Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12188 tópicos neste fórum
-
Overview: After extending this week's rally yesterday, the US dollar is consolidating yesterday's gains in what appears to be favorable price action. The pullback from greenback's best level has been shallow. The US struck several trade deals this week, and secured a trade truce with China, even if many are skeptical of its longevity, and the Federal Reserve pushed against a December cut, and the futures market has reduced the odds to about 2/3 from near certainty. Emerging market currencies are mixed, but this week's highlights include the PBOC setting the dollar's fix at a new low since October on Wednesday before steadying it in the last two sessions and the (3.6%) rec…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
What gives XRP its value? In an exchange on X, Ripple CTO David Schwartz – known as “JoelKatz” – tried to answer that question without pretending crypto already behaves like traditional assets. He didn’t lean on marketing language about instant settlement or global payments. He talked about power, control, censorship, incentive design, and speculation. How Does XRP Get Its Value? First, Schwartz reframed what XRP is actually for. He argued that the XRP Ledger is built for people and institutions that don’t want an intermediary sitting in the middle of their transactions. He put it in blunt terms: “Do you want to use a blockchain where people can be their own bank and no …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
For the first time in more than a century, America is about to go dark on its inflation stat. With Bureau of Labor Statistics staff furloughed due to the shutdown, there will be no Consumer Price Index and no official measure of the cost of living, nor a baseline for the markets. What the hell? So the CPI report under Trump will be just smoke and mirrors? This comes at a time when many are arguing that CPI is rigged in the US, like in Banana republics. (Source: X) Anyone who pays household bills can see the cost inflation in real time, and it’s much more than 3%. Economists and traders are now navigating blind, improvising where the world’s most-watched inflation gauge…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
While Bitcoin continues to experience volatility and turbulence — which is beneficial for day traders — Standard Chartered Bank forecasts that the market capitalization of tokenized real-world assets (RWAs), excluding stablecoins, is expected to surge to $2 trillion by 2028, up from approximately $35 billion today. "Stablecoins have laid the groundwork by increasing awareness, liquidity, and credit availability on the blockchain for other asset classes, from tokenized money market funds (MMFs) and cash funds to tokenized stocks," stated the report from Standard Chartered. This projection paints a picture of a rapidly evolving financial landscape where digital assets ar…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
On Thursday, the EUR/USD pair rebounded from the 61.8% Fibonacci level at 1.1594, showed a brief upward movement, and then fell sharply, closing below 1.1594. Thus, today the decline in quotes may continue toward the next 76.4% corrective level at 1.1517. A consolidation above 1.1594 would allow traders to expect some growth of the euro toward the resistance level of 1.1645–1.1656. The wave structure on the hourly chart remains simple and clear. The last completed upward wave failed to break the previous peak, while the last downward wave broke the prior low. Thus, the trend has once again turned bearish. Bullish traders once more failed to take advantage of opportunit…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Today, the EUR/JPY pair is attracting buying interest on the decline near 177.85, pausing its modest pullback from the record high reached the previous day. Initially, after the release of higher consumer inflation data from Tokyo, Japan's capital, the Japanese yen strengthened slightly, as the data confirmed the need for the Bank of Japan to continue tightening monetary policy. However, this initial reaction quickly faded, as investors remain uncertain about the timing of the BOJ's next potential rate hike—particularly amid rumors that the country's new Prime Minister, Sanae Takaichi, intends to focus on large-scale fiscal spending and refrain from further monetary tight…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
On the hourly chart, the GBP/USD pair on Thursday made a new reversal in favor of the U.S. dollar, falling into the support level of 1.3110–1.3139. A rebound of quotes from this zone would allow for a potential reversal in favor of the pound and some growth toward the 1.3186 and 1.3247 levels. A consolidation of the pair's rate below the 161.8% Fibonacci corrective level at 1.3110 would increase the likelihood of continued decline toward the next 200.0% Fibonacci level at 1.3024. The wave structure remains bearish. The last completed upward wave broke the previous high, and the most recent downward wave broke the previous low. In recent weeks, the news background has b…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
It is the end of an era. .cwp-coin-chart svg path { stroke-width: 0.65 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-graph-container.positive svg path:nth-of-type(2) { stroke: #008868 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-trend.positive { color: #008868 !important; background-color: transparent !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-popup-holder .cwp-coin-trend.positive { border: 1px solid #008868; border-radius: 3px; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-trend.positive::before { border-bottom: 4px solid #008868 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-price-holder .cwp-coin-trend-holder .cwp-trend { backgr…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Key takeaways Nasdaq 100 uptrend intact: Despite a 1.5% pullback led by Meta on rising AI capex, the index remains supported above key short-term levels of 25,745–25,800.Treasury volatility supports equities: Compressed U.S. Treasury volatility, reflected in the MOVE Index, continues to reinforce risk-on sentiment and short-term equity momentum.Tech earnings drive futures rebound: Strong after-hours results from Apple and Amazon lifted Nasdaq futures, while technical signals, including an hourly RSI breakout, point to continued short-term upside. The US stock market retreated for a second straight session on Thursday, 30 October 2025, led by the Nasdaq 100’s 1.5% d…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
We introduce you to the daily updated section of Forex analytics where you will find reviews from forex experts, up-to-date monitoring of financial information as well as online forecasts of exchange rates of the US dollar, euro, ruble, bitcoin, and other currencies for today, tomorrow and this trading week.Useful links: My other articles are available in this section InstaForex course for beginners Popular Analytics Open trading account Important: The begginers in forex trading need to be very careful when making decisions about entering the market. Before the release of important reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid being caught in sharp market fluctu…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The Shiba Inu open interest has been one of the worst-performing among the top cryptocurrencies by market cap in the year 2025. While there has been a general increase in open interest across the likes of Bitcoin and Ethereum, pulling the market up with them, Shiba Inu has not followed this trajectory. Instead, the meme coin’s open interest has crashed significantly, making new 2025 lows in the process. Shiba Inu Open Interest Crashes Below $100 Million At the start of the year, on January 16, 2025, the Shiba Inu open interest had hit a new all-time high above $519 million despite the SHIB price action remaining relatively muted. It wasn’t long until the open interest be…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trend Analysis (Fig. 1)On Friday, the market may continue moving downward from the 1.3150 level (the closing price of yesterday's daily candle) toward the 1.3115 target — the lower fractal (daily candle from October 30, 2025). Upon testing this level, a pullback movement upward toward 1.3148 is possible — a historical resistance level (blue dotted line). Fig. 1 (Daily Chart) Comprehensive Analysis:Indicator analysis – downwardFibonacci levels – downwardVolumes – downwardCandlestick analysis – downwardTrend analysis – downwardBollinger Bands – downwardWeekly chart – upwardOverall conclusion: Downward trend. Alternative scenario:From the 1.3150 level (the closing price o…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trend Analysis (Fig. 1)On Friday, the market may continue moving downward from the 1.1569 level (the closing price of yesterday's daily candle) toward the 1.1542 target — the lower fractal (yellow dotted line). Upon testing this level, a pullback movement upward toward 1.1556 is possible — a historical resistance level (blue dotted line). Fig. 1 (Daily Chart) Comprehensive Analysis:Indicator analysis – downwardFibonacci levels – downwardVolumes – downwardCandlestick analysis – downwardTrend analysis – downwardBollinger Bands – downwardWeekly chart – upwardOverall conclusion: Downward trend. Alternative scenario:Today, from the 1.1569 level (closing price of yesterday's…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The Japanese yen continues to lose ground against the U.S. dollar, having already reached an eight-month low. During her speech today, Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama stated that the Japanese government is closely monitoring the yen's exchange rate, issuing its first clear warning about currency fluctuations since she took office. "Recently, we have seen very one-sided and rapid movements in exchange rates," Katayama told reporters on Friday. "The government is closely watching for excessive or disorderly movements in the currency market, including those driven by speculative actions, and considers this extremely important," she said. She added that it is important for…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
At a landmark summit held yesterday, Donald Trump and Xi Jinping agreed to extend the tariff truce, ease export controls, and reduce other trade barriers — moves that could potentially stabilize relations between the world's two largest economies after months of turmoil. This long-awaited news brought a wave of relief to global financial markets. Investors, weary of the constant uncertainty caused by the trade war, saw the agreement as a signal of easing tensions and a return to economic cooperation. Currency markets responded with a rise in the U.S. dollar. However, despite the prevailing optimism, analysts are warning of the need to remain vigilant. During their first …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Yesterday, US stock indices ended lower. The S&P 500 decreased by 0.99%, the Nasdaq 100 fell by 1.57%, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped by 0.93%. During today's trading, futures for US stock indices rose following strong earnings reports from Amazon.com Inc. and Apple Inc., lifting market sentiment after yesterday's correction. Investors appear to have brushed aside concerns about inflation and the Fed's hawkish policy, focusing instead on the robust performance of major tech companies. Both Amazon and Apple's earnings exceeded expectations, demonstrating resilience in consumer demand and operational efficiency amid a challenging macroeconomic environmen…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Invest or lose. Companies are ramping up expenditures at a record pace in the race to create AGI, artificial intelligence systems that are smarter than humans. Over the past year, combined spending by Alphabet, Meta Platforms, and Microsoft on AI has increased by $78 billion. It is understandable why technology giants are pushing ahead. After all, falling behind in the race means defeat. However, doubts among investors about whether spending will ever pay off have led them to lock in profits, resulting in a pullback in the S&P 500. Dynamics of technology giants' spending on AI Skeptics point to the limited number of paid subscriptions and the lengthy time required …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The Bank of Japan, as expected, made no changes to its monetary policy during the meeting that concluded on October 30, and the yen weakened against the dollar. The explanations for this indecision were the same as before – uncertainty in the US economy due to a lack of data from the shutdown, as well as the complexities of wage negotiation assessments. All of this has long been factored into the markets, and the real reason for the pause in rate hikes, especially against the backdrop of a noticeable rise in inflation in October, appears to be more complex. Bank of Japan Governor Ueda needs more time to align monetary policy with the position of the Takahichi government, …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin momentarily dropped and was trading at $106,300, while Ethereum fell below $3,700. However, during today's Asian trading session, the declines were bought up. Before we discuss the technical picture and trading plans, it's worth noting that on October 31, but back in 2008, Satoshi Nakamoto released the BTC White Paper, which, although not immediately, completely transformed the digital finance industry. This modest-looking document laid the foundations for a decentralized system, independent of traditional financial institutions and government control. It became the spark that ignited the entire flame of the crypto revolution. Today, 17 years later, we see the fr…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
dYdX (DYDX), one of the leading decentralized cryptocurrency trading platforms in the industry, is reportedly preparing to enter the US market by the end of the year, following the recent shift in crypto policies by the Trump administration. dYdX Expands Amid Supportive Legislation In an interview with Reuters, Eddie Zhang, the president of dYdX, emphasized the importance of this move, stating that having a presence in the United States aligns with the platform’s future direction. Unlike centralized exchanges such as Coinbase (COIN) and Kraken, which act as intermediaries between buyers and sellers, dYdX aims to eliminate the middleman, allowing users to transact dire…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Analysis of Deals and Trading Tips for the Japanese YenThe price test at 154.02 came at a time when the MACD indicator had moved significantly above the zero mark, limiting the pair's upside potential. For this reason, I did not buy the dollar and missed another upward movement of the pair. The Japanese yen reached an 8-month low after the Bank of Japan's decision yesterday to keep interest rates unchanged, which is already causing concern among several politicians. Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama stated today that the Japanese government is closely monitoring the yen's exchange rate, marking its first clear warning regarding currency fluctuations since she took office.…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Analysis of Deals and Trading Tips for the British PoundThe price test at 1.3179 occurred when the MACD indicator had moved significantly below the zero mark, limiting the downside potential of the pair. For this reason, I did not sell the pound. The second test at 1.3179 coincided with the MACD being in the oversold area, leading to the implementation of Scenario #2 to buy the pound and realize losses, as the pair did not rise. Expectations of a more cautious stance from the US Federal Reserve regarding interest rates only increased demand for the US dollar. The British pound seemed unable to find support amid the rapid strengthening of the American currency. The decisio…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Analysis of Deals and Trading Tips for the EuroThe price test at 1.1612 came as the MACD indicator began to move down from the zero mark, confirming the correct entry point for selling euros, resulting in a drop of more than 60 pips in the pair. Among the key factors negatively impacting the euro, the US dollar's general strengthening stands out. After the conclusion of the trade agreement between the US and China, the American currency began to regain demand, even though European economic indicators yesterday were better than economists' forecasts, and the European Central Bank, unlike the US Federal Reserve, kept interest rates unchanged rather than lowering them. Today…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The US dollar has once again strengthened its position against the euro, pound, Japanese yen, and other risk assets. News that the Eurozone's gross domestic product (GDP) in the third quarter grew more than expected was simply ignored. It would seem that the European Central Bank's decision to keep interest rates unchanged should have been interpreted positively for euro buyers, but again, nothing happened. It is evident that the economic outlook for the Eurozone remains cloudy. Despite positive GDP data, many economists believe this is merely a temporary phenomenon. Inflation in the region, although it remains close to the ECB's target, is seeing weakening consumer dema…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Analysis of Macroeconomic Reports: A few macroeconomic reports are scheduled for Friday. Germany will release its retail sales report, while the Eurozone will release its inflation data. It's worth noting that yesterday, traders essentially ignored a much larger and more significant batch of reports from the European Union. Therefore, it is unlikely that these two reports today will provoke a strong market reaction. The euro and pound continue to be sold off for various reasons, which can still be attributed to the flat situation on the daily timeframe. Additionally, the consumer price index in the Eurozone currently has a very weak influence on the prospects for the…
Last reply by Ben Graham,
