Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12185 tópicos neste fórum
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An analyst has pointed out how a Dogecoin breakout could be coming, based on this technical pattern that the asset has followed over the years. Dogecoin Is Currently Inside Accumulation Zone Of Long-Term Channel In a new post on X, analyst Ali Martinez has talked about how Dogecoin is still in the accumulation phase of a technical analysis (TA) channel. The pattern in question is an “Ascending Channel,” a type of Parallel Channel. Parallel Channels form when the price of an asset travels between two parallel trendlines. There are a few different variations of the pattern, depending on how the trendlines are oriented with respect to the chart axes. The Ascending Channel…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Dogecoin has just celebrated its 12th anniversary, a milestone that arrives during a period of shaky price action. The meme coin has spent the majority of recent days trading with a bearish tone, but its anniversary places into perspective how much the crypto environment has changed since the token’s joke-related launch in 2013. The celebration comes as analysts continue to debate whether Dogecoin’s long accumulation structure is nearing a turning point, and its next breakout might define its 13th year. A Milestone That Shows How Far Dogecoin Has Come Dogecoin began as a lighthearted project by developer Billy Markus and Adobe sales employee Jackson Palmer in order to…
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Dogecoin is probing its most-contested price shelf of 2025, and two respected technicians— Cantonese Cat (@cantonmeow) and ANBESSA (@Anbessa100)—have reached the rare point where their short-term and high-time-frame road maps overlap almost perfectly. Dogecoin Just Hit Its Make-Or-Break Zone Cantonese Cat’s daily chart, published late on June 2, highlights a turquoise demand band stretching from $0.1850 to $0.1950. That ribbon has flipped roles repeatedly since February: first cushioning the price action in late-February, and then capping March and April’s rebounds. After last week’s four-day decline, three successive bodies have closed inside the rectangle while intra…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Technical analysis of Dogecoin’s price action shows that Dogecoin bulls are currently working hard to register a break above the $0.2 resistance price level. However, beyond the immediate battle at the $0.20 resistance, a broader technical perspective presents a far more interesting possibility of Dogecoin reaching new all-time highs very soon. Specifically, the technical analysis of Dogecoin’s monthly candlestick timeframe chart indicates that its price is currently in the formation of a rally between June and July 2025. Analyst Spots Recurring 3-Month Uptick, 5-Month Pullback Formation A technical analysis of Dogecoin’s monthly candlestick chart, first shared by cryp…
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Dogecoin was changing hands near $0.174 in European trading on Thursday, extending a two-day rebound that began when buyers twice defended the mid-June floor around $0.16. The 11% recovery since the Tuesday low has put the largest memecoin back on traders’ radars, but technical analyst More Crypto Online cautions that what looks like an impulsive burst is in fact “all corrective in nature,” with the market still trapped inside a complex diagonal wave pattern that could just as easily fail. Dogecoin Is Quietly Coiling For A Potential Breakout In a video update recorded on 2 June, the analyst dissected the one-hour chart and concluded that the advance from the 22 June low …
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What to Know: $DOGE holding at around $0.16 sets a momentum base; breakouts often rotate money into newer meme presales with fast buy paths and clear utilities. Maxi Doge’s presale is showing strong traction, with a price of nearly $0.0002665 and $3.9M raised. Live staking provides immediate utility, encouraging investors to hold rather than flip at the TGE. If Dogecoin’s momentum continues, Doge-adjacent memes like $MAXI could benefit from increased risk appetite. Dogecoin is flexing again, and this time, it’s holding its ground. Price action has tightened around a solid $0.16 base, forming the kind of setup meme-coin traders love before a potential breakout. Market…
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Dogecoin’s (DOGE) latest selloff has forced traders to confront a question that has followed the meme coin since its peak years. Is this another temporary washout, or a deeper reset in how the market values DOGE? Related Reading: XRP Hasn’t Entered A Bear Market Yet; Analyst Shares Why Over the past 24 hours, Dogecoin slipped sharply below levels that had held through weeks of consolidation, erasing a sense of stability that many participants had grown accustomed to. The move unfolded without a single defining catalyst, instead reflecting broader weakness across higher-beta crypto assets. At the same time, DOGE’s highly visible online presence has remained active, crea…
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A cryptocurrency analyst has revealed where the most significant Dogecoin support level is located, according to on-chain cost basis data. Dogecoin CBD Points To $0.08 As Strongest Support In a new post on X, analyst Ali Martinez has talked about how Dogecoin support is looking from the perspective of the Cost Basis Distribution (CBD). The CBD is an indicator created by on-chain analytics firm Glassnode that tells us about the amount of DOGE supply that was last purchased or transacted at the various price levels that the coin has visited in its history. Generally, investors are sensitive to retests of their cost basis and can be prone to showing some kind of reaction d…
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So, it turns out that the Kansas banker (Shan Hanes) who ripped off millions from his small-town bank in Kansas, lost much of his loot to a pig butchering crypto scam, tied to a Philippines call centre, according to a Department of Justice (DoJ) complaint. According to the complaint filed on 18 June 2025, the DoJ’s persecutors have initiated a civil forfeiture action targeting over $225 million in laundered USDT, tied to Shan Hanes, the disgraced CEO of the Heartland Tri-State Bank, embezzling over $47 million from the bank, triggering the collapse of the agricultural lender in 2023. A crypto exchange provided critical information to the DoJ, which led to the regulatory…
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In one of the largest crypto crackdowns to date, the U.S. Department of Justice has seized $225.3 million in digital assets linked to a network of shady investment scams. The operation targeted a growing wave of fraud known as “pig butchering,” where victims are lured into fake crypto investments through personal messaging and social media. This marks the biggest crypto seizure ever handled by the Secret Service. The DOJ confirmed that this case sets a new record for the largest digital asset seizure handled by the Secret Service. How the Scam Worked The fraud schemes used slick social engineering tactics. Victims were approached online, often through dating apps or mess…
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Hour by hour, the situation grows more complicated. First, Donald Trump was raising tariffs; now the current US president is cutting them. Seeking to slow inflation, the White House plans to reduce import duties on food products from several Latin American countries. How should the US dollar react? If it has been falling since Independence Day, why wouldn't the USD Index rise now? Yet another puzzle for investors, who already have plenty to worry about on the Forex market as autumn draws to a close. The key question is: why is the US dollar weakening when the odds of a federal funds rate cut in December are falling? Normally, the opposite happens. Such derivative signals…
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Overview: The dollar's latest leg down began with the President Trump's heightened attacks on the Federal Reserve's conduct of US monetary policy on June 23. That move may be over. Perhaps helped by stronger than expected data yesterday and the rise in US rates. US rates have edged up further today, and the greenback is firmer against the G10 currencies. In a firmer US dollar environment, the Canadian dollar typically outperforms on the crosses and today is no exception. The Canadian dollar is off marginally. On the other hand, the yen is the weakest, off around 0.50%. Trump's protest that Japan does not buy rice from the US seems factually confused, but the end of the hi…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Overview: The latest phase of the Israel-Iran conflict continues and the impact on the markets remains minimal. Oil prices are elevated, but private insurance seems to be slowing traffic in the Straits of Hormuz more than the direct results of a blockade that Tehran appeared to have threatened. After rejecting the G7 draft statement that urged restraint on both sides of the conflict, President Trump left the G7 meeting early and returned to Washington. On the sidelines of the meeting, the US and UK signed a trade deal though key details, like when the UK will not be subject to the steel tariff, were not announced. Separately, despite talks with Japan's Prime Minister Ish…
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Overview: It is not clear what happened yesterday, the first time US and Chinese leaders have spoken since the inauguration. The US readout suggests trade was only discussed and a deal on the rare earths was reached. China's readout included an expression of concern about US planned arms sales to Taiwan and the need for more talks to resolve the issue. The agreement in Geneva apparently covered bilateral actions and Beijing's export controls on several critical mineral and magnets are universal. Still, more talks have been planned even if not scheduled. Although the Trump-Musk break-up is as dramatic as one might expected, given the volatile personalities, the focus is o…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
(Commentary resumes with the weekly outlook on June 21) Overview: Yesterday's dollar buying seen in the North American afternoon appears to have exhausted the position-squaring adjustment amid speculation the US might enter more directly the hostilities with Iran and ahead of the outcome of the FOMC meeting. Follow-through buying to has been limited to a couple of G10 currencies, including the Swedish krona following the Riksbank's quarter-point cut and kept the door open to another reduction. The dollar's gains were also extended against the Swiss franc, whose central bank will likely bring its deposit rate to zero tomorrow. Emerging market currencies are more mixed. As…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Overview: The US dollar is mostly consolidating in quiet turnover against the G10 currencies to start the new week, which is widely expected to see the Federal Reserve cut interest rates for the third time. The Reserve Bank of Australia meets tomorrow and there is speculation that it may signal its next move is a hike. The Bank of Canada is on hold. The Swiss National Bank is reluctant to take its deposit rate, which is now at zero, back into negative territory. Emerging market currencies are mixed. Both the Mexican peso and Chinese yuan, which made new highs for the year last week, are consolidating at slightly lower levels. Of note, the Thai baht is the strongest among …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Overview: The US dollar is mostly consolidating today in quiet turnover. Among the G10 currencies, the dollar-bloc, which underperformed before the weekend, are firmer today, while the other G10 currencies are softer. The focus is not so much on data today but on the meeting in the White House with Ukraine's Zelensky and the European leaders to discuss the outcome of the President Trump's talk before the weekend with Putin. Apparently, Putin wants all of the Donbass territory, even the part he has not taken. Trump had threatened tough sanctions if a ceasefire was not agreed. There is no ceasefire and there have been no new sanctions announced. While Europe continues natur…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Overview: The reassessment of the outlook for next month's FOMC meeting, spurred by comments before the weekend by the NY Fed president has been sustained today but the impact on the dollar is not so clear. The greenback is mixed, with the European currencies, for the most part, doing better than the dollar bloc and Japanese yen. Still, broadly consolidative price action has been seen and the G10 currencies are +/- 0.25% against the US dollar in late European morning turnover. Emerging market currencies also are mixed with Asia Pacific currencies, mostly underperforming central European currencies. After missing in action before the weekend, the Reserve Bank of India appe…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Overview: There are two main drivers today. The outcome of Japan's LDP leadership contest means Japan will have its first woman prime minister, She espouses the traditional LDP policy mix of expansionary fiscal policy and advocates easy monetary policy. The yen was sent reeling as were Japanese bonds, where the 40-year yield surged 15 bp to around 3.55%. Japanese stocks jumped 3%-4%. The second development was the unexpected resignation of the French prime minister who was in office less than a month. French bonds and stocks have been sold, and the euro has been dragged lower. Despite the continued shutdown of the US federal government and no sign of an off-ramp, the gree…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Overview: An accelerated run on the US dollar continues. The euro, sterling, Australian and New Zealand dollars have risen to new highs. The greenback has dropped to new lows since 2015 against the Swiss franc. Japan's efforts to protect its rice farmers triggered the ire of President Trump. The "reciprocal tariffs," which could come back to the fore in a week, would be around 24% on Japan if no agreement is struck. While all the G10 currencies are firmer today, the yen leads with around a 0.75% gain. In addition to the trade disruption, a drag is coming from the decline in US rates. The 2- and 10-year yields are at new two-month lows. All but a few emerging market curren…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
No volatility — no problem. According to Bank of America, subdued US dollar trading has allowed investors to step away from the "Sell America" narrative. Ultimately, this has led to short-covering on the greenback and has helped the USD index stabilize. This can be attributed to a mix of divergent factors contributing to the formation of a medium-term consolidation range in EUR/USD. Over the last 60 trading days, the US dollar has remained within one standard deviation of its average 80% of the time. At the beginning of October, that figure stood at 88% — the highest level in over a decade. Share of USD traded within one standard deviation range (visual/chart reference …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Overview: After rallying in the second half of last week, the dollar spent the last two sessions consolidating at lower levels. It has come back bid today amid light news. The greenback is 0.25%-0.50% firmer against the G10 currencies. The exception is the Australian dollar, which is holding on to small gains, inspired by the firmer CPI reading and a downgrading of the chances of a cut by the central bank not only next week but the following meeting in November, as well. The US dollar also enjoys a firmer bias against emerging market currencies. Japan returned from yesterday's holiday, and despite last week's announcement that the BOJ will begin selling its equity ETF ho…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Global financial and technology markets have entered a phase of relative stability, yet beneath this calm surface lie forces that could significantly shape investor sentiment and asset performance in the months ahead. The volatility of the US dollar has dropped to lows not seen since before the 2024 elections, giving markets a brief respite. However, the Fed's dovish stance, the ongoing US government shutdown, and a pullback in precious metals all suggest that the global economy remains highly sensitive to monetary policy signals. Meanwhile, as traditional financial instruments settle down, the crypto market appears to be rebooting. Following a wave of liquidations, dig…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Some contradicting headlines are influencing the US Dollar in a battle of wits right ahead of quintessential inflation data. Markets have been unable to provide a clear answer on how the upcoming FOMC (September 17th) and its rate cut expectations will affect the future outlook for the Dollar. The thesis had been that despite negative news (Jerome Powell's change in tone at Jackson Hole or the recent Non-Farm Payrolls), traders have failed to sell the US Dollar convincingly, with the DXY doomed in sideways action. The freshly released downward revisioned BLS report (bearish for the USD) and the rising tensions in the Middle East with Israel-Hamas war taking another tur…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Overview: The US dollar's recovery accelerated today, and it has not deterred gold from surging through the $4000-mark in the spot market. With the US government still shut and no apparent negotiations to end it, greenback's gains seem to be a reflection of poor developments elsewhere. Following the LDP's leadership election over the past weekend, the yen has plunged more than 3.5% this week and the sell-off does not appear complete. Unexpectedly poor German data and the French political morass has sent the euro lower for the third consecutive session. It approached last month's low near $1.16. It reached a multi-year high on September 17, near $1.1920. There is some opti…
Last reply by Ben Graham,
