Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
11713 tópicos neste fórum
-
The British pound did not react at all to data from the British Retail Consortium, which showed that even Black Friday discounts were unable to prevent a slowdown in retail sales in the United Kingdom. The report stated that total retail sales in November rose by only 1.4% year-on-year, below the 12-month average and the weakest figure since May. High sales of household and computer equipment were insufficient to offset weak demand for clothing and footwear. "Budget anxiety among shoppers meant that the Black Friday month did not deliver the results retailers had hoped for — or those the economy needed," the British Retail Consortium said. Helen Dickinson, Chief Executiv…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Coinbase just opened spot trading for Plume Crypto and Jupiter coin on December 9, giving both assets direct access to one of the world’s largest regulated exchanges. Trading for PLUME-USD and JUPITER-USD went live after 9 AM PT once liquidity thresholds are met. Risk asset bros, we are so BACK. Institutions will also receive full support through Coinbase Exchange, widening the distribution network at a moment when risk appetite is shifting across the crypto market. DISCOVER: Top 20 Crypto to Buy in 2025 Why Is Coinbase Listing Plume Crypto and Jupiter Now? (Source: CoinGecko) Plume enters Coinbase as a full-stack blockchain built for real-world assets. Have we heard …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The market appears cautious today, with total capitalization close to $3.2 trillion as the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) begins its two-day meeting. .cwp-coin-chart svg path { stroke-width: 0.65 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-graph-container.positive svg path:nth-of-type(2) { stroke: #008868 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-trend.positive { color: #008868 !important; background-color: transparent !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-popup-holder .cwp-coin-trend.positive { border: 1px solid #008868; border-radius: 3px; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-trend.positive::before { border-botto…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Kevin Hassett, Director of the White House National Economic Council — and possibly the future new Chair of the Federal Reserve — said yesterday that it would be irresponsible for the regulator to devise a plan outlining what interest rates will be over the next six months, emphasizing the importance of monitoring economic data. "The Fed Chair's job is to follow the data, interpret it, and explain why they are doing what they are doing," Hassett said on Monday. "And so to say: I am going to do this over the next six months would be really irresponsible." Hassett's statement came amid growing uncertainty about the trajectory of the U.S. economy. Inflation remains elevated,…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Glassnode’s senior researcher has pointed out how Bitcoin perpetual futures market is looking like a “ghost town,” with Open Interest continuing to be at muted levels. Bitcoin Futures Open Interest Has Remained Low Since October Reset In a new post on X, Glassnode senior researcher CryptoVizArt.₿ has talked about the recent trend in the Bitcoin Open Interest for the perpetual futures market. The “Open Interest” refers to an indicator that measures the total amount of positions related to the asset that are currently open on all centralized derivatives platforms. When the value of the metric rises, it means the investors are opening new positions related to the asset. G…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The American dollar experienced a modest gain yesterday against a range of risky assets. This movement was attributed to data from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, which indicated that consumer inflation expectations in the US remained stable in November, while perceptions regarding job prospects improved. In the monthly Consumer Expectations Survey conducted by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, the expected inflation rate for the coming year remained virtually unchanged at 3.2%. Meanwhile, the expected inflation rate for three and five years ahead held steady at 3%. The perceived probability of job loss decreased to 13.8%, representing the lowest figure of the …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
My wife left me because I couldn’t stop buying at this Cardano price…but she won’t be sneering when ADA USD goes to $18-$20. Right, anon? Right?! When I told my financial advisor this, he said, “Based anon, never give up on your dreams or whatever you call that.” So, anyway, why has the .cwp-coin-chart svg path { stroke-width: 0.65 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-graph-container.positive svg path:nth-of-type(2) { stroke: #008868 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-trend.positive { color: #008868 !important; background-color: transparent !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-popup-holder .cwp-coin-trend.positive…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Markets are almost certain that the Federal Reserve will lower the key interest rate by 25 basis points at its upcoming meeting on Wednesday, but when it comes to the Fed's agenda for interest rates, the future is unclear. Just a week ago, three rate cuts were expected in 2026. As of Monday morning, futures are pricing in only two rate cuts in April and September. It seems that Fed Chair Jerome Powell has yielded to pressure for a December rate cut, but will oppose further monetary easing until the end of his term. One thing is certain—inflation expectations are decreasing, and even the hawks in the FOMC must take this into account. Consequently, further rate cuts will f…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trend Analysis (Fig. 1) On Tuesday, from the level of 1.3317 (yesterday's daily candle close), the market may begin moving upward toward the target of 1.3367 — the 50% retracement level (blue dashed line). When testing this level, the price may possibly start moving downward toward 1.3345 — the upper fractal (daily candle of December 8, 2025). Fig. 1 (Daily Chart) Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis — upwardVolume — upwardCandlestick analysis — upwardTrend analysis — upwardBollinger Bands — upwardWeekly chart — upwardOverall conclusion: upward trend. Alternative scenario: From the level of 1.3317 (yesterday's daily candle close), the price may begin moving upwar…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trend Analysis (Fig. 1) On Tuesday, the market, from the level of 1.1636 (yesterday's daily candle close), may begin moving upward toward the target of 1.1672 — the upper fractal (daily candle of December 8, 2025). When testing this level, the price may possibly pull back downward to test the 50% retracement level at 1.1655 (blue dashed line). Fig. 1 (Daily Chart) Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis — upwardVolume — upwardCandlestick analysis — upwardTrend analysis — upwardBollinger Bands — upwardWeekly chart — upwardOverall conclusion: upward trend. Alternative scenario: From the level of 1.1636 (yesterday's daily candle close), the price may begin moving upwar…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Twenty One Capital, a major player in the Bitcoin (BTC) treasury sector founded by Jack Mallers, is on the verge of going public in the United States. However, ahead of its highly anticipated debut on December 9, the company has moved a substantial sum of 43,500 BTC—approximately worth $4.5 billion—into an escrow wallet. This move has sparked market concerns about a potential sell-off, which could create major selling pressure for the leading cryptocurrency as it attempts to consolidate above the key $90,000 support level. $1.5 Billion Loss In Bitcoin Investments Experts on the social media platform X (formerly Twitter), such as OxNobler, have pointed out that the co…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Whisper storming around Washington has pushed crypto market structure bill, or CMSB, discussions back into the space, and we can say that the timing couldn’t be more interesting. Democrats reportedly met privately to review Republicans’ compromise draft, just as we brace for a potential rate cut and renewed optimism from the latest Saylor and his Bitcoin buys. This shift is showing up elsewhere, too. The SEC is now actually talking to industry players instead of treating them like suspects. Also, global adoption of tokenized products keeps accelerating. ONDO’s acquisition of Oasis Pro Markets didn’t make huge headlines, but it’s the sort of infrastructure move that …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Asia Market Wrap - Nikkei Recovers, Broader Challenges Remain Most Read: FOMC Meeting Preview: How the FOMC's December Dot Plot Will Affect the US Dollar (DXY) The Nikkei index finished higher on Tuesday, overcoming an initial slump thanks to strong gains from chip-related companies. Three of the five biggest contributors to the index's rise were semiconductor firms, with the chip-making tool maker Tokyo Electron leading the way, following a positive performance by their US counterparts overnight. The Nikkei index ultimately added 0.1% to close the day slightly higher, while the broader Topix index ended flat. Japanese stocks started the day cautiously because investor…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin is regaining strength after the November sell-off, but it is still too early to talk about a reversal of the bear market. Many experts predict the onset of a cryptocurrency winter, which could keep BTC trading in the $80,000 – $100,000 range for a considerable time. However, fundamental factors such as central banks' monetary policy easing and declining inflation could positively affect risk assets, including Bitcoin. Institutional investors, who were the driving force behind growth in 2024-2025, are currently being cautious and are not rushing to increase their positions in cryptocurrency. At the same time, there are positive signals, as purchases from large and…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
After weeks of speculation, BlackRock, the world’s largest asset manager, has officially filed for a staked Ethereum (ETH) Exchange-Traded Fund (ETF) with the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). Amid the bullish news, the King of Altcoins’ price is attempting to break out of a two-month resistance, which could set the stage for a retest of higher levels. BlackRock Files For Staked Ethereum ETF BlackRock has submitted an S-1 form with the US SEC to get approval for its iShares Ethereum Staking Trust (ETHB), which “seeks to reflect generally the performance of the price of ether and rewards from staking a portion of the Trust’s ether, to the extent the Sponsor in…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The XRP price narrative is heating up again as markets brace for the pivotal FOMC meeting on December 9-10, 2025. With crypto trading sideways during a tense macro reset, many analysts believe XRP could be one of the biggest beneficiaries if the Federal Reserve confirms a dovish shift. After years of quantitative tightening, shrinking liquidity, and rising volatility in risk assets, traders are now watching for signs of renewed quantitative easing. Such an event could ignite a powerful, liquidity-driven rally across the crypto market, and XRP, as one of the top-standing cryptos, would benefit massively. With its ETF approval a month ago, regulatory momentum, and a techni…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Yesterday, stock indices closed lower. The S&P 500 fell by 0.35%, while the Nasdaq 100 decreased by 0.14%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped by 0.45%. Global indices are range-bound as Treasury yields rise again, with traders increasingly concerned about the pace of monetary easing by the Federal Reserve. Uncertainty regarding the Fed's future actions is fueling nervousness in the market. Investors, frustrated by the lack of key economic data, are trying to guess how quickly the regulator will continue to lower interest rates next year and how aggressive this process will be. Weak macroeconomic indicators could increase pressure on the Fed, prompting it to act…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
No one is ready to take risks. Investors opted to lock in profits ahead of the FOMC meeting, causing the S&P 500 to step back and move away from record highs. The US central bank is expected to lower the federal funds rate by 25 basis points to 3.75%. However, to placate opponents of this decision, Jerome Powell is likely to adopt a hawkish tone. Signals indicating a pause in the monetary expansion cycle could lead to a correction in the broad stock index. The S&P 500 has gotten back into the game after declining in late October to early November, thanks to expectations for easing monetary policy from the Fed in December, which have alleviated fears about a tech …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Analysis of Trades and Trading Tips for the Japanese YenThe price test at 155.73 coincided with the MACD indicator just beginning to move upward from the zero mark, confirming the correct entry point for buying the dollar. As a result, the pair rose by more than 25 pips. The dollar continues to regain ground against the Japanese yen, and there are currently no particularly aggressive sellers, even though conditions should be favorable for yen buyers. Apparently, traders have decided to pause ahead of the central bank outcomes from these countries. Today's data showing a decline in machinery orders in Japan somewhat weakened the yen against the dollar. However, the pair's …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Analysis of Trades and Trading Tips for the British PoundThe first test of the price at 1.3309 occurred when the MACD indicator had moved significantly down from the zero mark, which limited the pair's downward potential. For this reason, I did not sell the pound. The second test at 1.3309 coincided with the MACD being in the oversold area, allowing for the implementation of Scenario 2 to buy the pound. As a result, the pair rose by 20 pips. The British pound has corrected somewhat; however, it still has room to grow. In the UK, despite some signs of stabilization, inflation remains at a high level, putting pressure on the Bank of England. The central bank is forced to ma…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Analysis of Trades and Trading Tips for the Euro CurrencyThe price test at 1.1646 coincided with the MACD indicator just beginning to move down from the zero line, confirming the correct entry point for selling the euro. As a result, the pair fell by nearly 30 pips. Yesterday, the dollar briefly strengthened against the euro, but it did not prompt any significant technical changes in the market. No one seems to be seriously intervening in the market ahead of the Federal Reserve meeting starting today. The outcomes will be published tomorrow evening. Any signs of further policy easing will hurt the U.S. dollar, so serious purchases are not currently on anyone's mind. Today…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin has failed to hold above $92,000 and has retraced to below $90,000. Ethereum is also facing some challenges in sustaining its upward momentum. However, looking at the technical picture over the past few weeks, the odds are still in favor of buyers, and the chances of a new wave of growth after the Federal Reserve meeting are quite high. In a recent report by Glassnode, the Trend Score indicator suggests strong buying of BTC among nearly all types of investors, from whales to smaller retail traders. This is often observed before a market reversal, although not always. Additionally, a recent Santiment report noted that after heavy selling in November, whales have f…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
As Bitcoin (BTC) experienced significant volatility throughout the year, reaching new all-time highs (ATHs) before enduring sharp corrections of up to 30%, the cryptocurrency community has become increasingly polarized regarding its future direction. Many analysts are raising concerns about a potential bear market emerging in 2026; however, market expert Shanaka Anslem has offered a different perspective on social media platform X (formerly Twitter), questioning whether 2025 has already represented the real bear market. A Sign Of Cycle Change In his analysis, Anslem highlights key evidence. For the first time in history, Bitcoin breached its all-time high prior to the …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The U.S. dollar slightly strengthened against the euro, the pound, and other risk assets; however, this did not prompt any significant technical changes in the market. The temporary strengthening of the dollar against the euro yesterday in the afternoon can hardly be linked to anything specific. The changes against the pound were even less noticeable. It is evident that the market is waiting for signals from the Federal Reserve on future monetary policy. Traders are also closely monitoring macroeconomic indicators in an attempt to predict how dovish the Fed will be in the near future. Today, in the first half of the day, data on Germany's trade balance is expected, along …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin’s on-chain activity has shown a sharp slowdown since spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) launched. While institutional inflows into these products have accelerated, the number of active BTC addresses has declined. As Wall Street embraces BTC exposure, the network’s grassroots participation appears to be undergoing a significant transformation. In an X post, the CEO of SwanDesk, financial analyst Jacob King, pointed out that Bitcoin active addresses have been in a steady decline since the US spot BTC ETFs launched in January 2024, and the irony is obvious. Why Retail Participation Shows Signs Of Fatigue For years, BTC maximalists have pushed for Wall Stree…
Last reply by Ben Graham,
