Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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How to Protect Retirement Accounts from Lawsuits Executive Summary Market swings aren’t your only risk in retirement. Legal threats can also erode savings unless you deliberately protect retirement accounts from lawsuits with the right mix of plan selection, documentation, insurance, and timing. This guide turns complex rules into practical steps you can use this year. Why Lawsuit Risk Matters in Retirement Many retirees assume their nest egg is untouchable. However, not all accounts and situations receive equal protection. Personal liability claims, business disputes, divorce orders, tax issues, and poor documentation can expose assets you thought were safe. Your goa…
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Silver coins serve as both valuable investments and prized collectibles, but a single storage mistake can destroy decades of careful collecting. Without proper storage and handling, silver coins face serious threats from tarnishing, humidity damage, and scratches or surface wear. Improper methods can permanently reduce a coin’s value, sometimes by hundreds or thousands of dollars. This comprehensive guide provides proven solutions for how to store silver bullion coins, preserve your collection’s condition and maximize its long-term value. Why Proper Storage Matters Understanding silver’s unique chemical properties is essential for any serious collector or investor. Silv…
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Silver coins serve as both valuable investments and prized collectibles, but a single storage mistake can destroy decades of careful collecting. Without proper storage and handling, silver coins face serious threats from tarnishing, humidity damage, and scratches or surface wear. Improper methods can permanently reduce a coin’s value, sometimes by hundreds or thousands of dollars. This comprehensive guide provides proven solutions for how to store silver bullion coins, preserve your collection’s condition and maximize its long-term value. Why Proper Storage Matters Understanding silver’s unique chemical properties is essential for any serious collector or investor. Silv…
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Markets generally move in two primary ways: trending or rangebound. Trending markets are popular among traders for their directional clarity. They offer chances to ride momentum, add to positions, or fade extremes. They also give structure and potential for extended moves. However, rangebound markets are also full of opportunities. They provide clear levels where one knows when he is wrong and help to assess if prices are elevated or cheap. (Even though this is always a touchy subject in Trading - everything is relative!) Markets in range rhyme with a general acceptance of prices, and buyers and sellers balance out. GBPJPY has been in a large range since September 202…
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While AUDCAD isn’t among the highest-volume pairs in Forex, it’s often in the lesser-traded instruments that sharp traders find unique opportunities. Commodities heavily influence the Australian and Canadian dollars, as both nations are major exporters. The AUD tends to react more to moves in industrial metals—especially copper—while the CAD is tied to oil price fluctuations. Beyond commodities, the currencies are driven by their respective economic ties: Canada is closely linked to trends in the U.S., whereas Australia is more sensitive to developments in China. In the absence of fresh geopolitical shocks, traders are focusing on central bank policy divergence and incomi…
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With the Federal Reserve set to announce policy on Wednesday, September 17, a closely followed trader has laid out a precise, level-by-level playbook for navigating Bitcoin’s next move. In his weekly “Market Outlook #51,” published on September 15, Nik Patel (@cointradernik) for Ostium Research maps out both long and short triggers around a tight cluster of resistance at $117.5k–$120k and a “line in the sand” support at $112k—frameworks he argues should contain BTC’s path through the FOMC and into quarter-end. How To Trade Bitcoin Into September FOMC Nik’s higher-timeframe read starts with a strong weekly close that reclaimed the August open near $115.3k and, crucially, …
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Thursday Trade Review: 1H EUR/USD Chart The EUR/USD currency pair continued to decline on Thursday. This time, the drop began long before the day's only event — Jerome Powell's speech. The market started selling off the euro in the morning and continued to do so after the completely "flat" remarks from the Federal Reserve Chair. Powell once again emphasized that further monetary easing is not predetermined and will depend on macroeconomic data — the same thing he's been saying since early 2025. However, the market, which ignored Powell with a negative bias in the first half of 2025, is now doing the same with a positive tilt. Powell's rhetoric, in essence, hasn't cha…
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Friday Trade Analysis:1H EUR/USD Chart The EUR/USD currency pair continued its downward movement on Friday and may break through the ascending trend line as early as today. The euro has been falling for three consecutive days now, which is somewhat puzzling. Most recent data and news have not been negative for the euro or particularly positive for the dollar. The pair began its decline last Wednesday evening, right after the Fed announced the dovish results of its meeting. The fall continued through Thursday and Friday, driven in part by strong pressure on the pound sterling due to renewed budget and debt issues in the UK. However, this process should come to an end s…
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Thursday Trade Review: 1H GBP/USD Chart The GBP/USD pair also continued its downward movement on Thursday — both before and after Jerome Powell's speech, in which he said essentially nothing new. Still, the market doesn't seem to need any real reasons to sell right now. Just a few days ago, the pound was showing flat-like behavior, so the irrational moves could have been forgiven. But now the pound is falling hard, and the reasons are, frankly, difficult to articulate — unless you fall back on the vague "rise in risk-off sentiment." In any case, the current movement is entirely irrational, and it's important to acknowledge that. There were no meaningful events in the…
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Friday Trade Analysis:1H chart of GBP/USD The GBP/USD pair continued its downward movement on Friday, even though a rise in the pound would have been more logical. Let's recall that on Friday morning, the UK released a fairly positive retail sales report, which traders completely ignored. Overall, last week's economic statistics in the UK were quite solid, but it didn't prevent the pound from falling due to renewed concerns over the national budget. The pound has declined not because of the Fed or Bank of England meetings, but due to more budget-related issues. From our point of view, this factor has already been priced in—how long can the market keep selling off the …
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Friday's Trade Review:1H Chart of the EUR/USD Pair On Friday, the EUR/USD currency pair began a new leg of upward correction within the broader downward trend. In simpler terms, the recent decline of the euro over the past several weeks is either part of a larger correction or simply a phase of sideways consolidation on higher timeframes. As mentioned previously, the current drop in the euro is illogical. A continuous stream of U.S. news has been pushing traders toward only one action—selling the dollar. Yet on the daily timeframe, in conditions of a flat market, price movement in either direction doesn't require macroeconomic or fundamental reasoning. The key questio…
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Monday Trade Review: 1H Chart of EUR/USD Pair The EUR/USD currency pair mainly traded sideways on Monday. During the European session, a downward movement was observed, raising many questions from both a fundamental and macroeconomic perspective. No important or even secondary reports were published on Monday. There was also nothing noteworthy among fundamental events. On Friday, Donald Trump announced new tariffs on China—100%—which essentially marks a new escalation in the global trade war. Nevertheless, the dollar again barely declined in the foreign exchange market. For over two weeks in a row, the market has been ignoring all negative news for the U.S. currency…
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Friday Trade Recap:1H Chart – EUR/USD On Friday, the EUR/USD pair once again traded in a "neither fish nor fowl" manner. Volatility remained minimal, as it had been throughout the previous week. We reiterate our earlier observation: it was a very strange week. Even without the missing Non-Farm Payrolls and unemployment reports, there were plenty of fundamental and macroeconomic events—and many of them were significant. What explains the lack of volatility and overall reluctance to trade remains unclear. Even Friday's ISM Services PMI, which came in well below forecasts, could have easily triggered a 50–60 pip drop in the dollar. From a technical perspective, the upwar…
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Monday's Trade Breakdown1-Hour EUR/USD Chart On Monday, the EUR/USD currency pair continued to slide lower, despite breaking the descending trendline three times. Thus, we still believe that the local downtrend has come to an end. However, the price has failed to break above the 1.1754 level after six attempts. In our opinion, the US dollar still has no foundation for a medium-term rally, so we expect the upward movement in EUR/USD to resume in any case. The only question is — when? Currently, the market shows little interest in opening long positions, despite all necessary conditions being present. Monday's session didn't clarify much. From the start of the day, the …
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Tuesday Trade Review1-Hour EUR/USD Chart On Tuesday, the EUR/USD currency pair continued falling despite an entirely empty macroeconomic calendar. The U.S. dollar, which had declined throughout 2025, is now unexpectedly rising — and many analysts are scrambling to find explanations for this move. There are no convincing arguments in favor of dollar strength this week. Last week, the dollar at least moved sideways, although even that didn't make sense considering the weak overall macro and fundamental backdrop. To recap: ISM business activity indexes came in weak, U.S. employment data disappointed again, and a government shutdown began in the U.S. We believe there are …
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Wednesday Trade Breakdown:1-Hour EUR/USD Chart On Wednesday, the EUR/USD currency pair traded in both directions while maintaining a downward bias on the hourly timeframe. The main decline occurred during the Asian session, so even the one major macroeconomic report — Germany's industrial production, which disappointed significantly — had virtually no impact on the euro. In the evening, the minutes from the latest FOMC meeting revealed that about half of the committee members expect further monetary easing. The key interest rate could be cut two more times by year-end. However, this information had already been public knowledge since September 17, the date of the Fede…
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Tuesday Trade Review:1H Chart of EUR/USD On Tuesday, the EUR/USD currency pair continued its upward movement, though the pace throughout the day remained very slow, despite a relatively large number of macroeconomic reports. In Germany alone, reports on retail sales, unemployment, jobless claims, and inflation were released. The data was mixed, but we believe that the inflation figure is currently the most important. In Germany, inflation rose more than forecast, giving grounds to expect a rise in eurozone-wide inflation. Higher inflation across the eurozone makes any new ECB rate cut nearly impossible and even opens up the possibility of future rate hikes. Naturally,…
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Wednesday Trade Review:1H Chart of EUR/USD On Wednesday, the EUR/USD currency pair continued to trade erratically, effectively moving sideways. The primary reason behind this choppy and unattractive behavior was the macroeconomic environment. Both the EU and the U.S. released several significant reports, each triggering its own market reaction. The day began with euro area inflation data, which, unlike German inflation, did not exceed forecasts. This disappointed traders and triggered a decline in the value of the euro. Later during the U.S. session, an extremely weak ADP labor market report was published. This report could serve as the main reference going forward if…
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Trade Review for Thursday: 1H Chart of EUR/USD On Thursday, the EUR/USD pair unexpectedly collapsed. This does not mean the dollar strengthened enough to start a new local "dollar trend." However, this week's movements have been very mixed and illogical, with the market ignoring many factors unfavorable for the U.S. currency. As noted, the dollar had formal reasons to fall yesterday. The eurozone unemployment rate unexpectedly rose to 6.3%, which could have triggered the euro's decline. Yet, in the U.S., a government shutdown has just begun, and the labor market once again showed weakness. In our view, these two factors are far more important than the EU unemploymen…
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Tuesday Trade Review:1H Chart of EUR/USD The EUR/USD currency pair on Tuesday showed a downward move for inexplicable reasons. Recall that the annual NonFarm Payrolls report was supposed to be released that day—a report that initially bore nothing good for the US dollar. In the end, the annual Nonfarm figure was revised down by almost 1 million jobs. So, the dollar had excellent chances to continue its decline yesterday. But instead, we saw it rise. It's important to note that trading is taking place on the 5-minute chart. In this trading style (intraday), trades rarely depend on the nature of macroeconomic events. In other words, two trading signals were formed yeste…
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Wednesday Trade Review:1H Chart of EUR/USD On Wednesday, the EUR/USD currency pair traded with minimal volatility and without any trend. This is now the second day in a row this week that the market has shown completely illogical movements. We'll leave aside what's happening in the crypto market—there's little logic there either. Recall that on Tuesday, the annual Nonfarm Payrolls report was published. Although it didn't reveal anything new—US labor market contraction continues—it remains an important report that traders ignored. Yesterday, the US Producer Price Index (PPI) showed a price decline of 0.1% in August. We don't believe this drop in PPI will have any impac…
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Thursday Trade Review:1H Chart of EUR/USD The EUR/USD currency pair demonstrated strong growth on Thursday and continues to remain in its new upward trend, although the movement is still somewhat weak. It feels like market makers are waiting for the right moment—and that moment has not yet arrived. Recall that the dollar still has every reason to keep falling: nothing has fundamentally improved in the US lately to justify a dollar rally. Yesterday, the ECB decided to keep all monetary policy parameters unchanged, signaling to the market that policy easing won't occur any time soon. Meanwhile, the Fed is set to resume cutting its key rate as early as next week, and in …
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Friday Trade Review:1H Chart of EUR/USD The EUR/USD currency pair showed absolutely no interesting movements on Friday. Only two reports throughout the day could have theoretically attracted traders' attention. In the morning, Germany released the second estimate of the consumer price index for August. Unsurprisingly, the second estimate matched the first, prompting no market reaction. In the second half of the day, the US Consumer Sentiment Index was released, which declined noticeably compared to August, from 58.2 points to 55.4 points. This report could have triggered a drop in the dollar, but it didn't. The day's total volatility was 45 pips, which eloquently spea…
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Monday Trade Review:1H Chart of EUR/USD On Monday, the EUR/USD currency pair continued its upward movement in line with the prevailing trend. Despite the absence of any significant macroeconomic releases, the euro kept appreciating at a steady pace. Recall that over the past one and a half to two months, market volatility has sharply declined, which affects the quality of trades and signals. In simple terms, signals may be strong, but the lack of movement prevents traders from profiting from them. Yesterday's first speech by Christine Lagarde this week brought no new information for traders, as expected. The ECB laid out its plan last week, leaving no open questions. …
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Tuesday Trade Review:1H Chart of EUR/USD On Tuesday, the EUR/USD pair continued its upward movement. The hourly timeframe clearly shows the formation of a new bullish trend, and on the daily timeframe, the trend of 2025 is officially back in force. There's no point even searching for new reasons behind the dollar's latest fall. None of the four somewhat important reports yesterday had anything to do with the euro's growth. US retail sales and industrial production both exceeded forecasts, which should have caused the pair to fall. However, the global fundamental backdrop continues to exert powerful pressure on the US dollar. From time to time, the dollar does correct,…
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