Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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The EUR/USD currency pair moved—once again—downward throughout Tuesday. At this point, it seems we could write the same story every day: the dollar strengthened yet again, with seemingly no apparent reason. Of course, with enough effort, a reason can always be found. Tuesday provided a weaker-than-expected ZEW economic sentiment index for both Germany and the Eurozone. But here's the problem: why does the market treat all negative euro news seriously, while consistently ignoring negative dollar news? Let's recall: the U.S. government shutdown continues, the labor market is deteriorating, the Federal Reserve is more dovish than the European Central Bank, and President Trum…
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The GBP/USD currency pair once again traded lower on Tuesday. This time, there were actual reasons for the pound's decline—at least during the first half of the day. The UK releases macroeconomic data infrequently, but Tuesday was one of those rare days. The unemployment rate came in above expectations, while jobless claims exceeded forecasts by 2.5 times. These two reports were enough to trigger a further drop in the pound. Naturally, the market continues to ignore equally poor fundamental and macroeconomic data for the U.S. dollar—but that has now become business as usual in recent weeks. In the EUR/USD article, we suggested that the recent declines in both major curren…
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Ethereum appears to be entering a pivotal phase as the market stabilizes around a key support level near $3,800. After a period of correction, technical indicators, structural signals, and price action now suggest the potential for a renewed bullish move. Ethereum Slips Below Key $4,060 Support Ted, in a recent update shared on X, pointed out that Ethereum has slipped below its crucial $4,060 support level, a move that may hint at a short-term bearish phase for the asset. This breakdown has drawn traders’ attention to lower support regions, as Ethereum’s next moves will likely determine whether the market stabilizes or faces further pressure. According to Ted, the nex…
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XRP price started a fresh increase above $2.50. The price is now showing positive signs and could aim for more gains above the $2.620 level. XRP price is attempting a recovery wave above the $2.50 zone. The price is now trading above $2.50 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $2.60 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could start a fresh surge if it clears the $2.60 resistance. XRP Price Set To Surge? XRP price found support and started a strong recovery wave above $2.220, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price was able to climb above the $2.320 and $2.40 levels to en…
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The United States has exposed a massive forced-labor and cyber-fraud network operating out of Cambodia, seizing nearly $15Bn in Bitcoin now held in federal custody. The unprecedented case raises a new question: could these funds eventually become part of Washington’s Strategic Bitcoin Reserve? Prosecutors on Tuesday unsealed charges against Chen Zhi, chairman of Cambodia’s Prince Group, accusing him of running large-scale “pig-butchering” scam compounds that trafficked workers and defrauded victims around the world. At the same time, the Justice Department launched the biggest forfeiture action in US history, targeting roughly 127,271 BTC tied to the network. Th…
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Washington’s latest retirement push could send fresh 401(k) money toward Bitcoin sooner than expected. House Republicans on Tuesday introduced the Retirement Investment Choice Act, a bill that would turn President Donald Trump’s August executive order into law. The proposal formally opens the door for retirement plans to include “alternative assets,” such as funds investing in digital currencies. The move comes as regulators advance guidance on the issue, with Bitcoin trading near $113,000 in a volatile market. If passed, the legislation would give Executive Order 14330 the full force of law. It directs the Labor Department and Securities and Exchange Commission to …
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On-chain analytics firm Glassnode has explained how the latest Bitcoin selloff is different from the LUNA and FTX crashes of 2022. Bitcoin Supply In Profit Trend Is Structurally Different For The Latest Crash In a new post on X, Glassnode has discussed how the recent bearish action in BTC compares against some of the past crashes. The analytics firm has used the Percent Supply in Profit to make the comparison. This on-chain indicator measures, as its name suggests, the percentage of the total Bitcoin circulating supply that’s sitting on some net unrealized gain right now. The metric works by going through the transaction history of each token in circulation to see what…
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Review of Tuesday's Trades:1-Hour EUR/USD Chart On Tuesday, the EUR/USD pair managed to trade in both directions. In the morning, the euro came under pressure due to weaker-than-expected ZEW economic sentiment indices from both Germany and the Eurozone. In the second half of the day, the U.S. dollar faced pressure due to public remarks by Jerome Powell and Donald Trump. Chair Powell once again stated that the Federal Reserve will make decisions based solely on macroeconomic data and also signaled the end of the quantitative tightening program. Both statements could be interpreted in multiple ways. The market still lacks confidence in whether we will see one or two rat…
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Review of Tuesday's Trades:1-Hour GBP/USD Chart On Tuesday, the GBP/USD pair moved both upward and downward. However, the British pound had additional reasons to decline early in the session. In the morning, the UK released reports on unemployment and jobless claims, which triggered a sell-off in the pound. Contrary to forecasts and expectations, the unemployment rate increased by 0.1%, and the number of newly unemployed rose by 26,000—significantly above projections. As a result, the decline in sterling was entirely justified. In the second half of the day, Jerome Powell offered some relief for the pound. Once again, he stated that the Federal Reserve has no specific…
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Dogecoin started a fresh increase above the $0.20 zone against the US Dollar. DOGE is now consolidating and might aim for more gains if it clears $0.2180. DOGE price started a fresh upward move above $0.20 and $0.2050. The price is trading above the $0.20 level and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There is a bullish trend line forming with support at $0.1980 on the hourly chart of the DOGE/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The price could aim for more gains if it remains stable above $0.1880. Dogecoin Price Eyes Fresh Upside Dogecoin price started a fresh increase after it settled above $0.1880, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. DOGE climbed above the $0.20 resistance …
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Macroeconomic Report Analysis: Very few macroeconomic reports are scheduled for Wednesday. The only notable report is industrial production in the Eurozone, which is once again unlikely to impress traders with a strong result. However, expectations for this indicator are already quite low, so exceeding them may be relatively easy. No other significant reports are expected throughout the day. Fundamental Event Overview: Several fundamental events are scheduled for Wednesday, but several important points should be noted straight away. Jerome Powell and Christine Lagarde have both spoken frequently in recent weeks. As a result, the market now has a clear under…
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A discounted $50M Solana buy just collided with fresh tariff jitters, testing whether corporate demand can steady SOL in a risk-off week. Abu Dhabi–based Solmate Infrastructure (Nasdaq: SLMT) said on Oct. 14 that it purchased $50M worth of SOL directly from the Solana Foundation at a 15% discount. SOL was trading between $169 and $195 in a pattern of a symmetrical triangle, a pattern that is commonly observed before a huge breakout. The upper resistance zone aligns near $195–$200, while key Fibonacci confluence levels sit just above. (Source: X) If Solana breaks above the upper boundary, the next Fibonacci extension (1.618) projects a potential rally toward th…
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After beginning the week above the critical $115,000 mark, Bitcoin (BTC) and the broader cryptocurrency market initially showed signs of recovery. However, BTC has resumed its downward trajectory, experiencing a 4% decline over the past 24 hours. This downturn has had a cascading effect on other altcoins, particularly Ethereum (ETH) and XRP. BTC, ETH, XRP’s Plunge Explained With the Bitcoin drop, Ethereum recorded a 5% drop, once again losing the pivotal $4,000 support level, while XRP has suffered even greater losses, plummeting by 7% during the same timeframe. This decline has pushed XRP closer to $2.40 as of Tuesday, highlighting the volatility affecting altcoins in t…
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Key takeaways The Hang Seng Index remains in a medium-term uptrend, despite a recent 9% pullback triggered by renewed US-China trade tensions.China’s core CPI rose to a 19-month high of 1% in September 2025, easing deflation fears and boosting market confidence.Technical indicators show bullish momentum, with key short-term support at 25,140 and upside resistance near 27,500.A sustained yuan appreciation continues to underpin Hong Kong’s equity market recovery. This is a follow-up analysis and an update of our prior publication, “Hang Seng Index Technical: Bullish consolidation above 26,200 on China housing recovery”, published on 15 September 2025. The price action…
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The U.S. dollar collapsed against the euro, pound, and other assets following yesterday's interview with Jerome Powell. The Chairman of the Federal Reserve, Jerome Powell, indicated that the U.S. central bank intends to lower the key interest rate by another 25 basis points, likely as early as the end of October. This statement served as a trigger for widespread dollar selling across global markets, as investors adjusted their expectations for future monetary policy easing. Powell noted that the U.S. economy continues to show resilience, but risks related to slowing employment growth and ongoing trade tensions require caution and may justify further policy accommodation. …
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Why is crypto down today? Did tariffs crush Uptober’s rally, or is this the perfect setup before the next breakout? Are traders panicking too early while smart money quietly loads up? As Bitcoin hovers around $ 113,000 (down 2% in 24 hours) and altcoins like Ethereum and Solana slip deeper, the total crypto market cap has fallen below $ 4 trillion again. But behind the red candles lies opportunity. From Trump’s tariff bombshells to CPI anticipation and a fragile Gaza peace deal, this dip may not be a crash; it could be the calm before Uptober’s comeback. Let’s break down exactly why crypto is down today, and why bulls might be ready to push again. …
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What just happened to the FET price? Traders woke up to another shock in the AI crypto sector, as Fetch.ai’s FET token, now part of the Artificial Superintelligence Alliance (ASI), collapsed from $0.37 to $0.3, marking one of its sharpest drops since the crash on October 10, 2025. The decline follows Ocean Protocol’s sudden exit from the alliance on October 9, 2025, shaking investor confidence in the decentralised AI merger between Fetch.ai, SingularityNET, and Ocean. Combined with broader market liquidations and the rise of Bittensor (TAO), investors are questioning whether the ASI vision can survive, or if TAO is becoming the new AI king. …
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Trade Review and Trading Advice for the EuroThe test of the 1.1565 price level occurred when the MACD indicator began to move upward from the zero line, confirming a valid entry point for buying the euro. As a result, the pair climbed toward the target level at 1.1599. Following comments made by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell indicating a planned 25-basis-point rate cut by the end of the month, the U.S. dollar experienced a sharp decline. The announcement triggered a broad sell-off in the greenback across global markets, as investors reassessed their expectations for future Fed policy. Powell emphasized that the U.S. economy remains stable but noted that risks relate…
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Trade Review and Advice for Trading the British PoundThe test of the 1.3284 level coincided with the MACD indicator having already moved significantly above the zero line, which limited the pair's bullish potential. The second test of this level occurred while MACD was in the overbought zone, triggering the implementation of Sell Scenario No. 2. However, the anticipated decline in the pair did not materialize. The pound surged sharply on Tuesday after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell signaled that the U.S. central bank plans to lower the key interest rate by 0.25% at the end of the month. The market reacted instantly with widespread buying of the British currency, as i…
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Trade Review and Advice for Trading the Japanese YenThe 151.89 level test occurred when the MACD indicator began moving downward from the zero line, confirming a valid entry point for selling the U.S. dollar, which resulted in a 25-pip drop in the pair. The Japanese yen resumed its upward movement against the dollar after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell announced plans for a 25-basis-point rate cut. His statement acted as a catalyst for currency markets, triggering a reassessment of risk and outlooks for both the U.S. and Japanese economies. Investors shifted their focus back to the yen—a traditional safe-haven currency. Despite the release of weak industrial producti…
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As Bitcoin (BTC) tries to recover from its weekend sell-off that saw it almost crash to $100,000, some crypto analysts think that the BTC market likely “lost its pulse.” As a result, the leading cryptocurrency may be on the cusp of losing its bullish momentum. Bitcoin At The Risk Of Losing Momentum? According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor TeddyVision, Bitcoin’s Inter-Exchange Flow Pulse (IFP) has been trending lower, confirming that inter-exchange activity is slowly fading. For the uninitiated, the IFP measures liquidity as it moves between crypto exchanges. In essence, it can be considered a proxy to determine how active arbitrage and market-making re…
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The storm in the U.S. equity market shows no signs of calming. The S&P 500 opened with a gap for the second consecutive trading session—this time to the downside—following news of an escalation in the trade conflict. Beijing effectively barred Chinese companies from doing business with the U.S. subsidiary of South Korean shipbuilding giant Hanwha Ocean. Yet upbeat corporate earnings and dovish comments from Jerome Powell helped the broad market index ride the volatility rollercoaster and rebound. Financial results from major banks, including Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan Chase, and Wells Fargo, exceeded expectations, while BlackRock announced that assets under management su…
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[Platinum] – [Wednesday, October 15, 2025] Even though the intersection of the Golden Cross of the two EMA(50) & (200) is relatively narrow, but with the RSI in the Neutral-Bullish zone suggests that buyers are still dominant in Platinum. Key Levels: Level-Level Kunci 1. Resistance. 2 : 1743.0 2. Resistance. 1 : 1704.0 3. Pivot : 1672.5 4. Support. 1 : 1633.5 5. Support. 2 : 1602.0 Tactical Scenario: Positive Reaction Zone: If Platinum breaks and closes above 1704.0, it may move to test 1743.0. Momentum Extension Bias: If Platinum successfully breaks and closes above 1743.0, there is potential for it to reach 1774.5. Invalidation Level / Bias R…
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[XPD/USD] – [Wednesday, October 15, 2025] With the condition of technical indicators which showing a bullish momentum for XPD/USD, such as both EMAs forming a Golden Cross and the RSI positioned in the Neutral-Bullish zone. This suggests that XPD/USD has the potential to strengthen today. Key Levels: 1. Resistance. 2 : 1649.30 2. Resistance. 1 : 1605.71 3. Pivot : 1539.32 4. Support. 1 : 1495.73 5. Support. 2 : 1429.34 Tactical Scenario: Positive Reaction Zone: If Palladium strengthens above 1539.32, it may continue its rally toward 1605.71. Momentum Extension Bias: If 1605.71 is successfully broken, there is potential for XPD/USD to test the 1649.3…
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Yesterday, US stock indices closed mixed. The S&P 500 declined by 0.16%, while the Nasdaq 100 dropped by 0.76%. The industrial Dow Jones rose by 0.44%. Equity indices advanced and the dollar weakened as optimism around a potential interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve revived risk appetite and outweighed renewed US-China trade tensions. Markets recovered much of the previous week's losses as traders focused on the prospect of a more dovish monetary policy signaled by the Fed, while largely ignoring continued reports of difficulties in US-China trade negotiations. A growing conviction of an inevitable Fed rate cut exerted pressure on US Treasury yields, making th…
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