Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12197 tópicos neste fórum
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Asia Market Wrap - Tentative trading Ahead of FOMC Most Read: FOMC Meeting Preview: How the FOMC's December Dot Plot Will Affect the US Dollar (DXY) Japan's main stock market index, the Topix, briefly hit an all-time record high early on Wednesday before losing momentum. The index ended the day with a small 0.1% gain, while the more selective Nikkei 225 index dropped slightly by 0.1%. Car manufacturers like Honda and Toyota performed well, helped by a weaker yen, which makes their exports cheaper abroad. Overall, more stocks rose than fell on the Nikkei index. The top performers included DOWA Holdings and the toilet maker TOTO, while the biggest losers were the drugmak…
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Trend Analysis (Fig. 1). On Wednesday the market, from the 1.1625 level (yesterday's daily candle close), may start moving upward toward 1.1655 – the 50% retracement level (blue dashed line). When testing this level, the price may possibly pull back downward toward 1.1640 – the 38.2% retracement level (yellow dashed line). Fig. 1 (daily chart). Comprehensive Analysis: indicator analysis – upward;Fibonacci levels – upward;volumes – downward;candlestick analysis – upward;trend analysis – upward;Bollinger Bands – upward;weekly chart – upward.Overall conclusion: an upward trend. Alternative scenario: From the 1.1625 level (yesterday's daily candle close), the price may b…
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Here are three predictions to expect from the FOMC meeting today. First ask yourself: are they pumping .cwp-coin-chart svg path { stroke-width: 0.65 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-graph-container.positive svg path:nth-of-type(2) { stroke: #008868 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-trend.positive { color: #008868 !important; background-color: transparent !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-popup-holder .cwp-coin-trend.positive { border: 1px solid #008868; border-radius: 3px; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-trend.positive::before { border-bottom: 4px solid #008868 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget…
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Over the last few days, the Bitcoin price has fluctuated, but the most prominent moves have been upwards, going from below $90,000 to over $94,000. As expected, this rapid climb already has investors calling for a return of the bull run, but not everyone is convinced. For some, the current Bitcoin price momentum is most likely a bull trap, and crypto analyst Xanrox highlights this in a recent analysis, outlining the best level to start selling the digital asset. Why The Bitcoin Price Risks A Crash To $74,000 Xanrox’s analysis focuses on the bearish formations that have appeared on the Bitcoin price crash following the recent upward move. While many in the crypto communit…
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Trend Analysis (Fig. 1). On Wednesday the market, from the 1.3293 level (yesterday's daily candle close), may possibly begin moving upward toward 1.3367 – the 50% retracement level (blue dashed line). When testing this level, the price may pull back downward toward 1.3355 – the upper fractal (daily candle of December 9, 2025). Fig. 1 (daily chart). Comprehensive Analysis: indicator analysis – upward;Fibonacci levels – upward;volumes – upward;candlestick analysis – upward;trend analysis – upward;Bollinger Bands – upward;weekly chart – upward.Overall conclusion: an upward trend. Alternative scenario: On Wednesday the market, from the 1.3293 level (yesterday's daily candl…
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The U.S. dollar remains under pressure amid expectations that representatives of the Federal Reserve of the United States will today carry out their third consecutive interest-rate cut. However, many economists believe that the Fed may go into a wait-and-see mode after this cut — something that will be announced at the press conference following the meeting. Concerns over persistent inflation have led to a deep split within the central bank, which will likely prevent the Fed Chair Jerome Powell from announcing any further steps at the beginning of next year. Such a turn of events may have a serious impact on the dollar exchange rate. Lowering interest rates usually weaken…
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On the hourly chart, the GBP/USD pair on Tuesday bounced off the resistance level of 1.3352–1.3362, above which it failed to close after three attempts. By Wednesday evening, the pair fell to the 61.8% retracement level at 1.3294, and the rebound from this level this morning worked in favor of the pound and initiated growth toward 1.3352–1.3362. A consolidation of the pound's quotes above this zone today is highly likely, which will allow traders to expect growth toward the 1.3425 level. The wave structure has shifted into a "bullish" configuration. The last completed upward wave broke the previous high, while the last downward wave failed to break the previous low. Thu…
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On Tuesday, the EUR/USD pair rebounded from the resistance level of 1.1645–1.1656 and showed a slight decline. As of Wednesday morning, the quotes once again returned to this zone. A fresh rebound from it will again work in favor of the U.S. dollar and lead to a decline toward the support level of 1.1594–1.1607. A consolidation of the pair above this zone will increase the likelihood of further growth toward the next Fibonacci level of 38.2% at 1.1718. The wave structure on the hourly chart remains simple and clear. The last completed downward wave did not break the low of the previous wave, while the last upward wave (still forming) broke the previous high. Thus, the …
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What is the Michael Saylor “strategy” for his Bitcoin company Strategy in 4 words or less? Buy high, sell never? Make fiat holders seeth? Regardless, Saylor just used the Bitcoin MENA conference in Abu Dhabi to make his most ambitious pitch yet to all those kings, princes, and guys who could buy my family and me 10 times over, arguing that Bitcoin represents a $200Tn opportunity and the foundation for a new era of “digital capital.” Learn more , making the total holdings over 660k BTC. Sorry, Bobros, he’s just going to keep buying. “All the money will come to you,” Saylor told attendees. “Bitcoi…
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A new technical analysis shared by crypto analyst BitGuru on the social media platform X shows that Dogecoin is trading at an important price level that could set the stage for an upward shift. His chart shows a familiar structure forming at a major support level, one that has acted as the starting point for a previous rally in the year. The price action now developing is similar to this earlier setup, showing that Dogecoin may be preparing for another recovery move above $0.2. Dogecoin Returns To An Important Support Zone Dogecoin has spent the past few weeks trading between $0.13 and $0.15 without a clear path to bullish price action. This recent price action is an ext…
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Overview: The outcome of the FOMC meeting is the main focus today. With the market discounting at least two cuts next year compared with the median projection in September that one cut would be appropriate, it is difficult not to anticipate a hawkish cut. The greenback has rallied after both the September and October rate cuts. The Bank of Canada also meets today. While there is no doubt that it will stand pat, the issue is how much it pushes against creeping expectations for a rate hike in H2 26. The US dollar has a slightly softer tone mostly within the ranges seen yesterday. The Canadian dollar is the laggard and is nearly flat. Most emerging market currencies are firm…
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We introduce you to the daily updated section of Forex analytics where you will find reviews from forex experts, up-to-date monitoring of financial information as well as online forecasts of exchange rates of the US dollar, euro, ruble, bitcoin, and other currencies for today, tomorrow and this trading week.Useful links: My other articles are available in this section InstaForex course for beginners Popular Analytics Open trading account Important: The begginers in forex trading need to be very careful when making decisions about entering the market. Before the release of important reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid being caught in sharp market fluctu…
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As geopolitical realignments accelerate, BRICS nations are rapidly expanding their gold holdings as part of a broad shift away from US-dollar-denominated reserves. Since 2020, BRICS countries have increased gold’s share of their total reserves by 102%, driven by both aggressive central-bank buying and rising metal prices. In contrast, Western nations have seen only a 12% increase – growth almost entirely attributable to price appreciation rather than new tonnage. This widening gap underscores the momentum behind global de-dollarization and highlights a powerful structural catalyst for sustained gold demand in the years ahead.
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There are multiple factors behind the bullish price movements over the past few days. While sentiment remains uncertain among many traders, today’s FOMC meeting, at which a 25 bps rate cut is expected, will make even the most risk-averse investor bullish on crypto heading into 2026. Right now, the best crypto to buy is likely on the Solana chain, with the SOL ecosystem showing signs of life after a multi-month liquidity drain. Prominent Crypto Twitter trader @TedPillows said yesterday (December 9) that BTC appears to be mimicking the 2021 cycle, with a similar double-top structure and a similar bounce-back to the last bull run. He believes the chart indicates Bitcoin cou…
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A senior US lawmaker is pressing the State Department over what he calls troubling links between Ivanhoe Atlantic and Chinese state interests. In a letter to Secretary of State Marco Rubio, Representative John Moolenaar, who chairs the House committee focused on China, said the department has backed companies with “concerning ties” to the Chinese Communist Party. He named Ivanhoe Atlantic as one example and pointed to what he called its “well-documented” connections to Chinese state-owned enterprises. Ivanhoe Atlantic’s majority shareholder is I-Pulse Inc., a US firm founded and chaired by mining billionaire Robert Friedland, who also founded and co-chairs Canadia…
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Key takeaways AUD is leading the FX space on renewed RBA hawkishness, while the JPY remains the weakest major currency as BoJ signals flexibility on policy.USD/JPY’s recent five-day rally is losing steam, with momentum indicators and resistance confluence pointing to a potential minor bearish reversal.A break below 156.00 on the USD/JPY could open the way toward 155.35 and 154.40, while a move above 157.15 would negate the downside setup. In the FX market, a “K-shaped” performance has emerged with the AUD rallying and outperforming among the major currencies against the US dollar due to the hawkish monetary policy guidance from the Australian central bank, RBA. In t…
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Bitcoin has failed to return to its weekly peak around $94,600, indicating the caution with which buyers currently view the cryptocurrency market. The main reason for this hesitance is the Federal Reserve meeting, the results of which will be announced this evening. In the meantime, another disappointing aspect for the market may be Trump's new national security strategy, which does not mention cryptocurrencies or blockchain—despite his previous calls to make the US a global crypto hub. The strategy emphasizes the priority of artificial intelligence and quantum technologies for protecting national interests. It highlights the United States' intention to secure global …
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The bubble in the gold market was discussed at the end of October when XAU/USD prices plummeted off a cliff after reaching a record high. This conversation is still going on. The Bank for International Settlements warns investors not to get carried away with buying the precious metal, which increasingly resembles a risky asset. Since the beginning of 2025, the S&P 500 has set 20 record highs, while gold has achieved 50. According to the BIS, for the first time in 50 years, a situation has emerged where both stock indices and the precious metal are in a bubble. The first sign is the activity of retail investors. Typically, FOMO, or the fear of missing out, manifests i…
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Crypto analyst Cryptollica published a new XRP/USD 2-week chart on December 8 via TradingView, arguing that the altcoin may be replaying the same structural pattern that preceded its explosive 2017 rally. With current price action pivoting around the key $1.95 level and technical targets projected as high as $9–$13. What Happens If XRP Repeats The 2017 Fractal? The analysis uses a long-range log chart from Binance, where the latest candle in the screenshot shows XRP trading around $2.0892. In this timeframe, the analyst divides XRP’s history into mirrored cycles: 2014–2017 on the left and 2021–2025 on the right, each broken into labeled segments “Part 1,” “Part 2” and “P…
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Twenty One Capital is having a rough day today. The crypto treasury firm made its big Wall Street debut yesterday, and so far, it does not look pretty. The stock, trading under the ticker XXI, dropped more than 24% on its opening day and closed at $10.80. For the uninitiated, Twenty One Capital is basically a massive crypto vault majority-owned by Tether, the crypto exchange Bitfinex, with the Japanese technology investor SoftBank owning a smaller slice. The trio went public with this project through a SPAC (Special Purpose Acquisition Company) deal backed by Cantor Fitzgerald. Cantor is an investment banking and brokerage firm, currently chaired by Brandon Lutnick, the…
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Rep. Keith Self, a Republican from Texas, filed a last-minute amendment to the Must-Pass $900 billion US Defence Bill that would ban the Federal Reserve from creating or piloting a US central bank digital currency (CBDC). On 9 December 2025, the Republican took to X to say, “Promises were broken to include this language in the National Defense Authorization Act (NDAA). My amendment would fix the bill.” Self’s “Anti-CBDC Surveillance State” proposal would bar the Fed from testing, developing or launching any CBDC. He submitted an amendment to add a full ban on CBDCs to the 2026 NDAA. He argued that the earlier leadership promises to include similar language were broken in…
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Ripple’s most recent funding round has become one of the biggest crypto-related deals of the year, mainly because of who joined in and how the deal was structured. According to details shared in Bloomberg’s report, major Wall Street names, including Citadel Securities, Fortress Investment Group, Brevan Howard, and Galaxy Digital, put $500 million into Ripple, giving the company a valuation of around $40 billion. This instantly turned the round into one of the strongest signs yet that traditional finance is taking a serious interest in the XRP ecosystem. How Wall Street Structured The Deal To Protect Themselves In early November 2025, Ripple closed a major private equit…
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When Strategy disclosed its acquisition of more than 10,000 Bitcoin worth $1 billion, market watchers anticipated an immediate rally. Instead, Bitcoin’s price barely moved. The muted response was not a reflection of weak demand but the result of how the purchase was executed. In response to the confusion surrounding the stagnant price action, Quinten Francois explained the mechanics behind the transaction, clarifying why such a large buy left no visible impact on the chart. The Invisible Plumbing Behind Institutional Bitcoin Accumulation On 9 December 2025, Andrew Tate questioned why a massive 10,000 BTC buy failed to nudge the market. The answer, as analyst Francois exp…
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Trade analysis and recommendations for the euro The price test of 1.1645 occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved far above the zero mark, which limited the pair's upward potential. For this reason, I did not buy the euro. The unexpected decline in industrial production in Italy has heightened concerns about the state of the eurozone economy. This alarming signal, following a series of mixed economic indicators, casts doubt on the prospects for a steady recovery of the region's manufacturing sector. The weakening of the euro triggered by the Italian data reflects increased risk aversion in financial markets. But this afternoon, the key event will be the publicat…
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Trade analysis and recommendations for the British pound The price test of 1.3316 occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved far above the zero mark, which limited the pound's upward potential. For this reason, I did not buy. The absence of important fundamental statistics from the UK provided only slight support to buyers of the British pound. Amid the overall uncertainty related to the Federal Reserve's next steps, a short break from negative news allowed investors to focus on technical factors and recover part of the previously lost positions. However, it is worth noting that this growth is most likely corrective in nature and does not indicate a continuation o…
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