Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12189 tópicos neste fórum
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Grayscale Investments kicked off trading of a new Solana-focused ETF on Wednesday, adding a staking feature that passes network rewards to investors. The fund, now listed on NYSE Arca as the Grayscale Solana Trust ETF (GSOL), was converted from a closed-end vehicle that first launched in 2021. From Closed-End Trust To ETF According to Grayscale, the move makes the firm one of the largest Solana exchange-traded product managers in the US by assets under management. The converted ETF lets ordinary brokerage accounts hold SOL exposure while receiving staking rewards tied to the network. Inkoo Kang, Grayscale’s Senior Vice President of ETFs, said the launch shows the fir…
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The crypto market traded mixed on Wednesday as traders digested the aftermath of the latest FOMC meeting and repositioned ahead of key macro data. .cwp-coin-chart svg path { stroke-width: 0.65 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-graph-container.positive svg path:nth-of-type(2) { stroke: #008868 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-trend.positive { color: #008868 !important; background-color: transparent !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-popup-holder .cwp-coin-trend.positive { border: 1px solid #008868; border-radius: 3px; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-trend.positive::before { border-bottom: 4px so…
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On Wednesday, the EUR/USD pair rebounded from the resistance level of 1.1645–1.1656, reversed in favor of the U.S. dollar, and fell to the 61.8% retracement level at 1.1594. A rebound from this level worked in favor of the euro, leading to renewed growth toward the 1.1645–1.1656 level. Today, another rebound from this area could trigger a new decline, while a firm close above it would increase the likelihood of continued growth toward the next 38.2% Fibonacci level at 1.1718. The wave structure on the hourly chart remains simple and clear. The last completed upward wave did not break the previous high, and the last downward wave did not break the previous low. Thus, fo…
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On the hourly chart, the GBP/USD pair on Wednesday rebounded from the 100.0% retracement level at 1.3247, reversed in favor of the U.S. dollar, and fell to 1.3139. A rebound from that level has since favored the pound, leading to some growth and a close above the 127.2% Fibonacci level at 1.3186. Thus, the upward movement may continue today toward the 1.3247 level. A new close below 1.3186 would favor the dollar and a decline toward 1.3139 and 1.3110. The wave structure remains bearish. The last completed upward wave broke the previous high, while the most recent downward wave broke the previous low. The fundamental background in recent weeks has been negative for the …
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The European Central Bank is expected, for the third consecutive meeting this year, to keep interest rates unchanged today after receiving a new set of data that should provide more clarity on the damage caused by trade tensions and the fiscal crisis in France. The decision will be accompanied by close scrutiny of President Christine Lagarde's statements, which markets will analyze carefully for hints about the future direction of policy. Inflation in the eurozone remains slightly above the ECB's 2% target, while signs of slowing economic growth are intensifying, creating a dilemma for policymakers. In addition, political uncertainty in France following the recent electi…
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The U.S. dollar strengthened following news that the Federal Reserve had cut interest rates by only a quarter of a percentage point — just as expected. Shortly after the announcement, Donald Trump stated that he wanted further rate cuts to support the wavering U.S. economy. During his speech, Fed Chair Jerome Powell noted that both unemployment and inflation are rising amid an escalating trade war, while the government shutdown has distorted official data, which was already surrounded by concerns of politicization. Therefore, according to Powell, another rate cut next month should not be expected. Markets reacted immediately — and the response was mixed. On one hand, sta…
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In a post on X on October 29, Quinn Thompson, CIO of Lekker Capital, argued that Jerome Powell’s post-FOMC messaging was less about macro uncertainty and more about pressure tactics aimed at the political apparatus — with direct consequences for crypto liquidity. Powell’s FOMC Comments Decoded Thompson wrote: “Powell appeared to be playing political games / posturing / CYA around the December verbiage, possibly to communicate to the admin to get the government reopened. It almost felt like a threat that if no data (due to continued government shutdown), then there won’t be a December cut and the market was briefly thrown off by that uncertainty.” He called out how abnorm…
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Trend Analysis (Fig. 1)On Thursday, the market may start moving upward from the 1.3191 level (the close of yesterday's daily candle) with a target of 1.3225 – the 85.4% retracement level (yellow dotted line). From this level, the price may possibly roll back downward toward 1.3140 – the lower fractal (yellow dotted line). Fig. 1 (Daily Chart) Comprehensive Analysis:Indicator analysis – upwardFibonacci levels – upwardVolumes – upwardCandlestick analysis – upwardTrend analysis – upwardBollinger Bands – upwardWeekly chart – upwardOverall conclusion: Upward trend. Alternative scenario:From the 1.3191 level (the close of yesterday's daily candle), the price may start moving …
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The MetaMask airdrop narrative is heating up again after fresh reports confirmed that JPMorgan and Goldman Sachs have been brought on to lead Consensys’ initial public offering (IPO). Consensys, the company behind the widely popular MetaMask wallet, is reportedly eyeing a late 2025 or early 2026 listing, potentially marking one of the biggest public offerings in crypto’s history. With over 100 million MetaMask users worldwide and persistent chatter around a MetaMask ICO and MASK token, investors are now asking one burning question. Will the airdrop arrive before the IPO, or will both events coincide in a single massive rollout? …
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Trend Analysis (Fig. 1)On Thursday, the market may start moving upward from the 1.1602 level (the close of yesterday's daily candle) with a target of 1.1631 – the 23.6% retracement level (yellow dotted line). Upon testing this level, the price may roll back downward toward 1.1576 – the lower fractal (daily candle of October 22, 2025). Fig. 1 (Daily Chart) Comprehensive Analysis:Indicator analysis – upwardFibonacci levels – upwardVolumes – upwardCandlestick analysis – upwardTrend analysis – upwardBollinger Bands – upwardWeekly chart – upwardOverall conclusion: Upward trend. Alternative scenario:On Thursday, the market may begin an upward movement from the 1.1602 level (t…
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Yesterday, US stock indices closed mixed. The S&P 500 showed no movement, closing with a 0.00% change, while the Nasdaq 100 gained 0.55%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average declined by 0.16%. The indices pulled back slightly after the meeting between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping, which generally went as expected, helping stocks remain near record-high levels. However, the euphoria from the truce in the trade war seems to be waning. Investors are starting to realistically assess the prospects of a new agreement that does not resolve all the contradictions between the two largest economies in the world. On the corporate front, the earnings season continues. Investors ar…
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Crypto markets are shaking again and again. Despite the Powell rate cut, improving Trump-China relations, and a stable macro outlook, the Bitcoin price keeps sliding. As of today, Bitcoin price is hovering barely over $110K, down about 2% in the past 24 hours. Many expected a rally after gold cooled off from its all-time high, but instead, crypto is facing what looks like a confidence vacuum. Market Cap 24h 7d 30d 1y All Time Normally, a Powell rate cut supports risky plays, giving traders room to take on more exposure with a lower rate. This time, it di…
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The negative market sentiment has spread rapidly, and the Dogecoin price continues to range around $0.2 as a result. This puts the meme coin in a perilous position that could see its decline deepen from here. One thing that could make a difference would mean a rise in momentum, but volume is already down by a significant amount, so this route has remained a problem. Another major problem is the resistance mounting at $0.21 that could stop any recovery rally in its tracks. What Happens If The Dogecoin Price Breaks $0.218 Crypto analyst Diana Sanchez has highlighted the bullish potential of Dogecoin, suggesting that the price has been showing strength. This comes with the …
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The US stock market managed to set a new record before Jerome Powell poured a bucket of cold water on buyers. Encouraged by the reduction in the federal funds rate to 4% and by NVIDIA's market capitalization surpassing $5 trillion for the first time in history, the S&P 500 reached an earlier target of 6920. However, the split within the Federal Reserve has raised doubts about the continuation of the monetary expansion cycle in December. This remains an unresolved issue. Dynamics of NVIDIA Capitalization The reaction of the broad stock index to the Fed's verdict was one of the most subdued in a long time. However, this is only the surface of the iceberg. Beneath it, a …
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Bitcoin has slid to around $108,000, and Ethereum has dropped below $3,900, which undermines the bullish market expectations observed earlier this week. Yesterday, as expected, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) reduced the federal funds rate by 25 basis points to a range of 4% to 3.75%. However, the cryptocurrency market reacted with a decline, as it had anticipated more aggressive actions ahead of future monetary easing. This market reaction highlights its sensitivity to the subtle nuances in central bank announcements. Cryptocurrency investors appeared to be hoping for a more definitive signal regarding further rate cuts, which could weaken the dollar and make …
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What to Know: The Fed’s rate cut failed to lift crypto markets, as the move was likely fully priced in. XRP price prediction points to the $2.70 resistance. A strong breakout could pave the way to $4.50 short term and $15 long term. Investors are backing Bitcoin Hyper ($HYPER) as the next 1000x crypto to ride the wave of utility-driven altcoins. In hindsight, a sell-off after yesterday’s rate cut decision does make sense. After all, over 98% of market participants anticipated the cut – and when a move is that widely expected, there’s simply no fuel left behind it. Not to mention, Powell definitely spooked investors by saying that a December rate cut is ‘not a for…
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Trade Analysis and Tips for Trading the Japanese YenThe test of the price at 152.18 coincided with the moment when the MACD indicator began to move down from the zero mark, confirming a good entry point to sell the dollar. As a result, the pair declined by approximately 25 pips. Following Powell's speech yesterday, in which he emphasized that future rate decisions depend on economic indicators, the Japanese yen declined against the US dollar. According to the Federal Reserve Chair, the October rate cut was more of a risk-management tool, and the future remains uncertain. The reaction of the currency markets was predictable: uncertainty prompted investors towards safe-have…
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Trade Analysis and Tips for Trading the British PoundThe test of the price at 1.3211 occurred at a moment when the MACD indicator had declined significantly from the zero mark, which limited the downward potential of the pair before the release of the FOMC decision. For this reason, I did not sell the pound and missed the entire downward movement. Yesterday, the British pound sharply dropped following Powell's statement that future rate decisions now depend on incoming data. The market's reaction to Powell's words was immediate, resulting in a capital outflow from the pound, which is traditionally seen as a riskier asset. Investors, concerned about the uncertainty surroun…
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Trade Analysis and Tips for Trading the EuroThe test of the price at 1.1640 coincided with the MACD indicator just starting to move above the zero mark, confirming a good entry point for buying euros, which led to an upward move of more than 25 pips. In the context of slowing global economic growth and persistent trade tensions, the Federal Reserve made a decision yesterday aimed at supporting economic growth in the United States. It was expected that the rate cut would reduce the dollar's appeal to investors seeking higher returns in other currencies, but that did not occur. Jerome Powell's speech modified market forecasts. His cautious tone and hint at a pause in the pr…
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Several entry points were formed in the market yesterday. Let's look at the 5-minute chart and analyze what happened. In my morning forecast, I focused on the 1.3228 level and planned to base my market entry decisions on it. A decline and the formation of a false breakout around 1.3228 provided a buying point for the pound, but the pair did not rise, resulting in a loss. In the afternoon, short positions on the false breakout near 1.3240 yielded about 100 pips of profit. Longs in the 1.3142 area led to a correction of more than 40 pips in the pair. For Opening Long Positions on GBP/USD:Yesterday, the British pound sharply declined after Powell said future rate decisions …
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Yesterday, several entry points into the market were formed. Let's take a look at the 5-minute chart and analyze what happened. In my morning forecast, I highlighted the level of 1.1621 and planned to make entry decisions based on it. A decline and the formation of a false breakout around 1.1621 provided a good entry point to buy euros, leading to a 25-pip upward move in the pair. In the afternoon, an unsuccessful attempt to rise above 1.1645 prompted traders to enter short positions, resulting in a significant sell-off in the euro to around 1.1579. For Opening Long Positions on EUR/USD:Yesterday, the US Federal Reserve reduced interest rates by a quarter point, which sh…
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The US dollar shows no signs of slowing down and continues to demonstrate growth against riskier assets. The Federal Reserve's decision, made against a backdrop of slowing US labor market growth and ongoing uncertainty in trade policy, was a response to the need to sustain economic momentum in the US. The expected reduction in interest rates would, as expected, make the dollar less appealing to investors seeking higher returns in other currencies. However, Jerome Powell's statements modified market expectations. His cautious tone and mention of a possible end to the monetary easing cycle in the near future instilled confidence in the US economy's resilience. This, in turn…
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[Nasdaq 100 Index] – [Thursday, 30 October 2025] Today, the Nasdaq 100 Index is likely to rise due to all technical data indicating such potential. Key Levels 1. Resistance. 2 : 26402.9 2. Resistance. 1 : 26249.4 3. Pivot : 26077.5 4. Support. 1 : 25924.0 5. Support. 2 : 25752.1 Tactical Scenario: Positive Reaction Zone: If the Nasdaq 100 Index breaks through and closes above 26077.5, it may have the opportunity to test 26249.4. Momentum Extension Bias: If 26249.4 is breached and closes above it, there is potential for #NDX to move toward 26402.9. Invalidation Level / Bias Revision: The upside bias weakens if the price drops and closes below 25752.1. T…
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[USD Dollar Index] – [Thursday, 30 October 2025] With the intersection of Death Cross between the EMA(50) and EMA(200) and the appearance of Hidden Divergence on the RSI, there is a potential for #USDX to strengthen toward its nearest resistance level. Key Levels: 1. Resistance. 2 : 99.75 2. Resistance. 1 : 99.42 3. Pivot : 99.01 4. Support. 1 : 98.68 5. Support. 2 : 98.27 Tactical Scenario: Positive Reaction Zone: If the US Dollar Index strengthens and breaks through and closes above 99.01, it may continue to rise to 99.42. Momentum Extension Bias: If 99.42 is successfully breached and closed above, there is an opportunity for #USDX to test the 99.75 …
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Despite recent interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve on Wednesday, Bitcoin’s price reacted unexpectedly, declining when many anticipated a rise. However, market analyst Crypto Birb has identified ten indicators suggesting a potential surge may be on the horizon. Bitcoin Price Holds Above Key Moving Averages At the time of the expert’s post, BTC traded at $112,000. He pointed that with exchange-traded funds (ETFs) gaining traction and market fear subsiding, the Bitcoin price appears to be consolidating before a significant upward movement, indicating that a breakout is imminent. Currently, the Bitcoin price trades comfortably above the 50-week simple moving average (…
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