Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12188 tópicos neste fórum
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Investor sentiment is recovering, while the US dollar is declining after the end of the protracted government shutdown. At the beginning of the American trading session on Thursday, futures on the US dollar index (USDX) were trading near 99.25, slightly above the intraday low of 99.12, reached in the first half of the European trading session. Let's take a closer look at the current situation in the market and investor expectations regarding this event, highlighting the key points: Trump's signing of the funding bill allows for hopes of temporary stabilization of the US currency rate.Market participants are anticipating the Federal Reserve's decisions regarding possible i…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Many market participants viewed the week as an important test for the dollar. Essentially, it was a test. However, it did not hinge solely on the Federal Reserve meeting and the easily predictable interest rate decision. Instead, it was about the market's reaction itself. Recall that after the last two rounds of monetary policy easing, new downward waves followed. A downward wave in instruments like EUR/USD (or GBP/USD) means a strengthening of the U.S. currency. Therefore, if we had observed a new decline in both instruments on Wednesday and Thursday, it would have been clear that the market continues to play by its own rules. This time, however, demand for the U.S. doll…
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Overview: The US dollar is stabilizing most of the G10 currencies today after its recent losses. As the North American markets are set to open, the greenback is posting minor gains against the G10 currencies but the Japanese yen and Australian dollar. The news stream is light. The market has lifted the odds of a Bank of Japan rate hike later this month, while a jump in October household spending in Australia has sparked speculation in the futures market that the central bank will be hiking rates in a year. Most emerging market currencies are softer. In an unusual twist, the Indian rupee is the strongest after the central bank intervened, after it reached a record low. The…
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Between February and the end of June 2025, the US dollar was under sustained downward pressure, reflecting market expectations of an imminent rate-cutting cycle by the Federal Reserve. However, July brought a noticeable shift in investor sentiment towards the greenback, particularly evident in the final days of the month. The trigger for this reversal was the outcome of the July FOMC meeting and Jerome Powell’s press conference, both of which dampened expectations for near-term monetary easing. Fed Pushback Lowers Rate-Cut Expectations for September Just a month ago, Fed Funds Futures were pricing in over a 90% probability of a September rate cut. Following recent comm…
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Dolly Varden Silver (TSXV: DV) reported new drilling at its Kitsault Valley project in British Columbia has tightened the Wolf vein’s high-grade plunge and kept the target open to depth, sending its Toronto-listed shares higher. The latest hole, DV25-446, cut 21.7 metres grading 1,422 grams silver per tonne starting at 816.3 metres downhole, including a 1-metre hit of 10,700 grams silver, the company said Tuesday. The intercept sits about 105 metres up-dip of last season’s furthest step-out and came with increasing gold and base metals at depth. (Intervals are core length; estimated true widths are 55%–65%.) Haywood Capital Markets mining analyst Marcus Giannini s…
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The European Central Bank (ECB) officials have taken a wait-and-see approach and are eagerly anticipating the next release of their economic forecasts. It is quite possible that these new forecasts will help determine whether interest rates are sufficiently low to ensure a stable 2% inflation rate. Policymakers speaking on the sidelines of the European financial leaders' meeting in Copenhagen last week were confident that a deposit rate of 2% is currently appropriate to achieve this goal. However, opinions were divided over the severity of risks affecting the outlook for further inflation growth. President Christine Lagarde stated that the ECB has achieved its goal of cu…
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A new wave of buzz has hit the XRP community after an expert shared a teasing message on Twitter. Crypto analyst Armando Pantoja, a member of the Benzinga Crypto Advisory Board, said he just got off a call with contacts in Washington, D.C. and hinted that XRP is “about to explode.” He couldn’t give details, but he left a clear sign that something big might be on the way. His words “Big Move Incoming” and the tip that holders of at least 1,000 XRP are already ahead of the curve have pushed traders to watch the token more closely. How 1,000 XRP Stands Out According to data from the XRP Rich List, there are about 6.8 million XRP wallets in existence. Close to 6 million o…
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A top crypto analyst is making waves with a strong call: Going all-in on XRP should be a priority. That’s the message from Oscar Ramos, a widely followed figure in the crypto world, as the market turns green again. Bitcoin just hit a new all-time high of $118,250 Friday, helping to fuel momentum across altcoins. XRP has been one of the top gainers during this run, jumping above $2.65 and showing signs of strength. At press time, it’s trading around $2.69—up over 10% in just a day. Ripple’s Stablecoin, BNY Mellon Partnership Spark Optimism The rising interest in XRP isn’t only about price moves. Ripple, the company tied closely to the altcoin, is rolling out development…
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Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong has acknowledged that the unexpected freezing of user accounts has been a major issue for the cryptocurrency exchange. In a recent announcement on X, Armstrong stated that the company has successfully reduced these unnecessary account restrictions by 82% and is committed to further improvements. The progress comes after significant investment in upgrading the platform’s machine learning models and infrastructure, according to Dor Levi, a product team member at Coinbase. The enhancements have improved the precision of the Coinbase security systems, leading to fewer legitimate accounts being mistakenly flagged and frozen. Despite these adv…
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The Trump name got loud applause at the Bitcoin 2025 conference in Las Vegas. Donald Trump Jr. and Eric Trump showed up in person, carrying a message that the family isn’t just paying attention to crypto. The plan puts Trump Media right in the center of the crypto conversation, showing it’s not just a media company but a financial player with bold ideas. A Change from Skeptics to Supporters It wasn’t long ago that the Trump family didn’t think twice about crypto. Their world was real estate, finance, and legacy institutions. But times have clearly changed. At the Vegas event, the message was clear: they’ve gone from sitting on the sidelines to actively betting on Bitcoin…
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Donald Trump attempted to exert control over the Federal Reserve even during his first term as president. I do not doubt that he appointed Jerome Powell to the position of Fed Chair with some "ulterior motive," aiming to gain control over the central bank. This is precisely what Trump is trying to do now. However, with Powell, it turned out to be a miscalculation. Legally, the president has no influence over the Fed chair; therefore, Powell has operated independently since taking his position. I don't know if there were any arrangements between Powell and Trump before his first appointment eight years ago. This mystery will likely remain unsolved. However, it can be said …
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There are fewer than two days left before the Federal Reserve meeting, and the market expects a 25 basis point interest rate cut. The main intrigue, however, is Jerome Powell's speech. At the moment, it is safe to say - Powell did not bend to Donald Trump. No matter how much the Republican demanded that the Fed and Powell lower rates, no matter how many threats of layoffs and lawsuits were made, it was all in vain. Powell remains the small island of hope for investors, as they see the Fed maintaining its independence. Based on this, I expect Powell's rhetoric on Wednesday night to be as simple as possible. The Fed President will surely reiterate that the central bank will…
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Donald Trump Jr. has joined the advisory board of Polymarket, a blockchain-powered prediction platform, following significant investment by his venture capital firm, 1789 Capital. According to the press release dated 27 August 2025, Trump Jr’s 1789 Capital committed “tens of millions of dollars” to Polymarket following 18 months of discussion. The investment in Polymarket reflects 1789 Capital’s broader mission to support technologies that embody what it calls “American dynamism”, a growing theme among conservative venture capitalists focused on domestic innovation and economic resilience. The very same day, Trump Jr. launched a Telegram channel called The DeFiant …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
In recent weeks, the market has entered a state of relative calm. This is clearly reflected in the US dollar, which, despite everything, is in no hurry to keep declining. I can't say we're seeing a classic sideways trend or a change in the wave pattern, but market activity has dropped, price swings are small, and there is no mass dollar selloff as before. This could be explained by the uncertainty over what to expect from the FOMC over a one-year horizon (due to the complicated situation involving Donald Trump), and because the US president hasn't recently announced or implemented new tariffs. Trump's attention is now entirely focused on trying to stop the conflict in Ukr…
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Donald Trump never ceases to surprise with his persistence and is ready to use any measure to force Kyiv and Moscow to sign a truce. The American president views Russia's continued war effort as enabled by its steady cash flow, mainly from oil and gas exports. Thus, Trump wants to cut off this dollar flow to Russia, so the Kremlin won't have the means to continue fighting. Frankly, it's hard to judge how effective such measures would be, especially since Moscow has repeatedly made it clear that sanctions will not force them to abandon their objectives. Yet Trump's new tariffs are also under question. The US president not only wants to impose additional tariffs on India an…
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Trade negotiations between the U.S. and Canada have been halted. Many of my readers might assume that Ottawa and Washington failed to find common ground and meet each other's demands. However, the reason is much simpler and absurdly amusing. Donald Trump personally stopped the negotiations due to a commercial released in Canada, where Ronald Reagan criticizes tariffs. Trump explained his decision as follows: "Due to their outrageous behavior, all trade negotiations are canceled." Short and clear, and most importantly, substantive. Now we know that Trump can be offended by any joke, and trade negotiations can be suspended over a commercial. What should we do with this info…
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Let's return to the negotiations with Canada. Donald Trump also accused the Canadians of using "fake advertising," acting "fraudulently." According to the U.S. president, the goal of this commercial is to influence the U.S. Supreme Court's decision, which will consider the legality of all of Trump's tariffs in November. It should be noted that negotiations with Canada have not been particularly productive. The parties cannot agree on several key issues, so I do not rule out that Trump, in his typical fashion, decided to stimulate his opponent a bit to make him more amenable. This tactic is something we have long grown accustomed to. The commercial features a recording of …
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A crypto donor who thought they were supporting Donald Trump’s January inauguration ended up losing over $250,000 to a well-disguised phishing scam. The fraud was pulled off using a fake email that looked nearly identical to a real address from the Trump-Vance Inaugural Committee. The fake Trump inauguration message looked nearly identical to real fundraising emails, with only a small typo in the domain name. With just a single character altered, the message passed as legitimate, leading the donor to send $250,300 in USDT.ETH directly to the scammer. How the Scam Worked The attack was subtle and precise. Scammers swapped one lowercase letter in the domain name, replaci…
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Ahead of a major FOMC meeting, DORA Meme Coin and ZORA Crypto are exploding, but what are the best altcoins to buy in September? A burst of meme-market momentum pushed creator-token platform Zora and BNB-chain meme coin DORA onto traders’ dashboards in the past 24 hours, initiating talk of the best altcoin to buy in September as volumes and fresh catalysts stirred activity. Zora (ZORA) and DORA traded higher during September 16-17, tracking the broader rebound in meme coins. By early Wednesday, ZORA was at $0.0773, up +4% on the day with about $223M in 24-hour volume. (Source – ZORA USDT, Tradingview) Meanwhile, DORA hovered near $0.333, little changed on the ses…
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A large, dormant Bitcoin wallet moved a massive amount of coins to an exchange on Thursday, rattling traders and reigniting debate about where big holders stand. According to on-chain data, a Satoshi-era wallet that had not moved funds for 13 years transferred roughly 12,000 BTC — about $1.4 billion at current prices — in a set of transactions that landed on an exchange ledger. Whale Moves Stir Markets Reports have disclosed that the transfers came as Bitcoin hovered near a key price band. The coin fell about 2% after the activity, a quick reaction as traders guessed the funds might be put up for sale. Some market watchers warned that if larger sell orders hit exc…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin (BTC) is trading in a sideways consolidation phase after hitting its all-time high near $124,000, with volatility keeping investors cautious. The price has been fluctuating in a relatively tight range, showing resilience but also failing to establish a clear directional trend. For many traders, this period feels like the calm before a potential breakout, as the market sits at what analysts describe as a pivotal setting. While short-term traders navigate intraday moves, long-term investors are focusing on structural signals that could define Bitcoin’s next phase. Top analyst Maartunn recently highlighted a significant on-chain dynamic: dormant whale coins are inc…
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Bitcoin is trading at a critical level after several days of tight consolidation between $115,000 and $110,000. The price action reflects a tense standoff, with bulls working to regain ground while mounting selling pressure keeps gains in check. Despite the cautious mood, momentum appears to be leaning bullish, as buyers continue to defend key support zones and prepare for the next decisive move. Adding weight to this outlook, top analyst Maartunn shared new insights showing that dormant Bitcoin coins are beginning to move onchain. This activity suggests that long-term holders, who typically sit through volatility, are repositioning themselves, marking a significant shi…
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Bitcoin’s recent price momentum has encountered a pause following the latest US Consumer Price Index (CPI) release, which showed inflation rising to 2.7% in June. The inflation increase appears to have affected investor sentiment. After reaching a new high above $123,000 on Monday, Bitcoin has since declined by roughly 5.4% from that peak, with its price currently trading just above $116,000. The broader crypto market also reacted to the news, with the global crypto market cap valuation dropping by nearly 7% in the past day amid renewed uncertainty about future interest rate policy. While Bitcoin has exhibited a strong uptrend in recent weeks, the latest pullback intro…
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Ethereum has been consolidating around the $2,500 price level over the past few days, showing little momentum in either direction. The second-largest cryptocurrency by market cap has struggled to sustain a breakout above the $2,600 resistance zone, despite the inflows into Ethereum Spot ETFs last week. One event that has sparked interest, and possibly concern, among Ethereum holders is the reactivation of a dormant whale wallet holding millions worth of ETH. The sudden awakening of this long-inactive address raises questions about a potential selling pressure and its market impact. First Transaction From Dormant ETH Address Since 2015 On-chain tracker Whale Alerts was…
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A Bitcoin whale from the early 2010s, holding coins mined or acquired in Bitcoin’s infancy, recently awakened and sold 80,000 BTC. The sale was handled by Galaxy Digital, which executed the transfer of over 80,000 BTC (worth $9 billion) on behalf of this client, who is described as a “Satoshi-era” investor. Despite this massive sale and the volatility that came after, Bitcoin has managed to steady and the ensuing price action shows that bulls were more than prepared to absorb the sell shock. Bitcoin Dips To $115,000, Bulls Quickly Bought The Dip News of the $9 billion Bitcoin sale initially caused price volatility. Bitcoin’s price had recently been trading around $119…
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