Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
6910 tópicos neste fórum
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Trade Analysis and EUR/USD Trading TipsThe price test at 1.1684 occurred at a time when the MACD indicator had moved significantly above the zero line, limiting the pair's upside potential—especially after the strong downturn seen earlier. For this reason, I did not buy the euro. Yesterday's trading session showed market participants attempting to exert downward pressure on the euro on the back of political instability in France. However, buyers eventually regained some control, providing temporary support for the single currency. The uncertainty triggered by the resignation of yet another French prime minister and the scheduling of early elections continues to weigh nega…
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The euro rather quickly regained its position against the U.S. dollar after the risks of a political crisis in France were shifted toward a similar political crisis and government shutdown in the United States. In addition, two of the leading politicians of the European Central Bank described the inflation outlook as not implying significant risks in either direction, which indicates that they currently have no intention of changing interest rates. This also creates additional appeal for the European currency. Vice President Luis de Guindos and Chief Economist Philip Lane acknowledged that a range of factors are influencing consumer prices, both upward and downward. "It …
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Ethereum is entering its next phase of evolution with the Fusaka upgrade. With more than just another technical iteration, Fusaka represents a major step toward solving Ethereum’s long-standing scalability and efficiency challenges. Why Fusaka Matters For Ethereum’s Next Era Of Decentralized Innovation Crypto markets are buzzing with the anticipation of the Ethereum Fusaka Upgrade. According to the CryptosRus post on X, VanEck has mentioned that the upcoming Fusaka upgrade, expected in December, could unlock one of the most transformative moments in the network’s history, making ETH faster, cheaper, and more scalable than ever before. The Fusaka upgrade will introduce …
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If we examine the daily chart, Bitcoin has displayed a steady and strong uptrend for nine consecutive days, excluding October 4. The price rebounded from $109,000 to $126,200. Ethereum has also surged significantly and is approaching its all-time high. One of the key drivers behind this rally is the prolonged U.S. government shutdown. The political stalemate has led to notable institutional inflows into crypto ETFs. Ongoing uncertainty over U.S. fiscal policy traditionally pushes large market players to seek alternative investment assets that can preserve and grow capital during periods of increased volatility. Crypto ETFs, offering regulated and convenient access to dig…
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The U.S. dollar resumed its decline yesterday after Republicans and Democrats once again failed to reach a budget agreement, prolonging the government shutdown. In the first half of the day, euro sellers did everything they could, leveraging France's political problems. However, later in the day, buyers regained control. The atmosphere of uncertainty—driven by snap elections in France—continues to weigh on the euro. Traders fear potential changes in the country's economic policy, which could hurt France's financial stability and eventually affect the entire eurozone. This morning, some important data will be published for the eurozone. German factory orders and France's t…
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Macroeconomic Reports Overview: There are no macroeconomic reports scheduled for Tuesday. Therefore, throughout the day, traders will only be able to react to fundamental events — and there will be quite a few of those. However, central bank officials' speeches are barely moving the market at this point for several reasons: First, policymakers are not providing any fundamentally new information.Second, the monetary policy outlooks for all three major central banks are already fairly clear to the market.Key Fundamental Events to Watch: Although macroeconomic data is absent, Tuesday features several key events. In the Eurozone, European Central Bank President Chri…
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The euro is trading around 1.1706, below the 8/8 Murray and below the 200 EMA, and within the downtrend channel formed on September 12. Over the past few days, the euro has failed to break out of the downtrend channel on several attempts. However, we see on the chart that the euro left a gap at the close of Friday's session, so during a technical rebound, EUR/USD is likely to reach 1.1735 in the coming days. If bearish pressure prevails, we can expect the euro to reach the 7/8 Murray around 1.1596 or even reach the bottom of the downtrend channel around 1.1560. If the euro breaks sharply above the trend channel and consolidates around 1.1740, we could expect it to continu…
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Bitcoin reached a new high at 126,171. After reaching this level, Bitcoin is undergoing a strong technical correction, breaking the uptrend channel formed since September 29. We believe that in the coming hours, Bitcoin could reach the 7/8 Murray level around 121,875. This level could provide strong support for Bitcoin, but if bearish strength prevails, we could expect it to reach the 200 EMA, around the psychological level of $120,000. On the other hand, if Bitcoin resumes its bullish cycle, we should expect it to consolidate above eight-eighths of the Murray level at $125,000. Then, it could reach $126,171 and even one-eighth of the Murray level at about $128,500. Techn…
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Gold is bouncing back after reaching the support of the uptrend channel formed on September 26th and is now likely to reach the 3,977 area. If the price breaks this high, we could expect it to reach 3,992 and could even reach the psychological level of $4,000. Conversely, if the gold price falls below 3,951, this could signal a breakout of the uptrend channel, and we could expect a strong technical correction that could push the price down to the +1/8 Murray around 3,906. If gold reaches 3,977 and fails to consolidate above this area, we could expect the formation of a double top or triple top pattern, which could confirm a short-term technical reversal. We should pay att…
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Dogecoin started a fresh increase above the $0.250 zone against the US Dollar. DOGE is now consolidating and might aim for more gains above $0.270. DOGE price started a fresh upward move above $0.250 and $0.2550. The price is trading above the $0.2550 level and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There is a bullish trend line forming with support at $0.2580 on the hourly chart of the DOGE/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The price could aim for more gains if it remains stable above $0.2550. Dogecoin Price Turns Green Dogecoin price started a fresh increase after it settled above $0.2350, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. DOGE climbed above the $0.250 resistance to enter …
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Yesterday, US stock indices closed mixed. The S&P 500 rose by 0.36%, while the Nasdaq 100 added 0.41%. The industrial Dow Jones declined by 0.14%. Japanese equities continued to climb following the election of a pro-stimulus legislator as the new leader of the country, leading to a weaker yen and higher long-term bond yields. Gold set another record high amid increasing demand for safe-haven assets against a backdrop of political crises worldwide. The Nikkei index rose by 0.7%, reaching a new intraday high after a 4.8% gain on Monday. Shares of Asian companies engaged in artificial intelligence advanced after a high-profile deal between Advanced Micro Devices Inc. …
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XRP roared back above $3.00 in early Asian trading, reclaiming key psychological support as Bitcoin’s march to fresh highs energized altcoin flows. But the move comes with a caveat: on-chain trackers flagged 320 million XRP ($950Million) moving onto exchanges over the past week, an overhang that could test buyers’ resolve as price approaches a crowded resistance band. With ETF chatter heating up and Ripple’s banking ambitions in motion, the next leg hinges on whether bulls can absorb supply and force a clean breakout toward $4.00. Bitcoin Tailwinds, XRP ETF Buzz, and Banking Ambitions Momentum spilled over from Bitcoin’s surge above $125K, historically a favorable bac…
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Monday's Trade Breakdown1-Hour GBP/USD Chart On Monday, the GBP/USD currency pair moved both upward and downward throughout the day. Traders failed for the third consecutive time to break above the 1.3413 level, and overall, the pound's movements increasingly resemble a flat market. For context, the EUR/USD isn't currently in a flat phase, but its movement is erratic due to frequent corrections and pullbacks, along with a lack of growth despite the end of the previous downtrend. The British pound lacked any major news on Monday. Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey did speak, but he didn't provide the market with any significantly new or impactful insights. In the m…
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Monday's Trade Breakdown1-Hour EUR/USD Chart On Monday, the EUR/USD currency pair continued to slide lower, despite breaking the descending trendline three times. Thus, we still believe that the local downtrend has come to an end. However, the price has failed to break above the 1.1754 level after six attempts. In our opinion, the US dollar still has no foundation for a medium-term rally, so we expect the upward movement in EUR/USD to resume in any case. The only question is — when? Currently, the market shows little interest in opening long positions, despite all necessary conditions being present. Monday's session didn't clarify much. From the start of the day, the …
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Join OANDA Senior Market Analyst Kelvin Wong and podcast host Jonny Hart as they review the latest market news and moves. MarketPulse provides up-to-the-minute analysis on forex, commodities, and indices from around the world. MarketPulse is an award-winning news site that delivers round-the-clock commentary on a wide range of asset classes, as well as in-depth insights into the major economic trends and events that impact the markets. Opinions are the authors'; not necessarily that of OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc. or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. The provided publication is for informational and educational p…
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[Platinum] – [Tuesday, October 07, 2025] With the RSI in the Neutral-Bearish area but both EMAs in a Golden Cross condition, Platinum should strengthen up to its nearest resistance in the near future. Key Levels 1. Resistance. 2 : 1699.0 2. Resistance. 1 : 1677.0 3. Pivot : 1655.0 4. Support. 1 : 1633.0 5. Support. 2 : 1611.0 Tactical Scenario Positive Reaction Zone: If #PLF breaks through and closes above 1655.0, there is potential to test 1677.0. Momentum Extension Bias: If Platinum breaks through and closes above 1677.0, it will likely continue strengthening to 1699.0. Invalidation Level / Bias Revision Upside bias weakens if Platinum declines and br…
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[Crude Oil] – [Tuesday, October 07, 2025] With the Death Cross condition of the EMA(50) and EMA(200), along with the RSI in the Neutral-Bearish zone, there is an opportunity for #CL to continue its decline today. Key Levels 1. Resistance. 2 : 62.70 2. Resistance. 1 : 62.21 3. Pivot : 61.61 4. Support. 1 : 61.12 5. Support. 2 : 60.52 Tactical Scenario Pressure Zone: If the price breaks down and closes below 61.61, there is a chance to continue its decline further to 61.12. Momentum Extension Bias: If 61.12 is breached and closes below that level, the price could move toward 60.52. Invalidation Level / Bias Revision The downside bias is limited if Crude O…
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XRP price struggled to stay above $3.020 and $3.050. The price is now consolidating gains and might correct lower toward the $2.920 zone. XRP price is slowly moving lower below the $3.00 pivot zone. The price is now trading below $3.00 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a key declining channel forming with resistance at $3.0450 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could start a fresh increase if it settles above $3.050. XRP Price Faces Hurdles XRP price started a decent increase after it settled above the $2.820 level, but it underperformed Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price was able to surpass the $2.90 and $2.950 re…
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On-chain data shows the Bitcoin short-term holder whales are sitting on their highest unrealized gain of the cycle after the latest rally. Bitcoin Short-Term Holder Whales Are Carrying $10.1 Billion In Profits As pointed out by CryptoQuant community analyst Maartunn in a new post on X, the Bitcoin short-term holder whales have seen their profits hit the highest point of the cycle. The short-term holders (STHs) broadly refer to the BTC investors who purchased the cryptocurrency within the past 155 days. These holders are considered to include the “weak hands” of the market, who tend to panic at the sight of volatility. In the context of the current topic, the STHs as a …
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On Monday, the euro failed to close the opening gap. The price did not consolidate below the daily MACD line, and a long lower shadow formed—a sign that the market intends to close the gap in the near future. The price may rise further without signaling a stronger bullish rally and could reach the key level of 1.1779. A break above this level would open the way toward the upper boundary of the price channel around 1.1910. However, the Marlin oscillator remains unwilling to return to positive territory, which suggests that the potential for a price rally is somewhat limited. As a result, the 1.1910 target may stay out of reach. On the 4-hour chart, the weakness of the b…
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On Monday, the British pound attempted to slip further below the daily MACD line, but by the end of the day, a white candlestick had formed, rising 19 pips, and the price closed above that line. The Marlin oscillator is slowly approaching the boundary of the bullish territory, which suggests that the nearest target at 1.3525 may be reached by tomorrow. A breakout above this level will open the path toward the key resistance at 1.3631. On the four-hour chart, the price has consolidated above both indicator lines—the balance line and the MACD line. The Marlin oscillator's signal line has moved into positive territory. The trend is upward, and the 1.3525 target is now cle…
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On the weekly chart, the price has reversed from the upper boundary of the price channel. Multiple divergences have formed between the price and the Marlin oscillator. The Marlin signal line itself is moving within its own descending channel. On the daily chart, the price has turned downward precisely from the 138.2% Fibonacci retracement level. The next target is likely the 100.0% level, which corresponds to the peak of August 22. After that, a test of the MACD line at 1.6188 is possible. The Marlin oscillator is approaching the boundary of the bearish zone. If it manages to consolidate below this level (previous attempts have been unsuccessful), it could provide strong…
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Ethereum price started a steady increase above $4,650. ETH is now consolidating and might aim for more gains if it clears the $4,750 resistance. Ethereum remained stable above $4,500 and started a fresh upward move. The price is trading above $4,550 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a key bullish trend line forming with support at $4,550 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could continue to move up if it settles above $4,720 and $4,750. Ethereum Price Gains Over 10% Ethereum price remained supported above the $4,400 level and started a fresh increase, like Bitcoin. ETH price was able to climb above the $4,500 and $4,620 resi…
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Ethereum has finally broken free from a multi-year-long consolidation phase, reigniting bullish sentiment across the crypto market. After spending over three years struggling to hold above the $4,000 level, ETH has now confirmed a decisive breakout, a move seen as the start of its next major rally. With momentum building and technical indicators aligning, analysts suggest that a run toward the $7,000 region could be closer than ever Ethereum Breaks Free After 1,146 Days Of Consolidation Mags, a popular crypto analyst on X, recently shared a bullish update, noting that ETH could be on track to reach the $7,331 mark. According to the analyst, this target aligns with the br…
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On Monday, the GBP/USD currency pair declined only slightly, in contrast to the EUR/USD pair. A new political crisis erupted in France, where the new Prime Minister resigned after holding the position for less than a month. The euro was likely under pressure from the market due to this event. However, the political crisis in France has nothing to do with the British pound. At the same time, the pound has plenty of its own problems. Remember, just over the past couple of months, the British currency has crashed twice on news surrounding issues with the 2026 budget. In short, government spending has outpaced revenue, making it impossible to draft a workable budget proposal.…
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