Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12223 tópicos neste fórum
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The US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and SEC Chair Paul Atkins are actively signalling a sharp policy turn on digital assets. On 19 August 2025, during the SALT conference in Wyoming, Atkins said that only a “very few” crypto tokens should be treated as securities. He further clarified that the tokens themselves are “probably not” securities. According to Atkins, the classification of the tokens depends on how they are packaged and sold, which is a visible shift from the SEC’s enforcement-led posture under former Chair Gary Gensler. “From the SEC’s perspective, we will plow forward on this idea that just the token itself is not necessarily the security. The…
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Bitcoin dominance is at a pivotal moment, testing key support levels that could determine market direction. A bounce from these zones may signal temporary stability, while a breakdown could trigger deeper declines and shift attention toward altcoins. Market Structure Signals Growing Vulnerability According to @Crypto_TheBoss in a recent market update, Bitcoin dominance has slipped below the 60% support level, signaling a notable change in market dynamics. This breakdown points to a weakening grip for Bitcoin as capital flows begin to diversify into other areas of the crypto market. Moves like this often act as early signals of potential altcoin strength, as traders look…
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Shiba Inu (SHIB) is experiencing renewed interest after fresh data revealed a massive 300% spike in on-chain activity. The meme coin recorded one of its most significant surges in transaction volume in months, indicating a possible sign of the market bottoming as large holders seemingly prepare for the next leg. Shiba Inu Sees Explosive On-Chain Growth Shiba Inu’s on-chain activity has erupted in recent days, with token transfer volumes recording a major increase. According to Etherscan’s data, on August 25, SHIB’s transfer volume surged over 4.25 trillion tokens, representing a 300% increase from the 1.13 trillion recorded the previous day. This sudden rise highlights …
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Cardano’s mood music has flipped. Even as ADA has rebounded about five percent from its late-August lows, on-chain analytics firm Santiment says the asset’s typically optimistic retail crowd has swung to its most negative stance in five months. In an X post accompanying its sentiment chart, the firm wrote: “Cardano has quietly seen its normally optimistic crowd start to turn bearish. After the lowest sentiment recorded in 5 months, $ADA’s price is +5%. Patient holders and dip buyers during this three week downswing should root for this trend of bearish retailers to continue.” Santiment framed that shift in classic contrarian terms. “Prices typically move the opposite di…
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The corporate Bitcoin sector has just smashed a major milestone. Public companies now own over 1M $BTC, showing massive confidence in the growing crypto market. Read on for three of the best cryptos to buy as institutional adoption skyrockets. Strategy and MARA Lead the Pack BitcoinTreasuries’s data shows that over $111B in $BTC assets are now in the hands of publicly traded companies. Leading the pack is Michael Saylor’s Strategy, with 636K $BTC. In second place, MARA Holdings has built a balance sheet of 52K $BTC. While MARA has successfully pivoted from a mining company into the treasury world, many mining firms chose to liquidate their $BTC holdings during the 202…
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Trade Review and Advice on Trading the Japanese YenThe price test at 148.08 occurred at the moment when the MACD indicator had just started moving downward from the zero line, confirming the correct entry point for selling the dollar. As a result, the pair plunged by 120 pips. Buying on the rebound from 146.84 allowed for an additional profit of around 60 pips from the market. Employment in the US non-farm sector grew by only 22,000 in August, which led to a sharp drop in the dollar and a strengthening of the Japanese yen. This unexpectedly weak figure, which contrasts sharply with forecasts predicting an increase of around 75,000 jobs, caused a wave of concern in financi…
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Overview: The dollar is mostly consolidating with a softer bias after the disappointing employment report before the weekend. The derivatives market is pricing in about a 10% chance of a 50 bp Fed cut next week, which still seems exaggerated given the likely uptick in headline CPI this week. The Japanese yen is the only G10 currency that is weaker on heels of the resignation of Prime Minister Ishida who saw the surveys that showed a majority of his party wanted a leadership contest this year as a vote of no-confidence. The policy uncertainty weighed on the long-end of the Japanese interest rate, though the 10-year yield slipped and equities rose. Most emerging market curr…
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XRP price is up over 5% and has tested the $3.00 resistance. The price is now consolidating gains and might correct lower if stays below $3.00. XRP price is facing hurdles and struggling to clear the $3.00 resistance. The price is now trading above $2.90 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a bullish trend line forming with support at $2.930 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could continue to rise if it stays above the $2.860 zone. XRP Price Gains Traction XRP price managed to stay above the $2.850 level and started a fresh increase, beating Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price climbed above the $2.880 and $2.90 resist…
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Trade Review and Advice on Trading the British PoundThe price test at 1.3520 occurred when the MACD indicator was just starting to move upward from the zero line, which confirmed the correct entry point for buying the pound and resulted in growth toward the target level of 1.3555. Unfortunately, there is no economic data out of the UK today, so the further direction of the pair will be determined more by technical factors, as well as the bullish momentum that has persisted in the market since the end of last week. Given the absence of fundamental drivers from the UK, technical analysis takes on primary importance. Traders will closely watch the support and resistance leve…
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Indices close mixed ahead of inflation dataUS stock indices closed mixed. The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq 100 posted gains, while the Dow Jones declined. Investors are awaiting inflation data, which will be released today. If actual figures deviate from forecasts, market volatility may increase further. Follow the link for more details. Optimistic Oracle report supports market growthOracle shares rose by 36% on the back of an optimistic report, pushing the S&P 500 to its 23rd record. Easing inflationary pressure strengthened expectations of Fed monetary policy easing. Experts note that strong results in the technology sector were the main driver of positive sent…
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Anticipation of the altcoin season has driven up the price of Ethereum (ETH), creating a wave of optimism surrounding the protocol’s native token. This marks a significant turnaround for the second-largest cryptocurrency after months of stagnation. Factors Behind ETH’s Surge A recent report from crypto bank Sygnum reveals that ETH’s price has surged dramatically, reaching all-time highs in August and outpacing Bitcoin in relative performance. According to the bank, several factors have contributed to this renewed bullish sentiment. Notably, the Pectra upgrade has addressed critical technical issues within the Ethereum ecosystem, enhancing its infrastructure. The up…
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Log in to today's North American session Market wrap for September 12 The inflation picture is settling down, with consecutive PPI (-0.1% vs 0.3% exp) and an as-expected CPI reinforcing the view that tariff effects are translating into one-off price shocks rather than a lasting trend. Since then, risk assets have surged, led by a two-day equity rally that spilled over into a massive breakout in the crypto market. (Still, watch the ongoing risk-off move happening as the week closes and traders secure profits, this is week-end risk happening) …
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A recent slashing of Ethereum from different validators has reignited the debate around staking models, with many pointing to Cardano’s more resilient structure as a key differentiator. While Ethereum’s system penalizes validators for downtime or misbehavior, Cardano’s staking approach avoids such risks, offering delegators security without the fear of losing funds. Why Simplicity And Resilience Are Cardano’s Key Advantages On September 10, a slashing of 11.7 ETH from 39 Ethereum validators highlights the advantages of Cardano’s staking structure. Crypto analyst Dori has highlighted on X the fundamental differences in staking requirements and risks between the two netwo…
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A closely watched derivatives strategist expects Bitcoin’s next major move to begin with a violent short squeeze, only to flip into a punishing “long trap” as October opens—a sequence he argues rhymes more with late-2023 than with the euphoric blow-offs of March and December 2024. In a thread posted on September 12 and expanded over the weekend, analyst Nik Patel (@cointradernik) said the current positioning backdrop “is less like March and Dec ’24 crossovers and more like Dec ’23,” warning that the market is set up for a “multi-week whipsaw going into early/mid Oct.” He added a specific liquidation map: “Give me $1.5bn in shorts liqs on the weekly and then $2.8bn of lon…
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Trade Review and Advice on Trading the Japanese YenA test of the 148.95 level occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved well above the zero mark, which limited the upside potential for the pair. For this reason, I did not buy the dollar and missed the entire upward move. The upward revision of US Q2 GDP to 3.8% from 3.0% acted as a catalyst not only for dollar strength but also triggered a real storm across currency markets—most notably seen in the sharp sell-off of the Japanese yen. This unexpected acceleration in the US economy has given the dollar's sails a boost, propelling it confidently forward, while the yen has suffered the brunt of the move. Investors, b…
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As Ethereum (ETH) fell below $4,000 for the first time since August 8, amid a market-wide pullback, the exchange reserves of the cryptocurrency also recorded a sharp decline. Notably, leading crypto exchanges like Binance and Coinbase Advanced witnessed a sharp increase in ETH outflows. Ethereum Reserves On Binance, Coinbase Advanced Dwindle According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor CryptoOnchain, Ethereum outflows across all leading crypto exchanges have surged. In August-September 2025, the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) netflow fell below -40,000 ETH per day, the lowest level since February 2023. The 50-day SMA dropping below -40,000 ETH per day s…
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Over the past two weeks, the GBP/USD pair has lost significant value. It cannot be said that the decline in the British pound was unjustified, but at the same time, it cannot be called "fully logical" either. Simply put, the market used almost all recent news against the pound. However, due to this decline, the technical picture has changed only on the lower timeframes. On the higher ones, we are still dealing with the long-term upward trend of 2025. This week, the U.S. dollar will try to defend its hard-won positions. Yet the overall picture again looks unfavorable for the greenback. Donald Trump introduced new tariffs on pharmaceuticals, trucks, and furniture, signaling…
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A sharp increase in Bitcoin during today's Asian trading session may indicate the return of large players to the market—participants who have not been very active lately. Clearly, September is not the best time for such a move. As historical data show, September is usually a bearish month not just for cryptocurrencies, but for all classes of risk assets. October, on the other hand, is known for the strongest bullish seasonality: BTC has posted positive returns and an average gain of 22.9% in 9 out of the last 10 Octobers. Naturally, this phenomenon does not guarantee a repeat, but it does highlight the cyclicality and seasonal trends that are typical of financial market…
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Trading at $3825.41 per troy ounce in today’s session, up a remarkable +1.74%, gold (XAU/USD) has once again renewed all-time highs, further extending yearly gains. As things stand, the yellow metal is on pace for its best yearly performance since 1979, up an astounding +45.75% year-to-date. Let’s examine the market fundamentals alongside some likely price targets in the upcoming sessions. Gold (XAU/USD): Key takeaways 29/09/2025 Benefitting from a ‘perfect storm’ of macroeconomic factors, gold pricing has rallied to new highs in today’s session, and crucially, has broken above the key level of $3,800 for the first time in historyWhile gold prices have been rising thro…
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Andre Cronje’s latest project, Flying Tulip, has raised $200M in a private round and is opening a public sale of its FT crypto token at the same $1Bn valuation. The exchange startup, based in New York, announced the move on September 29, stating that it is building a full-on-chain trading platform. The plan combines a native stablecoin, money markets, spot, derivatives, options, and insurance into one system. By linking everything through cross-margin, the company says it can make capital more efficient for users. The public sale will be run directly on-chain across several networks. Details such as which assets are supported, the amount that will circulate at laun…
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Key takeaways Silver’s stellar run: XAG/USD surged 16.1% in September and 27.5% in Q3 2025, marking its strongest quarter since Q3 2020.Short-term pullback risk: Price stalled at US$47.17 resistance with bearish RSI divergence, signalling potential mean reversion decline.Upside scenario: A breakout above US$47.17 could extend gains toward US$48.14/49.45 in the near term. Silver (XAG/USD) has delivered a stellar performance, surging 16.1% month-to-date and 27.5% in Q3 as of 30 September 2025, its strongest quarterly gain since Q3 2020. Over the same period, Silver has outpaced Gold (XAU/USD), which posted comparatively smaller advances of 10.4% month-to-date and 15.5…
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Gaming is a multi-billion-dollar industry, and yet, even with crypto leveling the field, regulation is critical. If there is clarity, especially in the United States, IMX crypto, the token behind the NFT-focused layer-2 for Ethereum, ImmutableX, could be the biggest beneficiary. As of September 30, IMX USD is steady, shaking off the weaknesses of the past year. The IMX crypto is up a decent +35% in the last month of trading, adding +3% in the previous week. However, IMX USDT is still in the red, losing -58% year-to-date. (Source: IMX USDT, TradingView) Zooming into the ImmutableX ecosystem, it is clear that users are still active despite the general decimation of NFT…
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Asia Market Wrap - OpenAI Boosts Asian Tech Sector Asian stock markets moved significantly higher on Thursday, fueled by a major rally in technology shares. Japan's Nikkei index gained more than 1%, led by chip sector companies, despite facing headwinds from a stronger yen against the dollar. Elsewhere, the tech-heavy stock market in Taiwan jumped 1.8%, and South Korea's KOSPI index shot up an impressive 2.8%. The boost in South Korea came after chip giants Samsung and Hynix announced new partnerships to supply data centers for OpenAI. Hong Kong's Hang Seng index also added 1.6%. This widespread enthusiasm drove the broader MSCI Emerging Markets Asia Index up by as muc…
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Gold rose for a sixth straight session on Thursday to set another all-time high, as the ongoing US government shutdown and expectations of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut continue to lift safe-haven demand. Spot gold inched higher to a new record of $3,896.43 per ounce, but has since pulled back to around the $3,830 level. In the previous session, it traded as high as $3,895.13 an ounce. Click on chart for live prices. Three-month US gold futures followed a similar pattern, as the contract’s price rose to $3,923.30 per ounce before paring gains. Gold has been rallying non-stop since the last week of September amid growing US federal budget concerns, whic…
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Dogecoin’s daily chart is coiling into a technically clean inflection, according to trader IncomeSharks, who posted a rising channel and an on-balance volume (OBV) wedge that together map a straightforward route to higher levels. “DOGE – Not a bad setup. Obvious channel and clear OBV wedge. Ideally OBV will break out before price,” the analyst wrote, sharing the chart that frames the current advance. Dogecoin Breakout Watch: $0.33 Trigger On Deck Price has been respecting a well-defined ascending channel that has governed trade since early summer. Multiple touches on both boundaries validate the structure: higher lows along the lower trendline from July through early Oct…
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