Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12229 tópicos neste fórum
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The month has started with an active sell-off. The fact that October, traditionally considered a good month for Bitcoin, closed in the negative, has led to aggressive selling in the cryptocurrency market during today's Asian session. Bitcoin briefly fell to around $107,300, while Ethereum dropped below $3,700. Traders whose expectations were not met are showing signs of disappointment, leading to increased pressure on digital assets. Amidst the pessimistic sentiment dominating the market, there is some positive data. According to a report, the total monthly trading volume of stablecoins on Ethereum surged to a historical high in October this year, as traders increasingly…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
[XPD/USD] – [Monday, November 03, 2025] Although both EMAs are still in a Golden Cross formation, the price of XPD/USD is already below both EMAs, and the RSI is in the Neutral-Bearish zone, so that it has the potential to weken today. Key Levels: 1. Resistance. 2 : 1514.12 2. Resistance. 1 : 1478.06 3. Pivot : 1457.78 4. Support. 1 : 1421.72 5. Support. 2 : 1401.44 Tactical Scenario: Pressure Zone: If the price breaks down and closes below 1421.72, XPD/USD could test the 1401.44 level. Momentum Extension Bias: If 1401.44 is breached, Palladium may continue to weaken against the USD, potentially reaching 1365.38. Invalidation Level / Bias Revision: Th…
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[Platinum] – [Monday, November 03, 2025] With both of EMAs in a Death Cross configuration and the price movement below both EMAs, despite the RSI remaining in the Neutral-Bullish zone, then #PLF has the potential to weaken toward its nearest support today. Key Levels:1. Resistance. 2 : 1647.2 2. Resistance. 1 : 1609.3 3. Pivot : 1590.2 4. Support. 1 : 1552.3 5. Support. 2 : 1533.2 Tactical Scenario: Pressure Zone: If the price breaks down and closes below 1590.2, there is potential for it to continue weakening to 1552.3. Momentum Extension Bias: If 1552.3 is breached and closes below it, #PLF may test the 1533.2 level. Invalidation Level/ Bias Revisio…
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Trade Review and Tips for Trading the Japanese YenThe test of the 154.02 price coincided with the MACD indicator falling significantly from the zero mark, which limited the pair's downward potential. For this reason, I did not sell the dollar. The second test of this price occurred when the MACD was in the oversold area, allowing the implementation of Scenario No. 2: buying dollars amid the pair's ongoing upward trend. It is evident that the growth of the USD/JPY pair has become less active, primarily due to recent statements from Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama, who mentioned that the Japanese government is closely monitoring the yen's exchange rate, issuing its first …
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Trade Review and Tips for Trading the British PoundThe test of the price at 1.3128 occurred when the MACD indicator had moved significantly below the zero mark, which limited the pair's downside potential. For this reason, I did not sell the pound and missed the entire downward movement of the pair. Additionally, I did not get the opportunity to buy on the bounce from 1.3096. Following quite hawkish statements from Federal Reserve officials, the pound fell. Against the backdrop of a strengthening dollar, driven by expectations of a tight US monetary policy, as well as the UK budget crisis, the British currency is under serious pressure. Investors, fearing a recession in t…
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Trade Review and Tips for Trading the EuroThe test of the price level 1.1565 coincided with the moment when the MACD indicator began to move downward from the zero mark, confirming the correct entry point for selling euros and resulting in the pair's decline of more than 40 pips. Ambiguous statements from officials of the US Federal Reserve, asserting that the final decision on interest rates for December is still pending, led to increased demand for the dollar and, consequently, a weakening of the euro. Investors, who were previously confident in an acceleration of monetary policy easing, are now forced to adjust their forecasts, further exacerbating the situation for th…
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The US dollar has once again strengthened its position against the euro, pound, Japanese yen, and other risk assets. Cautious statements from Federal Reserve representatives on the open question of interest rates in December have led to increased purchases of the US dollar. Traders who previously anticipated a near-guarantee of a cut are now forced to reassess their forecasts, putting additional pressure on risk assets. This situation is compounded by economic data, particularly with their near-total absence. In these conditions, the US dollar acts as a safe haven that traders flock to during periods of uncertainty. The strengthening of the American currency further press…
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The XRP price performance in the month of November has historically been more bullish than not, confirming higher returns than any other month in the year. Given this trend, it is possible that the XRP price could be headed for a rapid increase this new month. However, there is also the fact that the price had closed in the red back in October, and this performance could have an impact on how the cryptocurrency turns out in November. Looking At XRP Price Performances In November According to data from CryptoRank, the XRP price has seen an equal number of green and red closes over the last 12 years when it comes to the month of November. However, while the months of red c…
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Solana started a fresh decline from the $188 zone. SOL price is now consolidating losses below $180 and might decline further below $175. SOL price started a fresh decline below $185 and $180 against the US Dollar. The price is now trading below $182 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $192 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The price could start another increase if the bulls defend $175 or $172. Solana Price Dips Again Solana price extended gains above $180 and $182, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. SOL even surpassed $188 before the bears appeared. A high was formed near $189…
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Analysis of Macroeconomic Report: There are a few macroeconomic reports scheduled for Monday, and some are important. Today, the business activity indices in the manufacturing sectors of Germany, the Eurozone, the UK, and the US will be released as final estimates for October. Recall that second estimates have minimal impact on market sentiment, but the ISM business activity index will be published in the US, which is reported only in one estimate. Therefore, all attention will be on this. Analysis of Fundamental Events: There are also a few fundamental events scheduled for Monday. In particular, there are speeches from FOMC members Mary Daly and Lisa Cook. H…
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Trade Analysis for Friday: 1H Chart of the GBP/USD Pair The GBP/USD pair continued its downward movement on Friday but bounced back by the end of the day. As a reminder, the British pound has been falling for an entire month with no clear reason for the decline. On Friday, the European currency could theoretically drop on the EU inflation report, whereas the pound has no grounds for falling at all. There were no significant reports or events in either the UK or the US during the day. Therefore, it can be said that the illogical decline of the pair continues. However, on the daily timeframe, the price reached the lower line of the sideways channel (1.3140) and has bee…
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Trade Analysis of Friday: 1H Chart of the EUR/USD Pair The EUR/USD currency pair continued its downward movement on Friday for somewhat dubious reasons. On the last trading day of the week, the only event that might have interested novice traders was the Eurozone inflation report. Recall that inflation reports in the EU are released in two estimates, with the first being the most important. On Friday, the first estimate for October was released, showing a year-on-year rate of 2.1%, in line with analysts' forecasts. Thus, there was essentially nothing to react to, and there were no grounds for the euro to fall again. Setting aside the comparison of forecast versus re…
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XRP price started a fresh decline from $2.550. The price is now showing bearish signs and is at risk of another decline in the near term. XRP price failed to continue higher above $2.550 and corrected some gains. The price is now trading below $2.50 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $2.580 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could start a fresh increase if it stays above $2.410. XRP Price Dips Again XRP price formed a short-term top near $2.550 and started a downside correction, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price dipped below the $2.520 and $2.50 levels. There wa…
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Ethereum price started a fresh decline below $3,850. ETH is moving lower below $3,800 and might decline further if it trades below $3,680. Ethereum started another bearish wave after it failed to clear $3,920. The price is trading below $3,800 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There was a break below a rising channel with support at $3,840 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could continue to move down if it trades below $3,680. Ethereum Price Dips Again Ethereum price failed to stay in a positive zone and started a fresh decline, like Bitcoin. ETH price declined below $3,880 and $3,850 to enter a bearish zone. There was a clear mov…
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Bitcoin price is again declining below $110,000. BTC could continue to move down if it stays below the $110,000 resistance. Bitcoin started a fresh decline below the $109,500 support. The price is trading below $109,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $109,800 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might continue to move down if it trades below the $107,400 zone. Bitcoin Price Faces Rejection Bitcoin price failed to stay above the $110,500 pivot level and started a fresh decline. BTC dipped below $110,000 and $109,500 to enter a bearish zone. The decline was such that…
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The GBP/USD currency pair traded lower on Friday, continuing its downward trajectory throughout the past trading week, as the market seized any opportunity to sell the pound and buy dollars. We still believe that the nature of the current decline in the pair is purely technical; market manipulation may be occurring, and the fundamental and macroeconomic background has little relevance to the current strengthening of the US dollar. On Friday, there were no news releases in either the US or the UK, yet sell-offs continued in the first half of the day. Having analyzed the nature of the current movement, several important points should be highlighted. Unfortunately, there is …
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The EUR/USD currency pair continued to trade lower throughout Friday. Did this surprise anyone? Among the interesting events on the last trading day of the previous week, only the Eurozone's first October inflation estimate, which unexpectedly came in at 2.1%, is noteworthy. The previous month recorded a value of 2.2%, and most traders expected a year-on-year decline to 2.1%. Thus, this was precisely one of those cases where expectations completely aligned with reality. Consequently, there was nothing for traders to react to. However, after this report, the European currency once again plummeted, even though this report changes absolutely nothing. It should be understood …
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Analysis of GBP/USD 5M The GBP/USD currency pair avoided a new decline on Friday, though in the first half of the day, it was poised to extend its decline. There were no significant news events in the UK or the US throughout the day, so the market sold the British pound again on technical grounds. However, while the European currency is sufficiently distant from the lower boundary of its flat on the daily timeframe, the British pound has approached it closely, having tested it three times. Thus, the GBP/USD pair may transition to a rise supported by macroeconomic and fundamental backgrounds. We recall that throughout October, we observed movements that were completely…
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Analysis of EUR/USD 5M The EUR/USD currency pair continued its downward movement on Friday after breaking through another ascending trendline. As mentioned, there is an ongoing flat trend on the daily timeframe, so the current decline is technical within the global sideways channel. On Friday, the Eurozone published its October inflation report, which triggered another decline in the European currency. From our perspective, this report is merely another excuse for selling the euro, which the market has actively taken advantage of recently. Formally, since inflation has decreased, the European Central Bank has taken one small step closer to easing monetary policy. The …
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A new BBC report states that Andrew Mountbatten Windsor, formerly Prince Andrew, arranged a private tour of Buckingham Palace for two cryptocurrency businessmen linked to a £1.4 million agreement involving his ex-wife, Sarah Ferguson. The visit took place in June 2019. The guests were executives from Pegasus Group Holdings, a crypto-mining company that had offered Ferguson up to £1.4M through a commercial deal. That same year, Pegasus publicly named Ferguson as a brand ambassador. The firm asked her to promote an off-grid data center project in Arizona, known as “The Hive,” which was pitched as a renewable energy venture. The tour and networking event have resurfaced …
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On Sunday, November 2, tech billionaire Elon Musk renewed his warning about America’s fiscal outlook. He said the federal debt has grown so large that it can’t be fixed without a major jump in productivity. “If AI and robots don’t solve our national debt, we’re toast,” Elon Musk warned, raising fresh concern that US finances are heading toward a breaking point. His comment resurfaced in new coverage of a recent podcast appearance, at a time when the national debt exceeds $38 trillion and interest costs remain high. It climbed from $37Tn in August to $38Tn by October 22, marking the fastest $1Tn increase outside the pandemic period, and coming during an ongoing federal…
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Among the world’s most valuable precious metals, rhodium often remains overlooked. Yet for investors who appreciate scarcity, intrinsic value, and diversification, rhodium offers an intriguing case. If you are considering adding rhodium or other hard assets to your retirement strategy, this guide explains what makes this rare metal unique and how it compares to more established physical precious metals like gold, silver, platinum, and palladium. What Is Rhodium? Rhodium is a rare silver-white metal known for its corrosion resistance, reflective surface, and exceptional durability. It belongs to the platinum group metals, which also includes platinum, palladium, ruthenium,…
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For the first time in the last three weeks, the euro-dollar pair closed Friday's trading below the 1.1560 target, exiting the established price range of 1.1560–1.1730. Now the main intrigue lies in the simple question: will the price hold below this support level, or will it return to its previous levels? Throughout October, sellers of EUR/USD repeatedly tested the lower boundary of the aforementioned price range, declining towards the base of the 15 figure. However, each time the southern momentum faded, and buyers regained control of the pair. Last week, the dollar strengthened mainly due to the Federal Reserve's cautious stance on the pace of further rate cuts. It …
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The American currency remains a main paradox in the currency market. Whereas its movements from January to June raised no questions, given the news background, many questions have arisen in September and October. First, the corrective structure, which was supposed to be simple and clear, unexpectedly began to complicate and take on a very elongated appearance without any clear reason. Second, the demand for the US dollar is rising (as we examined in the previous two reviews), for which there is no basis at all. As a result, the wave analysis is becoming more complex, and many market participants do not understand what is happening. There will be several important events i…
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The British currency cannot boast of more attractive movements or a more accurate wave analysis. Essentially, everything happening with the euro currency is also occurring with the British pound sterling. Demand for it is decreasing just like for the euro, and the news background is interpreted by market participants only in favor of the dollar. Thus, we will have to work with such movements and this wave analysis. The wave analysis of the pound again indicates the completion of the current wave set. The current corrective five-wave structure has taken a convincing form and belongs to wave c, a component of the presumed wave 4. Even if the current wave analysis is incorre…
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