Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12218 tópicos neste fórum
-
XRP price gained pace for a move above the $3.120 resistance. The price is now correcting gains and might start another increase above $3.080. XRP price is consolidating gains and facing hurdles near the $3.080 resistance. The price is now trading below $3.060 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There was a break below a key bullish trend line with support at $3.080 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could continue to rise if it stays above the $3.00 zone. XRP Price Eyes Upside Break XRP price managed to stay above the $3.00 level and started a fresh increase, beating Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price climbed above the $3.05…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Asia Market Wrap - BoJ Deliver Hawkish Hold Most Read: USD/JPY Technical: USD strength capped (again) below 148.95 range resistance, BoJ keeps rate hike hopes alive A record-breaking global stock rally was slowed down after the Bank of Japan (BoJ) announced its intention to sell off its large holdings of exchange-traded funds (ETFs). This decision negatively impacted Asian markets, causing the MSCI Asia Pacific Index to slip by 0.4% and the Nikkei-225 Stock Average to drop about 0.7%. These declines reversed earlier gains that had been fueled by four key U.S. stock benchmarks all closing at all-time highs in unison for the first time since November 2021. Japanese stock…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
On Wednesday, the EUR/USD pair formed a new reversal in favor of the U.S. dollar and consolidated below the 1.1789–1.1802 zone. Thus, the decline may continue today toward the 76.4% Fibonacci level at 1.1695. A rebound from this level would favor the euro and growth toward the resistance zone of 1.1789–1.1802. The wave situation on the hourly chart remains simple and clear. The last completed downward wave did not break the low of the previous wave, and the last upward wave did not break the previous peak. Therefore, the trend remains "bullish" at this time. The latest labor market data and the changed Fed monetary policy outlook support bullish traders, but the bears a…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Yesterday, the U.S. stock market experienced a major sell-off, and the American dollar strengthened after U.S. President Donald Trump announced a new package of tariffs on pharmaceutical products, heavy trucks, and furniture, including a 100% tariff on patented drugs—unless the drug manufacturer builds a production facility in the United States. This decision sparked a wave of criticism from pharmaceutical companies and trade partners, who called it a protectionist measure that could cause significant harm to global trade and make it harder for patients to access essential medications. Industry representatives voiced concerns about the potential increase in drug prices a…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Investors are awaiting the release of the PCE indices. If the PCE figures come in weaker than forecast (and especially weaker than the previous readings), signaling a slowdown in inflation, the dollar will almost certainly resume its decline. On the other hand, a stream of positive macroeconomic data from the US and lingering risks of further inflation growth are contributing to dollar strength. Therefore, both a renewed decline and a continuation of the upward correction are possible. Meanwhile, a downward correction continues on the crypto market, partly due to the strengthening of the dollar. For instance, Ethereum (ETH) yesterday dropped below 3,900.00 for the first …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
AUD/USD The Australian dollar failed to break through the support of the daily balance indicator line on September 25 and 26. It is possible that the strength of the "bulls" will now push the price above the already reached MACD line. However, the Marlin oscillator remains in negative territory. A decisive breakout may occur tomorrow. If successful (with consolidation above the MACD line), the target at 0.6668 will open. On Tuesday, the Reserve Bank of Australia will announce its rate decision. The probability of holding the rate is estimated at 96.4%, but market participants expect a shift in the accompanying statement's tone toward hawkishness due to rising inflation. …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The wave markup of the 4-hour chart for EUR/USD has not changed for several months, but in recent days it has started to look rather complicated. It is still too early to conclude that the upward trend section has been canceled, though a more complex wave structure is possible in the near future. The upward section of the trend continues to build, and the news background continues to mostly support currencies other than the dollar. The trade war initiated by Donald Trump continues. The standoff with the Fed continues. Market expectations of a dovish Fed rate outlook are rising. The market's assessment of Trump's first 6–7 months in office is very low, even though GDP grow…
-
Trend Analysis (Fig. 1). On Friday, from the level of 1.3436 (yesterday's daily candle close), the market may begin upward movement toward the target of 1.3501 – the 38.2% retracement level (yellow dashed line). When testing this level, a corrective downward move toward 1.3482 – the 61.8% retracement level (red dashed line) – is possible. Fig. 1 (daily chart). Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis – upward;Fibonacci levels – upward;Volumes – upward;Candlestick analysis – downward;Trend analysis – upward;Bollinger Bands – downward;Weekly chart – upward.Overall conclusion: upward trend. Alternative Scenario: From the level of 1.3436 (yesterday's daily candle close),…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Zimbabwe-focused Caledonia Mining (LSE, NYSE-A: CMCL) is to decide by year-end whether to build the Bilboes project in phases – potentially halving the original plant size to curb equity dilution and limit financial risks, CEO Mark Learmonth says. The May 2024 preliminary economic assessment (PEA) outlined a 10-year operation averaging about 150,000 oz. gold annually at an all-in sustaining cost just under $1,000 per ounce. Bilboes, which would supplement the company’s producing Blanket mine in the country’s southwest, hosts about 33.7 million tonnes measured and indicated at 2.3 grams gold per tonne for 2.5 million oz. of metal. “We’re updating that PEA to reflec…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Australia-based Fleet Space Technologies, developer and operator of microsatellites that deliver universal connectivity, has opened a new global headquarters (GHQ) and space-tech hyperfactory at Adelaide Airport’s Catalyst Park. Fleet Space’s 5,300m²+ facility boosts Australia’s advanced manufacturing capacity, enabling the production of thousands of next-generation geophysical sensors and hundreds of satellites annually, the company said. The GHQ and space-tech factory will support the expansion of its global, AI-powered exploration platform – ExoSphere – deployed by the major mining and resource companies including Rio Tinto, Barrick, Gold Fields, and Maaden …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
A fresh promise of “tariff dividend” checks is colliding with a near-record Bitcoin, setting up a Q4 test of how fiscal headlines move crypto. According to Reuters, the White House is considering rebate checks of $1,000 to $2,000 per person funded by tariff revenue, an idea President Donald Trump described as a “dividend to the people” in a recent interview. The comments arrive as Bitcoin trades near record highs and US spot BTC ETFs draw steady inflows. This proposal has emerged this week in a One America News interview, with broader coverage, but no bill and no Treasury structure has been published. Markets are considering whether such rebates, were they to be …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The Ethereum price has recently demonstrated significant momentum, leading the altcoin market with a significant 13% increase over the past week. This surge has brought the cryptocurrency close to its all-time high, prompting a new wave of bullish predictions. Analysts Forecast Further Gains Market analyst Mags on social media platform X (formerly Twitter), highlighted a key milestone for the Ethereum price: after 1,146 days of price consolidation, the market’s second-largest cryptocurrency finally broke through the critical $4,000 level. Historically, Ethereum made three attempts to surpass this threshold, encountering setbacks each time. However, in August, the four…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trend Analysis (Fig. 1). On Tuesday, from the level of 1.3482 (yesterday's daily candle close), the market may begin moving downward toward the target of 1.3417 – the 23.6% retracement level (blue dotted line). Upon testing this level, the price may possibly start moving upward, targeting the 50% retracement level at 1.3432 (yellow dotted line). Fig. 1 (Daily Chart). Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis – downward;Volumes – downward;Candlestick analysis – downward;Trend analysis – downward;Bollinger Bands – downward;Weekly chart – downward.General conclusion: Downward trend. Alternative scenario: From the level of 1.3482 (yesterday's daily candle close), the pric…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
An analyst has pointed out how Ethereum has seen a sell signal on the Tom Demark (TD) Sequential alongside the retest of a key resistance line. Ethereum Is Trading Around Upper Boundary Of Descending Channel In a new post on X, analyst Ali Martinez has talked about how Ethereum is looking from a technical analysis (TA) perspective. First, Martinez has pointed out that ETH has been trading inside a Descending Channel for the last couple of months. The Descending Channel refers to a consolidation pattern that forms whenever an asset’s price travels between two parallel lines that are sloped downward. It’s a type of Parallel Channel. Below is the chart shared by the anal…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
On Tuesday, the EUR/USD pair rebounded from the 38.2% retracement level at 1.1718 on the new Fibonacci grid, reversed in favor of the US dollar, and fell, consolidating below the support zone of 1.1645–1.1656. Thus, the decline may continue on Wednesday toward the next Fibonacci level of 61.8% at 1.1594. A rebound of the pair's rate from this level or a close above the 1.1645–1.1656 level would work in favor of the euro and some growth. Consolidation below the 1.1594 level will increase the likelihood of a continued decline toward the next retracement level of 76.4% at 1.1517. The wave situation on the hourly chart remains simple and clear. The last completed upward wa…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Most Read: AUD/USD Forecast: Navigating US Government Shutdown & Technical Signals EUR/USD continued its slide this morning but is trading flat on the day. Yesterday's daily candle close though has broken a long-tern ascending trendline and sets the pair up for a potential move lower. There is a caveat however, the fundamental picture and technical picture are flashing mixed signals. EUR/USD Paints a Mixed Picture EUR/USD seemed poised to test the 1.2000 psychological level heading into the Federal Reserve meeting on September 17. After the meeting the fundamental factors such as monetary policy still seemed to support the idea as well. Many viewed the Federal Rese…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trend Analysis (Fig. 1) On Wednesday, from the level of 1.3367 (yesterday's daily candle close), the market may continue moving downward toward the target of 1.3322 – the lower fractal (blue dashed line). Upon testing this level, the price may rebound upward toward 1.3363, the 61.8% retracement level (yellow dashed line). Fig. 1 (Daily Chart) Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis – downward;Fibonacci levels – downward;Volumes – downward;Candlestick analysis – downward;Trend analysis – downward;Bollinger Bands – downward;Weekly chart – downward.Overall conclusion: Downward trend. Alternative Scenario: On Wednesday, from the level of 1.3367 (yesterday's daily candle…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Today, on Tuesday, the GBP/JPY pair rate suffered a setback, breaking its week-long upward trend and reaching the 202.00 level amid a notable increase in demand for the Japanese yen. Japan's Economy Minister Minoru Kiuchi emphasized the importance of ensuring that the exchange rate reflects real economic fundamentals and remains stable, adding that he will closely monitor its impact on the national economy. These comments heightened expectations of possible government intervention to curb further yen weakness. In addition, ahead of the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) policy meeting scheduled for this week, there has been a rebalancing of trading positions. This has prompted yen "be…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
There has been much talk about the rupture of one of the most surprising relationships between the world’s richest man, Elon Musk, and US President Donald J. Trump. This story’s beginning comes from a significant surprise - Elon Musk, who shared and endorsed mostly Democratic ideas, made a U-turn in his approach and decided to ride the Republican Horse during Trump’s presidential campaign. From politics to taxes and power, discover how Elon Musk switched his stance, became Trump’s best friend, what led to yesterday’s surprising beef on X, and the effect it had on Tesla's stock prices. Opinions are the authors'; not necessarily that of OANDA Busi…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Ethereum price started a fresh increase above the $2,650 zone. ETH is now consolidating and eyes more gains above the $2,850 resistance. Ethereum started a fresh increase above the $2,750 level. The price is trading above $2,700 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a key bullish trend line forming with support at $2,750 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could start a fresh surge if it clears the $2,850 zone in the near term. Ethereum Price Rises Further Ethereum price started a fresh increase after it found support near the $2,500 level, beating Bitcoin. ETH price was able to clear the $2,600 and $2,650 resistance levels. Th…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The Bitcoin price continues to decelerate as the crypto market shows signs of weakness due to macroeconomic factors. The top crypto by market capitalization has been testing critical support levels and is at risk of falling deeper into its monthly lows. At the time of writing, the Bitcoin price trades around $104,000 recording a 2.5% drop over the past 24 hours. Other cryptocurrencies show greater weaknesses on similar timeframes with Ethereum and XRP displaying a 8% and 4% drop, respectively. Bitcoin Price Alert, Key Levels To Watch According to top crypto analyst Daan Crypto, the Bitcoin price has been trading within a narrow window after losing the range high loc…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The XRP price could be preparing for its biggest rally yet, as a crypto analyst now points to a potential breakout that could send this altcoin soaring. After weeks of stabilization and momentum building, XRP is now testing key resistance levels, with the daily timeframe hinting at a possible surge above $2.33. XRP Price Gears Up For Major Breakout Dark Defender, an X (formerly Twitter) crypto analyst, has revealed in a recent analysis that XRP appears to be setting the stage for a significant price shift, with its daily chart signaling a possible upward breakout. After weeks of consolidation below a descending trendline, the altcoin is now approaching a critical level…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Ethereum faced intense selling pressure earlier today as geopolitical tensions flared following Israel’s attack on Iran, shaking global markets and triggering risk-off behavior across crypto. The sudden spike in volatility pushed Ethereum away from its recent highs, as it retraced after failing to break above the critical $3,000 resistance level. This marks a pivotal moment for ETH, which had shown strong momentum in recent sessions before being hit by the broader market downturn. Despite the sharp correction, top analyst Quinten Francois remains optimistic. He pointed to the ETH/BTC pair, which continues to look strong relative to other assets. According to Francois, t…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
With Solaxy ($SOLX) nearing the end of its presale stage, both anticipation for its listing and urgency among investors to grab the best altcoin at its lowest-ever price are higher than ever. Whale investors have gobbled up more than $500K worth of $SOLX tokens over the past 24 hours, taking Solaxy’s total presale raise to over $51M. Some of these include transactions worth $113K, $59K, and $58K. Keep reading to find out why the industry can’t keep their hands off Solana’s best crypto project yet and why buying the $SOLX presale now could be one of the smartest moves you make as a crypto investor. What’s the Hype About Solaxy? Solaxy is a new meme coin currently on pres…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin’s current trading range is all part of a consolidation move before a return above $110,000. Although the leading cryptocurrency has largely held above the $105,000 support zones in recent days, its rally has taken a hit in the past two weeks. Technical analysis of Bitcoin’s price action, when overlapped with the Global M2 Money Supply metric, shows that it is only a matter of time before it enters into a new all-time high. Global M2 Offset Models Says Something Interesting According to a detailed post by crypto analyst Colin, also known as “The M2 Guy,” on the social media platform X, Bitcoin’s price action appears to be tracking the global M2 money supply with…
Last reply by Ben Graham,
