Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12258 tópicos neste fórum
-
This week, the European Central Bank will conduct a thorough data-driven assessment of its upcoming agenda to evaluate the impact of U.S. tariffs on economic growth and inflation. The key event will be the release of the first estimates of the eurozone's gross domestic product (GDP) for the third quarter of this year, which will come just a few hours before the ECB announces the results of its two-day monetary policy meeting. The preliminary GDP data will serve as a barometer of the region's economic health. Analysts expect a modest increase, but given the global economic slowdown and ongoing geopolitical risks, there is a possibility that the actual figures may fall sho…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Following the meeting, the chief trade negotiators of the U.S. and China announced that they had reached an agreement on several contentious issues, paving the way for Presidents Donald Trump and Xi Jinping to conclude a deal and ease trade tensions. The statement sparked a wave of optimism in global financial markets, which had long been weighed down by the threat of an escalating trade war. The prospect of lowering tariffs and removing trade barriers opens up new opportunities for mutual economic growth. Companies hurt by the trade tensions can now plan to resume investments and expand their operations, leading to new jobs and higher profits. However, despite the positi…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Last Friday, US stock indices closed higher, with the S&P 500 up by 0.79% and the Nasdaq 100 gaining 1.15%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average increased by 1.01%. The record rise in global equities received a new boost amid signs that the United States and China are moving closer to a trade agreement, which has driven prices for copper and oil higher. Treasury bonds fell across the curve, and gold prices decreased due to reduced demand for traditional safe-haven assets. The failure of protectionist measures and hopes for a resurgence in free trade have revitalized the industrial sectors of both countries. Industrial giants, tech companies, and energy corporations exp…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade Analysis and Advice for the Japanese YenThe test of the price at 152.86 occurred at a moment when the MACD indicator was starting to move downwards from the zero mark, confirming the correct entry point for selling the dollar. As a result, the pair decreased by 40 pips. The Japanese yen did not gain any particular advantage from the decline in U.S. price pressures, as the likelihood of maintaining stimulus for the Japanese economy after the new Prime Minister took office is much higher. The weakening of the dollar, triggered by slowing U.S. inflation, is generally favorable to other currencies; however, for the yen, domestic factors complicate the picture. The new P…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade Analysis and Advice for the British PoundThe test of the price at 1.3335 occurred when the MACD indicator was starting to move upwards from the zero mark, confirming the correct entry point for buying the pound and resulting in a 20-pip rise. American inflation slowed down in October this year, leading to a weakening of the dollar and strengthening of the British pound. Published data showed that U.S. consumer prices rose below expectations. The decrease in inflationary pressures, while welcome, prompted investors to revise their forecasts of the Federal Reserve's future policy. Today, the GBP/USD pair is unlikely to experience significant volatility, as the only im…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade Analysis and Advice for the Euro CurrencyThe test of the price at 1.1631 coincided with the moment when the MACD indicator was starting to move upwards from the zero mark, confirming the correct entry point for buying the euro. As a result, the pair increased by just 15 pips. Data showed that inflation in the United States is developing much more slowly than economists had anticipated, which led to a decline in the value of the American currency and an increase in the value of the euro last Friday. Investors who were expecting a softer stance from the Federal Reserve regarding interest rates are now fully convinced that the central bank no longer needs to focus on r…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Over the years, a number of indicators have emerged that have often helped to pinpoint the Bitcoin bull market peak. These indicators have been triggered in previous cycles, and their triggers have often been a signal that it was time to get out of the market, as a new bear market is underway. However, this time around, even with the Bitcoin price hitting multiple new all-time highs, none of these cycle peak indicators have been triggered, suggesting that the market top has yet to be reached. 0 Out Of 30 Bull Market Peak Indicators Triggered The Bull Market Peak Indicator tracker on the Coinglass website follows a total of 30 indicators that follow 30 indicators that sho…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin has returned to the vicinity of $116,000, signaling an upward move. Ethereum is also trying to stabilize above $4,200. The cryptocurrency market has bounced back after news that the U.S. and China are close to reaching an agreement on several trade disputes, which has reduced the likelihood of the U.S. imposing 100% tariffs to nearly zero. Investors interpreted this as a signal of decreasing geopolitical tension and a return of appetite for risk assets, including cryptocurrencies. Bitcoin, as the market flagbearer, demonstrated confident growth, pulling altcoins along with it. The market's recovery is also fueled by positive news from the regulatory front. There…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Concerns in the US stock market are out of fashion. Pessimists are missing good trading opportunities, while a plethora of positive news is driving the S&P 500 to new heights. For the first time in history, the broad stock index has touched the 6,800 mark, thanks to impressive corporate earnings, a still-strong economy, and the Federal Reserve's intention to continue its cycle of monetary expansion. Inflation is not a hurdle to this progress. The September figures showed that the CPI is a dog that doesn't bark. Indeed, investors were worried that soaring consumer prices would block significant monetary policy easing in 2026. Two rate cuts by the Fed in 2025 would be …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The U.S. dollar declined sharply against the euro, while the pound and Japanese yen fared worse, as pressure on risk appetite remained and the dollar did not lose much value there. As the report indicated, U.S. inflation came in below economists' forecasts, leading to a weakening of the dollar's position, but this effect was not uniform across all currencies. The Consumer Price Index in the United States, a key inflation indicator, increased by only 0.3% last month, while a growth of 0.4% was expected, prompting markets to revise their expectations regarding the future policy of the Federal Reserve. This news triggered an immediate response in the currency markets. The do…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
What to Know: Snorter Token combines meme coin appeal with real utility through its advanced Telegram-based trading bot that levels the playing field for retail traders. Early price forecasts suggest up to 1,285% ROI by 2030, backed by strong features and exclusive holder benefits. The presale ends in less than 7 hours, so this could be your last chance to grab $SNORT at its lowest price before it hits major exchanges. Ever since its launch earlier this year, Snorter Token ($SNORT) has become one of the most sought-after crypto presales of 2025 – and for good reason. Sure, its cute yet gun-trained aardvark mascot plays a big role in attracting meme coin investors…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
[XAU/USD] – [Monday, October 27, 2025] Today, Gold is likely to decline, as confirmed by technical data indicating weakness, such as both EMAs still being in a Death Cross and the RSI positioned in the Neutral-Bearish zone. Key Levels: 1. Resistance. 2 : 4200.10 2. Resistance. 1 : 4155.99 3. Pivot : 4099.84 4. Support. 1 : 4055.73 5. Support. 2 : 3999.58 Tactical Scenario: Pressure Zone: If the price breaks down and closes below 4055.73, it may continue to decline toward 3999.58. Momentum Extension Bias: If 3999.58 is breached and closes below, Gold will test the 3955.47 level. Invalidation Level / Bias Revision: The downside bias is held if XAU/USD s…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
[Crude Oil] – [Monday, October 27, 2025] Crude oil has the potential to strengthen today and rise to its nearest resistance level, as technical indicators shows it, with the two EMAs intersecting, forming a Golden Cross, even though the RSI remains at the Neutral Bearish level. Key Levels: 1. Resistance. 2 : 63.74 2. Resistance. 1 : 62.74 3. Pivot : 61.20 4. Support. 1 : 60.20 5. Support. 2 : 58.66 Tactical Scenario: Positive Reaction Zone: If the price of Crude Oil strengthens and breaks above 62.74, it may have the opportunity to test 63.74 today. Momentum Extension Bias: If 63.74 is successfully breached and closes above, there is potential for furth…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Analysis of Macroeconomic Reports: One macroeconomic report is scheduled for Monday. The Ifo business climate index will be released in Germany. It goes without saying that this is an entirely secondary report, and the market has been ignoring global fundamental factors and significant macroeconomic reports in recent weeks. Therefore, the macroeconomic backdrop is expected to be extremely weak today. Analysis of Fundamental Events: No fundamental events are scheduled for Monday either. Even the European Central Bank and Federal Reserve meetings planned for this week are generating little interest. It is evident to all traders that the U.S. central bank will…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Solana started a fresh increase above the $200 zone. SOL price is now consolidating above $200 and might aim for more gains above the $208 zone. SOL price started a fresh upward move above the $188 and $195 levels against the US Dollar. The price is now trading above $200 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There is a bullish trend line forming with support at $198 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could extend gains if it clears the $208 resistance zone. Solana Price Jumps Again Above $200 Solana price started a decent increase after it settled above the $180 zone, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. SOL climbed above the $188 le…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade Analysis for Friday: 1H Chart of the GBP/USD Pair The GBP/USD pair traded completely illogically on Friday. From the very morning, the market had decent grounds for buying the British currency, which would have been fully supported by the current technical picture and the global fundamental backdrop. In the UK, business activity indices for the services and manufacturing sectors for October, as well as retail sales data, were published. All three reports exceeded analysts' expectations, providing substantial reasons for buying. Yet we did not observe any market reaction, even a minimal one, to the relatively positive UK reports. In the U.S., the inflation repor…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade Analysis for Friday: 1H Chart of the EUR/USD Pair The EUR/USD currency pair exhibited little trend on Friday. During the day, macroeconomic reports were published in the Eurozone, Germany, and the U.S. that should have supported trading decisions. However, instead of experiencing significant movements, we witnessed minimal volatility. The European currency had a good opportunity to rise again, but if the market refuses to buy it and remains generally reluctant to trade, no movement will occur regardless of the fundamental and macroeconomic context. Essentially, we saw only a market reaction to the U.S. inflation report, which was significant. The Consumer Pric…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
XRP price started a fresh increase above $2.45. The price is now showing positive signs and might rise further if it clears the $2.680 resistance. XRP price is attempting a fresh increase above the $2.50 zone. The price is now trading above $2.50 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a bullish trend line forming with support at $2.580 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could start a fresh increase if it clears the $2.680 resistance. XRP Price Eyes Steady Increase XRP price formed a base above $2.320 and started a fresh increase, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price surpassed the $2.380 and $2.450 resistance levels. …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Ethereum price started a recovery wave above $4,000. ETH is moving higher but faces a couple of key hurdles near $4,220 and $4,250. Ethereum started a fresh recovery above $4,000 and $4,120. The price is trading above $4,120 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a bullish trend line forming with support at $4,050 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could continue to move up if it trades above $4,220. Ethereum Price Eyes Steady Gains Ethereum price started a minor recovery wave above the $3,880 zone, like Bitcoin. ETH price surpassed the $4,000 and $4,050 levels to enter a short-term positive zone. The price even spiked above $4…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin price is attempting to recover above $113,500. BTC could rise further if there is a clear move above the $115,500 resistance. Bitcoin started a fresh recovery wave above the $113,500 resistance level. The price is trading above $114,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There is a bullish trend line forming with support at $113,350 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might continue to move up if it trades above the $115,500 zone. Bitcoin Price Starts Fresh Increase Bitcoin price declined again below the $108,000 level. BTC tested the $106,720 zone and recently started a fresh increase. There was a move above the $11…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The GBP/USD currency pair traded lower again on Friday, though this time there were grounds to buy the British pound. In the morning, three more or less significant reports were released in the UK: business activity indices in the services and manufacturing sectors, as well as retail sales. All three reports were more positive than analysts' forecasts. Thus, there were reasons for the British currency to rise from the very beginning of the day. In the afternoon, the U.S. published an inflation report, which can confidently be considered the main event of the week. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) in the U.S. was released with a 10-day delay and showed weaker-than-expected i…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The EUR/USD currency pair demonstrated a volatility of 53 pips on Friday. In essence, this could be the end of the current article, as there are no significant movements in the market right now, and even fewer logical movements. The illustration below shows that the maximum daily volatility last week was 58 pips. On Friday, when the macroeconomic backdrop was quite abundant (and essentially the only day when any macroeconomic data was published), the volatility was 53 pips. Thus, the market is currently refusing to trade, regardless of the fundamental and macroeconomic context. In recent weeks, we have consistently noted that movements in the currency market are illogical…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Analysis of GBP/USD 5M The GBP/USD currency pair traded even less logically on Friday than the EUR/USD pair. At the same time, the euro appreciated modestly by 10 pips; the British pound depreciated further by the end of the day. In the UK, all three reports released were positive, while in the U.S., two of the four (the most important) were negative. Yet, by the end of the day, the dollar still gained strength. In the UK, as well as elsewhere, business activity indices were published. In the services sector, the indicator rose to 51.1 points, while in manufacturing, it increased to 49.6 points. In both cases, forecasts were exceeded. Retail sales data from the UK als…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Analysis of EUR/USD 5M The EUR/USD currency pair traded very little on Friday. At this time, traders should focus not on macroeconomic reports or fundamental backgrounds, but on the volatility indicator and the sideways trend on the daily timeframe. The volatility indicator shows very few trades in the market now, with practically no movement. Therefore, making gains with any trading signals or macroeconomic events is extremely difficult. The sideways trend on the daily timeframe demonstrates illogical movements within a sideways channel. Thus, the fundamentals and macroeconomics do not influence the current movements of the pair. On Friday, at least four interesting …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
A newly surfaced Bitcoin Improvement Proposal, BIP-444, has ignited one of the most intense governance debates in the Bitcoin ecosystem since the block size wars. The proposal, published late Friday, aims to temporarily restrict the inclusion of arbitrary data in Bitcoin transactions through a one-year soft fork, responding to concerns that the blockchain could host illegal content under changes introduced in the recent Bitcoin Core v30 update. Market Cap 24h 7d 30d 1y All Time Why is BIP-444 So Controversial? The controversy traces back to v30’s effectiv…
Last reply by Ben Graham,
