Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12188 tópicos neste fórum
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The EUR/USD currency pair continued to trade lower throughout Friday. Did this surprise anyone? Among the interesting events on the last trading day of the previous week, only the Eurozone's first October inflation estimate, which unexpectedly came in at 2.1%, is noteworthy. The previous month recorded a value of 2.2%, and most traders expected a year-on-year decline to 2.1%. Thus, this was precisely one of those cases where expectations completely aligned with reality. Consequently, there was nothing for traders to react to. However, after this report, the European currency once again plummeted, even though this report changes absolutely nothing. It should be understood …
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Analysis of GBP/USD 5M The GBP/USD currency pair avoided a new decline on Friday, though in the first half of the day, it was poised to extend its decline. There were no significant news events in the UK or the US throughout the day, so the market sold the British pound again on technical grounds. However, while the European currency is sufficiently distant from the lower boundary of its flat on the daily timeframe, the British pound has approached it closely, having tested it three times. Thus, the GBP/USD pair may transition to a rise supported by macroeconomic and fundamental backgrounds. We recall that throughout October, we observed movements that were completely…
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Analysis of EUR/USD 5M The EUR/USD currency pair continued its downward movement on Friday after breaking through another ascending trendline. As mentioned, there is an ongoing flat trend on the daily timeframe, so the current decline is technical within the global sideways channel. On Friday, the Eurozone published its October inflation report, which triggered another decline in the European currency. From our perspective, this report is merely another excuse for selling the euro, which the market has actively taken advantage of recently. Formally, since inflation has decreased, the European Central Bank has taken one small step closer to easing monetary policy. The …
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A new BBC report states that Andrew Mountbatten Windsor, formerly Prince Andrew, arranged a private tour of Buckingham Palace for two cryptocurrency businessmen linked to a £1.4 million agreement involving his ex-wife, Sarah Ferguson. The visit took place in June 2019. The guests were executives from Pegasus Group Holdings, a crypto-mining company that had offered Ferguson up to £1.4M through a commercial deal. That same year, Pegasus publicly named Ferguson as a brand ambassador. The firm asked her to promote an off-grid data center project in Arizona, known as “The Hive,” which was pitched as a renewable energy venture. The tour and networking event have resurfaced …
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On Sunday, November 2, tech billionaire Elon Musk renewed his warning about America’s fiscal outlook. He said the federal debt has grown so large that it can’t be fixed without a major jump in productivity. “If AI and robots don’t solve our national debt, we’re toast,” Elon Musk warned, raising fresh concern that US finances are heading toward a breaking point. His comment resurfaced in new coverage of a recent podcast appearance, at a time when the national debt exceeds $38 trillion and interest costs remain high. It climbed from $37Tn in August to $38Tn by October 22, marking the fastest $1Tn increase outside the pandemic period, and coming during an ongoing federal…
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Among the world’s most valuable precious metals, rhodium often remains overlooked. Yet for investors who appreciate scarcity, intrinsic value, and diversification, rhodium offers an intriguing case. If you are considering adding rhodium or other hard assets to your retirement strategy, this guide explains what makes this rare metal unique and how it compares to more established physical precious metals like gold, silver, platinum, and palladium. What Is Rhodium? Rhodium is a rare silver-white metal known for its corrosion resistance, reflective surface, and exceptional durability. It belongs to the platinum group metals, which also includes platinum, palladium, ruthenium,…
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For the first time in the last three weeks, the euro-dollar pair closed Friday's trading below the 1.1560 target, exiting the established price range of 1.1560–1.1730. Now the main intrigue lies in the simple question: will the price hold below this support level, or will it return to its previous levels? Throughout October, sellers of EUR/USD repeatedly tested the lower boundary of the aforementioned price range, declining towards the base of the 15 figure. However, each time the southern momentum faded, and buyers regained control of the pair. Last week, the dollar strengthened mainly due to the Federal Reserve's cautious stance on the pace of further rate cuts. It …
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The American currency remains a main paradox in the currency market. Whereas its movements from January to June raised no questions, given the news background, many questions have arisen in September and October. First, the corrective structure, which was supposed to be simple and clear, unexpectedly began to complicate and take on a very elongated appearance without any clear reason. Second, the demand for the US dollar is rising (as we examined in the previous two reviews), for which there is no basis at all. As a result, the wave analysis is becoming more complex, and many market participants do not understand what is happening. There will be several important events i…
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The British currency cannot boast of more attractive movements or a more accurate wave analysis. Essentially, everything happening with the euro currency is also occurring with the British pound sterling. Demand for it is decreasing just like for the euro, and the news background is interpreted by market participants only in favor of the dollar. Thus, we will have to work with such movements and this wave analysis. The wave analysis of the pound again indicates the completion of the current wave set. The current corrective five-wave structure has taken a convincing form and belongs to wave c, a component of the presumed wave 4. Even if the current wave analysis is incorre…
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The European currency will start the new month as the underdog. The decline of the euro has continued for more than a month. Although this section of the trend is not impulsive, it does not change the essence of the matter—the demand for the single European currency is falling amid somewhat contradictory news. Most of the truly significant events of October have not been taken seriously by the market. As evidence, there is no need to provide a long list of economic reports or global events. One thing worth mentioning: the dollar has been rising throughout the month, even as the "shutdown" continues in the US. How many predicted the strengthening of the American currency d…
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Last week, gold began to correct from its historical highs. In the short term, further price declines are possible. Nevertheless, this decrease has not undermined long-term enthusiasm. At the annual World Gold Conference of the London Bullion Market Association, participants predicted that by this time next year, gold may test a resistance level just below $5,000 per ounce, which is 25% higher than current prices. This is the most positive forecast from LBMA participants in recent years, during which they have underestimated the rise in the price of the precious metal. Major financial institutions, such as HSBC and Bank of America, share a similar view: they expect gold t…
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In his speech, Bessent reiterated that China would not be able to impose its conditions on the entire world, even though the topic of the entire world did not seem to be under discussion. However, if this is indeed the case, then China has shot itself in the foot. On the one hand, many countries will be forced to purchase rare earth metals from China on any terms because there is no other source. On the other hand, the whole world has been warned that China may "close shop" or use this trump card to dictate its terms for cooperation and trade. America made a similar mistake by starting a trade war —not just with China. I have already stated that neither China nor Canada w…
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America made a mistake when it initiated a trade war against China. China made a mistake when it not only chose to defend itself but also adopted an aggressive approach. Is this accurate, and who is more right in this situation? In reality, China's retaliatory measures, aimed at strengthening Beijing's negotiating position in its confrontation with Washington, cannot be deemed incorrect. They are logical and consistent. China did not want to follow the path of the European Union, which silently agreed to a "captive" deal that favored the US while leaving Europe with nothing. The well-fed and peaceful EU, which excels at "expressing concern" and "strongly condemning," want…
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The EUR/USD pair closed Friday's trading at 1.1538. For the three previous weeks, the pair oscillated within the range of 1.1560-1.1730, and last week was no exception – until Wednesday, the price showed an upward trend, reaching 1.1670, but then the initiative was seized by sellers. Against the backdrop of the overall strengthening of the dollar, USD bears returned to the 15th figure area and, at the end of the American trading session, managed to push through the support level of 1.1560 (the lower line of the Bollinger Bands indicator on the D1 timeframe). Traders' attention was focused on three major events of the week. First, the FOMC meeting; second, the European…
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Prominent market analyst Ted Pillows has highlighted the immediate key price levels in the Ethereum market using data on liquidity heatmap. This analysis follows a turbulent price display over the past week during which Ethereum prices fell by 1.64%. Ethereum Traders Brace For Potential Sweep Before Reversal In an X post on November 1, Pillows shares data from Coinglass on the Ethereum liquidity heatmap, identifying significant resting liquidity on both sides of the current price action. Notably, the upper band, which lies between $3,900 and $4,200, represents a heavy concentration of limit orders as many traders are positioning themselves for potential selling activ…
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Recent on-chain data shows that a relevant class of Bitcoin investors known as long-term holders has continued to move out of their market positions. LTHs Actively Switching To Distribution In a November 1st post on social media platform X, popular on-chain analyst Burak Kesmeci shared an insight into the prevalent structural bias among Bitcoin’s long-term holders. Kesmeci’s analysis hinges on the Long-Term Holder Net Position Change metric, which tracks the net buying or selling behavior of Bitcoin’s long-term investors over a period of 30 days. Related Reading: Bitcoin At A ‘Do-Or-Die’ Level As Cycle Faces First Real Test: Analyst A positive reading is usually inter…
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Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) is creating a familiar pattern that points to an incoming altcoin surge. This development comes as the general crypto market continues to show high levels of volatility driven by macro influences, as seen in the majority of October. Bitcoin Dominance To Retest 53% Level: Altcoin Capital Rush? In an X post on November 1, renowned market expert with the username PlanD outlines an insightful analysis of the Bitcoin Dominance chart, which measures the percentage of Bitcoin’s share of the total crypto market cap. Generally, a rise in Bitcoin Dominance indicates the premier cryptocurrency is outperforming other cryptocurrencies (altcoins) while a …
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The price of Bitcoin closed the historically bullish month of October on a loss for the first time in seven years. While the month started in typical fashion—on a bullish tear, the intense downturn didn’t begin until October 10, when US President Donald Trump threatened new trade tariffs on China. Now, although the United States and China seem to have found a temporary truce, the cryptocurrency market has been unable to find similar relief. In fact, the latest on-chain data suggests that US investors are still less optimistic about the digital asset market, specifically Bitcoin. Negative Coinbase Gap Premium Coincides With Massive ETF Outflows In a November 1st post on…
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Dogecoin’s latest two-week chart analysis suggests the cryptocurrency could be gearing up for a new explosive rally. According to trader and market analyst Trader Tardigrade, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) for Dogecoin has settled at levels similar to those seen before price rallies in the past two years or so. This technical observation is based on Dogecoin’s steady uptrend along a long-standing support line since 2023 and points to its price action currently being in a possible early stage of accumulation before another leg upward. Dogecoin RSI Now Showing Pre-Breakout Signals The RSI is an indicator that has consistently aligned with Dogecoin’s strongest rallies…
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The recent Fed (Federal Reserve) rate cut and news about the US-China trade realignment has created some favorable tail wind for riskier assets such as BTC, however, contrary to the collective hopes of many, the market has not yet found its footing. For now .cwp-coin-chart svg path { stroke-width: 0.65 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-graph-container.positive svg path:nth-of-type(2) { stroke: #008868 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-trend.positive { color: #008868 !important; background-color: transparent !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-popup-holder .cwp-coin-trend.positive { border: 1px solid #008868;…
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Ripple’s recent moves are drawing new attention after Western Union picked Solana for a USDPT rollout in 2026. According to supporters of XRP, that headline misses a bigger picture: Ripple has been buying firms that touch much larger pools of money. Western Union’s deal could steer over $100 billion in annual cross-border flow to Solana. But some say that sum is small compared with the pipelines Ripple is tying into. Trillions Not Billions Based on reports, Ripple has added firms that already sit inside massive payment and liquidity systems. Hidden Road, a global prime brokerage, clears about $3 trillion a year. GTreasury provides treasury tools that move trillions in…
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Asia is currently leading the global crypto charge, with countries like Vietnam, India, Japan and South Korea becoming regional crypto hubs. Some of these countries are witnessing an explosion in retail crypto trading, while other are charting frameworks to better govern crypto, providing the broader Asian crypto landscape with roadmaps that they can adapt to their own specific needs. A lot has happened since the last update on crypto in Asia. Here’s a rundown of the big headlines. Indian Court Rules Crypto As Property: Blocks WazirX From Redistributing User’s XRP The Madras High Court in India, on 31 October has given a major ruling that recognizes cryptocurrencies as …
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A new trend is taking shape across the crypto market with investors pulling large amounts of Bitcoin and Ethereum from centralized exchanges. Data from on-chain analytics platform Sentora, formerly known as IntoTheBlock, shows that exchange balances for both leading cryptocurrencies have dropped notably over the past week. Prices are holding steady without much bullish momentum, but these massive withdrawals may hint at a subtle change in investor sentiment going into November. Bitcoin And Ethereum Witness Billions Of Outflows From Exchanges According to data from Sentora, Bitcoin recorded more than $2 billion in outflows from centralized exchanges over the course of th…
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According to macro analyst Jordi Visser, dormant bitcoin is moving again and new buyers are stepping in. Visser spoke on Anthony Pompliano’s podcast and wrote about the trend on Substack, saying old holders are slowly selling while fresh investors pick up coins on dips. He compared what’s happening to an IPO (initial public offering), where early backers cash out and ownership spreads to a wider group. Price Action Has Been Flat And Frustrating Bitcoin traded between $109,000+ and $110,500+ over the last seven days, a range that has left traders impatient. Reports show the Crypto Fear & Greed Index returned “fear” readings since Wednesday and averaged fear during th…
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Chainlink continues to hold its ground above key support levels, keeping the broader market cautiously optimistic. Despite recent indecisive candles, the setup suggests that one strong bullish move could quickly shift sentiment and reignite momentum toward higher targets. Chainlink Faces Mixed Signals As Monthly Candle Closes Bearish In his Chainlink daily technical outlook, crypto analyst CryptoWzrd began by reviewing the higher timeframes, noting that the monthly candle for LINK closed slightly bearish. Additionally, the LINK/BTC pair closed its monthly candle indecisively, reflecting a lack of clear momentum against Bitcoin. Meanwhile, the daily candles for both close…
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