is speaking live right here. You can access the text right here. A market-reaction overlook will shortly be available on MarketPulse, stay connected! Safe Trades! Opinions are the authors'; not necessarily that of OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc. or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. The provided publication is for informational and educational purposes only. If you would like to reproduce or redistribute any of the content found on MarketPulse, an award winni…
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Donald Trump’s new pro-crypto political action committee has received a very large Bitcoin donation that could help shape the future of digital assets in America. Billionaire twins Cameron and Tyler Winklevoss, who are best known as the founders of the Gemini crypto exchange, announced on Wednesday that they donated $21 million in Bitcoin to the group called the Digital Freedom Fund. Winklevoss Twins Back Trump With $21M Bitcoin Donation Cameron and Tyler Winklevoss said they made the donation because they believe Trump has already taken real steps to bring digital assets into the mainstream, and they want to help him keep that momentum. Tyler Winklevoss explained that …
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This week has been rough for risk assets, particularly tech. The Nasdaq has entered a correction phase, and the one for Cryptocurrencies is even steeper. Markets have been awaiting further news from Jerome Powell concerning any type of rate cuts, as seen in the signs of hesitancy in Equities and Crypto. He is about to speak in a few minutes at the Jackson Hole Symposium. You can access the speech right here. Digital assets have always been volatile, a given due to their youth compared to other asset classes: After stellar July and August trading, which took Bitcoin to a retest of its all-time highs and, more surprisingly, Ethereum from $2,500 on July 1st to $4,790 in l…
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According to Anthony Pompliano, Bitcoin is still the clear leader in the crypto market and it’s not likely to give up that spot soon. He made the point during an appearance on CNBC’s Squawk Box, where he pushed back against the old “blockchain, not Bitcoin” line that was popular in the 2016-2017 cycle. He said Bitcoin has proven itself, and he framed the debate as one about what people want to own, not just what the technology can do. Bitcoin Maintains Market Lead Pompliano argued that the idea blockchain alone would outshine Bitcoin has been tested and found wanting. Based on reports from his CNBC interview, he stressed that while blockchain has useful cases, Bitcoin …
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The Japanese yen continues to lose ground on Friday. In the North American session, USD/JPY is trading at 148.68. Earlier, USD/JPY hit 148.77, its highest level since August 1. Japan's core CPI falls to 3.1%Japan's core CPI, which excludes fresh food, dropped to 3.1% y/y in July, down from 3.3% and just above the market estimate of 3.0%. Headline CPI also declined to 3.1% from 3.3%, as rice inflation, which has skyrocketed, eased slightly. Headline inflation has been above the Bank of Japan's 2% inflation target for 40 consecutive months but the central bank remains hesitant to raise rates, arguing that it needs more evidence that domestic demand and wages will keep under…
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An emerging set of on-chain and market structure signals suggests Dogecoin could be coiling for a fresh advance, according to analytics platform Alphractal, which published a new chart pack and methodology notes on X on August 21. The firm argues that miner resilience, a stable “Network Stress Index,” and model-derived bands such as Alpha Price and CVDD have lined up in a way that historically preceded major DOGE trend accelerations. $1 Dogecoin Back In Play? “Dogecoin’s miners remain incredibly resilient, with hash rate activity pushing toward record highs,” Alphractal wrote, before posing the core question animating its latest study: “Could trading around True Market M…
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Asia Market Wrap - Japan Inflation Hits 8-Month Low Most Read: Nikkei 225 Technical: A potential bullish reversal looms after a 4% decline as market breadth improves with earnings upgrade Asian stocks stayed mostly steady on Friday as traders waited for a key speech by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell at the Jackson Hole symposium this weekend, hoping for clues about future monetary policy. MSCI's broad Asia-Pacific index outside Japan fell 0.1% after early gains, reducing its monthly rise to 1.3%. Meanwhile, China's blue-chip CSI 300 index jumped 1.8%, marking its third straight day of gains. Tech stocks led the rally after DeepSeek upgraded its V3 AI model and rep…
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BlackRock is one of the four horsemen of the US economy, along with investment giants Vanguard, Fidelity and State Street. And now there’s a Moody’s recession prediction terrifying all of these institutions. All of these investment institutions are lugubrious on the US economy - here’s why. Moody’s Recession Prediction: Two More Weeks Recession risks are rising, according to Moody’s Analytics chief economist Mark Zandi. In a recent post on X, he warned that U.S. growth is faltering under mounting policy pressures. Zandi later clarified that he doesn’t believe the economy is in a formal recession yet, but said certain sectors have already slipped into one. In an interv…
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Jerome Powell is going to be stepping up at Jackson Hole today, delivering a speech that the market been waiting for weeks. He will lay out the Fed’s view on the economy, a shifts in policy and cooling inflation for a softening job market. As his term comes to an end, this talk will carry weight, especially under political heat. Crypto players are especially locked in, as Powell’s words often ripple through the market like a domino effect. As we know, for months before today’s speech, the Federal Reserve chair has ignored demands from Donald Trump to cut interest rates and defied the US president’s calls to resign. So expectation on his speech will revolve a lot around …
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Asia’s wealthy are ramping up crypto allocations as trading surges and regulation matures worldwide. Is this uptick among Asian investors driven by strong market performance, expanding institutional access, or the regulatory environment in key markets such as Hong Kong, Singapore, and the US? A 21 August 2025 Reuters report states, “Wealth managers said they are receiving more enquiries, cryptocurrency exchanges have seen trading volumes surge and crypto funds are in huge demand as high-net-worth Asian investors seek more exposure.” In fact, Swiss bank UBS recently saw overseas Chinese family offices planning to raise their crypto exposure to around 5% of their portfoli…
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On-chain analytics platform Lookonchain has drawn attention to a 7-year-old Bitcoin whale who is betting big on Ethereum. This comes amid a crypto market pullback, which has seen ETH and BTC record significant losses. Bitcoin Whale Sells $76 Million To Buy Ethereum In an X post, Lookonchain revealed that a Bitcoin OG, which is holding 14,837 BTC ($1.69 billion), had sold 670.1 BTC ($76 million) and opened long positions of 68,130 ETH ($295 million). The whale made this move by depositing the $76 million BTC to Hyperliquid and selling it off before going long on ETH across four wallets, totaling 68,130 ETH. This Bitcoin whale received 14,837 BTC seven years ago, which…
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Overview: The dollar stalled after mostly extending this week's gains against the G10 currencies on the back of firmer US rates. The key event ahead of the weekend is Fed Chair Powell's speech in Jackson Hole (10 am ET). The greenback appreciated against all the G10 currencies this week, with the Antipodeans and sterling off more than 1% and the yen and euro not far behind. Emerging market currencies are mixed today, but on the week only a handful have managed to gain on the greenback, including the Chinese yuan and Mexican peso. The 10-year JGB yield rose five basis points this week and finished the week slightly above 1.60%, a new high since 2008. Most European benchma…
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The Canadian dollar is unchanged on Friday, trading at 1.3912. Earlier, USD/CAD hit 1.3917, its highest level since May. Canada's retail sales expected to reboundCanada wraps up the week with the June retail sales report, which is expected to rebound with a gain of 1.5% y/y. This follows a 1.1% decline in May, as consumers cut back on spending when US tariffs took effect in April. The trade war between Canada and the US continues but consumers have had time to adjust to the new reality of tariffs and the markets expect a strong rebound in consumer spending. It is somewhat surprising that the US has concluded trade agreements with the EU and Japan but not Canada, whi…
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The South African Krugerrand didn’t just enter the gold market in 1967: it created the modern bullion coin industry. By 1980, this coin commanded 90% of the global gold coin market. Today, the Krugerrand maintains its dominance through unmatched global liquidity and recognition. This article examines the technical specifications, investment advantages, and historical significance that keep the Krugerrand competitive in an increasingly crowded bullion market. What Is a Krugerrand? Before exploring its investment potential, here are the basics of what makes a Krugerrand. For additional insights into the fascinating history of the Krugerrand coin, watch this expert discussi…
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