Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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The price actions of the Germany 30 CFD Index (a proxy of the DAX futures) have staged a corrective decline of 5% from its current all-time high of 24,655 on 10 July 2025 to 1 August 2025 intraday low of 23,385. Several key technical elements are now advocating for a potential recovery to kickstart a new impulsive up move sequence within its major uptrend phase. Let’s now examine the Germany 30 CFD Index from a technical analysis perspective and construct a short-term (multi-day) trading set-up. …
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German officials thought they had wrapped up one of the biggest crypto cases in the country’s history when they seized and sold nearly 50,000 Bitcoin tied to the piracy platform Movie2K. But a new investigation is raising eyebrows. It turns out there might be another massive stash that was completely overlooked. There Might Be More Where That Came From In early 2024, German police took control of Bitcoin surrendered by Movie2K’s operators. Those coins were auctioned off for nearly $3 billion. At the time, it seemed like a done deal. Now, with Bitcoin’s price way up, those coins would be worth far more. And according to blockchain firm Arkham, that original stash might no…
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Germany and Italy are facing mounting pressure to repatriate a combined $245 billion worth of gold stored in the Federal Reserve vaults of New York, the Financial Times reported this week. According to FT, politicians and taxpayer advocacy groups in Europe have voiced deep concerns over the safety of their gold following verbal attacks by US President Donald Trump on the Federal Reserve. Storing bullion abroad can expose Europe’s financial sovereignty to unnecessary risk, they said. Germany and Italy currently hold the world’s second- and third-largest gold reserves respectively, at 3,352 tonnes and 2,452 tonnes. The US, meanwhile, is by far the largest holder at …
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Ripple and its native token XRP have been given rare mainstream exposure on German finance channel Der Aktionar TV. In a recent segment, the hosts spoke with David Hartmann of Vontobel about the cryptocurrency’s place in global banking and how investors can access it through certificates and futures. Ripple’s Role In International Transfers According to Hartmann, Ripple has become a recognized player in international finance by offering faster settlement solutions for cross-border payments. The discussion emphasized how XRP acts as a bridge currency. Rather than converting euros into US dollars and then into yen, banks could move funds directly using XRP, cutting both…
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Germany’s much-publicized Bitcoin seizure campaign has come under fresh scrutiny after blockchain analysts revealed that nearly $5 billion worth of BTC has remained untouched. The finding raises intrigue within the crypto community, as questions swirl over whether the funds are lost, frozen, or simply being held in reserve. Why The Coins Remain Untouched In an X post, Elite KOL Crypto Patel, who is also associated with CoinMarketCap and Binance, has highlighted that Germany’s Bitcoin crackdown has encountered a major roadblock. Blockchain analytics firm Arkham has revealed a massive trove of untouched BTC connected to the now-defunct Movie2K piracy site, suggesting that …
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Germany’s GDP fell 0.3% q/q in Q2 2025 (0.2 pp below the flash); y/y: –0.2% unadjusted, +0.2% calendar-adjusted. Previous quarters: +0.3% (Q1 2025), +0.2% (Q4 2024). Destatis’ annual revision altered earlier quarters by –0.7 to +0.6 pp.Demand & supply: consumption edged up (total +0.3% q/q; households +0.1%, government +0.8%), but investment –1.4% and negative net exports (exports –0.1%, imports +1.6%) dragged growth. By sector: construction –3.7%, manufacturing –0.3%, IT & business services +0.5%.Labour, incomes & peers: employment ~46m (stable), productivity/hour +0.3% y/y, wages +4.8%. Consumption rose faster than income (+3.7% vs +2.5%), cutting the saving…
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Gemfields (LON: GEM) (JSE: GML) has staged a sharp recovery with a $32 million emerald auction, signalling renewed demand for Zambian gemstones after last year’s slump. The coloured precious stones miner sold all 38 lots of high-quality rough emeralds from its 75%-owned Kagem mine in Zambia at an average price of $160.78 per carat. The sale, held online and in Bangkok, marks a strong rebound from a disappointing November 2024 auction. The standout was the 11,685-carat “Imboo”, named after the buffalo in Bemba and Lamba dialects. Gemfields did not reveal the buyer or final price, but auction results suggest the massive stone fetched about $1.9 million. Adrian Bank…
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Glencore (LON: GLEN) has declared its Mount Isa copper smelter unviable and is awaiting a response from Australia’s federal and Queensland’s governments regarding requests for financial assistance to keep the facility running. The mining and commodities giant blamed “unprecedented smelting market conditions,” high energy, gas and labour costs, and a shortage of copper concentrates for the smelter’s unsustainable position. The Swiss company first announced the closure of its Mount Isa copper mines and associated operations in October 2023. At the time, it said all assets that made up in the complex as well as the Lady Loretta zinc mine, located 140KM north-west of …
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Miner and commodities trader Glencore (LON: GLEN) is selling its copper smelting operation in the Philippines to the Villar family, led by real estate magnate and former senator Manuel “Manny” Villar Jr. The asset in question, the Philippine Associated Smelting and Refining Corp. (Pasar), has long served as a key logistics hub for Glencore. Strategically located, it handles copper concentrate shipments from Australia and Indonesia, and occasionally distressed cargoes bound from South America to China. But global copper smelters, including Pasar, have been hit hard by a steep drop in treatment and refining charges, driven by overcapacity and limited supply of mined…
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Glencore (LON: GLEN), the world’s second-largest cobalt producer, warned Wednesday that a significant portion of its cobalt output may remain unsold by the end of 2025 due to ongoing export restrictions in the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC). The DRC, which supplies the bulk of the world’s cobalt, imposed a four-month export ban in February after prices hit a nine-year low. In June, the government extended the ban by another three months, aiming to curb oversupply and buy time to develop a quota system for distributing export rights among mining companies. “The extension of the export ban is expected to significantly tighten cobalt availability and accelerate i…
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Glencore (LON: GLEN) is set to shut its final two copper mines in Mount Isa, Queensland, next week, ending more than six decades of operations and marking the company’s exit from upstream copper production in Australia. The closure, first announced in October 2023, includes the Mount Isa copper mines and associated operations, including smelters and concentrators. Initial estimates put job losses at more than 1,200, but Glencore revised that figure in April to around 500, citing progress in workforce redeployment. “We are also actively working to redeploy as many people as possible over the coming months,” Sam Strohmayr, chief operating officer for Glencore’s Aust…
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Glencore (LON: GLEN) has transferred almost $22 billion in foreign assets into its Australian subsidiary in a sweeping global restructure, laying the groundwork for a future mega-merger with a rival mining heavyweight. The move, disclosed by the Australian Financial Review, means the total assets held by Glencore’s Australian entity have doubled to $42 billion. The shift required $3.8 billion in internal cash transfers and $614 million in intra-company share issuances to facilitate the asset migration. The restructure consolidates coal mines in Canada, South Africa and Colombia, a major copper project in Argentina, and South African manganese, chrome and vanadium …
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A consortium of major banks, including Bank of America, Citi, Deutsche Bank, Goldman Sachs, and UBS, announced on Friday that they will collaborate to explore the development of stablecoins pegged to G7 currencies. A New Era For Crypto In Mainstream Finance The renewed interest in stablecoins comes in the wake of US President Donald Trump’s endorsement of the sector, which has reignited discussions about integrating blockchain technology into mainstream finance. Currently, the stablecoin market is heavily dominated by Tether (USDT), based in El Salvador, which accounts for approximately $179 billion of the total $310 billion in stablecoins circulating, according to da…
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Sina—co-founder of the hedge fund 21st Capital—publicly dismantled a popular Bitcoin price model promoted by Real Vision CEO Raoul Pal, calling it a textbook case of data illiteracy and overfitting. The model in question draws a close correlation between Bitcoin and Global M2—a measure of global money supply—by shifting M2 data forward by a set number of weeks, typically 10 to 12, to supposedly “predict” Bitcoin’s future price moves. Raoul Pal has used this chart to argue that macro liquidity conditions drive crypto cycles, and that the current market behavior can be forecast using monetary expansion. Expert Torches M2-Bitcoin Correlation But Sina, a trained data scient…
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The global metals and mining industry posted one of its strongest financial performances in two decades last year, earning $700 billion in profits despite a 6% drop in revenue, according to McKinsey’s newly released Global Materials Perspective 2025. The report highlights that while profitability remains robust, the sector faces mounting challenges from declining ore grades, complex mining conditions, and stricter environmental and labour standards. All of these factors are driving up costs and squeezing margins, McKinsey said, noting that sustained investment in technology, electrification and digital tools will be crucial to maintaining productivity gains. Profi…
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The Global Tailings Management Institute (GTMI), an independent organisation dedicated to improving the safety of mine tailings facilities worldwide, has announced the appointment of its multi-stakeholder board of directors. The board will be chaired by Mark Cutifani, former CEO of Anglo American. The deputy chair is Vicente Mello, senior vice president at global infrastructure, technical, environmental and social consultancy, AECOM. Both leaders bring decades of mining experience, with a strong focus on responsible tailings management. The board’s role will be to oversee the widespread implementation of, and conformance with, the Global Industry Standard on Ta…
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Global Uranium and Enrichment’s (ASX: GUE) estimate for the Maybell project in Colorado makes it the second largest initial hard rock uranium resource in the Southwest United States and in a historic mining district for the nuclear metal. The JORC resource outlines 3.2 million inferred tonnes grading 849 parts per million (ppm) uranium oxide (U3O8) for about 6 million lb. U3O8, Global reported Wednesday. “[The resource] confirms that the Maybell Uranium project remains a substantial uranium district in the United States,” managing director Andrew Ferrier said in a release. “These results not only validate our exploration target but also highlight the significant p…
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From mall staple with neckbeard cashiers to Reddit rally cry, the latest GameStop offering has moved into convertible debt, looking to raise $1.75 billion in private funding. What it plans to do with the money is anyone’s guess, but the crypto crowd is already bracing for a BTC headline. It’s a long way from selling Xbox controllers but in 2025, so is everything else. BitcoinPriceMarket CapBTC$2.16T24h7d30d1yAll time DISCOVER: 20+ Next Crypto to Explode in 2025 GameStop Offering: A Familiar Playbook for Bitcoin Investment In April, GameStop locked in $1.5 billion through a bond sale. It didn’t take long to see where that cash might be going. Over the next few weeks, t…
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Gold and Silver are subject to immediate pressure as the US Dollar regains strength and reputation after yesterday's FOMC meeting. The challenged independence of the Fed was a major driver behind the immense rally metals enjoyed from late August into early September, as Powell’s shift in tone from the Jackson Hole conference cast doubt on the Fed’s consistency amid still high inflation. Yet the dovish stance advocated by Bowman and Waller, seen as President Trump's protege-appointees ahead of the Sep FOMC—was vindicated by subsequent NFP misses and the downward revisions in BLS data. This is leading to the Federal Reserve regaining back some of its lost confidence thro…
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All eyes are laying on one asset class in Markets: Precious Metals The usual suspect: Gold, A.K.A. The Bullion (or just "bully" for people who are caught short). Gold has always been a very complex asset. It does not have a face value yet it serves as store of value for many Central Banks. It cannot be eaten yet people always starve for it. And these days, it not-only is at the center of the 2025 Trump-Administration deglobalization theme but also a good edge against every potential catalyst against positive sentiment this year: Rate cuts? Wars? Fiscal catastrophes? Political instability (France, Japan, US, UK, ...) Bonds haven't seen much demand since the end of the …
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Gold prices are holding in and around the $3650/oz handle. The precious metal is benefitting from the perfect combination of political uncertainty, geopolitical risk and of course Fed rate cut bets. Russia Conflict Sees Nato Trigger Article 4... What Next? On Wednesday, Poland, with help from its NATO allies, shot down what they believed to be Russian drones that had entered Polish airspace. This is the first time a NATO country has fired shots during the conflict between Russia and Ukraine. Poland's Prime Minister, Donald Tusk, told parliament that this was "the closest we have been to open conflict since World War Two." However, he also added that he doesn't beli…
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Gold prices have extended their weekly gains to 3.5% and also a seventh successive green trading day. With bond yields rising and interest rate cuts coming, market participants are facing a host of uncertainties. Add to the mix the renewed uncertainty around US tariffs with many of them ruled illegal by a Federal appeals court last Friday and market jitters are at a peak. Rate Cut Expectations Continue to Rise The current macro economic backdrop is a complicated one. Recent developments globally continue to point toward unfavorable scenarios from fiscal issues in Europe and Fed independence concerns in the US. Since Fed Chair Powell's Jackson Hole speech, rate cut expe…
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Gold prices have remained choppy this week with the precious metal remaining in the range between $3300-$3350/oz for the majority of the week. Two key levels which for now it appears buyers and sellers are defending ahead of the Jackson Hole Symposium and Geopolitical developments. Most Read: Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Price Outlook: Mixed Signals as Bearish Potential Grows, $108600 May Hold the Key Strong US PMI Data Fails to Inspire Breakout A strong PMI release may have just aided Fed Chair Jerome Powell. The S&P Global US Composite PMI rose to 55.4 in August 2025, up from 55.1 in July, showing growth for the 31st straight month, according to flash estimates. This was al…
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Gold prices have continued to advance this week on a combination of a weak US Dollar and renewed haven demand, setting the stage for a potential retest of all-time-highs at $3500/oz next week. The return of haven demand may be attributed to the ongoing Russia/Ukraine discussions, Fed independence concerns (which are also having an effect on the Dollar) and a potential surge in tension between Iran, the US and the E3 (Germany, France and England). Rising Geopolitical Risks Just as it seemed market participants may be getting a prolonged reprieve from a heightened geopolitical risk environment which has continued throughout 2025, it appears these hopes are faltering. The…
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Gold prices remain high amidst US-China trade talks, indicating market uncertaintyTechnical analysis shows gold breaking a bear flag, suggesting a potential rally to $3400/oz.Short-term, a break above 3333.60 on the two-hour chart could further fuel the upward momentum.Read More: Markets Today: Asian Stocks Mixed, UK Unemployment Rises to 4.6%, FTSE 100 Eyes ATH Gold prices continue to hold the high ground as a host of commodities benefit from US-China talks which have entered their second day in the UK. Markets appear cautiously optimistic regarding the talks and this appears to have stemmed the flow toward haven assets. However, the fact that Gold continues to inch high…
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