Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
7062 tópicos neste fórum
-
Trade Review and Advice on Trading the British PoundTesting the 1.3441 level coincided with the moment when the MACD indicator was just beginning to move downward from the zero line, confirming a good entry point for selling the pound. As a result, the pair dropped by more than 100 pips. The pace of US economic growth, revised upward to 3.8%, delivered a strong boost to the US dollar and, as a result, triggered a weakening in the British pound. This unexpected GDP growth for Q2 signals more resilience in the American economy than previously expected. The strengthening of the dollar, driven by favorable economic data, inevitably put pressure on other currencies, particular…
Last reply by Redator, -
Trade Review and Advice on Trading the British PoundThe test of the 1.3383 level coincided with the moment when the MACD indicator had already moved significantly above the zero mark, which limited the pair's upside potential. For this reason, I did not buy the pound and skipped the pair's small upward move. The pound reacted positively against the dollar on news that the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index rose by only 0.2%, in line with economists' forecasts. This modest increase, predicted by analysts, served as a signal of a possible further easing of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy. The market interpreted this as a sign of a softer stance by the ce…
Last reply by Redator, -
Trade Review and Advice on Trading the British PoundThe test of the 1.3448 price level occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved significantly above the zero line, which limited the pair's upside potential. For this reason, I decided not to buy the pound. A second test of the same level coincided with the MACD being in the overbought zone, which validated sell Scenario #2, resulting in a 30-pip drop. The absence of consensus among U.S. politicians due to major ideological differences negatively impacted the value of the U.S. dollar yesterday, leading to a modest strengthening of the British pound. Investors are increasingly concerned about the potential consequen…
Last reply by Redator, -
Trade Review and Advice on Trading the British PoundThe price test at 1.3493 occurred at a time when the MACD indicator was starting to move upward from the zero mark, which confirmed the correct entry point for buying the pound and resulted in growth toward the target level of 1.3546. Selling from there on the rebound allowed for an additional profit of about 30 pips from the market. The latest report from the U.S. Department of Labor showed that employment in the U.S. rose by only 22,000 in August, which led to a sharp drop in the dollar and strengthening of the pound. This figure falls significantly short of forecasts, which anticipated over 75,000 new jobs, and raises…
Last reply by Redator, -
- 0 💬
- 42 👀 Traders
Trade review and tips for trading the British pound The price test of 1.3511 occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved well above the zero mark, which limited the pair's upward potential. The absence of U.K. statistics held back the pound's upward momentum. Technical analysis also points to the possibility of a correction. Overbought signals and divergence on daily charts warn of weakening bullish momentum. A break of key support levels could trigger sellers' activity and strengthen the downtrend. In the second half of the day, traders will focus on U.S. consumer credit data, where overly strong figures could lead to a decline in GBP/USD. This is because robust c…
Last reply by Redator, -
Trade Review and Advice on Trading the British PoundThe price test at 1.3520 occurred when the MACD indicator was just starting to move upward from the zero line, which confirmed the correct entry point for buying the pound and resulted in growth toward the target level of 1.3555. Unfortunately, there is no economic data out of the UK today, so the further direction of the pair will be determined more by technical factors, as well as the bullish momentum that has persisted in the market since the end of last week. Given the absence of fundamental drivers from the UK, technical analysis takes on primary importance. Traders will closely watch the support and resistance leve…
Last reply by Redator, -
- 0 💬
- 21 👀 Traders
Trade review and tips for trading the British pound The price test of 1.3567 occurred when the MACD indicator had just begun to move down from the zero mark, confirming the correct entry point for selling the pound. As a result, the pair moved down only about 10 points before demand returned. During the U.S. session, the NFIB Small Business Optimism Index report is expected. After strong data, the pound may decline slightly against the dollar. While this indicator is not decisive, it can bring short-term volatility to quotes, especially if its value deviates significantly from expectations. Investors closely monitor sentiment in the small business sector, as it is an impo…
Last reply by Redator, -
- 0 💬
- 9 👀 Traders
Trade Analysis and Advice on the British Pound The test of 1.3298 occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved far below the zero mark, which limited the pair's downward potential. For this reason, I did not sell the pound. This week, investors will focus on speeches by U.S. Federal Reserve representatives Austan D. Goolsbee and Alberto Musalem. Markets will closely monitor their statements to get a sense of the regulator's future plans regarding monetary policy. Any hints of tightening or, on the contrary, readiness to ease policy could trigger sharp swings in the currency markets. Alongside these speeches, particular importance will be given to the University of M…
Last reply by Redator, -
- 0 💬
- 15 👀 Traders
Trade Analysis and Recommendations for the British Pound The price test of 1.3341 occurred when the MACD indicator had just begun moving downward from the zero line. This confirmed the correct entry point for selling the pound and resulted in a decline of more than 25 points. The lack of U.K. economic data has brought pressure back on the GBP/USD pair. Investors are likely avoiding open long positions while waiting for new U.S. data — though such releases are unlikely today. Technical analysis points to a bearish trend, so traders should be extremely cautious with buying positions. Given that there are also no significant U.S. macroeconomic releases in the second half of …
Last reply by Redator, -
- 0 💬
- 28 👀 Traders
Trade analysis and recommendations for trading the British pound The test of the 1.3451 price level coincided with the moment when the MACD indicator had just started moving upward from the zero mark, which confirmed a correct entry point for buying the pound. However, after a 10-point rise, selling pressure returned to the pair. Although the UK construction sector PMI declined, its reading of 46.2 exceeded analysts' expectations. Positive dynamics have persisted for three months, fueling optimism about a potential recovery in business activity in the near term. The moderate decline in housing construction is a result of the Bank of England's interest rate cuts in recent …
Last reply by Redator, -
- 0 💬
- 12 👀 Traders
Trade Analysis and Recommendations on the British Pound The price test of 1.3401 occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved significantly above the zero mark, which limited the pair's upward potential. For this reason, I did not buy the pound. The release of the Bank of England meeting minutes supported the pound. The language of the press release was extremely cautious: no hints of a reassessment of the current monetary policy and not a single mention of upcoming interest rate cuts. Such a neutral tone, combined with detailed statistics on inflation expectations, created a sense of stability, which was immediately reflected in the currency markets. Ahead, a fairl…
Last reply by Redator, -
- 0 💬
- 7 👀 Traders
Trade Analysis and Advice on Trading the British Pound The test of 1.3472 occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved far above the zero line, which limited the pair's upward potential. For this reason, I did not buy the pound. The second test of 1.3472 coincided with MACD being in the overbought area, which triggered scenario #2 for selling. The UK Manufacturing PMI released today confirmed analysts' forecasts, providing no momentum for further GBP/USD growth. The data matched expectations, indicating no unexpected changes in the country's manufacturing activity. This anticipated outcome nullified previous attempts of the pound to strengthen against the U.S. dolla…
Last reply by Redator, -
- 0 💬
- 16 👀 Traders
Trade breakdown and guidance on trading the British pound The test of the 1.3487 price level occurred at a time when the MACD indicator had already moved significantly above the zero mark, which limited the pair's upward potential. For this reason, I did not buy the pound. The absence of U.K. statistics allowed pound buyers to show a modest increase. The weakening of the U.S. dollar, amid mixed expectations regarding the Federal Reserve's further policy and the government shutdown, supports the British currency. In the near term, the GBP/USD pair's dynamics will depend on the flow of macroeconomic data from both countries and the rhetoric of central bank officials. In the…
Last reply by Redator, -
- 0 💬
- 24 👀 Traders
Trade Analysis and Tips for Trading the British PoundThe test of 1.3446 coincided with the moment when the MACD indicator had just started moving upward from the zero mark. This confirmed the correct entry point for buying the pound and resulted in a 20-point rise. Weaker growth in the U.K. services sector in September negatively affected the British pound. The Services PMI, published today, came in below analysts' expectations, raising concerns about a slowdown in economic growth. The decline in service-sector activity, which is a key part of the U.K. economy, points to weakening domestic demand and consumer spending. This could push the Bank of England toward a more dov…
Last reply by Redator, -
- 0 💬
- 15 👀 Traders
Trade analysis and advice for trading the British pound The test of 1.3469 coincided with the MACD indicator just beginning to move down from the zero line, which confirmed the correct entry point for selling the pound. As a result, the pair dropped toward the target level of 1.3440. A sharp decline in the Halifax House Price Index in the UK brought renewed pressure on the GBP/USD pair. The published data, showing an unexpected drop in housing prices, intensified concerns about the state of the British economy and the prospects for further monetary tightening by the Bank of England. Investors closely monitoring financial stability indicators viewed this report as a warnin…
Last reply by Redator, -
- 0 💬
- 49 👀 Traders
Trade analysis and advice for trading the British pound The price test of 1.3399 occurred at the moment when the MACD indicator had just begun moving downward from the zero mark, confirming the correct entry point for selling the pound and resulting in a decline toward the target level of 1.3362. The pound's latest drop confirms its position in a deep bearish market, marked by yet another update of the weekly low. Investors and traders are cautiously watching developments, trying to determine where the bottom lies and when at least some recovery might begin. Economic factors such as inflation, high interest rates, and slowing growth continue to pressure the British curren…
Last reply by Redator, -
- 0 💬
- 29 👀 Traders
Trade review and recommendations for trading the British pound The test of 1.3350 coincided with a moment when the MACD indicator had already moved significantly below the zero line, which limited the downward potential of the pair. For this reason, I did not sell the pound and stayed out of trades. In the second half of the day, markets will be primarily driven by U.S. data on the core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index and changes in household spending. These indicators are key measures of inflationary pressure and consumer demand, making them critically important for assessing the current state of the U.S. economy. Increased attention to the PCE index is due…
Last reply by Redator, -
- 0 💬
- 13 👀 Traders
Trade review and tips for trading the pound The test of 1.3427 occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved significantly down from the zero line, which limited the downward potential of the pair. For this reason, I did not sell the pound. The second test of 1.3427 coincided with the MACD being in the overbought zone, which allowed Scenario #2 for buying the pound to play out, resulting in growth of more than 20 points. In the second half of the day, weak U.S. pending home sales data is unlikely to pressure the dollar, but dovish comments from Fed officials Christopher Waller and John Williams are another matter. An unexpected drop in sales would be an unpleasant su…
Last reply by Redator, -
- 0 💬
- 12 👀 Traders
Trade Analysis and Tips for Trading the British Pound The test of 1.3430 occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved well below the zero line, which limited the pair's downward potential. For this reason, I did not sell the pound. U.K. GDP data matched economists' forecasts. Expectations had been built on assumptions of stronger-than-expected growth in the British economy, which fueled speculative buying. However, the actual figures disappointed optimistic investors. The pound sterling, already under pressure from a strengthening U.S. dollar, showed a restrained reaction and lacked the momentum needed to continue its upward movement. During the U.S. trading session…
Last reply by Redator, -
GBP/USD 5M Analysis On Monday, the GBP/USD currency pair declined slightly once again, but the moment of truth is approaching. Price action is now very close to the second successive descending trendline, which could be breached as early as this week. The Ichimoku Kijun-sen line is also nearby, so both technical barriers may be overcome simultaneously. We continue to view the current downturn in the pair as completely illogical and unjustified. Over the past 2–3 weeks, there hasn't been enough negative news for the British pound—or positive data for the dollar—to warrant such sustained pressure on GBP/USD. Many of the reasons behind this move seem fabricated. For instance…
Last reply by Redator, -
- 0 💬
- 20 👀 Traders
At the moment, the pair has failed to hold above the round level of 1.3400, which it briefly broke during the Asian session. From a technical standpoint, the recent repeated failures near the 100-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) favor the bears in GBP/USD. Moreover, the negative oscillators on the daily chart suggest that any subsequent rise may quickly fade and should be viewed as an opportunity to sell. Therefore, to confirm a broader bullish move, it would be prudent to wait for sustained momentum above the 1.3484 level and above the 100-period SMA before opening long positions. Buying beyond the psychological level of 1.3500 would lift GBP/USD above the supply level…
Last reply by Redator, -
- 0 💬
- 34 👀 Traders
Today, Monday, the pair is trading in a sideways consolidation with a slight bullish bias, supported by dovish expectations for Federal Reserve interest rates, which are keeping the U.S. dollar under pressure. Global risk appetite has increased notably after U.S. President Donald Trump backed away from his threat to impose 100% tariffs on Chinese imports starting November 1. This comes amid expectations that the U.S. Federal Reserve will cut lending rates two more times this year, as well as concerns over a prolonged U.S. government shutdown, which negatively affects the dollar's appeal as a safe-haven asset. In addition, expectations that the Bank of England will keep in…
Last reply by Redator, -
- 0 💬
- 16 👀 Traders
For the second consecutive day, GBP/USD is showing positive dynamics against the backdrop of U.S. dollar weakness, linked to rising expectations of further Fed rate cuts in October following the release of U.S. inflation data for August. The Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index rose 2.7% year-over-year in August, in line with analysts' forecasts, according to data from the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis published on Friday. The core PCE index, excluding food and energy, stood at 2.9%, also matching expectations. In September, the Fed cut the key rate by 25 basis points for the first time, bringing it to the 4.00%–4.25% range. According to the CME FedWatch…
Last reply by Redator, -
- 0 💬
- 14 👀 Traders
Today, the GBP/USD pair starts the week with a bearish gap amid broad U.S. dollar strength and is struggling to hold on to Friday's strong gains. Spot prices show no further upward momentum and remain below the 1.3500 level. Over the weekend, Japan's Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) elected Sanae Takaichi as its new leader. Since Takaichi is known as a supporter of loose fiscal policy, this choice increases expectations that the Bank of Japan will postpone raising rates, which may trigger a significant sell-off of the Japanese yen. As a result, this supports the U.S. dollar's rise, which is a key pressure factor on the GBP/USD pair. However, the dollar's upward potential i…
Last reply by Redator, -
- 0 💬
- 20 👀 Traders
Today, Thursday, the GBP/USD pair is in demand, attracting buyers around 1.3585. As expected, the Federal Reserve lowered rates for the first time since December 2024 by 25 basis points, setting the overnight lending range at 4.00–4.25%. In addition, the regulator confirmed the need for two more rate cuts before the end of the year, given the weakening U.S. labor market. However, the market's initial reaction was short-lived after comments from Fed Chair Jerome Powell at the press conference. Powell stated that inflation risks remain tilted to the upside, and the rate cut should be viewed as a risk management measure. He stressed that there is no need for rapid rate chang…
Last reply by Redator,
📊 Trading Hub
📟 Forex Terminal
📅 Próximo Evento no Radar
