Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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Gold prices have rallied from an overnight low around the $3323/oz handle to a high of $3360/oz before settling around the $3350/oz mark.The precious metal looks set to continue its choppy price action at the start of a busy week. The recovery in Gold from the overnight low could in part be down to lower US Treasury Yields with the benchmark 10Y US Treasury yield falling from its recent highs. Russia-Ukraine Developments as Trump and Zelensky Set to Meet European leaders will meet with Zelenskiy and Trump on Monday to discuss a possible deal to end the Russia-Ukraine war. Under the proposed plan, Russia would give up small areas of occupied Ukraine, while Ukraine would…
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Gold prices continue to struggle this week with the precious metal unable to hold convincingly above the $3400/oz handle. This is no doubt a surprise given the tensions in the Middle East as well as data from the World Gold Council monthly report which showed Central Bank buying remains elevated. Sentiment has been swaying back and forth with Gold taking its cues from comments around the Israel-Iran situation. The fact that Gold has failed to make fresh highs as a result of rising Geopolitical risk does not bode particularly well for the precious metal. Another sign that the bullish rally may have been waning even before the Israel-Iran conflict came in May, where buyers …
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Gold sailed toward $4100/oz on Monday with the precious metal trading up around 2% on the day. The precious metal saw a significant selloff last week which looked like it could be the start of a significant retracement before renewed tension between the US-China sent market participants fleeing toward safe havens once more. Trade tensions between the US and China escalated when US President Donald Trump announced plans to impose massive 100% tariffs on all Chinese imports starting November 1st, a move that caught market participants by surprise. This dramatic announcement followed China's own recent decision to control the export of rare earth elements, which are vital ma…
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Gold prices sailed past the $4,000/oz mark overnight to reach highs around the $4050/oz mark in the European session. A mix of easy monetary policies, steady buying by central banks and rising world tensions seem to be driving the rally. That move beyond $4000/oz hints that market participants feel hopeful after the psychological barrier fell. Overall, the momentum and the big‑picture forces look lined up, suggesting the $4,000 breach could be part of a long‑run cycle. A pull‑back might be a very good spot for would be bulls. Most Read: Gold's (XAU/USD) Bull Run Just Getting Started? A Look at What History Says How Fast the 2025 Run‑Up Happened Gold’s climb this year h…
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In today’s session, gold (XAU/USD) trades at $3960 per troy ounce, up an astounding +1.91%, and has yet again comfortably renewed all-time highs. With gold pricing up over 50% year-to-date, markets now turn their gaze to the key level of $4,000, having only rallied above $3,000 for the first time in history less than seven months ago. As ever, let’s take a look at some of the macro themes affecting precious metal markets, alongside some likely price targets for this week’s trading. Gold (XAU/USD): Key takeaways 06/10/2025 While wind has remained in the sails of precious metals for much of 2025, news of the US government has provided further tailwind to the current rall…
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Gold prices have started the week on the back foot as hopes grow over a barrage of trade deal announcements are expected this week. The initial July 9 deadline by the Trump administration approaches but there has been mixed messaging which may limit Gold's downside potential ahead of the announcements Most Read: S&P 500, Dow Jones Q3 Outlook: Tariffs, Tech, and Small Cap Concerns close Source: TradingView (click to enlarge) …
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Gold prices soar to tap $3700/oz as Fed rate cut bets ramp up. The precious metal continues to benefit from the uncertainty around Fed policy moving forward beyond the September 17 meeting. The expectations for a rate cut and a dovish Fed moving forward has led to US Dollar weakness and falling US Treasury yields which have aided Gold's rise. The US dollar is getting weaker, with its value falling against other major currencies. This is because financial markets are now pricing in around 95% probability that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 0.25% and expect a more dovish outlook moving forward. At the same time, returns on US government bonds are also stayin…
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Trading at $3825.41 per troy ounce in today’s session, up a remarkable +1.74%, gold (XAU/USD) has once again renewed all-time highs, further extending yearly gains. As things stand, the yellow metal is on pace for its best yearly performance since 1979, up an astounding +45.75% year-to-date. Let’s examine the market fundamentals alongside some likely price targets in the upcoming sessions. Gold (XAU/USD): Key takeaways 29/09/2025 Benefitting from a ‘perfect storm’ of macroeconomic factors, gold pricing has rallied to new highs in today’s session, and crucially, has broken above the key level of $3,800 for the first time in historyWhile gold prices have been rising thro…
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This is a follow-up analysis and a timely update of our prior report, “Gold (XAU/USD) Technical: Push up towards medium-term range resistance zone as Fed’s independence erodes”, published on 26 August 2025. The price actions of Gold (XAU/USD) have staged the expected bullish move, rallied by 2.3% and hit the US$3,435 resistance as highlighted in our earlier publication last Friday, 29 August. The price actions of Gold (XAU/USD) have staged the expected bullish move, rallied by 2.3% and hit the US$3,435 resistance as highlighted in our earlier publication last Friday, 29 August. For a quick recap, the US$3,435 is considered a significant range resistance on Gold (XAU/U…
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This is a follow-up analysis and a timely update of our prior publication, “Gold (XAU/USD) Technical: Overbought but bullish acceleration trend remains intact”, published last Tuesday, 9 September 2025. The price actions of Gold (XAU/USD) have traded sideways and managed to hold above the US$3,600 short-term pivotal support highlighted in our previous report. The latest speculative positioning and flows data in the gold futures market and exchange-traded funds are net positive, in turn, supporting the current short-term bullish acceleration trend of Gold (XAU/USD) since the bullish breakout above its former all-time high of US$3,500 on 2 September 2025. Let’s examine …
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This is a follow-up analysis and an update of our prior publication, “Gold (XAU/USD) Technical: Bullish acceleration supported rising implied volatility”, published on 2 September 2025. The precious yellow metal has staged the expected bullish breakout above its former all-time high of US$3,500 printed on 22 April 2025. Gold (XAU/USD) rallied by 5.3% to hit a current fresh intraday record high of US$3,655 at the time of writing. Lower opportunity costs reinforced the current bullish acceleration phase of Gold …
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The recent price actions of Gold (XAU/USD) have started to trade firmer since last Friday, 22 August, with a gain of 1%, on increased hopes that the US Federal Reserve is likely to enact its first interest rate cut of 2025 in the next month's FOMC meeting. Fed Chair Powell’s Jackson Hole Symposium dovish speech has led traders in the Fed Funds futures market to firm up bets that the Fed is likely to cut twice in 2025 (25 basis points each), with a probability of 81% that the Fed Funds rate will be at 3.75%-4.00% on 10 December 2025 FOMC meeting at the time of writing from the current range of 4.25%-4.50%. Lower interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding gol…
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Key takeaways Gold hit a fresh all-time high at US$3,791 on 23 September before consolidating in a short-term uptrend.Current price action forms an “Ascending Triangle”, signalling potential for a bullish continuation if resistance at US$3,785 is cleared.Key short-term support is at US$3,688; holding above this level keeps the bullish bias intact.US 10-year Treasury real yield remains capped below 1.87%, supporting Gold’s appeal as a non-yielding asset. This is a follow-up analysis and a timely update of our prior publication, “Gold (XAU/USD): Short-term bullish acceleration intact towards new all-time highs above US$3,660 key support”, published on 22 September 202…
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Key takeaways Gold (XAU/USD) surged 8.5% since late September, breaking above US$4,000 to hit a new all-time high of US$4,059.The rally is driven by demand for inflation hedges and fears of fiat currency debasement amid fiscal concerns.Technical indicators show an overstretched uptrend, raising the risk of a short-term pullback below US$4,012.The medium-term uptrend remains intact, as Gold stays above its key 20-day and 50-day moving averages. This is a follow-up analysis and a timely update of our prior publication, “Gold (XAU/USD): In a bullish consolidation above US$3,688 despite a firmer US dollar”, published on 26 September 2025. The price actions of Gold (XAU/…
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This is a follow-up analysis and a timely update of our prior publication, “Gold (XAU/USD) Technical: Eyeing a new all-time high above US$3,675, supported by positive flows and positioning”, published on 15 September 2025. The price actions of Gold (XAU/USD have shaped the expected bullish move and printed a fresh all-time intraday high of US$3,707 on Wednesday, 17 September, during the onset of the release of the FOMC’s monetary policy outcome and latest summary of economic dot plot projections. Thereafter, the precious yellow metal staged a minor corrective decline of 2.2% to hit an intraday low of US$3,628 on Thursday, 18 September 2025, in line with a rebound in t…
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Just a couple of weeks ago, analysts at Goldman Sachs predicted that gold could soon reach the $4,000 mark. Yesterday, that prediction came true. Spot gold prices exceeded $4,000 per ounce for the first time and are now holding around $4,036. This milestone comes amid growing concerns that the ongoing government shutdown could have a severe impact on the U.S. economy. It's a historic moment for gold, which was trading below $2,000 just two years ago. This year alone, gold has surged more than 50%, driven by global trade uncertainty, questions surrounding the independence of the Federal Reserve, and concerns over U.S. financial stability. Heightened geopolitical tensions…
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Gold at Record Highs XauUsd Technical Analysis Gold (XAUUSD) has surged an astonishing 44.4% in 2025, climbing from a year-end close of $2,624 to reach fresh record high at $3.791. For traders, investors, and central banks alike, the question is simple: what’s driving this runaway train, and what could bring it to a halt? What Is Spot Gold? Spot gold refers to the current price of one troy ounce of pure gold for immediate delivery (typically settled within two business days). Unlike futures contracts, it reflects real-time supply and demand in the physical and financial markets. What’s Driving Gold’s Meteoric Rise? Expectations of U.S. Federal Reserve Rate Cuts The a…
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It seemed yellow metal could hardly surprise us anymore, unless with a sudden explosive rise. Yet gold has more tricks up its sleeve: it's going digital. Usually, that term is used to describe Bitcoin, but the first cryptocurrency has nothing to do with this. Some big market players have begun digitizing physical metal, and this new experience is revealing. Earlier this week, gold dipped slightly, reaching $3,635 per ounce. Market activity remained low as traders acted cautiously ahead of the Fed meeting. On Tuesday, September 16, gold was trading at $3,693 per ounce. According to analysts, the overall fundamental bias stays on the side of gold buyers. On Monday, Septem…
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As Australian gold producers set annual guidance for the 2026 financial year, a clear trend has emerged across the sector. While miners outside the gold sector are expecting to see flat to lower unit costs for the 12 months to June 30, 2026 (FY26), gold miners are almost universally forecasting a rise in costs. Shares in sector leader Northern Star Resources (ASX: NST) were heavily sold off last month after the company said it expected all-in sustaining costs (AISC) for FY26 to rise to A$2,300-2,700 an ounce ($1,477-1,862/oz) from A$2,163/oz in FY25. “Unfortunately, we’re not seeing costs plateau, and that pressure still remains and you’re seeing that across t…
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At long last, gold has done it: it crossed the $4,000 per oz. threshold today, something no one had ever seen before. While intraday trading pared some gains, the climb to that round number signals deeper tectonic shifts in how investors are viewing risk, monetary policy, and macro stability. In this post, we dive into gold’s enduring role, the reasons behind its meteoric ~51% advance in 2025, and what this may hint at going forward. The Classic Role of Gold Gold has always been more than a precious metal. Over centuries, it’s occupied a place in financial portfolios as a hedge, a reserve asset, and a refuge when faith in paper currencies wobbles. In modern times, its ke…
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At long last, gold has done it: it crossed the $4,000 per oz. threshold today, something no one had ever seen before. While intraday trading pared some gains, the climb to that round number signals deeper tectonic shifts in how investors are viewing risk, monetary policy, and macro stability. In this post, we dive into gold’s enduring role, the reasons behind its meteoric ~51% advance in 2025, and what this may hint at going forward. The Classic Role of Gold Gold has always been more than a precious metal. Over centuries, it’s occupied a place in financial portfolios as a hedge, a reserve asset, and a refuge when faith in paper currencies wobbles. In modern times, its ke…
Last reply by Redator, -
Gold briefly slipped to a four-week low as some investors rotated back toward riskier assets, such as stocks, following the Israel-Iran ceasefire deal, which appears to be holding for now. Stocks climbed after President Trump said a trade deal had been signed with China, as Beijing agreed to approve rare earth exports. Investors and traders had piled into the safety of precious metals as missiles flew in the Middle East and amid concerns that trade was slowing between the world’s two largest economies. The ceasefire and trade deal alleviated some of the market’s most pressing geopolitical and economic concerns, prompting light profit-taking in gold. Gold slid below $3,…
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Gold briefly slipped to a four-week low as some investors rotated back toward riskier assets, such as stocks, following the Israel-Iran ceasefire deal, which appears to be holding for now. Stocks climbed after President Trump said a trade deal had been signed with China, as Beijing agreed to approve rare earth exports. Investors and traders had piled into the safety of precious metals as missiles flew in the Middle East and amid concerns that trade was slowing between the world’s two largest economies. The ceasefire and trade deal alleviated some of the market’s most pressing geopolitical and economic concerns, prompting light profit-taking in gold. Gold slid below $3,…
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Peter Schiff, the outspoken gold advocate, warned that Bitcoin may be “topping out” as traders await a Federal Reserve decision this week. According to a post on his X account, Schiff said gold and silver have broken out while Bitcoin is showing signs of losing momentum. The comment has drawn attention because it comes just before a key Federal Reserve meeting that many expect to affect risk assets. Market Resistance At $116,000 Bitcoin has been stuck near the $116,000 level and has not been able to push well past that mark, even after recent gains. Based on market reports, BTC logged about a 4% rise over the past week but ran into strong resistance at roughly $116,0…
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Gold has always been considered a reliable investment option, especially during economic instability. However, buying gold can be complex, and it’s easy for inexperienced investors to make costly mistakes. In this article, we’ll discuss the most common pitfalls when buying gold and provide you with strategies to avoid them. In addition, we’ll explore what not to do when buying gold, what to watch out for, the safest way to buy gold, and tips for beginners. You can make informed decisions and safeguard your investments with the proper knowledge. What Not to Do When Buying Gold? Ignoring purity and weight: One of the investors’ most common mistakes is disregarding the im…
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