Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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Overview: Leaving aside the New Zealand dollar, which has been tagged for more than 1% after the dovish forward guidance following the central bank's well-telegraphed rate cut, and the Australian dollar, which has been dragged lower after yesterday's poor price action, the G10 currencies are little changed. The greenback is firmer against most emerging market currencies. Outside of New Zealand, the macro data has been limited to a larger than expected Japanese trade deficit, as exports to the US, EU, and China fell, and firmer than expected UK July inflation. The highlight from the US today are the FOMC minutes, which seem less relevant after the August 1 jobs report and …
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The BTC USD price is volatile, looking at the price action of the past few days. After last week’s surge, which pushed Bitcoin to its highest price level in history at over $124,500, bears have taken control. Early gains on August 14 were quickly reversed as sellers pressed on, fully erasing the previous day’s gains. While there were expectations that crypto prices would recover, bears doubled down. By the start of the week, there has been no reprieve. Not only is BTC USD trading below last week’s lows, but with each lower low on the Bitcoin daily chart, the probability of Bitcoin crashing below $110,000 this week increases. (Source: TradingView) DISCOVER: The 12+ H…
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A fresh wave of buying pushed Cardano up the ranks this week, moving ADA into the eighth spot among major cryptocurrencies and nudging Dogecoin and TRON down. Reports show Cardano’s market cap climbed to $33 billion, edging out TRON at close to $33 billion and Dogecoin at $32 billion. ADA was trading at $0.9225, rising 0.35% on the day and posting a 16% gain over the last week when this report was made. Cardano Climbs Past Dogecoin And TRON The shift came amid a broader bout of volatility across the crypto market. Based on reports, global market cap briefly peaked at $4.17 trillion on August 14, when Bitcoin surged to an intraday high of $124,388. That strength did…
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Asia Market Wrap - Tech Stocks Drag Indexes Lower Most Read: Gold (XAU/USD) Hovers at $3350/oz, Russia-Ukraine Developments in Focus Global stocks took a break after a record run, as a big drop in major tech companies pulled markets down. Futures suggest more losses ahead. The MSCI Asia-Pacific index (excluding Japan) fell over 1%, Japan's Nikkei dropped 1.7%, and Hong Kong's Hang Seng Tech Index lost 1.3%. Big names like Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing and SoftBank were among the biggest losers. Market participants pulled back from tech stocks, which have been leading the market, worried that the rally since April has gone too far, too fast. RBNZ Deliver Dovish Rat…
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In a market update on August 19 titled “Key Altcoins To Watch Right Now,” crypto analyst Cryptoinsightuk argues that conditions are improving for a fresh leg higher in altcoins as Bitcoin dominance shows signs of easing. “The last few days and in the newsletter I’ve discussed my long-term thesis around Bitcoin dominance dropping [and] that altcoins are going to take the next leg up,” he said, adding that, at current levels across majors, “risk–reward for long positions is very good here.” He anchors the view in a recurring intraday structure he says is visible across Bitcoin and multiple large caps: a range forms, the lows are swept, the highs are swept, price returns to…
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After hitting a new all-time high above $24,000, Bitcoin has been unable to hold up the momentum and has spiraled back down again. In light of this, crypto analyst Doctor Profit has predicted that the Bitcoin price is actually going to fall below $100,000. If this prediction is accurate, then it means that this is only the beginning of the BTC decline, with more crashes expected to happen in the near future. September Will Be Bearish For Bitcoin In an X (formerly Twitter) post, the crypto analyst points out that the Bitcoin price crash is far from done. This is especially as the month of August is racing toward an end after the start of the month had been more bullish th…
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An analyst has pointed out how Dogecoin is consolidating within a triangle pattern that could set up a 40% move for the memecoin’s price. Dogecoin Is Trading Inside A Symmetrical Triangle Pattern In a new post on X, analyst Ali Martinez has talked about what the triangle that Dogecoin’s 12-hour price is trading inside right now could foreshadow for it. A triangle is a consolidation channel in technical analysis (TA) that forms whenever the price of an asset trades between two converging trendlines. The upper line of the pattern is likely to be a source of resistance, while the lower one that of support. If the price manages to break past either of these boundaries, it …
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While Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) stumbled in the latest market downturn, Cardano (ADA) has emerged as a standout performer. Over the past week, ADA has surged 20%, maintaining strong momentum even as broader market sentiment turned cautious. According to CoinGecko data, ADA is up nearly 175% year-on-year, trading near $0.92 after consistently holding green candles across daily, weekly, and monthly charts. Bitcoin briefly slipped below $115,000, while Ethereum retraced to $4,200 after touching a multi-year high. Yet Cardano has shown resilience, buoyed by technical and macroeconomic factors that are drawing fresh investor attention. What’s Fueling ADA’s Breakout?…
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New Zealand’s central bank (RBNZ) cut its Official Cash Rate (OCR) as expected by 25 basis points (bps) to a three-year low of 3% today. The major surprise was the RBNZ’s monetary policy guidance that skewed towards a more dovish stance than expected. Its latest forward guidance shows that the average OCR is projected to fall to 2.71% by the end of 2025, lower than the earlier projection of 2.92% made in May. Two more potential interest rate cuts by the RBNZ Also, it forecasts the OCR to drop further to a low of 2.55% in early 2026, versus 2.85% projected in May. Hence, based on this set of latest dovish projections, the RBNZ has indicated that it is likely not done wi…
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Cardano price started a downside correction from the $1.020 zone. ADA is now showing some bearish signs and might decline toward $0.80. ADA price started a downside correction below the $0.920 support zone. The price is trading below $0.90 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $0.940 on the hourly chart of the ADA/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could extend losses if it trades below the $0.80 region. Cardano Price Trims Gains After a steady increase, Cardano faced sellers above the $1.00 level started a fresh decline, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. ADA traded below the $0.950 and $0.920 support …
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As blockchain technology continues to gain traction among institutional investors, Chainlink (LINK) is positioning itself to capitalize on this momentum, especially in light of pro-crypto regulations that are attracting significant capital inflows. According to market expert Zach Rynes, the decentralized oracle network is better equipped than XRP to harness the forthcoming wave of institutional blockchain adoption and the tokenization of trillions in assets. Chainlink Vs XRP While some argue that Chainlink and the XRP Ledger (XRPL) do not compete directly on a product basis, Rynes suggests that this perspective overlooks the broader implications of their respective rol…
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Brazil’s Chamber of Deputies is set to hold its first hearing on August 20 to examine a bill that proposes building a Bitcoin Strategic Reserve. The reserve would be worth up to $18.6 billion and could mark a serious step toward reshaping how Brazil thinks about foreign reserves and economic resilience. Hearing Focuses on Risk Management and Reserve Diversification Bill 4501/2024 proposes allowing up to 5 percent of Brazil’s Treasury reserves to be held in bitcoin, framing it as a hedge against currency volatility and a response to rising geopolitical risks. Lawmakers backing the proposal say it’s not about betting on Bitcoin, but about preparing for a financial world th…
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Senate Banking Committee Chair Tim Scott says he expects between 12 and 18 Senate Democrats to cross party lines and support a new crypto market structure bill. That’s a surprising figure, especially given the usual partisan gridlock around financial regulation. Individual Outreach to Build Bipartisan Consensus Scott has been speaking directly with Democratic Senators, including some who aren’t on the Banking Committee, to drum up early support. He’s aiming to build momentum before the bill officially lands in the Senate this September. House Momentum and Legislative Foundations This isn’t coming out of nowhere. The House passed the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act …
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XRP price is gaining bearish pace below the $3.050 resistance zone. The price is struggling below $3.00 and remains at risk of more losses. XRP price is declining below the $3.020 and $3.00 levels. The price is now trading below $3.00 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $3.00 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could continue to move down if it stays below the $3.10 zone. XRP Price Dips In The Red XRP price remained in a bearish zone after a close below the $3.120 level, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price extended losses and traded below the $3.00 support zone. The…
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Ethereum (ETH) has maintained upward momentum in recent weeks, with the asset briefly touching $4,774 last week, just shy of its 2021 all-time high of over $4,800. Although ETH has since corrected to around $4,306, the asset remains positive in terms of weekly performance, showing a 0.7% increase. This price action shows ongoing investor interest at a time when Ethereum’s relative performance against Bitcoin is attracting attention. Analysts have pointed to Ethereum’s growing strength in both spot and derivatives markets, where ETH is showing resilience against BTC. On CryptoQuant’s QuickTake platform, contributor EgyHash noted that the ETH/BTC trading pair has reached…
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Ethereum price started a downside correction below the $4,350 zone. ETH is still showing some bearish signs and might decline toward the $4,020 support zone. Ethereum started a fresh decline below the $4,350 and $4,220 levels. The price is trading below $4,350 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $4,350 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could continue to move down if it settles below the $4,120 zone in the near term. Ethereum Price Dips Further Ethereum price failed to recover and started a fresh decline below the $4,550 zone, like Bitcoin. ETH price gained bearish momentum and …
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Chainlink (LINK) has surged nearly 15% in the past week, breaking through a long-standing resistance zone between $25 and $26. At the time of writing, LINK trades around $24.2, marking its highest level in seven months. The move came with strong trading volume, confirming a bullish breakout above the 200-day moving average. Whale accumulation has played a pivotal role in fueling the rally. On-chain data reveals that large holders scooped up 1.1 million LINK, valued at approximately $27 million, mover the past seven days. The top 100 wallets also increased their holdings by more than 12%, signaling renewed confidence from institutional and high-net-worth investors. LI…
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Bitcoin price is gaining pace below $115,500. BTC is still showing bearish signs and remains at risk of more losses below the $112,000 zone. Bitcoin started a fresh decline below the $116,500 zone. The price is trading below $115,500 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $115,400 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might start another increase if it clears the $115,500 resistance zone. Bitcoin Price Dips Further Bitcoin price started a fresh decline after a close below the $118,000 level. BTC gained bearish momentum and traded below the $116,500 support zone. There w…
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Bitcoin (BTC) has once again slipped under the $120,000 price mark, retracing after reaching a new all-time high above $124,000 last week. As of the latest market data, BTC is trading around $115,557, down 2.5% in the past 24 hours and nearly 7% below its peak. This price movement suggests that the asset is currently consolidating after its recent rally, leaving market participants watching closely for the next directional move. Meanwhile, analysts are turning to on-chain data for signals on Bitcoin’s potential trajectory. One such perspective comes from PelinayPA, a contributor to CryptoQuant’s QuickTake platform, who examined long-term holder (LTH) behavior using a se…
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On-chain data shows the Bitcoin sharks and whales have been accumulating during the latest price decline, a sign that could be bullish for the asset. Bitcoin Sharks & Whales Have Bought Over 20,000 BTC In This Dip In a new post on X, on-chain analytics firm Santiment has shared how some of Bitcoin’s key investors have been reacting to the latest volatility in the cryptocurrency’s price. The holders in question are those carrying a wallet balance in the range of 10 to 10,000 BTC. At the current exchange rate of the asset, the former bound converts to $1.1 million and the latter one to $1.1 billion. Thus, the only addresses that would qualify for the range would be t…
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Ethereum is under pressure as volatility spikes, with the price recently slipping below the $4,300 mark. After weeks of strong momentum and multi-year highs, bulls are now struggling to defend support zones. The loss of this level raises concerns about a potential deeper correction, though fundamentals remain firmly bullish. Institutional adoption continues to provide strong tailwinds, with major firms increasing exposure to Ethereum through ETFs, treasury strategies, and on-chain accumulation. This steady demand reflects growing confidence in ETH’s long-term role within the digital asset ecosystem. At the same time, Open Interest has been rising sharply, highlighting a…
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The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) is expected to cut interest rates by 0.25% this week, bringing the rate to 3%. This would mark a total reduction of 2.5% during the current cycle. Markets are also predicting another cut later this year or early next year, possibly lowering the rate to 2.75% or even 2.5%. …
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Bitcoin (BTC) fell to $114,386 earlier today, triggering nearly $300 million in liquidations over the past 24 hours as investor confidence in the asset remains shaky. Still, rising spot trading volumes offer a glimmer of hope that BTC may now be entering an accumulation phase. Is Bitcoin In The Accumulation Phase? According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor Amr Taha, Binance’s BTC spot trading volume surpassed $6 billion on August 18 – one of the most significant spikes this month. Taha noted that such sudden spikes typically signal increased participation from institutional investors and large traders, along with some retail activity looking to capitalize…
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Bitcoin is under pressure after struggling for several days to hold above the $120,000 mark, and now the $115,000 level has become the key battleground. The latest price action shows increased volatility as momentum shifts toward the bears, raising concerns about whether BTC can sustain its consolidation range or risk breaking lower. Despite reaching new all-time highs earlier this month, Bitcoin’s inability to maintain strength above resistance zones has fueled speculation of a possible deeper correction. Traders are closely watching whether this consolidation phase is a healthy reset or the beginning of a sharper downturn. Adding to this uncertainty, CryptoQuant anal…
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Bitcoin looks set for a pause. Prices climbed to a fresh high, and now the market is showing signs of short-term cooling as some investors lock in profits. Price Pullback And Recent Rally Bitcoin was trading at $115,550 when this report was written, about 6% shy of its all-time high of $124,201 reached on Wednesday. The top crypto asset was up roughly 10% in the nine days leading up to that peak. That quick run-up helped push prices higher, but it also left some traders looking for a breather. Analysts say the recent rally quickly fizzled out without fresh macro drivers to keep it going. MVRV Signals Some Caution According to Santiment, the Market Value to Realize…
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