Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
7080 tópicos neste fórum
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Trade review and recommendations for trading the British pound The test of 1.3350 coincided with a moment when the MACD indicator had already moved significantly below the zero line, which limited the downward potential of the pair. For this reason, I did not sell the pound and stayed out of trades. In the second half of the day, markets will be primarily driven by U.S. data on the core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index and changes in household spending. These indicators are key measures of inflationary pressure and consumer demand, making them critically important for assessing the current state of the U.S. economy. Increased attention to the PCE index is due…
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Trade review and tips for trading the pound The test of 1.3427 occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved significantly down from the zero line, which limited the downward potential of the pair. For this reason, I did not sell the pound. The second test of 1.3427 coincided with the MACD being in the overbought zone, which allowed Scenario #2 for buying the pound to play out, resulting in growth of more than 20 points. In the second half of the day, weak U.S. pending home sales data is unlikely to pressure the dollar, but dovish comments from Fed officials Christopher Waller and John Williams are another matter. An unexpected drop in sales would be an unpleasant su…
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- 12 👀 Traders
Trade Analysis and Tips for Trading the British Pound The test of 1.3430 occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved well below the zero line, which limited the pair's downward potential. For this reason, I did not sell the pound. U.K. GDP data matched economists' forecasts. Expectations had been built on assumptions of stronger-than-expected growth in the British economy, which fueled speculative buying. However, the actual figures disappointed optimistic investors. The pound sterling, already under pressure from a strengthening U.S. dollar, showed a restrained reaction and lacked the momentum needed to continue its upward movement. During the U.S. trading session…
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GBP/USD 5M Analysis On Monday, the GBP/USD currency pair declined slightly once again, but the moment of truth is approaching. Price action is now very close to the second successive descending trendline, which could be breached as early as this week. The Ichimoku Kijun-sen line is also nearby, so both technical barriers may be overcome simultaneously. We continue to view the current downturn in the pair as completely illogical and unjustified. Over the past 2–3 weeks, there hasn't been enough negative news for the British pound—or positive data for the dollar—to warrant such sustained pressure on GBP/USD. Many of the reasons behind this move seem fabricated. For instance…
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- 20 👀 Traders
At the moment, the pair has failed to hold above the round level of 1.3400, which it briefly broke during the Asian session. From a technical standpoint, the recent repeated failures near the 100-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) favor the bears in GBP/USD. Moreover, the negative oscillators on the daily chart suggest that any subsequent rise may quickly fade and should be viewed as an opportunity to sell. Therefore, to confirm a broader bullish move, it would be prudent to wait for sustained momentum above the 1.3484 level and above the 100-period SMA before opening long positions. Buying beyond the psychological level of 1.3500 would lift GBP/USD above the supply level…
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Today, Monday, the pair is trading in a sideways consolidation with a slight bullish bias, supported by dovish expectations for Federal Reserve interest rates, which are keeping the U.S. dollar under pressure. Global risk appetite has increased notably after U.S. President Donald Trump backed away from his threat to impose 100% tariffs on Chinese imports starting November 1. This comes amid expectations that the U.S. Federal Reserve will cut lending rates two more times this year, as well as concerns over a prolonged U.S. government shutdown, which negatively affects the dollar's appeal as a safe-haven asset. In addition, expectations that the Bank of England will keep in…
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For the second consecutive day, GBP/USD is showing positive dynamics against the backdrop of U.S. dollar weakness, linked to rising expectations of further Fed rate cuts in October following the release of U.S. inflation data for August. The Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index rose 2.7% year-over-year in August, in line with analysts' forecasts, according to data from the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis published on Friday. The core PCE index, excluding food and energy, stood at 2.9%, also matching expectations. In September, the Fed cut the key rate by 25 basis points for the first time, bringing it to the 4.00%–4.25% range. According to the CME FedWatch…
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Today, the GBP/USD pair starts the week with a bearish gap amid broad U.S. dollar strength and is struggling to hold on to Friday's strong gains. Spot prices show no further upward momentum and remain below the 1.3500 level. Over the weekend, Japan's Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) elected Sanae Takaichi as its new leader. Since Takaichi is known as a supporter of loose fiscal policy, this choice increases expectations that the Bank of Japan will postpone raising rates, which may trigger a significant sell-off of the Japanese yen. As a result, this supports the U.S. dollar's rise, which is a key pressure factor on the GBP/USD pair. However, the dollar's upward potential i…
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Today, Thursday, the GBP/USD pair is in demand, attracting buyers around 1.3585. As expected, the Federal Reserve lowered rates for the first time since December 2024 by 25 basis points, setting the overnight lending range at 4.00–4.25%. In addition, the regulator confirmed the need for two more rate cuts before the end of the year, given the weakening U.S. labor market. However, the market's initial reaction was short-lived after comments from Fed Chair Jerome Powell at the press conference. Powell stated that inflation risks remain tilted to the upside, and the rate cut should be viewed as a risk management measure. He stressed that there is no need for rapid rate chang…
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Trend analysis (Fig. 1). On Monday, from the level of 1.3556 (the closing of Friday's daily candle), the market may start moving upward toward 1.3593 – the upper fractal (yellow dashed line). Upon testing this line, the price may then move downward toward 1.3582 – the upper fractal (daily candle of September 11, 2025). Fig. 1 (daily chart). Comprehensive analysis: Indicator analysis – upward;Fibonacci levels – upward;Volumes – upward;Candlestick analysis – upward;Trend analysis – upward;Bollinger Bands – upward;Weekly chart – upward.Overall conclusion: upward trend. Alternative scenario: from the level of 1.3556 (the closing of Friday's daily candle), the price may sta…
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Trend analysis (Fig. 1). On Tuesday, the market from the level of 1.3595 (closing of yesterday's daily candle) may continue upward movement with the target at 1.3624 – historical resistance level (blue dotted line). When testing this level, the price may begin moving downward with the target at 1.3593 – upper fractal (yellow dotted line). Fig. 1 (daily chart). Comprehensive analysis: Indicator analysis – upward;Volumes – upward;Candlestick analysis – upward;Trend analysis – upward;Bollinger Bands – upward;Weekly chart – upward.Overall conclusion: upward trend. Alternative scenario: from the level of 1.3595 (closing of yesterday's daily candle), the price may start movi…
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Trend Analysis (Fig. 1). On Wednesday, from the level of 1.3642 (yesterday's daily close), the market may begin moving downward toward 1.3626 — a historical support level (blue dashed line). Upon testing this level, the price may continue moving upward toward 1.3682 — the 161.8% target level (red dashed line). Fig. 1 (daily chart). Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis – upward;Fibonacci levels – upward;Volumes – upward;Candlestick analysis – downward;Trend analysis – upward;Bollinger Bands – upward;Weekly chart – upward.General conclusion: upward trend. Alternative scenario: On Wednesday, from the level of 1.3642 (yesterday's daily close), the market may continue…
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- 14 👀 Traders
Trend analysis (Fig. 1). On Thursday, from the 1.3622 level (yesterday's daily candle close), the market may continue moving downward toward the target of 1.3548 – upper fractal (red dotted line). From this level, the price may rebound upward toward 1.3583 – the 8 EMA (thin blue line). Fig. 1 (daily chart). Comprehensive analysis: Indicator analysis – downward;Fibonacci levels – downward;Volumes – downward;Candlestick analysis – downward;Trend analysis – downward;Bollinger Bands – downward;Weekly chart – downward.General conclusion: bearish trend. Alternative scenario: from the 1.3622 level (yesterday's daily candle close), the price may start moving downward toward 1.…
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- 24 👀 Traders
Trend analysis (Fig. 1). On Friday, the market from the level of 1.3551 (yesterday's daily candle close) may continue moving downward toward the target of 1.3482 – the 61.8% retracement level (red dashed line). When testing this level, a corrective upward movement is possible with a target of 1.3501 – the 38.2% retracement level (yellow dashed line). Fig. 1 (daily chart). Comprehensive analysis: Indicator analysis – down;Fibonacci levels – down;Volumes – down;Candlestick analysis – down;Trend analysis – down;Bollinger Bands – down;Weekly chart – up.General conclusion: downward trend. Alternative scenario: From the level of 1.3551 (yesterday's daily candle close), the p…
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Trend analysis (Fig. 1). On Thursday, from the 1.3442 level (yesterday's daily close), the market may continue moving downward toward 1.3383 – the 23.6% retracement level (blue dotted line). From this level, the price may rebound upward toward 1.3405 – a historical resistance level (light blue dotted line). Fig. 1 (daily chart). Comprehensive analysis: Indicator analysis – downward;Fibonacci levels – downward;Volumes – downward;Candlestick analysis – downward;Trend analysis – downward;Bollinger Bands – downward;Weekly chart – downward.Overall conclusion: downward trend. Alternative scenario: From the 1.3442 level (yesterday's daily close), the price may start moving do…
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Trend analysis (Fig. 1). On Monday, from the level of 1.3506 (Friday's daily candle close), the market may begin moving downward with a target of 1.3469 – the 21-day EMA (black thin line). Upon testing this line, the price may begin moving upward with a target of 1.3486 – the 23.6% retracement level (yellow dotted line). Fig. 1 (daily chart). Comprehensive analysis: Indicator analysis – down;Fibonacci levels – down;Volumes – down;Candlestick analysis – down;Trend analysis – up;Bollinger Bands – down;Weekly chart – down.Overall conclusion: Downtrend. Alternative scenario: From the level of 1.3506 (Friday's daily candle close), the price may start moving downward with a …
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Trend Analysis (Fig. 1). On Tuesday, from the level of 1.3541 (yesterday's daily candle close), the market may continue moving upward with the target at 1.3593 – the upper fractal (yellow dotted line). Upon testing this level, the price may then move downward with the target at 1.3565 – the upper fractal (daily candle from August 18, 2025). Fig. 1 (daily chart). Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis – up;Volumes – up;Candlestick analysis – up;Trend analysis – up;Bollinger Bands – up;Weekly chart – up.Overall conclusion: upward trend. Alternative scenario: from the level of 1.3541 (yesterday's daily candle close), the price may start moving upward with the target a…
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Good day, traders! On the hourly chart, GBP/USD on Wednesday traded exactly between the 1.3482 and 1.3587 levels. Thus, no new trading signals or ideas emerged—one of those two levels needs to be tested before a clearer direction returns. If the pair bounces off 1.3587, the decline may resume. The wave picture continues to shift to bullish. The last completed down wave broke through two previous lows, but the new up wave broke the last two highs. At the moment, this suggests a new bullish trend after more than two months of weak bearish dominance—largely unsupported by fundamentals. On Thursday, the US will release its August Consumer Price Index—the data that traders …
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Good afternoon, traders! On the hourly chart, the GBP/USD pair reversed in favor of the pound on Thursday and rallied almost to the 100.0% correction level at 1.3587. A clear sell signal was not formed. Today, a rebound from this level would allow traders to look for a decline toward the 76.4% Fibonacci level at 1.3482. If the pair consolidates above the resistance zone at 1.3611–1.3620, the likelihood of further pound gains increases, with the next target being the 127.2% Fibonacci level at 1.3708. The wave pattern continues to shift bullish. The last completed wave downward broke two previous lows, while the new upward wave broke the last two highs. Thus, at this poi…
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- 29 👀 Traders
On the hourly chart, GBP/USD traded sideways on Friday just below the 100.0% retracement level at 1.3587. A rebound from this level would favor the U.S. dollar and a decline toward the 76.4% Fibonacci level at 1.3482, which traders could then work through. A consolidation above the resistance zone of 1.3611–1.3620 would allow for further growth toward the next 127.2% retracement level at 1.3708. The wave picture continues to shift toward bullish. The last completed wave downward broke through two previous lows, while the new upward wave broke through the last two peaks. Thus, at this point it can be assumed that a new bullish trend is starting after more than two month…
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On the hourly chart, the GBP/USD pair on Monday consolidated above the 76.4% retracement level at 1.3425, where it continues to trade as of Tuesday morning. A rebound from the 1.3425 level would favor continued growth toward the levels of 1.3482 and 1.3528. A consolidation below the 1.3425 level would suggest a reversal in favor of the US dollar and a resumption of the decline toward the support zone of 1.3332–1.3357. The wave pattern remains "bearish." The last completed downward wave broke the previous low, while the new upward wave has yet to surpass the previous high. The news background for the pound has been negative over the past two weeks, but I believe this ha…
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- 24 👀 Traders
Trend Analysis In October, from the level of 1.3441 (closing of the September monthly candle), the price may begin moving upward with the target at 1.3990 – the historical resistance level (blue dashed line). When testing this level, the price may roll back downward toward 1.3786 – the upper fractal (red dashed line). Fig. 1 (monthly chart). Indicator Analysis: Indicator analysis – upward;Fibonacci levels – upward;Volumes – upward;Candlestick analysis – upward;Trend analysis – upward;Bollinger Bands – upward.Comprehensive analysis conclusion: an upward trend is possible. Overall outcome for the GBP/USD monthly candle calculation: the price will most likely have an upwa…
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Trend Analysis This week, from the level of 1.3355 (the closing price of the last weekly candle), the price may continue to move downward, targeting 1.3141 — the 38.2% retracement level (red dashed line). Upon testing this level, the price may rebound upward toward 1.3270 — the historical support level (light blue dashed line). Figure 1: Weekly Chart Comprehensive Analysis Indicator analysis – downward;Fibonacci levels – downward;Volumes – downward;Candlestick analysis – downward;Trend analysis – downward;Bollinger Bands – downward;Monthly chart – downward.Overall Conclusion Based on the weekly chart, the GBP/USD pair is most likely to show a downward trend during the …
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Trend Analysis This week, from the level of 1.3478 (closing of the last weekly candle), the price may start moving downward with the target of 1.3270 – the historical support level (blue dotted line). When testing this level, the price may rebound upward with the target of 1.3332 – the lower fractal (weekly candle of September 21, 2025). Fig. 1 (weekly chart). Comprehensive Analysis Indicator analysis – down;Fibonacci levels – down;Volume – down;Candlestick analysis – down;Trend analysis – down;Bollinger Bands – down;Monthly chart – down.Overall conclusion for the GBP/USD weekly chart: The price this week will most likely have a downward tendency, with the absence of a…
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Trend analysis. This week, from the level of 1.3556 (the closing of the last weekly candle), the price may continue moving upward toward 1.3787 – the upper fractal (red dashed line). Upon testing this level, the price may retrace downward toward 1.3658 – the upper fractal (weekly candle of July 6, 2025). Fig. 1 (weekly chart). Comprehensive analysis: Indicator analysis – upward;Fibonacci levels – upward;Volumes – upward;Candlestick analysis – upward;Trend analysis – upward;Bollinger Bands – upward;Monthly chart – upward.Conclusion from comprehensive analysis: upward trend. Overall summary of GBP/USD weekly candle calculation: during the week, the price is most likely t…
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