Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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In a video analysis published today, the crypto chartist known as Cantonese Cat (@cantonmeow) laid out a multi-time-frame bullish case for Dogecoin, arguing that the asset is entering a third major cycle with technicals aligning for an upside break and multi-dollar targets—provided key resistance levels are cleared. “I’m extremely bullish on Dogecoin. I’m not going to be shy about it,” he said, adding that the current advance looks “a lot healthier than the last cycle.” Dogecoin Breakout Could Shock Bears Cantonese Cat frames the landscape first on the monthly chart, where the 20-month moving average has historically toggled from resistance to support at major inflection…
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Terraform Labs co-founder Do Kwon just lost a $14M court battle over a failed Singapore penthouse deal, as global legal cases mount following the Terra-Luna collapse. The High Court dismissed his claim, ruling that the developer was within its rights to keep the deposit after the purchase fell through. The upshot is: Do Kwon is finally on trial. 135 years down to potentially 12 years. The judge wants to give him 25. Despite the judge ruling against him, he’ll get a lesser sentence than SBF. The property in question, a 7,600-square-foot Orchard Road duplex valued at S$38.8M, was intended to be Kwon’s showcase asset before the 2022 TerraUSD and Luna collapse, which wip…
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Overview: The dollar is mostly consolidating with a softer bias after the disappointing employment report before the weekend. The derivatives market is pricing in about a 10% chance of a 50 bp Fed cut next week, which still seems exaggerated given the likely uptick in headline CPI this week. The Japanese yen is the only G10 currency that is weaker on heels of the resignation of Prime Minister Ishida who saw the surveys that showed a majority of his party wanted a leadership contest this year as a vote of no-confidence. The policy uncertainty weighed on the long-end of the Japanese interest rate, though the 10-year yield slipped and equities rose. Most emerging market curr…
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Chile’s state-owned copper miner Codelco and SQM (NYSE: SQM), the world’s second-largest lithium producer, are close to finalizing a landmark partnership to jointly extract lithium from the Atacama salt flats. The deal first signed in December 2023, stems from President Gabriel Boric’s national lithium strategy, which placed Codelco at the helm of all operations in strategic salt flats. Under the agreement, SQM will hand over a majority stake in its Atacama operations to Codelco in exchange for extending its production rights until 2060. The pact is expected to be concluded within weeks, though it still requires antitrust approvals, including from regulators in C…
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Trade review and tips for trading the Japanese yen The price test of 147.98 occurred when the MACD indicator had just begun moving downward from the zero mark, confirming the correct entry point for selling the dollar. As a result, the pair declined toward the target level of 147.43. During the U.S. session, consumer credit data may once again push USD/JPY higher. This is because an increase in consumer credit reflects growing consumer confidence and, consequently, strengthening of the U.S. economy. A strong U.S. economy traditionally supports the dollar. However, it is important to remember that the forex market is influenced by many factors, and while credit statistics …
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Cardano (ADA) is caught in an identity crisis. The ADA price is trading near multi-month lows, and debates over its future direction have split its community. Founder Charles Hoskinson now says the answer is a radical pivot: Cardano should position itself as a core smart contract layer for Bitcoin DeFi. But Cardano critics like former BitMex co-founder Arthur Hayes aren’t letting Hoskinson off the hook. Where’s the apology for predicting thousands of dApps in 2022, while Cardano has 59 in 2025 with any real volume? Where’s the apology for saying Chainlink integration in 2021, but you’re still at the negotiating table in 2025? (Source: DappRadar) Cardano’s largest dapp…
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This is a follow-up analysis and an update of our prior publication, “Gold (XAU/USD) Technical: Bullish acceleration supported rising implied volatility”, published on 2 September 2025. The precious yellow metal has staged the expected bullish breakout above its former all-time high of US$3,500 printed on 22 April 2025. Gold (XAU/USD) rallied by 5.3% to hit a current fresh intraday record high of US$3,655 at the time of writing. Lower opportunity costs reinforced the current bullish acceleration phase of Gold …
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The wave structure on the 4-hour chart for EUR/USD has remained unchanged for several months, which is encouraging. Even during the formation of corrective waves, the structure has maintained its integrity. This allows for accurate forecasts. It is worth noting that the wave structure does not always resemble the textbook pattern. Right now, however, it looks very clear. The bullish section of the trend is still developing, while the news background continues to support mostly not the dollar. The trade war initiated by Donald Trump continues. The confrontation with the Fed continues. Market "dovish" expectations are increasing. Trump's "One Big Law" will raise U.S. public…
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Solana started a fresh increase above the $215 zone. SOL price is now consolidating above $212 and might aim for more gains above the $220 zone. SOL price started a fresh upward move above the $205 and $212 levels against the US Dollar. The price is now trading above $212 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There is a bullish trend line forming with support at $216 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could extend gains if it clears the $220 resistance zone. Solana Price Eyes Upside Break Solana price started a decent increase after it found support near the $202 zone, beating Bitcoin and Ethereum. SOL climbed above the $208…
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Macroeconomic Report Review: Very few macroeconomic reports are scheduled again for Wednesday. Only the US Producer Price Index (PPI) stands out. Last month, this indicator posted a sensational figure of +0.9% against a forecast of 0.3%, which triggered a strong market reaction. However, in most cases, the actual value for this indicator differs little from the estimates. Therefore, today, a market reaction is only possible in the case of a second consecutive strong deviation. No important publications are scheduled today for the Eurozone, Germany, or the UK. Fundamental Events Review: There is absolutely nothing to highlight among fundamental events on Wednesda…
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Yesterday, reports emerged that a judge blocked President Donald Trump from removing Federal Reserve Chair Lisa Cook, allowing her to remain in office while she defends against the president's attempts to dismiss her over allegations of mortgage fraud. This court decision marked an important milestone in the fight to protect the Fed's independence and its ability to make decisions without political interference. Trump's attempts to oust Lisa Cook sparked serious concerns in financial circles and among economists, who warned of potential negative consequences for the U.S. economy. Removing the Fed Chair for political reasons could undermine confidence in the central bank …
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Overview: The US dollar is trading quietly today, ahead of the August PPI, though with a weaker bias against most of the G10 currencies. The yen and Canadian dollar are the laggards. Two news developments are among the talking points. First, a federal judge temporarily blocked President Trump's attempt to remove Federal Reserve Governor Cook. Barring a new ruling, she will vote at next week's FOMC meeting. Most likely, so will Miran, as he will likely be confirmed shortly. The Fed funds futures are discounting about a 1-in-8 chance of a 50 bp cut. It was around a 1-in-12 chance after the employment data before the weekend. Second, tensions are elevated after Poland shot d…
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The Nasdaq has filed a proposed rule change with the SEC to list tokenized stocks, marking a significant integration of blockchain technology into traditional finance (TradFi). Market experts have predicted that XRP is one of the crypto assets that stand to benefit massively from this move. Nasdaq Files To List Tokenized Stocks Nasdaq has filed with the SEC to allow investors to trade tokenized stocks on its platform. The exchange has proposed that these securities could be traded in either their traditional form, without using blockchain technology, or in their tokenized form, utilizing blockchain technology. Furthermore, the platform proposes that shares of these toke…
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XRP has entered a shocking new phase of development, with reports confirming its ledger’s use in debt tokenization. This development comes when the United States (US) faces a multitrillion-dollar debt problem, drawing attention to the XRP Ledger’s (XRPL) potential role in modernizing how debt is managed and settled on a larger scale. As adoption for XRPL accelerates, its integration into debt-related infrastructure highlights how blockchain technology is beginning to intersect with the world’s largest financial challenges. XRP Ledger: A Potential National Debt Solution Crypto analyst SMQKE has alerted the crypto community to a shocking World Economic Forum (WEF) report,…
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In addition to financial losses, the U.S. has already suffered reputational damage either way. What happens with trade agreements worth hundreds of billions of dollars that have been signed? After all, these also involve specific tariffs. What about retaliatory tariffs? Donald Trump "stirred the pot," but how to "clean up the mess" remains entirely unclear. In the 1974 Act (IEEPA), there really are no references to the president having the authority to enact trade measures unilaterally. However, it is essential to recognize that America, like many countries worldwide, faces issues that cannot always be resolved legally or fairly. For example, some economists have noted th…
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Crypto analyst Whale Guru has outlined his targets for altcoins on their next massive pump to the upside. He predicted that the Ethereum price would reach as high as $25,000 and expects the XRP price to reach triple digits. XRP Price To Reach $300 As Ethereum Rallies To $25,000 In an X post, Whale Guru predicted that the XRP price would reach $300 as Ethereum rallies to $25,000. He highlighted these price levels as his targets for the next pump to the upside. Meanwhile, the analyst also predicted that SOL would reach $2,000, DOGE would reach $5, SUI would reach $10, HYPE would reach $400, WLFI, and PENGU would both reach $10. However, Whale Guru didn’t provide any bas…
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Log in to today's North American session Market wrap for September 11 Markets woke up to a fresh jolt after the US CPI release, which came in broadly as expected at 0.3% MoM, but nonetheless shifted sentiment. The immediate reaction saw the US Dollar tumble, only to settle back into its recent support range, leaving traders guessing on the next breakout. In contrast, US equities surged, with the Dow Jones, Nasdaq and S&P 500 pressing fresh all-time highs, as optimism for a 50 bps FOMC cut keeps creeping back into the picture. The FED Watchtool is showing mixed pricing for the upcoming meeting and participants now await for any comments from WSJ's Timiraos for any…
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If the Producer Price Index gave the green light to sell EUR/USD on the rise, the Consumer Price Index triggered the exact opposite reaction. The main currency pair was bought as prices fell. Twice in a row, it experienced a rollercoaster ride due to inflation. The ECB was relegated to the sidelines. The euro didn't react at all to new forecasts nor to Christine Lagarde's comments at the press conference. ECB Forecasts for GDP and Inflation The European Central Bank raised its inflation outlook for 2026 from 1.6% to 1.7%, and lowered its 2027 forecast to 1.9%. GDP is expected to expand by 1.2% this year and by 1% next year. Lagarde noted strong domestic demand, whic…
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On Thursday, the British pound broke above the MACD line resistance and consolidated above it. However, two factors prevent us from adopting a bullish outlook as the main scenario: the very weak growth of the Marlin oscillator and the proximity of the key event of the autumn—the upcoming Fed monetary policy decision next week. If the mass investor is wrong about the market expecting three rate cuts by year-end—and given that the September meeting is extended and features individual FOMC member rate projections—we could see GBP fall to the 1.3253 level (or even 1.3140) in the days immediately following the Fed meeting. For now, we wait. A rise toward 1.3700—the upper boun…
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Global markets hit new highs On Thursday, the MSCI global equity index climbed to an all-time peak. At the same time, U.S. Treasury yields and the dollar retreated as expectations of interest rate cuts grew. The softer labor market data outweighed the stronger-than-expected inflation reading. Inflation accelerated Consumer prices rose by 0,4% in August, the fastest pace in seven months, following a 0,2% increase in July. Housing costs advanced by 0,4%, while food prices went up by 0,5%. The category of food consumed at home recorded an even sharper gain of 0,6%. Rate cut expectations Traders are almost certain that the Federal Reserve will cut rates at its upcoming meet…
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Cryptocurrencies have offered a muted performance in the past few weeks, way outperformed by ever-ecstatic US Equities breaking all-time highs almost daily. Yesterday's session offered a mixed cryptocurrency session with only the digital market leaders pushing higher and lifting crypto sentiment. Solana, up a staggering 20% since Monday, is doing heavy lifting to bring Markets higher amid a still resistant Bitcoin performance. BTC had struggled throughout the end of August, right after reaching new all-time highs. From $124,250 to $107,000 lows, some profit-taking fears had calmed enthusiasts, but Bulls having held a key Support allowed the current moves to form. The …
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Bitcoin (BTC) has surged from around $108,000 on September 1 to above $115,000 at the time of writing – recording a gain of roughly 4% over the past two weeks. However, fresh on-chain data suggests that Bitcoin may be on the cusp of a fresh rally that could propel it to new all-time highs (ATH). Bitcoin Rises Above Mid-Term Holders’ Realized Price According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor ShayanMarkets, Bitcoin’s recent rebound from $107,000 to just above $114,000 has lifted the digital asset over the Realized Price of mid-term (3-6 months) holders. For the uninitiated, the mid-term holders’ Realized Price is the average acquisition cost of Bitcoin held …
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Recent developments in the derivatives market now threaten the long-term bullish potential of the altcoin market based on historical data. Despite recent gains and market indicators that signal the altseason may soon begin, investors could be looking at a rather short-lived euphoria. Over the last day, the crypto market has witnessed a strong bullish momentum with the total market cap reclaiming the $4 trillion mark. Amidst these high levels of positivity, Bitcoin has gained 1.50%. However, other cryptocurrencies such as Ethereum (5.41%), XRP (2.99%), and Solana (5.62%) have produced larger gains, creating a miniature semblance of an altseason. Altcoins Open Interest…
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Sunrise Energy Metals (ASX: SRL), an Australian scandium explorer backed by Robert Friedland, is being lined for a potential loan from the Export-Import Bank of the United States (EXIM) for its Syerston project in central New South Wales. As stated in a letter of interest, announced by the company Tuesday, EXIM would provide a debt financing up to $67 million. Based on current estimates, this amount represents approximately half of the project development costs, the company said. The Syerston project, located 450 km west of Sydney, hosts one of the world’s largest and highest-grade scandium deposits, with nearly 46 million tonnes of measured and indicated resource…
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Gold is showing moderate gains during the day, pausing near record highs reached earlier on Tuesday, though prices remain below the round level of 3700. Bulls have taken a breather after a sharp surge to new historic highs, preparing for potential changes in central bank policies. However, downward potential remains limited due to fundamentally supportive factors for the yellow metal. Strengthening confidence that the Federal Reserve will lower interest rates this week is pushing the U.S. dollar close to yearly lows, which in turn boosts demand for this non-yielding precious metal. In addition, rising geopolitical risks amid the intensifying Russia–Ukraine conflict are dr…
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