Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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Data shows users on social media are the most bearish toward XRP in six months, a potential setup for a contrarian move in the asset. XRP Positive/Negative Sentiment Has Plunged Recently According to data from analytics firm Santiment, social media FUD around XRP has seen a spike recently. The indicator of relevance here is the “Positive/Negative Sentiment,” which tells us about how the bullish and bearish sentiments related to the coin compare on the major social media platforms. The metric works by first going through posts/messages/threads on these platforms to separate those that contain mentions of the asset. It then puts them through a machine-learning model to di…
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Matt Hougan, Bitwise’s Chief Investment Officer, posted a brief, bullish note on social media on Oct 6, 2025, writing “$1 trillion inbound….” Based on reports, that short message kicked off fresh coverage and debate about how large Bitcoin-focused funds could get if current trends continue. Bitcoin was trading near a fresh high at the time, which helped the comment spread quickly. Context Around The Claim Bitcoin hit a new all-time high of $126,080 on Oct 7, 2025. At the same time, data cited by several outlets put global Bitcoin fund assets under management at about $200 billion. Those two figures were used by many market watchers to give the $1 trillion remark conte…
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South African miner Sibanye-Stillwater (JSE: SSW, NYSE: SBSW) has taken another step in its decarbonization journey with the achievement of commercial operation at the Springbok solar photovoltaic project. Situated in Free State Province, Springbok represents Sibanye’s first solar wheeling project, and the second renewable energy project supplying its mine operations to reach commercial operation this year. The 150 megawatt alternating current (representing 195 MWp in peak direct current) solar project is developed and financed by the SOLA Group, a South African independent power producer. Sibanye is an anchor off-taker of the project and will procure 75MW (50%) …
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In the previous two reviews, we discussed why a strong euro is unfavorable for both the European Union and the European Central Bank, which, unlike the Federal Reserve, is not entirely autonomous. The only question that remains is: how can that be addressed? One of the options currently being floated by some economists is further interest rate reductions. Despite inflation in Europe having stabilized around 2%, the ECB may need to continue easing monetary policy solely to weaken the euro. It's true that in 2025, the ECB's "dovish" stance didn't produce a weaker euro — but that had more to do with Donald Trump's policies, which caused global markets to flee the U.S. dollar…
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In the previous review, we discussed the fact that a strong euro is not beneficial to the European Union or the European Central Bank (ECB). Of course, the exchange rate should not be excessively low, as this would undermine trust in the currency on global markets. However, it should not be too high either. In recent months, both ECB President Christine Lagarde and Chief Economist Philip Lane have brought up the issue of the euro's strength, making it clear that the elevated exchange rate is becoming problematic for the EU. Even with trade agreements being signed, Donald Trump's tariffs have contributed to new economic challenges in the bloc. The EU economy has been strug…
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On Wednesday, October 8, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) will hold its next monetary policy meeting — the second-to-last meeting of the year. The central bank is widely expected to cut the official cash rate by 25 basis points. This base-case scenario has already been priced into the market, meaning the decision itself is unlikely to cause meaningful volatility in NZD/USD. Instead, attention will shift to the bank's guidance on future policy steps. Back in August, during its previous meeting, there were widespread rumours that the RBNZ might be ready to end its rate-cut cycle following an acceleration in inflation during the second quarter. Analysts were divide…
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Tensions are running high. Donald Trump's patience is wearing thin, and President Emmanuel Macron's authority is beginning to waver. Conflicting comments from the U.S. President have raised doubts about the end of the government shutdown, while the escalating political crisis in France continues to weigh heavily on the EUR/USD exchange rate. Mistakes shouldn't just be acknowledged — they're expected to be corrected, at any cost. Just over a year ago, Macron dissolved the National Assembly and called for snap parliamentary elections. At that time, the spread between French and German bond yields was just over 40 basis points. By October, it had surged to 86 basis points. S…
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The EUR/USD pair remains under pressure despite the ongoing U.S. government shutdown. On Monday, the pair dropped impulsively to the mid-1.16 range but failed to break through the key support level at 1.1650, which corresponds to the lower band of the Bollinger Bands indicator on the daily chart. The trading day ended at 1.1711, and on Tuesday, sellers tried to hold the pair within the 1.16 zone, driven by broad U.S. dollar strength and waning euro demand. With little to focus on in the economic calendar, traders have turned their attention to political and geopolitical news — particularly developments in France and the U.S. shutdown. The unexpected resignation of Fran…
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Bitcoin supply on exchanges has hit a new low for the first time in six years, providing a bullish outlook for BTC. This comes as the flagship crypto continues to hit new all-time highs (ATHs), with the $130,000 target now in sight. Bitcoin Supply On Exchanges Hit Six-Year Low Glassnode data shows that the Bitcoin supply on exchanges has fallen to a six-year low of around 2.8 million BTC. The last time the BTC balance on exchanges was this low was in June 2019, when the flagship crypto was trading at around $8,745. This development confirms that investors are accumulating Bitcoin at an unprecedented pace. CryptoQuant data also confirms this development, with the Bitc…
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Log in to today's North American session Market wrap for October 7th Today commemorates the second anniversary of the tragic massacre when Hamas soldiers invaded Israel, killing, raping, and kidnapping more than a thousand civilians. Tomorrow will see the biggest meeting of Arab leaders regarding implementing the Trump 20-point Plan, which would impose a ceasefire and achieve a process towards peace in the region for the time to come. The meeting will be held in Sharm el-Sheikh, Egypt, and will include the highest diplomatic delegates from Qatar, Turkey, and Egypt. US Middle East envoy Steve Witkoff will also participate in the meeting and recently landed in Egypt. Tu…
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Ethereum (ETH) is trading at critical levels after a sharp rally from $3,800 to $4,700 in just a few days, marking one of its strongest moves in recent months. The swift rebound highlights renewed strength from bulls, who now appear firmly in control of the market’s short-term direction. As ETH approaches key resistance zones, analysts are closely watching whether the second-largest cryptocurrency can sustain its momentum and confirm a breakout above the current range. This impressive move is not just driven by market sentiment but also by robust on-chain fundamentals. Institutional participation in Ethereum continues to rise, with inflows from funds and treasuries stea…
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Bitcoin (BTC), the leading cryptocurrency, has made headlines this week by consistently breaking all-time highs, recently surpassing the $126,000 mark for the first time. However, the current price action has not only drawn attention from investors but also reignited discussions surrounding a notable prediction made two years ago. An anonymous user had forecasted that Bitcoin would achieve a peak on October 6, 2025—a prediction that came to fruition just yesterday. Potential New Bear Market Ahead Despite this milestone, Bitcoin has retraced to around $121,000 within hours after today’s record, leading to a wave of liquidations from long positions across various exchang…
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It seems that Crypto Markets are caught in the middle of lunatic flows. Just yesterday, record Bitcoin prices were making headlines, with the rest of the digital asset market following suit. But today, things took a sharp U-turn to the downside — with most altcoins getting rejected harshly after what looked like the start of another euphoric leg higher. Mentioned in yesterday’s article on the crypto initiator, Bitcoin is trading around the $121,000 technical level and may soon test the $120,000 psychological support, a zone that could trigger renewed anxiety among late buyers who chased the highs. The total crypto market cap, which had broken new records by roughly $10…
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The Japanese yen has reached its lowest level against the U.S. dollar since early August, maintaining the groundwork for further declines. The unexpected results of the elections in Japan are pushing the country toward expansionary fiscal policy, complicating the Bank of Japan's task of controlling inflation and stimulating the economy. In addition, market participants have already started to factor in the likelihood of a rate hike by the Bank of Japan by the end of the month, which explains the yen's weak position. Asian stock indices continue to follow Wall Street's rally. This further undermines the yen's role as a safe-haven asset. Meanwhile, data published in Japan s…
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Crypto analyst Barri C believes the XRP price could soon undergo a significant market movement. He says the chart pattern now resembles almost precisely what it did years ago, before XRP experienced its most notable price surge. The analyst thinks the market is repeating the same setup that once sent XRP soaring, and this could push the price to much higher levels in the coming months as trading activity and excitement build again. Analyst Says XRP Price Market Structure Mirrors 2017 Setup Barri C said that the XRP market is repeating what it did in 2017 before its sharp rise. Back then, the token’s price went from about $0.006 to between $3 and $3.80 in less than a year…
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Cooling from all-time highs, the Dow Jones (DJ30) trades 0.33% lower in today’s session, at around $46,594. Having found support early August, US equities have staged a formidable rally since, despite a somewhat questionable cocktail of macroeconomic themes. As always, let’s review some macro themes impacting US equity markets, and importantly, consider some potential price targets for this week’s trading. Dow Jones (DJ30): Key takeaways 07/10/2025 Staging an impressive rally despite a dubious fundamental outlook, the Dow Jones is retracing from all-time highs in today’s trading, with Caterpillar (CAT), Nike (NKE), and Salesforce (CRM) amongst the worst-performing cons…
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OnlyFans and junior mining should have nothing in common. At least not on the surface. One sells sexual fantasy; the other sells geology. Yet both rely on the same three currencies: attention, trust, and connection. OnlyFans figured that out early. It didn’t become a multibillion-dollar success through slick production or cinematic polish. It exploded because it felt personal. The platform replaced the distance of old-school celebrity with a sense of raw access. Subscribers weren’t paying for content — they were paying for connection. That success offers a valuable lesson for a junior mining sector still communicating like it’s 1998. Most junior miners remain …
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At first glance, it may seem logical that the euro should be falling due to the political crisis in France. However, in my opinion, this is not such an important event. The French government has not been dissolved, and replacing prime ministers or resigning from office is not prohibited. For example, why didn't the market react as strongly to the resignation of Adriana Kugler from the Fed or Erika McEntarfer from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics? In my view, these departures are much more significant than yet another change of prime minister in France. It is worth remembering that in the foreign exchange market, the fate of many currencies depends precisely on the doll…
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XRP’s price history and trajectory have always caused debates among cryptocurrency enthusiasts, especially when compared to Bitcoin’s growth. Bitcoin has soared more than sixfold in the past seven years, but XRP is still trading around $3.02, roughly the same level it was trading at in early 2018. This comparison recently resurfaced in a post by analyst Adam Livingston on the social media platform X, who pointed out that XRP’s lack of progress stands in stark contrast to Bitcoin’s 608% surge during the same period. In response, Digital Asset Investor, a well-known voice in the XRP community, explained that the stagnation isn’t a coincidence but the result of years of re…
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The wave pattern on the 4-hour chart for EUR/USD has remained unchanged for several months, but in recent weeks it has taken on a more complex form. It is still too early to conclude that the upward trend segment has been canceled, but another decline in the European currency would require adjustments. The construction of the upward trend segment continues, and the news background continues to support mostly not the dollar. The trade war initiated by Donald Trump is ongoing. The confrontation with the Fed is ongoing. The market's "dovish" expectations regarding the Fed's rate are growing. The U.S. has entered a government "shutdown." The market holds a very low view of Do…
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Gold advanced to a new record on Tuesday, with futures surpassing $4,000 an ounce for the first time, as US rate cut expectations and political uncertainty across the globe continue to fuel safe-haven demand. Three-month gold futures rose to as high as $4,014.60 per ounce before pulling back to $3,987.50, while spot gold set a new all-time high of $3,991 per ounce, a few dollars short of the $4,000-an-ounce level. Click on chart for live prices. The rally gained new momentum as the US government shutdown entered its second week, depriving investors of key economic data needed to gauge the timing and extent of Federal Reserve rate cuts. The market is currently pr…
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Hudbay Minerals has resumed operations at its Constancia mine in Peru, weeks after halting output due to local protests and blockades that disrupted access to the site. The company said a 20,000 dry-metric-tonne concentrate shipment originally scheduled for late September has been delayed to early October because of transport disruptions and adverse ocean conditions. The delay will temporarily reduce third-quarter sales volumes, Hudbay noted. During the shutdown, the company carried out preventive maintenance on the mill and mining equipment. Hudbay added that its workforce is returning to normal levels in the coming days. Following the update, Hudbay shares r…
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Translating each and every move in markets into concrete headlines or themes can be chaotic. Sometimes, the Market moves in anticipation of news before reversing course as the news land. Sometimes, Markets overcome negative headlines in a brighter future outlook. And sometimes, the Market just throws the towel for no particular reasons. Today's session seems to be the case. There is always a possibility of things happening behind the scenes and the public learning the true cause of a move later, but for now that does not seem to be the case. (FYI, US President Trump is speaking with Mark Carney live here) Uncertainty from a more prolonged US Government shutdown cou…
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SOL USD is dropping – what is happening with crypto today? Why are people selling during Uptober?! .cwp-coin-chart svg path { stroke-width: 0.65 !important; } Bitcoin BTC $121,632.52 3.12% Bitcoin BTC Price $121,632.52 3.12% /24h Volume in 24h $64.74B Price 7d As BIG questions loom on retail’s mind, it is good to ask what the bigger players in the market are d…
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Anfield Energy (NASDAQ: AEC; TSXV: AEC) is one step closer to becoming the next US uranium producer after securing all approvals to begin construction of its Velvet-Wood uranium project in San Juan County, Utah. The approval, granted by the Utah Department of Oil, Gas and Mining, would allow for the acceleration of mine preparation, construction, and ultimately, production, the company said in a press release issued on Tuesday. Velvet-Wood is the first mining project that the US Interior Department approved for expedited permitting, as part of President Donald Trump’s national energy emergency declaration earlier this year. The property combines two separate a…
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