Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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Bitcoin has bounced back above $112,000 after slipping to $107,000 last week, its lowest mark since July. The rebound has stirred hope among traders, but analysts remain split on whether the current upswing can hold through September. September’s Track Record Under Scrutiny Historical data shows September hasn’t been kind to Bitcoin during post-halving years. In 2017, the coin ended the month with a close to 8% loss, while in 2021 the decline was 7%. Even further back, in 2013, Bitcoin dropped 1.60% in the same month. That pattern has led some experts to argue that a retest of key technical levels this year is nothing unusual. Benjamin Cowen, head of ITC Crypto, has r…
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This morning saw the release of many data points that are making markets feel a bit easier: ADP Employment (which has been proving its recent accuracy) hasn't missed by a large amount, Unit Labor costs haven't risen much, Claims are higher but by a small margin and the earlier JOLTS (job openings) data is still far from bad. Overall, this week's data is the perfect recipe for the Federal Reserve to adjust their rates at the upcoming meeting (Sep 17), which would help with their current stance. A cut in the middle of a still growing economy would have been perceived as further hurting the FED's independence ; The thing is, the labor market is indeed cooling (but not fall…
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Most Read: GBP/USD Forecast: Cable Recovers but the Outlook Remains Murky. WIll NFP Data Serve as a Catalyst? EUR/USD finally got the catalyst it needed to break the channel that price had been holding since the back end of July. August 22 and September 1 both saw EUR/USD attempt to break beyond the channel but the move was met with swift selling pressure. This led many to believe that a catalyst may be needed to inspire a breakout as the pair saw a lot of choppy price action over the last month. Jobs Report Weighs on the US Dollar Non farm payrolls rose only about 22k while economists guessed near 75k. There were about 29k upward revisions for the last two months, yet…
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Australia dominated the global ranking of best gold assays this year to June 30 with six holes in the top 10 and nine in the top 20 – but it was a Canadian miner that bested all rivals with a bonanza hit at midyear. Assays are ranked according to grade multiplied by width. Wesdome Gold Mines’ (TSX: WDO) drilling program at its Kiena property in Val-d’Or, Quebec, is starting to pay dividends – big time. Hole N127-7035 in the Kiena Deep zone cut 2.9 metres grading 2,349.88 grams gold per tonne from 76.6 metres depth, Wesdome said June 25. That was enough for a score of 6,815 and first place in The Northern Miner’s top 20 best gold assays this year’s first half. …
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New Found Gold (TSXV: NFG; NYSE-A: NFGC) is acquiring Maritime Resources (TSXV: MAE) in a deal valued at about C$292 million ($212 million) that would create a multi-asset gold producer in central Newfoundland. The combined company would bring together New Found’s Queensway project, due to start production in 2027, with Maritime’s Hammerdown project, which aims to begin output this year, the companies said Friday. The two projects, 180 km apart, are expected to benefit from shared infrastructure including Maritime’s Pine Cove mill and the Nugget Pond hydrometallurgical plant. The deal comes at nearly a one-third premium to Maritime’s recent share price and 56% mor…
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An early Ethereum whale just came back to life in a big way. After nearly a decade of silence, this wallet moved 150,000 ETH into staking. At today’s prices, that works out to roughly $645 million. The wallet originally received one million ETH during the 2015 ICO and had barely moved since. A Surprise Move After Years of Inactivity For years, this address sat untouched. Then suddenly, over the course of one day, it sent huge chunks of ETH across three different wallets and staked it all. This wasn’t a selloff or a quick exit. It was a clear bet on the future. It also sent a strong message to onlookers who still pay close attention to what early adopters are doing. …
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CryptoQuant analyst ‘caueconomy’ found that Bitcoin whales have dumped roughly $12.7B worth of $BTC over the past month. Shockingly, this marks the largest whale sell-offs since July 2022. These $BTC liquidations are anticipated to keep the #1 crypto’s price under pressure for longer – especially if they’re ongoing. Don’t want to sit in the dip while waiting for the market to perk back up? Then why not check out the best crypto presales? Bitcoin Whale Reserves Down 10K+ $BTC in One Month In a blog post on Friday, ‘caueconomy’ highlighted that holders are offloading $BTC more aggressively. So much so that the #1 crypto has reached its highest distribution levels this yea…
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Weak jobs report sparks market sell-offThe stock market reacted to the US employment report, which triggered a sell-off in the S&P 500 index. Weak labor data increased the likelihood of Federal Reserve rate cuts, but investors are concerned about declining corporate earnings. Analysts note that uncertainty in forecasts may heighten volatility in the coming weeks. Follow the link for more details. US indices close lower amid rate cut expectationsUS stock indices ended in negative territory, with the S&P 500 down 0.32%. Expectations of Fed rate cuts strengthened following the weak jobs report, supporting gains in Asian indices. Investors continue to closely m…
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This week is shaping up to be critical for the broader crypto market, marked by a prevailing sense of caution as prices consolidate ahead of their next direction. According to market analysis firm Bull Theory, the forthcoming Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is on the horizon, and its outcome will largely hinge on the economic data released this week. Stability Or Further Pressure For Crypto? The Federal Reserve (Fed) has two primary mandates: to maintain inflation around 2% and to support employment levels. Currently, the landscape appears challenging, with rising unemployment juxtaposed against persistent inflation. On September 9, the Bureau of Labor S…
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Real Vision analyst Jamie Coutts argues that the current bitcoin market is being driven less by the asset’s four-year issuance cadence and far more by a broadening tide of global liquidity that is only now beginning to roll. In a wide-ranging interview with “Crypto Kid,” Coutts laid out a cycle framework anchored in policy, bank credit, and balance-sheet dynamics, while cautioning that classic momentum warnings and a cooling of corporate-treasury buying warrant respect. Why This Bitcoin Cycle Is Different “From a first-principles basis, global liquidity…drives risk assets,” Coutts said, adding that when he regresses bitcoin against his preferred liquidity composite—built…
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Gold touched another record high on Tuesday as momentum continues to build for a US interest rate cut next week. Spot gold hit a new high of $3,673.49 per ounce, surpassing its previous record of $3,636.71 from just a day ago. By noon ET, it retreated to $3,646.64 an ounce, for an intraday gain of 0.3%. US gold futures followed a similar trajectory, rising to as high as $3,715.20 an ounce before pulling back to the $3,680 level. Click on chart for live prices. The move pushes gold’s year-to-date gains to nearly 40%. During 2025, the yellow metal set multiple records, driven by a soft dollar, strong central bank buying and heightened global uncertainty. S…
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Bitcoin yesterday once again climbed to the $113,200 level but quickly slipped back, indicating a lack of active buyers above this range. Apparently, many are hesitant to push higher and are taking a wait-and-see approach. This is also confirmed by Santiment data, which notes that sentiment among crypto traders has deteriorated significantly. The crowd is now expecting BTC to fall below $100,000, and ETH below $3,500. Such a shift in sentiment, however, is nothing unusual for the volatile world of cryptocurrencies. After a period of strong growth and optimism, correction and pessimism are usually inevitable. It's a kind of pendulum swinging between hope and fear, causing…
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Overview: The US dollar enjoys a firmer today ahead of the CPI and ECB meeting outcome. After falling to a new low for the year against the Chinese yuan earlier today, it has recovered and is higher on the day. The market is pricing in almost a 10% chance of a 50 bp cut next week, but a rise in the headline CPI, the fourth in a row, can see this re-assessed, which could help the greenback extend its recovery. There is little doubt about the outcome of the ECB meeting. It will stand pat while updating its macroeconomic forecasts. The dollar is enjoying a firmer tone against the emerging market currencies too. The new French prime minister is talking with the various parti…
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US core inflation rate August (YoY): +3.1% vs +3.1% expected, meets consensusUS core inflation rate August (MoM): +0.3% vs +0.3% expected, meets consensusUS non-core inflation rate August (YoY): +2.9% vs +2.9% expected, meets consensusUS non-core inflation rate August (MoM): +0.3% vs +0.4% expected, above consensus by +0.1%US Consumer Price Index Report (August 2025): Breaking: The US core inflation rises by 2.8% YoY in August, down 0.1% MoM. The report comes in lower than expectations, with markets predicting a higher rate of 3.5% YoY, and a monthly gain of +0.3%. Opinions are the authors'; not necessarily that of OANDA Business Information & Services…
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The US Federal Reserve prepares to announce its latest decision on interest rates. This highly anticipated event has the potential to act as a powerful catalyst for the Bitcoin market, with many analysts and investors speculating that a rate cut could trigger a significant breakout. How A Rate Cut Could Unleash The Next Bitcoin Bull Run The global financial community is entering a crucial week. According to a post on X by crypto commentator Thomas Lauder, in 7 days, the US Federal Reserve will decide whether to cut dollar interest rates, a move that could have far-reaching effects on both traditional finance and crypto markets. This rate cut could give a strong boost …
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Canadian miner Northern Graphite (TSXV: NGC) plans to raise up to C$2.2 million ($1.6 million) on the stock market as it builds on a recent federal lifeline extended to North America’s sole graphite mine. Up to 20 million common shares will be sold at C$0.11 apiece in a non-brokered private placement, Northern Graphite said Thursday in a statement. Net proceeds will be used to start a feasibility study on a planned battery anode material plant in Baie-Comeau, Quebec, and for working capital and corporate expenses. News of the offering comes less than a month after the federal government loaned Ottawa-based Northern Graphite money to boost the company’s main Lac de…
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In 1988, the silver bullion world changed because of Canada’s Royal Mint. After its success with the world’s first .9999 pure gold coin in 1982, the mint repeated this winning formula with the Silver Maple Leaf. Since then, competitors have followed suit with their own high-purity coins, but Canada remains the pioneer, constantly evolving their product with advanced features. Over four decades later, Silver Maple Leafs still dominate dealer inventories and investor portfolios worldwide. This article explains the specifications, authentication features, and investment advantages that keep Canada’s flagship silver coin at the top of the precious metals market. What Is a Si…
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In 1988, the silver bullion world changed because of Canada’s Royal Mint. After its success with the world’s first .9999 pure gold coin in 1982, the mint repeated this winning formula with the Silver Maple Leaf. Since then, competitors have followed suit with their own high-purity coins, but Canada remains the pioneer, constantly evolving their product with advanced features. Over four decades later, Silver Maple Leafs still dominate dealer inventories and investor portfolios worldwide. This article explains the specifications, authentication features, and investment advantages that keep Canada’s flagship silver coin at the top of the precious metals market. What Is a Si…
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Bitcoin’s current rebound off the $107,200 low has sparked renewed debate over whether the market has already set its local bottom and is positioned to rally higher.. Independent analyst Astronomer (@astronomer_zero) argues that the probability is “90%+” that the low has been planted, citing both price structure and his recurring “FOMC reversal confluence” framework as confirmation. Analyst Claims 90% Chance The Bitcoin Bottom Is In Astronomer, who publicly documented his short-term bearish call from $123,000 down to the $110,000–$111,000 zone, revealed that he flipped long as the target was reached in late August. “Alright, as if the confluences of my confidence in the …
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Happy Saturday! Big moves in crypto today as ETH USD has shot past $4,700, XRP is holding firm right around $3.15, and SOL is passing $240 mark again. The US stock market just hit new highs, and BTC ▲0.78% is hanging steady around $115,000. Ethereum lit up this week. ETH ▲4.69% pushed up about 3.5% and above $4,750 after drifting just under $4,300 for a while. Network activity picked up, ETF money started flowing in, and suddenly, momentum felt real. If this keeps up, ETH might challenge the 4,800 USD level soon or even blast above the current all-time high. Demand from users on Binance platforms has been steadily rising, pushing BNB up in a way that crypto didn’t…
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The fate of the British pound, like that of the euro, is mainly out of its own hands. Right now, almost everything on the market depends on how investors feel about the dollar—and in 2025, that sentiment is strongly negative. If this market mood persists through year-end, demand for the pound will only continue to grow. Notably, the current wave pattern has remained unchanged for a long time and still suggests a bullish segment is unfolding. The new week brings the Bank of England meeting, which should not be taken lightly. In recent meetings, what mattered most was the mood of the MPC Committee—rather than the specific decision made or not made. The BoE is almost certain…
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EUR/USD 5-Minute Analysis The EUR/USD currency pair showed ultra-low volatility on Friday. The day's macroeconomic backdrop was quite weak, and traders had already had plenty of diverse information over the week to keep the uptrend intact. The uptrend did persist, but traders were clearly in no hurry to buy more. There may be several reasons. First, traders may be waiting for the Fed meeting—though in our view, everything is already quite clear about that event. Second, the market may be uncertain about the continuation of the trade war, since the Supreme Court could block Trump's tariffs. Third, the market is watching for new Trump moves regarding FOMC members, since…
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On the daily chart, the British pound has consolidated above the MACD line. With the Marlin oscillator developing in the positive zone, the target at 1.3631 becomes relevant. However, this outlook may be deceptive, since the signal line of the Marlin oscillator is at the upper boundary of the descending channel. A downward movement is possible, even breaking below its lower boundary. A move and consolidation below the 1.3525 level would also mean consolidation below the MACD line, making the 1.3364 target realistic rather than a false one (as opposed to 1.3631). On the four-hour chart, the price remains within the range of the September 9–11 extremes and the MACD line …
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As the market enters a period of uncertainty after a bullish start to the week, the Dogecoin price has slipped back into a consolidation trend once again. This represents the slowdown brought about by profit-taking as investors secure their position. However, this does not mean that the favor has fallen back to the bears. In fact, the Dogecoin price remains in a bullish position, and as long as key factors continue to hold, then the meme coin could see a colorful breakout rally from here. The Broadening Wedge And What It Means Pseudonymous crypto analyst Gandalf Crypto took to the X (formerly Twitter) platform to share some interesting things about the Dogecoin price act…
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Bitcoin price started a fresh decline and tested the $103,200 zone. BTC is now recovering and might aim for a move above the $106,800 resistance. Bitcoin started a fresh decline below the $106,800 and $105,500 levels. The price is trading near $105,800 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at $105,000 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair could start a fresh increase if it clears the $106,800 resistance zone. Bitcoin Price Recovers Bitcoin price started a fresh decline after it failed to clear the $110,000 resistance zone. BTC declined below the $107,000 and $106,00…
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