Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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Trend Analysis This week, from the 1.3466 level (close to the last weekly candle), the price may continue to decline toward the target of 1.3270 – a historical support level (light blue dashed line). Upon testing this level, the price may rebound upward toward 1.3389 – the 23.6% retracement level (red dashed line). Fig. 1 (weekly chart) Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis – downward;Fibonacci levels – downward;Volume – downward;Candlestick analysis – downward;Trend analysis – downward;Bollinger Bands – downward;Monthly chart – downward.Overall forecast for the GBP/USD weekly candle: the price will most likely follow a downward trend throughout the week, with no …
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Trend analysis. This week, from the level of 1.3400 (close to the last weekly candle), the price may continue moving downward with the target at 1.3270 – the historical support level (light blue dotted line). When testing this level, the price may retrace upward with the target at 1.3332 – the lower fractal (weekly candle of August 31, 2025). Fig. 1 (weekly chart). Comprehensive analysis: Indicator analysis – down;Fibonacci levels – down;Volumes – down;Candlestick analysis – down;Trend analysis – down;Bollinger Bands – down;Monthly chart – down.Overall outcome of the weekly candle calculation for GBP/USD: during the week, the price will most likely show a downward tren…
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Trend analysis. This week, from the level of 1.3506 (close of the last weekly candle), the price may continue downward toward 1.3389 – the 23.6% retracement level (red dotted line). Upon testing this level, the price may extend its downward move toward 1.3270 – the historical support level (blue dotted line). Fig. 1 (weekly chart). Comprehensive analysis: Indicator analysis – down;Fibonacci levels – down;Volumes – down;Candlestick analysis – down;Trend analysis – down;Bollinger Bands – down;Monthly chart – down.Conclusion from comprehensive analysis: Downward movement. Overall summary of the GBP/USD weekly candle calculation: The price will most likely have a downward …
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Trend Analysis (Fig. 1). On Wednesday, the market from the level of 1.3441 (yesterday's daily candle close) may possibly continue moving upward with the target at 1.3482 – the 61.8% retracement level (red dashed line). When testing this level, the price may roll back downward with the target at 1.3417 – the 23.6% retracement level (blue dashed line). Fig. 1 (daily chart). Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis – upward;Fibonacci levels – upward;Volumes – downward;Candlestick analysis – downward;Trend analysis – upward;Bollinger Bands – upward;Weekly chart – upward.General conclusion: upward trend. Alternative scenario: On Wednesday, the market from the level of 1.3…
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Trend Analysis (Fig. 1). On Friday, from the level of 1.3300 (yesterday's daily candle close), the market may continue to move downward toward the target of 1.3232 – a historical support level (blue dotted line). When testing this level, a pullback upward is possible with a target of 1.3278 – the 76.4% retracement level (yellow dotted line). Fig. 1 (daily chart). Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis – downward;Fibonacci levels – downward;Volumes – downward;Candlestick analysis – downward;Trend analysis – downward;Bollinger Bands – downward;Weekly chart – upward.General conclusion: downward trend. Alternative scenario: From the level of 1.3300 (yesterday's daily c…
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Trend Analysis (Fig. 1) On Monday, from the level of 1.3355 (the closing price of Friday's daily candle), the market may begin moving downward toward 1.3293 — the historical support level (light blue dashed line). When testing this level, the price may begin to rise toward 1.3323 — the lower fractal (blue dashed line). Figure 1: Daily Chart Comprehensive Analysis Indicator analysis – downward;Fibonacci levels – downward;Volumes – downward;Candlestick analysis – downward;Trend analysis – upward;Bollinger Bands – downward;Weekly chart – downward.Overall conclusion: downward trend. Alternative Scenario From the level of 1.3355 (closing price of Friday's daily candle), the…
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Trend Analysis (Fig. 1). On Thursday, the market from the level of 1.3473 (yesterday's daily close) may continue moving upward toward the target of 1.3528 – the 50% retracement level (red dashed line). From this level, the price may roll back downward toward the target of 1.3401 – the 38.2% retracement level (yellow dashed line). Fig. 1 (daily chart). Comprehensive Analysis: indicator analysis – upward;Fibonacci levels – upward;volumes – upward;candlestick analysis – upward;trend analysis – upward;Bollinger Bands – upward;weekly chart – upward.General conclusion: upward trend. Alternative scenario: from the level of 1.3473 (yesterday's daily close), the price may conti…
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Trend Analysis (Fig. 1). On Friday, from the level of 1.3436 (yesterday's daily candle close), the market may begin upward movement toward the target of 1.3501 – the 38.2% retracement level (yellow dashed line). When testing this level, a corrective downward move toward 1.3482 – the 61.8% retracement level (red dashed line) – is possible. Fig. 1 (daily chart). Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis – upward;Fibonacci levels – upward;Volumes – upward;Candlestick analysis – downward;Trend analysis – upward;Bollinger Bands – downward;Weekly chart – upward.Overall conclusion: upward trend. Alternative Scenario: From the level of 1.3436 (yesterday's daily candle close),…
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Trend Analysis (Fig. 1). On Monday, from the 1.3478 level (Friday's daily candle close), the market may begin a downward move targeting 1.3405 – a historical support level (blue dotted line). When testing this level, the price may possibly begin an upward move toward 1.3416 – the 23.6% retracement level (blue dotted line). Fig. 1 (Daily chart). Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis – down;Fibonacci levels – down;Volumes – down;Candlestick analysis – down;Trend analysis – up;Bollinger Bands – down;Weekly chart – down.Overall conclusion: Downward trend. Alternative scenario: From the 1.3478 level (Friday's daily candle close), the price may begin a downward move targe…
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Trend Analysis (Fig. 1). On Tuesday, from the level of 1.3482 (yesterday's daily candle close), the market may begin moving downward toward the target of 1.3417 – the 23.6% retracement level (blue dotted line). Upon testing this level, the price may possibly start moving upward, targeting the 50% retracement level at 1.3432 (yellow dotted line). Fig. 1 (Daily Chart). Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis – downward;Volumes – downward;Candlestick analysis – downward;Trend analysis – downward;Bollinger Bands – downward;Weekly chart – downward.General conclusion: Downward trend. Alternative scenario: From the level of 1.3482 (yesterday's daily candle close), the pric…
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Trend Analysis (Fig. 1). On Wednesday, from the level of 1.3421 (yesterday's daily candle close), the market may possibly continue moving downward with the target at 1.3364 – retracement level 61.8% (yellow dotted line). When testing this level, the price may rebound upward with a target at 1.3381, retracement level 14.6% (blue dotted line). Fig. 1 (daily chart). Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis – down;Fibonacci levels – down;Volumes – down;Candlestick analysis – down;Trend analysis – down;Bollinger Bands – down;Weekly chart – down.Overall conclusion: downward trend. Alternative scenario: On Wednesday, from the level of 1.3421 (yesterday's daily candle close)…
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Trend Analysis (Fig. 1). On Thursday, from the level of 1.3400 (yesterday's daily candle close), the market may continue moving downward with a target at 1.3332 – the lower fractal (red dashed line). From this level, the price may possibly bounce upward with a target at 1.3364 – the 61.8% retracement level (yellow dashed line). Fig. 1 (Daily Chart). Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis – downward;Fibonacci levels – downward;Volumes – downward;Candlestick analysis – downward;Trend analysis – downward;Bollinger Bands – downward;Weekly chart – downward.Overall conclusion: Downward trend. Alternative scenario: From the level of 1.3400 (yesterday's daily candle close)…
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Trend Analysis (Fig. 1) On Friday, the market may continue moving downward from the 1.3340 level (yesterday's daily candle close), targeting 1.3293 – a historical support level (blue dashed line). Upon testing this level, a corrective upward movement is possible, with a target of 1.3322 – the lower fractal (daily candle from September 25, 2025). Fig. 1 (daily chart) Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis – down;Fibonacci levels – down;Volumes – down;Candlestick analysis – down;Trend analysis – down;Bollinger Bands – down;Weekly chart – up.Overall Conclusion: Downward trend. Alternative Scenario: The price from the 1.3340 level (yesterday's daily candle close) may c…
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Trend analysis (Fig. 1). On Monday, the market from the level of 1.3400 (Friday's daily candle close) may continue upward with the target at 1.3454 – the 8-period EMA (thin blue line). Upon reaching this line, a corrective move downward is possible with the target at 1.3363 – the 61.8% pullback level (yellow dotted line). When testing this level, the price may then start moving upward with the target at 1.3381 – the 14.6% pullback level (blue dotted line). Fig. 1 (daily chart). Comprehensive analysis: Indicator analysis – up;Fibonacci levels – up;Volumes – up;Candlestick analysis – up;Trend analysis – up;Bollinger Bands – up;Weekly chart – up.General conclusion: upward…
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Trend Analysis (Figure 1) On Tuesday, the market may continue to move upward from the level of 1.3423 (yesterday's daily candlestick close), targeting 1.3476 – the 38.2% retracement level (blue dashed line). Upon testing this level, the price may begin to move downward, targeting 1.3449 – the 8-period EMA (thin blue line). Figure 1 (Daily Chart) Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis – upward;Volume – upward;Candlestick analysis – upward;Trend analysis – upward;Bollinger Bands – upward;Weekly chart – upward.Overall Conclusion: Upward trend. Alternative Scenario: From the level of 1.3423 (yesterday's daily candlestick close), the price may continue to move upward, t…
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The pound continues to struggle to find direction against the dollar. The pair is trading between the middle and upper lines of the Bollinger Bands on the D1 timeframe, that is, within the 1.3490–1.3580 range. Buyers continue to test the upper limits near 1.36, while sellers attempt to secure the price below 1.3500. However, as soon as the price approaches either boundary of the channel, traders lock in profits and the pair returns to prior levels. Breaking out of this "vicious circle" will require a major trading catalyst to tip the balance in favor of either GBP/USD bulls or bears. That is why traders are now focused on the US CPI (to be published at the start of the US…
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The pound against the dollar continues testing the resistance level of 1.3650 (upper Bollinger Bands line on the D1 timeframe), despite the general strengthening of the greenback. After Tuesday's sharp drop to 95.96, the U.S. dollar index on Wednesday is attempting to recover at least partially. DXY has returned to the 96 range, and major dollar pairs adjusted accordingly, reflecting the greenback's rebound. However, GBP/USD stands apart: despite the dollar's recovery, the pound keeps pressing the 1.3650 barrier. The UK inflation report, published on Wednesday, favored GBP/USD buyers, as it confirmed persistently high inflation levels, giving the Bank of England ground…
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GBPJPY has been trading in a wide range since October 2024 after the pair breached the 208.00 level and retracted sharply on last July and August Carry Trades' unwinding. Market Players recently got some key data for their trading in both the GBP and the JPY. The Bank of England took their decision to hold their rates but with a more dovish stance than markets expected with 3 out of 9 who voted for a cut – The BoE is starting to show a few concerns about the UK GDP appearing progressively weaker, but with a still too-high inflation. close …
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GBPJPY is one of the most volatile FX pair available to trade including only major currencies – Yet, it's been stuck in a huge range since August 2024. As explained in our previous article on this currency pair, a continuous uptrend from 2020 lows (127.30!) to July 2024 highs (208.12) has been met with a sharp correction as carry trades saw a consequent slowdown amid a sudden market-breakdown which suddenly saw yen rebuying speed up. At the same time, equities saw a huge correction, which got followed with the usual dip-buying. Anyways, this time, a consistent shorter-range uptrend has built up momentum from April lows (184.50) to the higher bound of the year-long cons…
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Markets just saw the released of the FOMC Rate Decision which stayed unchanged. July was a rough month for both the GBP and the JPY which were the worst performing currencies in the Major FX space against the Greenback (which also sparked a market-shaking comeback). The past week however did see the return of some strength for the Yen after observing a lot of bad talk around the Nippon currency– As if bearish positioning for the Yen was at an extreme. Positioning now seems more balanced as players have reduced their positions to prepare for tonight's Bank of Japan Rate Decision. No hike is expected but the BoJ tends to surprise markets so always stay ready, this one wo…
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The GBPUSD extended to a fresh high not seen since August 18, with the latest peak reaching 1.35558. That move briefly surpassed Friday’s post-employment high at 1.35541, signaling that buyers were willing to test the waters above a prior key resistance point. However, the momentum has since cooled, and the pair has rotated back down. For now, price action is finding nearby support at the 61.8% retracement of the decline from the September 11 high, which comes in at 1.35397. This level has become an important short-term line in the sand for traders. Holding above keeps the bullish bias intact, while a decisive move back below would suggest a failed breakout and could sap …
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Fundamental Overview The USD sold off across the board on Friday following another soft NFP report. The dovish bets on the Fed increased as a result and the market is now expecting three rate cuts by year-end (70 bps). Moreover, we have also an 8% probability of a 50 bps cut in September but that will likely happen only if we get a soft CPI report on Thursday. In that case, the greenback will likely weaken further into the FOMC meeting. Overall, if one zooms out, the US dollar continues to range although the dovish bets on the Fed keep weighing on the currency. Part of that could be the fact that the bearish positioning on the dollar could be overstretched and we might be…
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Yesterday's reaction to a mixed UK Employment data had been confusing for the most part before taking a look at the bigger picture. Despite seeing an employment change of 134K vs 46K expected, the UK Unemployment rate came at 4.7% vs a 4.6% consensus, highest since 2021 with easing salarial pressures – Some banks (Citi, GS, BofA) are seeing what they need to push back some rate cuts from September to November. The Pound had seen a major correction (10 consecutive selling candles) since its 1.3780 top and between some mess-ups from the UK Government requiring intervention from the PM Starmer and some extra mediation from Bank of England's Bailey during the week. However …
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The morning session in Forex is a quiet one with only the UK Jobs report that was released overnight. The Data for the United Kingdom, release at 2:00 A.M. E.T. came out weak and GBPUSD has started to build a top on the charts. The Unemployent Rate elevated slightly to 4.6% from 4.5%, with lower average earnings. This release may console the Bank of England towards the continuation of their cut cycle that has started in last August, taking the UK's main policy rate from 5.25% to the current 4.25% with progressive 25bps cuts. The precise number for the jobs report was 89K with the last release at 112K. We will dive into a technical analysis for GBPUSD starting from the…
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GBPUSD found intermediate lows at 1.3140, losing close to 7 handles since its June 30 highs. The pound had seen a huge uptrend in 2025, with a 13.57% increase from 1.21, as the year commenced, to its recent top at 1.3790. July changed Forex markets consequently with the Dollar Index retaking some of what it had lost through the first half – After the injurious US Non-Farm Payrolls report from last Friday, the Greenback saw some of its momentary strength evaporate and which allowed the GBP to take a breather from strong selling flows. The Bank of England began a non-continuous rate-cutting cycle, taking their benchmark rate from 5.25% to the current 4.25%. The Central…
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