Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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Shiba Inu has just logged its most intense burst of large-holder activity in half a year, raising questions over whether fresh volatility – and potentially renewed selling pressure – is around the corner. On-chain analytics firm Santiment reported the move on X, highlighting a six-month chart of Shiba Inu’s price, exchange balances and large transfers. According to the firm, “Shiba Inu has seen the highest amount of whale transfers since June 6th today, happening in tandem with a +1.06T net change to the amount of SHIB on exchanges. The #24 market cap in crypto is likely to see high volatility in the coming days.” What Does This Mean For The Shiba Inu Price? The chart s…
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The Japanese yen continues to gradually lose ground against the US dollar, even in light of the differing monetary policies anticipated from central banks in the near future. This indicates that the expected interest rate hike from the Bank of Japan is already factored into the yen's value, and much will depend on new forecasts. However, it is becoming increasingly clear that the long battle against deflation in the country, which has persisted for decades, is nearly over. Today, Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda stated that the central bank is approaching its inflation target, reinforcing signals that the Bank of Japan may raise interest rates at its monetary policy me…
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As Bitcoin prepares for a significant movement that could occur following tomorrow's Federal Reserve meeting—an outcome that may displease many buyers—Argentina is considering allowing domestic banks to trade digital assets and offer cryptocurrency-related services, a move that could accelerate cryptocurrency adoption in the country. The Central Bank of the Argentine Republic recently announced that it is working on changes to its current regulations, which currently prohibit banking institutions from engaging in activities related to digital assets. If implemented, this step would represent a substantial shift in Argentina's approach to cryptocurrencies. Up until now,…
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Trade Review and Advice for Trading the Japanese Yen The test of the 156.34 price occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved far above the zero line, which limited the pair's upward potential. For this reason, I did not buy the dollar. The dollar continued to gain against the yen for the third consecutive day, despite the Bank of Japan seemingly planning to raise interest rates, while the U.S. Federal Reserve is expected to lower them. However, since this scenario has been anticipated since the end of last month, there is nothing surprising in the upward correction of the USD/JPY pair. Later today, attention will focus on the ADP weekly employment change report, w…
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Trade Review and Advice for Trading the British Pound The test of the 1.3337 price occurred when the MACD indicator had just begun to move upward from the zero line, confirming a correct entry point for buying the pound. As a result, the pair rose by just over 15 points. Pound buyers became active despite the lack of significant fundamental data from the UK. Traders are betting that the regulator will be forced to maintain a wait-and-see stance on interest rates, despite concerns about slowing UK GDP growth, in order to keep persistently high inflation under control. In the second half of the day, we expect the NFIB Small Business Optimism Index, as well as a new economic…
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Analysis of Trades and Trading Advice for the Euro The first test of the 1.1640 price occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved far below the zero mark, which limited the pair's downward potential. For that reason, I did not sell the euro. The second test of 1.1640 coincided with the MACD being in the oversold area, which triggered Scenario #2 for buying euros and resulted in a 15-point rise — nearly the entire intraday volatility. Positive German trade data supported the euro in the first half of the day, as the figures exceeded analysts' preliminary forecasts. According to Destatis, Germany's trade surplus increased in October, reflecting the stability of the G…
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Overview: The US dollar is sporting a slightly softer profile against the G10 currencies today. The exception is the yen, which is trading at a seven-day low against the greenback. The Scandis and Australian dollar are doing best. The Reserve Bank of Australia delivered a hawkish hold. Governor Bullock's comments encouraged the market to bring forward the first rate hike, which is now nearly fully discounted in the futures market for next May. France's parliament holds an important vote today on social security financing, and a defeat would likely weigh on the euro. Meanwhile, there is much talk of a hawkish cut from the Federal Reserve tomorrow. Most emerging market curr…
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This Tuesday, the GBP/USD pair is attracting buyers after yesterday's mixed price action, holding steadily above the key 1.3300 round level. However, no aggressive buying is observed, as traders prefer to remain cautious ahead of this week's major central bank events. On Wednesday, at the end of its two-day meeting, the U.S. Federal Reserve will announce its monetary policy decision. It is widely expected that the Fed will lower borrowing costs once again. This outlook is limiting the U.S. dollar's recent recovery from December lows and is pushing GBP/USD higher. In addition, last week the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) raised its forecast f…
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On Monday, the EUR/USD pair consolidated again below the 1.1645–1.1656 level, which allowed for expectations of a small decline. The bears managed to deliver a slight drop, but by Tuesday morning the euro had returned to the 1.1645–1.1656 level. Thus, today another rebound from this zone will again favor the U.S. dollar and a moderate decline toward the support level of 1.1594–1.1607. A consolidation of the pair above 1.1645–1.1656 will increase the likelihood of further growth toward the 38.2% Fibonacci level at 1.1718. The wave structure on the hourly chart remains simple and straightforward. The last completed downward wave did not break the previous wave's low, whi…
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We introduce you to the daily updated section of Forex analytics where you will find reviews from forex experts, up-to-date monitoring of financial information as well as online forecasts of exchange rates of the US dollar, euro, ruble, bitcoin, and other currencies for today, tomorrow and this trading week.Useful links: My other articles are available in this section InstaForex course for beginners Popular Analytics Open trading account Important: The begginers in forex trading need to be very careful when making decisions about entering the market. Before the release of important reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid being caught in sharp market fluctu…
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On the hourly chart, the GBP/USD pair on Monday continued a weak decline after two consecutive rebounds from the resistance level of 1.3352–1.3362, moving toward the 61.8% corrective level at 1.3294. A rebound from this level will work in favor of the pound and a return to the 1.3352–1.3362 level. A consolidation of the pair below 1.3294 will increase the chances of continued decline toward 1.3240, 1.3214, and 1.3186. Over the next two days, the news background may have priority. The wave situation has shifted to a "bullish" one. The last completed downward wave did not break the previous low, while the new upward wave easily broke the previous high. Thus, the trend is…
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The British pound did not react at all to data from the British Retail Consortium, which showed that even Black Friday discounts were unable to prevent a slowdown in retail sales in the United Kingdom. The report stated that total retail sales in November rose by only 1.4% year-on-year, below the 12-month average and the weakest figure since May. High sales of household and computer equipment were insufficient to offset weak demand for clothing and footwear. "Budget anxiety among shoppers meant that the Black Friday month did not deliver the results retailers had hoped for — or those the economy needed," the British Retail Consortium said. Helen Dickinson, Chief Executiv…
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Coinbase just opened spot trading for Plume Crypto and Jupiter coin on December 9, giving both assets direct access to one of the world’s largest regulated exchanges. Trading for PLUME-USD and JUPITER-USD went live after 9 AM PT once liquidity thresholds are met. Risk asset bros, we are so BACK. Institutions will also receive full support through Coinbase Exchange, widening the distribution network at a moment when risk appetite is shifting across the crypto market. DISCOVER: Top 20 Crypto to Buy in 2025 Why Is Coinbase Listing Plume Crypto and Jupiter Now? (Source: CoinGecko) Plume enters Coinbase as a full-stack blockchain built for real-world assets. Have we heard …
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The market appears cautious today, with total capitalization close to $3.2 trillion as the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) begins its two-day meeting. .cwp-coin-chart svg path { stroke-width: 0.65 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-graph-container.positive svg path:nth-of-type(2) { stroke: #008868 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-trend.positive { color: #008868 !important; background-color: transparent !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-popup-holder .cwp-coin-trend.positive { border: 1px solid #008868; border-radius: 3px; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-trend.positive::before { border-botto…
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Kevin Hassett, Director of the White House National Economic Council — and possibly the future new Chair of the Federal Reserve — said yesterday that it would be irresponsible for the regulator to devise a plan outlining what interest rates will be over the next six months, emphasizing the importance of monitoring economic data. "The Fed Chair's job is to follow the data, interpret it, and explain why they are doing what they are doing," Hassett said on Monday. "And so to say: I am going to do this over the next six months would be really irresponsible." Hassett's statement came amid growing uncertainty about the trajectory of the U.S. economy. Inflation remains elevated,…
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Glassnode’s senior researcher has pointed out how Bitcoin perpetual futures market is looking like a “ghost town,” with Open Interest continuing to be at muted levels. Bitcoin Futures Open Interest Has Remained Low Since October Reset In a new post on X, Glassnode senior researcher CryptoVizArt.₿ has talked about the recent trend in the Bitcoin Open Interest for the perpetual futures market. The “Open Interest” refers to an indicator that measures the total amount of positions related to the asset that are currently open on all centralized derivatives platforms. When the value of the metric rises, it means the investors are opening new positions related to the asset. G…
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The American dollar experienced a modest gain yesterday against a range of risky assets. This movement was attributed to data from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, which indicated that consumer inflation expectations in the US remained stable in November, while perceptions regarding job prospects improved. In the monthly Consumer Expectations Survey conducted by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, the expected inflation rate for the coming year remained virtually unchanged at 3.2%. Meanwhile, the expected inflation rate for three and five years ahead held steady at 3%. The perceived probability of job loss decreased to 13.8%, representing the lowest figure of the …
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My wife left me because I couldn’t stop buying at this Cardano price…but she won’t be sneering when ADA USD goes to $18-$20. Right, anon? Right?! When I told my financial advisor this, he said, “Based anon, never give up on your dreams or whatever you call that.” So, anyway, why has the .cwp-coin-chart svg path { stroke-width: 0.65 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-graph-container.positive svg path:nth-of-type(2) { stroke: #008868 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-trend.positive { color: #008868 !important; background-color: transparent !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-popup-holder .cwp-coin-trend.positive…
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Markets are almost certain that the Federal Reserve will lower the key interest rate by 25 basis points at its upcoming meeting on Wednesday, but when it comes to the Fed's agenda for interest rates, the future is unclear. Just a week ago, three rate cuts were expected in 2026. As of Monday morning, futures are pricing in only two rate cuts in April and September. It seems that Fed Chair Jerome Powell has yielded to pressure for a December rate cut, but will oppose further monetary easing until the end of his term. One thing is certain—inflation expectations are decreasing, and even the hawks in the FOMC must take this into account. Consequently, further rate cuts will f…
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Trend Analysis (Fig. 1) On Tuesday, from the level of 1.3317 (yesterday's daily candle close), the market may begin moving upward toward the target of 1.3367 — the 50% retracement level (blue dashed line). When testing this level, the price may possibly start moving downward toward 1.3345 — the upper fractal (daily candle of December 8, 2025). Fig. 1 (Daily Chart) Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis — upwardVolume — upwardCandlestick analysis — upwardTrend analysis — upwardBollinger Bands — upwardWeekly chart — upwardOverall conclusion: upward trend. Alternative scenario: From the level of 1.3317 (yesterday's daily candle close), the price may begin moving upwar…
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Trend Analysis (Fig. 1) On Tuesday, the market, from the level of 1.1636 (yesterday's daily candle close), may begin moving upward toward the target of 1.1672 — the upper fractal (daily candle of December 8, 2025). When testing this level, the price may possibly pull back downward to test the 50% retracement level at 1.1655 (blue dashed line). Fig. 1 (Daily Chart) Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis — upwardVolume — upwardCandlestick analysis — upwardTrend analysis — upwardBollinger Bands — upwardWeekly chart — upwardOverall conclusion: upward trend. Alternative scenario: From the level of 1.1636 (yesterday's daily candle close), the price may begin moving upwar…
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Twenty One Capital, a major player in the Bitcoin (BTC) treasury sector founded by Jack Mallers, is on the verge of going public in the United States. However, ahead of its highly anticipated debut on December 9, the company has moved a substantial sum of 43,500 BTC—approximately worth $4.5 billion—into an escrow wallet. This move has sparked market concerns about a potential sell-off, which could create major selling pressure for the leading cryptocurrency as it attempts to consolidate above the key $90,000 support level. $1.5 Billion Loss In Bitcoin Investments Experts on the social media platform X (formerly Twitter), such as OxNobler, have pointed out that the co…
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Whisper storming around Washington has pushed crypto market structure bill, or CMSB, discussions back into the space, and we can say that the timing couldn’t be more interesting. Democrats reportedly met privately to review Republicans’ compromise draft, just as we brace for a potential rate cut and renewed optimism from the latest Saylor and his Bitcoin buys. This shift is showing up elsewhere, too. The SEC is now actually talking to industry players instead of treating them like suspects. Also, global adoption of tokenized products keeps accelerating. ONDO’s acquisition of Oasis Pro Markets didn’t make huge headlines, but it’s the sort of infrastructure move that …
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Asia Market Wrap - Nikkei Recovers, Broader Challenges Remain Most Read: FOMC Meeting Preview: How the FOMC's December Dot Plot Will Affect the US Dollar (DXY) The Nikkei index finished higher on Tuesday, overcoming an initial slump thanks to strong gains from chip-related companies. Three of the five biggest contributors to the index's rise were semiconductor firms, with the chip-making tool maker Tokyo Electron leading the way, following a positive performance by their US counterparts overnight. The Nikkei index ultimately added 0.1% to close the day slightly higher, while the broader Topix index ended flat. Japanese stocks started the day cautiously because investor…
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Bitcoin is regaining strength after the November sell-off, but it is still too early to talk about a reversal of the bear market. Many experts predict the onset of a cryptocurrency winter, which could keep BTC trading in the $80,000 – $100,000 range for a considerable time. However, fundamental factors such as central banks' monetary policy easing and declining inflation could positively affect risk assets, including Bitcoin. Institutional investors, who were the driving force behind growth in 2024-2025, are currently being cautious and are not rushing to increase their positions in cryptocurrency. At the same time, there are positive signals, as purchases from large and…
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