Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
11728 tópicos neste fórum
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Twenty One Capital, a major player in the Bitcoin (BTC) treasury sector founded by Jack Mallers, is on the verge of going public in the United States. However, ahead of its highly anticipated debut on December 9, the company has moved a substantial sum of 43,500 BTC—approximately worth $4.5 billion—into an escrow wallet. This move has sparked market concerns about a potential sell-off, which could create major selling pressure for the leading cryptocurrency as it attempts to consolidate above the key $90,000 support level. $1.5 Billion Loss In Bitcoin Investments Experts on the social media platform X (formerly Twitter), such as OxNobler, have pointed out that the co…
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Whisper storming around Washington has pushed crypto market structure bill, or CMSB, discussions back into the space, and we can say that the timing couldn’t be more interesting. Democrats reportedly met privately to review Republicans’ compromise draft, just as we brace for a potential rate cut and renewed optimism from the latest Saylor and his Bitcoin buys. This shift is showing up elsewhere, too. The SEC is now actually talking to industry players instead of treating them like suspects. Also, global adoption of tokenized products keeps accelerating. ONDO’s acquisition of Oasis Pro Markets didn’t make huge headlines, but it’s the sort of infrastructure move that …
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Asia Market Wrap - Nikkei Recovers, Broader Challenges Remain Most Read: FOMC Meeting Preview: How the FOMC's December Dot Plot Will Affect the US Dollar (DXY) The Nikkei index finished higher on Tuesday, overcoming an initial slump thanks to strong gains from chip-related companies. Three of the five biggest contributors to the index's rise were semiconductor firms, with the chip-making tool maker Tokyo Electron leading the way, following a positive performance by their US counterparts overnight. The Nikkei index ultimately added 0.1% to close the day slightly higher, while the broader Topix index ended flat. Japanese stocks started the day cautiously because investor…
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Bitcoin is regaining strength after the November sell-off, but it is still too early to talk about a reversal of the bear market. Many experts predict the onset of a cryptocurrency winter, which could keep BTC trading in the $80,000 – $100,000 range for a considerable time. However, fundamental factors such as central banks' monetary policy easing and declining inflation could positively affect risk assets, including Bitcoin. Institutional investors, who were the driving force behind growth in 2024-2025, are currently being cautious and are not rushing to increase their positions in cryptocurrency. At the same time, there are positive signals, as purchases from large and…
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After weeks of speculation, BlackRock, the world’s largest asset manager, has officially filed for a staked Ethereum (ETH) Exchange-Traded Fund (ETF) with the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). Amid the bullish news, the King of Altcoins’ price is attempting to break out of a two-month resistance, which could set the stage for a retest of higher levels. BlackRock Files For Staked Ethereum ETF BlackRock has submitted an S-1 form with the US SEC to get approval for its iShares Ethereum Staking Trust (ETHB), which “seeks to reflect generally the performance of the price of ether and rewards from staking a portion of the Trust’s ether, to the extent the Sponsor in…
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The XRP price narrative is heating up again as markets brace for the pivotal FOMC meeting on December 9-10, 2025. With crypto trading sideways during a tense macro reset, many analysts believe XRP could be one of the biggest beneficiaries if the Federal Reserve confirms a dovish shift. After years of quantitative tightening, shrinking liquidity, and rising volatility in risk assets, traders are now watching for signs of renewed quantitative easing. Such an event could ignite a powerful, liquidity-driven rally across the crypto market, and XRP, as one of the top-standing cryptos, would benefit massively. With its ETF approval a month ago, regulatory momentum, and a techni…
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Yesterday, stock indices closed lower. The S&P 500 fell by 0.35%, while the Nasdaq 100 decreased by 0.14%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped by 0.45%. Global indices are range-bound as Treasury yields rise again, with traders increasingly concerned about the pace of monetary easing by the Federal Reserve. Uncertainty regarding the Fed's future actions is fueling nervousness in the market. Investors, frustrated by the lack of key economic data, are trying to guess how quickly the regulator will continue to lower interest rates next year and how aggressive this process will be. Weak macroeconomic indicators could increase pressure on the Fed, prompting it to act…
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No one is ready to take risks. Investors opted to lock in profits ahead of the FOMC meeting, causing the S&P 500 to step back and move away from record highs. The US central bank is expected to lower the federal funds rate by 25 basis points to 3.75%. However, to placate opponents of this decision, Jerome Powell is likely to adopt a hawkish tone. Signals indicating a pause in the monetary expansion cycle could lead to a correction in the broad stock index. The S&P 500 has gotten back into the game after declining in late October to early November, thanks to expectations for easing monetary policy from the Fed in December, which have alleviated fears about a tech …
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Analysis of Trades and Trading Tips for the Japanese YenThe price test at 155.73 coincided with the MACD indicator just beginning to move upward from the zero mark, confirming the correct entry point for buying the dollar. As a result, the pair rose by more than 25 pips. The dollar continues to regain ground against the Japanese yen, and there are currently no particularly aggressive sellers, even though conditions should be favorable for yen buyers. Apparently, traders have decided to pause ahead of the central bank outcomes from these countries. Today's data showing a decline in machinery orders in Japan somewhat weakened the yen against the dollar. However, the pair's …
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Analysis of Trades and Trading Tips for the British PoundThe first test of the price at 1.3309 occurred when the MACD indicator had moved significantly down from the zero mark, which limited the pair's downward potential. For this reason, I did not sell the pound. The second test at 1.3309 coincided with the MACD being in the oversold area, allowing for the implementation of Scenario 2 to buy the pound. As a result, the pair rose by 20 pips. The British pound has corrected somewhat; however, it still has room to grow. In the UK, despite some signs of stabilization, inflation remains at a high level, putting pressure on the Bank of England. The central bank is forced to ma…
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Analysis of Trades and Trading Tips for the Euro CurrencyThe price test at 1.1646 coincided with the MACD indicator just beginning to move down from the zero line, confirming the correct entry point for selling the euro. As a result, the pair fell by nearly 30 pips. Yesterday, the dollar briefly strengthened against the euro, but it did not prompt any significant technical changes in the market. No one seems to be seriously intervening in the market ahead of the Federal Reserve meeting starting today. The outcomes will be published tomorrow evening. Any signs of further policy easing will hurt the U.S. dollar, so serious purchases are not currently on anyone's mind. Today…
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Bitcoin has failed to hold above $92,000 and has retraced to below $90,000. Ethereum is also facing some challenges in sustaining its upward momentum. However, looking at the technical picture over the past few weeks, the odds are still in favor of buyers, and the chances of a new wave of growth after the Federal Reserve meeting are quite high. In a recent report by Glassnode, the Trend Score indicator suggests strong buying of BTC among nearly all types of investors, from whales to smaller retail traders. This is often observed before a market reversal, although not always. Additionally, a recent Santiment report noted that after heavy selling in November, whales have f…
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As Bitcoin (BTC) experienced significant volatility throughout the year, reaching new all-time highs (ATHs) before enduring sharp corrections of up to 30%, the cryptocurrency community has become increasingly polarized regarding its future direction. Many analysts are raising concerns about a potential bear market emerging in 2026; however, market expert Shanaka Anslem has offered a different perspective on social media platform X (formerly Twitter), questioning whether 2025 has already represented the real bear market. A Sign Of Cycle Change In his analysis, Anslem highlights key evidence. For the first time in history, Bitcoin breached its all-time high prior to the …
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The U.S. dollar slightly strengthened against the euro, the pound, and other risk assets; however, this did not prompt any significant technical changes in the market. The temporary strengthening of the dollar against the euro yesterday in the afternoon can hardly be linked to anything specific. The changes against the pound were even less noticeable. It is evident that the market is waiting for signals from the Federal Reserve on future monetary policy. Traders are also closely monitoring macroeconomic indicators in an attempt to predict how dovish the Fed will be in the near future. Today, in the first half of the day, data on Germany's trade balance is expected, along …
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Bitcoin’s on-chain activity has shown a sharp slowdown since spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) launched. While institutional inflows into these products have accelerated, the number of active BTC addresses has declined. As Wall Street embraces BTC exposure, the network’s grassroots participation appears to be undergoing a significant transformation. In an X post, the CEO of SwanDesk, financial analyst Jacob King, pointed out that Bitcoin active addresses have been in a steady decline since the US spot BTC ETFs launched in January 2024, and the irony is obvious. Why Retail Participation Shows Signs Of Fatigue For years, BTC maximalists have pushed for Wall Stree…
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[Crude Oil] With the EMA condition forming a Death Cross and the RSI(14) which positioned in the Neutral-Bearish level, it indicates that Crude Oil has the potential to decline down to its nearest support level today. Key Levels 1. Resistance. 2 : 60.89 2. Resistance. 1 : 59.87 3. Pivot : 59.27 4. Support. 1 : 58.25 5. Support. 2 : 57.65 Tactical Scenario: Pressure Zone: If the price of #CL breaks down below 58.25, it may continue to weaken to 57.65. Momentum Extension Bias: If 57.65 is broken, Crude Oil could continue its decline down to 56.63. Invalidation Level / Bias Revision: The downside bias is restrained if the price of #CL unexpectedly str…
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[Natural Gas] With technical indicators condition indicating a weakening trend, Natural Gas has the potential to decline today. Key Levels 1. Resistance. 2 : 5.325 2. Resistance. 1 : 5.091 3. Pivot : 4.971 4. Support. 1 : 4.737 5. Support. 2 : 4.617 Tactical Scenario: Pressure Zone: If the price breaks down below 4.737, #NG will test 4.617. Momentum Extension Bias: If 4.617 is also broken, Natural Gas could continue its decline down to 4.383. Invalidation Level / Bias Revision: The downside bias is held if the price of Natural Gas unexpectedly strengthens and breaks above 5.325. Technical Summary: EMA(50) : 4.968 EMA(200): 4.996 RSI(14) : 30.05 Ec…
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Analysis of Macroeconomic Reports: There are relatively few macroeconomic reports scheduled for Tuesday. As mentioned earlier, the only noteworthy reports are the JOLTs and ADP reports from the U.S. The ADP report cannot be considered significant, as it will present weekly changes in the number of employees in the private sector rather than monthly data. The JOLTS report on job openings will be published for September and October, meaning this data is already outdated, and the Federal Reserve is unlikely to consider it in its decisions on Wednesday. There is still a lack of crucial data, such as NonFarm Payrolls, unemployment rates, and inflation. Analysis of Fun…
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Trade Analysis for Monday: 1H Chart of the GBP/USD Pair On Monday, the GBP/USD pair exhibited virtually no trading activity. The volatility of the British pound was even lower than that of the European currency. The price continued its insignificant decline toward the ascending trend line, and we consider the preservation of the upward trend for the British pound to be a positive sign – the trend for the euro may also recover. There were no reasons for the euro to decline on Monday, so we witnessed another illogical drop. This decline appears especially illogical ahead of the Federal Reserve meeting, where the rate will be cut for the third consecutive time. The U.S.…
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Trade Analysis for Monday: 1H Chart of the EUR/USD Pair On Monday, the EUR/USD currency pair continued to correct within the upward trend. However, at this point, it is not easy to assert that the upward trend remains intact. The price established itself below the ascending trend line yesterday, so formally, the trend has changed to bearish. Nevertheless, we would like to draw the attention of novice traders to one important fact. Market movements remain very weak, so there may be situations where the breach of the trend line occurs not due to a trend reversal but rather due to the prolonged correction and the weakness of the primary movement. Recall that there will…
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Dogecoin started a recovery wave above the $0.140 zone against the US Dollar. DOGE is now facing hurdles near $0.1450 and might struggle to continue higher. DOGE price started a decent upward move above $0.140 and $0.1410. The price is trading above the $0.140 level and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There is a bullish trend line forming with support at $0.1405 on the hourly chart of the DOGE/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The price could extend losses if it stays below $0.140 and $0.1380. Dogecoin Price Faces Resistance Dogecoin price started a recovery wave from the $0.1350 zone, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. DOGE climbed above the $0.1380 and $0.140 resista…
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On-chain data shows the XRP whales have distributed a significant amount during the past week, a sign of negative sentiment among large holders. XRP Whales Have Shed 510 Million Tokens From Their Holdings As announced by analyst Ali Martinez in a new post on X, XRP whales have participated in a notable amount of selling recently. A “whale” is typically defined as an XRP investor holding between 1 million and 10 million tokens. At the current exchange rate of the cryptocurrency, this range converts to $2 million at the lower end and $20 million at the upper one. Given the size of the range, the only investors who would qualify for the cohort would be the big-money hands…
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XRP price started a recovery wave above $2.080. The price is now consolidating and might struggle to clear the $2.10 resistance. XRP price started a recovery wave above the $2.060 zone. The price is now trading above $2.050 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $2.0850 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could continue to move up if it settles above $2.10. XRP Price Faces Rejection XRP price remained supported above $2.020 and started a recovery wave, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price was able to climb above $2.050 and $2.060 to enter a positive zone. There was also…
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Based on reports, France’s second-largest banking group has started letting customers trade crypto in its mobile apps. BPCE opened the service on Monday for selected users of Banque Populaire and Caisse d’Épargne. Around 2 million people in four regional banks can now buy and sell Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana and USDC through the apps. Measured Limited Rollout The launch covers the Provence-Alpes-Côte-d’Azur branch of Caisse d’Épargne and the Île-de-France division of Banque Populaire, among others. BPCE has said it will watch early use closely. That controlled approach is meant to catch technical issues and fix the user flow before wider availability. If all goes to pla…
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Key takeaways Hotter-than-expected October trimmed CPI and hawkish RBA communication have sharply reduced rate-cut expectations for 2026, with markets now pricing a >70% chance of a hike by end-2026.Australia’s 2-year and 10-year bond yield premiums over US Treasuries have widened to multi-year highs, boosting the appeal of AUD-denominated assets and supporting medium-term AUD/USD strength.AUD/USD maintains a short-term bullish bias above 0.6605, supported by a major trendline breakout, firm MACD momentum, and an RSI rebound from near-oversold levels. The hawkish parliamentary speech from RBA Governor Bullock in the past week and the latest monthly trimmed Austra…
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