Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12258 tópicos neste fórum
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Despite facing criticism for lagging behind the United States in creating a more accommodating environment for cryptocurrency growth and adoption, China reaffirmed its stringent stance on crypto once again this week. Authorities issued warnings about the alleged risks posed by stablecoins, particularly amid concerns that the US may have solidified its dollar dominance through these digital assets. US GENIUS Act Vs. China’s Crypto Caution According to local media reports, Pan Gongsheng, governor of the People’s Bank of China, announced plans to expand the use of the country’s central bank digital currency (CBDC), known as the “e-CNY.” He remarked, “[Stablecoins] are s…
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Trade Analysis and Recommendations for the Japanese YenThe first test of the price at 152.71 occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved significantly down from the zero mark, limiting the downside potential of the pair. The second test of 152.71 took place shortly thereafter while the MACD was in the oversold area, allowing scenario No. 2 for buying the dollar to be realized. As a result, the pair only increased by 40 pips. Demand for the yen returned today after Japan's core consumer price index rose to 2.1% in October, up from 2.0% recorded in September. This suggests the central bank may return to a more hawkish stance on interest rate increases in the near fut…
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Trade Analysis and Recommendations for the British PoundThe first test of the price at 1.3328 occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved significantly down from the zero mark, which limited the downside potential of the pair. The second test of 1.3328 shortly thereafter took place while the MACD was in the oversold area, allowing scenario No. 2 for buying the pound to be realized. As a result, the pair only rose by 10 pips. There is no fundamental data for the UK today, so the pound has every chance to continue its correction. The absence of macroeconomic data generally provides currencies with maneuverability, allowing them to move under the influence of technica…
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Trade Analysis and Recommendations for the Euro CurrencyThe tests of the levels I indicated in the second half of the day did not take place, so I was left without trades. The absence of U.S. reports due to the shutdown, which is approaching its monthly mark, negatively affected the U.S. dollar's position. Given that today marks the start of the Federal Reserve meeting, this factor discourages traders from making active dollar purchases—especially amid the recent dovish rhetoric from committee members. The geopolitical situation also plays a role, particularly the ongoing trade conflict between the U.S. and China, which may de-escalate after the upcoming meeting between X…
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After breaching a significant resistance level around $116,400, Bitcoin retraced to $114,000, with further upside potential. Ethereum also corrected, but it remained above $4,000, which is quite favorable. While the cryptocurrency market surges ahead of the Federal Reserve's decision to lower interest rates, a Swiss legislator announced that the country is working to establish a strategic Bitcoin reserve. This unexpected development signals a growing recognition of digital assets not just as speculative tools but also as potential elements of national financial security. Switzerland, traditionally known for its conservative financial policy, has always been cautious abou…
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The stock market has found reasons for optimism, from corporate earnings and merger deals to the de-escalation of trade conflicts and expectations of a federal funds rate reduction. After a brief consolidation, the S&P 500 has resumed the practice of reaching record highs on a daily basis and is currently approaching the previously indicated level of 6,920. Approximately 86% of reporting companies exceeded profit forecasts, while 69% surpassed revenue expectations. This latter figure is the highest since 2021. The deviation of actual data from estimates is 2.4%, significantly higher than the historical average of 0.5%. The financial results of American corporations d…
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The U.S. dollar continued to lose ground against the euro, British pound, Japanese yen, and other risk assets. The lack of U.S. statistics affected the U.S. dollar, and the upcoming FOMC meeting intensified the reluctance to open new long positions. In recent weeks, traders have shown noticeable caution regarding the dollar, awaiting signals from the Federal Reserve regarding future monetary policy. The uncertainty surrounding inflation rates and economic growth prospects in the U.S. creates a basis for a more accommodative policy, which is impacting the U.S. dollar. The Euro, conversely, demonstrates relative resilience despite ongoing economic challenges in the Eurozone…
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Althea crypto is rapidly gaining attention in the DeFi and telecom spaces, as its native token is seeing significant upside amid the renewed interest of altcoin season and FOMO-driven narratives. With the ALTHEA price reportedly climbing by over 190% in the past seven days, the project is positioning itself as a decentralized alternative to traditional internet infrastructure, challenging the dominance of players such as Starlink. But what exactly underpins this surge, and can Althea truly disrupt conventional telecom models? (Source – Coingecko) What is Althea Crypto and How Does It Work? Althea is a permissionless blockchain platform built on the hybrid EVM/Cosmos-…
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Data shows the Bitcoin Fear & Greed Index has surged back into the neutral zone after the recovery rally in the cryptocurrency’s price. Bitcoin Fear & Greed Index Now Has A Value Of 51 The “Fear & Greed Index” refers to an indicator created by Alternative that measures the average sentiment present among traders in the Bitcoin and wider cryptocurrency markets. The metric uses the data of the following five factors to determine the investor mentality: trading volume, market cap dominance, volatility, social media sentiment, and Google Trends. The index uses a numerical scale running from zero to hundred for representing this sentiment. All values above 53 cor…
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Dogecoin struggled to rise above $0.210 and corrected some gains against the US Dollar. DOGE is now consolidating and might decline below $0.1980. DOGE price started a fresh downside correction below $0.2035. The price is trading below the $0.20 level and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There was a break below a contracting triangle with support at $0.20 on the hourly chart of the DOGE/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The price could aim for a fresh increase if it remains stable above $0.1940. Dogecoin Price Starts Another Pullback Dogecoin price started a fresh increase after it settled above $0.1920, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. DOGE climbed above the $0.20 re…
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Review of Macroeconomic Reports: One macroeconomic report is scheduled for Tuesday. Germany will release the consumer confidence index from GfK, which holds roughly the same value for traders as yesterday's business climate report. In recent weeks, the market has been ignoring factors related to the global fundamental backdrop and much more significant macroeconomic reports. Therefore, the consumer confidence index is unlikely to provoke any market reaction. The calendars for the UK, Eurozone, and the U.S. are empty today. Review of Fundamental Events: No fundamental events are scheduled for Tuesday either. This week, the European Central Bank and the Feder…
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The Cardano weekly chart is still looking strongly bullish according to independent technician Charting Guy (@ChartingGuy on X) who resurfaced his long-running Fibonacci roadmap and channel study. Can Cardano Top $6 This Cycle? His latest post on X on October 26 noted that “ADA is fine as long as uptrend holds,” a view that is anchored in a multi-year rising channel that has contained price action since the 2018–2019 base. The channel features a lower rail now passing through roughly the $0.33–$0.35 area, a midline that has behaved as a recurring pivot since 2020, and overhead parallels that intersect with Fibonacci extension targets later in the cycle. The chart histo…
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Monday Trade Review: 1H Chart of the GBP/USD Pair On Tuesday, the GBP/USD pair also traded upward, albeit with minimal volatility. The mere fact that the British pound is rising is already positive, as in recent weeks the market has completely ignored macroeconomic and fundamental factors that, in fact, suggested the pair's growth. We previously mentioned that the key issue is the flatness on the daily timeframe, which causes weak, illogical movements on lower timeframes. However, the flat will not last forever, so one must be prepared for a new, powerful movement. Given the current conditions, such a movement can only be expected in one direction – north. There were…
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Monday Trade Review: 1H Chart of the EUR/USD Pair The EUR/USD currency pair traded with minimal volatility and a slight upward slope on Monday. The upward slope is not surprising, as the trend on the hourly timeframe shifted upward a few weeks ago, and given the global fundamental backdrop, the rise of the euro is entirely logical under any local circumstances. However, the very low volatility is explained by the absence of significant fundamental or macroeconomic events on Monday. Only the business climate index was published in Germany, which went largely unnoticed. Recall that many important macroeconomic reports were released on Friday, but volatility remained v…
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XRP price started a fresh increase above $2.50. The price is now showing positive signs and might rise further if it clears the $2.6880 resistance. XRP price gained pace for a move above $2.50 and $2.550. The price is now trading above $2.50 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a bullish trend line forming with support at $2.60 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could start a fresh increase if it clears the $2.6880 resistance. XRP Price Holds Support XRP price started a fresh increase after it settled above $2.40, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price surpassed the $2.420 and $2.50 resistance levels. The bulls were…
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The XRP market is bracing for a new phase of intense volatility, with anticipation growing around key legal, regulatory, and institutional developments. Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse has recently addressed the XRP community, offering guidance and setting expectations for what is to come. XRP Unusual Stability May Be Setting Up A Major Move The cryptocurrency world is buzzing with increased anticipation for XRP, following a series of strategic announcements from Ripple and compelling technical analysis. Popular crypto news source CryptosRus has highlighted on X that the altcoin is poised for a sharp move, as Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse has mentioned that investors should…
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[Natural Gas] – [Tuesday, October 28, 2025] With all technical indicators for Natural Gas which shows bullish conditions, #NG has the potential to move toward its nearest resistance level today. Key Levels: 1. Resistance. 2 : 3.583 2. Resistance. 1 : 3.493 3. Pivot : 3.377 4. Support. 1 : 3.171 5. Support. 2 : 3.081 Tactical Scenario: Positive Reaction Zone: If the price of Natural Gas strengthens and breaks through and closes above 3.493, it may move toward 3.583. Momentum Extension Bias: If 3.583 is breached and closes above, #NG may test the level at 3.699. Invalidation Level / Bias Revision: The upside bias weakens if Natural Gas declines and brea…
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[Silver] – [Tuesday, October 28, 2025] Based on technical data which indicates a weakening trend, such as the RSI in the Neutral-Bearish zone accompanied by a Bearish Divergence and the two EMAs forming a Death Cross, Silver is likely to weaken today toward its nearest support. Key Levels: 1. Resistance. 2 : 49.590 2. Resistance. 1 : 48.240 3. Pivot : 47.145 4. Support. 1 : 45.795 5. Support. 2 : 44.700 Tactical Scenario: Pressure Zone: If the XAG/USD price weakens and breaks down to close below 45.795, it will test the next support level at 44.700. Momentum Extension Bias: If 44.700 is breached and closes below, there is potential for Silver to contin…
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After a brief hesitation before the MACD line on Monday and Friday, the euro forcefully breached it yesterday evening and continued to rise this morning. The Marlin oscillator is rising ahead of the price and therefore has a high chance of entering positive territory. Once it establishes itself above the zero line, the Marlin will strengthen the upward movement of the price. The target level of 1.1779 (the peak from October 1 and September 9) is now open. On the four-hour chart, the price consolidated below the balance line, but it has now established itself above it. The Marlin oscillator is rising and has consolidated in positive territory, with its growth gradually …
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On the weekly chart, the pound has been consolidating around the MACD line for three weeks without consolidating above or below it. If the current week closes below the MACD line (at the level of 1.3414), a bearish consolidation will occur. Thus, the pound's task is to try to close the week above this mark. This task is quite challenging because the Marlin oscillator has been declining for all three weeks, and even if the price holds above 1.3414, the oscillator may not have enough time to rise into positive territory. If this happens, the pattern from the week before last may repeat. On the daily chart, the price is struggling against resistance from both the MACD lin…
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Yesterday, the USD/JPY pair reversed from the local resistance at 153.28. A new medium-term target was likely set on October 10, as the price did not reach the 154.00 target. The reversal occurred under the influence of a divergence on the daily scale. To solidify a medium-term movement, the price needs to establish itself below the target range of 151.70-152.10. The MACD line is located just below this range. Breaching 151.70 becomes strategically significant, as bears are considering advancing in the medium term. On the four-hour chart, the price's drop below the MACD line coincided with the Marlin oscillator moving into a downtrend territory. This indicates a rapid …
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After testing the 1622.5 level on October 23, the price reached the MACD support line this morning and forcefully breached it. The daily candle will likely close below this line, opening the target support at 1463.5—the September 3 peak. Overcoming this level would open the target range of 1355.5-1372.0 (the low from September 17). The Marlin oscillator has been in negative territory since October 21, when a strong price drop occurred. Since then, the oscillator's position has not changed, as it continues to help the price explore new lows. On the H4 chart, the price has been trading below the balance indicator line for a long time – a sign that all attempts at price gro…
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Ethereum price started a decent increase above $4,000. ETH is consolidating gains and could aim for more gains above the $4,220 resistance. Ethereum started a fresh upward move above $4,000 and $4,120. The price is trading above $4,080 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a bullish trend line forming with support at $4,055 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could continue to move up if it trades above $4,200. Ethereum Price Holds Gains Ethereum price started a steady upward move above the $3,880 zone, like Bitcoin. ETH price surpassed the $4,000 and $4,120 levels to enter a short-term positive zone. The price even spiked abov…
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Bitcoin edged higher on Sunday as signs of easing US-China trade tensions lifted risk assets, while Strategy’s founder hinted the company kept adding to its Bitcoin holdings. Strategy Keeps Buying Michael Saylor posted a chart on October 26 that uses orange dots to mark recent purchases. The visual cue has become his shorthand for new buys. Based on reports, Strategy added 387 BTC between October 13 and October 20, bringing its total to 640,418 BTC. That number is striking on its own. It shows a steady, deliberate approach to buying even when prices are volatile. Strategy’s disclosed average cost for its Bitcoin stands at $74,010. The company’s moves lately have been …
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Apparently, AI is good at trading, but not every model, mostly the Chinese ones. It is pretty interesting because while the market has trended upward, Chinese AI just keeps it simple and goes long on crypto with leverage. They get it. In our last update, Deepseek ran into trouble and lost around 40% of its portfolio. Turns out, that was a calculated risk. As the market recovered, Deepseek doubled its portfolio and is now up more than 120% since the contest started. That alone is impressive. And since it consistently outperforms real traders over a short timeframe, some people have already started copy-trading these AI bots, especially Qwen. Qwen has one strategy, and…
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