Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12262 tópicos neste fórum
-
The EUR/USD currency pair demonstrated a volatility of 53 pips on Friday. In essence, this could be the end of the current article, as there are no significant movements in the market right now, and even fewer logical movements. The illustration below shows that the maximum daily volatility last week was 58 pips. On Friday, when the macroeconomic backdrop was quite abundant (and essentially the only day when any macroeconomic data was published), the volatility was 53 pips. Thus, the market is currently refusing to trade, regardless of the fundamental and macroeconomic context. In recent weeks, we have consistently noted that movements in the currency market are illogical…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Analysis of GBP/USD 5M The GBP/USD currency pair traded even less logically on Friday than the EUR/USD pair. At the same time, the euro appreciated modestly by 10 pips; the British pound depreciated further by the end of the day. In the UK, all three reports released were positive, while in the U.S., two of the four (the most important) were negative. Yet, by the end of the day, the dollar still gained strength. In the UK, as well as elsewhere, business activity indices were published. In the services sector, the indicator rose to 51.1 points, while in manufacturing, it increased to 49.6 points. In both cases, forecasts were exceeded. Retail sales data from the UK als…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Analysis of EUR/USD 5M The EUR/USD currency pair traded very little on Friday. At this time, traders should focus not on macroeconomic reports or fundamental backgrounds, but on the volatility indicator and the sideways trend on the daily timeframe. The volatility indicator shows very few trades in the market now, with practically no movement. Therefore, making gains with any trading signals or macroeconomic events is extremely difficult. The sideways trend on the daily timeframe demonstrates illogical movements within a sideways channel. Thus, the fundamentals and macroeconomics do not influence the current movements of the pair. On Friday, at least four interesting …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
A newly surfaced Bitcoin Improvement Proposal, BIP-444, has ignited one of the most intense governance debates in the Bitcoin ecosystem since the block size wars. The proposal, published late Friday, aims to temporarily restrict the inclusion of arbitrary data in Bitcoin transactions through a one-year soft fork, responding to concerns that the blockchain could host illegal content under changes introduced in the recent Bitcoin Core v30 update. Market Cap 24h 7d 30d 1y All Time Why is BIP-444 So Controversial? The controversy traces back to v30’s effectiv…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Saros (SAROS) surged ahead today in the altcoin space. It outpaced Akash Network (AKT) and Zcash (ZEC) as traders moved into higher-beta assets. On Monday, Oct. 27, the Solana-based token surged by roughly +35% in the past 24 hours to approximately $0.107, leading the broader market bounce. (Source: Coingecko) AKT rose about +34 % to around $0.863, and ZEC climbed roughly +24% to near $347. DISCOVER: The 12+ Hottest Crypto Presales to Buy Right Now What is SAROS, and How Is the $10 Million Liquidity Grant Program Boosting SAROS Activity? Saros is a Solana-native “super app” that bundles key functions, including a DEX/liquidity stack, a non-custodial wallet, an ID …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong aims to streamline the entire startup process, from formation to fundraising and public listing, onto the blockchain. In a recent appearance on the TBPN podcast, Armstrong elaborated on a future where founders can build their companies completely onchain. He said startups could register digitally, raise capital through smart contracts, and issue tokenized equity without depending on banks or law firms. He added that the current funding system is “pretty onerous,” arguing that blockchain finance could make capital raising “more efficient, more fair, more transparent.” Instead of waiting weeks for funds to clear, founders can receive inst…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The coming week is set to be eventful, centering around three key events. First, there is the Federal Reserve meeting, with its outcomes announced on Wednesday, October 29. Second, the European Central Bank's October meeting will take place the following day, October 30. Finally, the APEC summit will occur in South Korea. These three pillars will form the week's informational agenda, while all other fundamental factors will play a secondary role for traders of the EUR/USD pair. FOMCThe Fed is expected to cut interest rates by 25 basis points at its October meeting. There is no doubt about this, considering the preceding rhetoric from Jerome Powell and other Fed official…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Let's return to the negotiations with Canada. Donald Trump also accused the Canadians of using "fake advertising," acting "fraudulently." According to the U.S. president, the goal of this commercial is to influence the U.S. Supreme Court's decision, which will consider the legality of all of Trump's tariffs in November. It should be noted that negotiations with Canada have not been particularly productive. The parties cannot agree on several key issues, so I do not rule out that Trump, in his typical fashion, decided to stimulate his opponent a bit to make him more amenable. This tactic is something we have long grown accustomed to. The commercial features a recording of …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade negotiations between the U.S. and Canada have been halted. Many of my readers might assume that Ottawa and Washington failed to find common ground and meet each other's demands. However, the reason is much simpler and absurdly amusing. Donald Trump personally stopped the negotiations due to a commercial released in Canada, where Ronald Reagan criticizes tariffs. Trump explained his decision as follows: "Due to their outrageous behavior, all trade negotiations are canceled." Short and clear, and most importantly, substantive. Now we know that Trump can be offended by any joke, and trade negotiations can be suspended over a commercial. What should we do with this info…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The U.S. dollar is currently the main puzzle for the entire currency market. In October, demand for U.S. currency has gradually increased, complicating the wave structure across both analyzed instruments. However, not only the initial wave structure may become complex, but also the already-complex, corrected structure. This is because the demand for the dollar continues to rise, in full contradiction to the news backdrop. Given this, I can immediately say that my readers can expect one movement next week, while actually seeing something entirely different. For instance, almost all market participants currently expect the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates. The U.S. c…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
In the new week, there will be no notable events in the UK, unlike the Eurozone or the U.S. Even the central bank meeting will take place later than those of the European Central Bank and the Federal Reserve. Therefore, traders focusing on GBP/USD will need to concentrate primarily on U.S. news flow. Unfortunately, in October, the market seems to either interpret many events surrounding the dollar in a very strange way or overlook them. In my view, buyers had sufficient reasons to start taking action, especially since the wave structure fully supported them. However, the wave pattern began to complicate at the beginning of the month, and now we are witnessing the complica…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The market has fallen into a slumber, and the most interesting question now is not about the next actions of the Federal Reserve or the European Central Bank, nor about Donald Trump or Xi Jinping. The intriguing question is when we will see normal market movements again. For the EUR/USD instrument, the wave structure has already undergone its second or third cycle. Initially, wave 4 became extended, and now its internal wave c is unwilling to assume a simple three-wave form. There are certain chances for this wave to complete, but buyers continue to ignore numerous factors and news, which is detrimental to the euro, the wave structure, and trading in general. The new week…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Gold has yet to demonstrate a continuous series of gains for 10 weeks, a record that remains unmatched, as the market failed to recover after a colossal sell-off on Tuesday. The price of the metal plummeted by more than 5%, marking its most significant decline in five years. Nonetheless, the precious metal stabilized above the key support level of $4000. In the face of extreme market volatility, it is hard to believe that we have already hit a bottom for gold. Experts estimate that the market may need time to regain balance. However, even if gold faces a more serious technical correction, investors should ask themselves: what has fundamentally changed in the market? In re…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Crypto markets are bracing for the long-awaited FOMC meeting this Week, and the BTC/USD price is pushing higher in anticipation. Bitcoin is climbing as traders position for an interest-rate cut at this week’s Federal Reserve meeting, a move that could shape sentiment across both crypto and traditional markets. As of Monday, Bitcoin (BTC) was hovering near $113,600, extending its rebound from the previous week. Market Cap 24h 7d 30d 1y All Time Investors are widely expecting the Fed to trim borrowing costs when the Federal Open Market Committee meets in …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The XRP/BTC monthly chart has finally snapped the long diagonal that’s capped XRP since 2018, and one analyst on X thinks that shift could rewrite the pecking order. Posting under the handle X Finance Bull (XFB), the analyst argued that XRP will soon start to outperform Bitcoin. This is because the XRP/BTC pair has not only broken out but also retested the trendline as support, and this has certified the start of a new buildup of momentum. Retest Of A Six-Year Breakout Trendline The mid-October flash crash that rippled through the crypto market left a visible mark on the XRP/BTC chart, creating a deep downward wick that momentarily dipped below the long-standing resis…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
XRP crypto has roared back into the spotlight this weekend, surging past Binance Coin (BNB) to reclaim its position as the third-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, a ranking it hasn’t held consistently in years. (Source – CoinGecko) The token climbed to $2.63 with a market cap of approximately $158Bn, edging above BNB’s $156Bn as capital flows shifted sharply in XRP’s favor. The move caps a +12.8% weekly rally, outpacing every other top-five digital asset and reigniting debate over whether XRP is entering a long-awaited institutional cycle. Market Cap 24h 7d 30d …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Ethereum’s largest non-exchange holders are tiptoeing back into accumulation. On-chain analytics platform Santiment reported that wallets holding between 100 and 10,000 ETH, also known as whales and sharks, have begun to rebuild positions after unloading roughly 1.36 million ETH between October 5 and 16. Notably, the Ethereum collective holdings chart shows that nearly one-sixth of those coins have already been clawed back, as some confidence starts to return to the second-largest crypto asset. Whales Reverse Course After Early-October Capitulation The first half of October was highlighted by one of Ethereum’s most pronounced periods of capitulation this year. Macroec…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The Chainlink (LINK) market has experienced a significant uplift in the last week as prices grew by 7.64%. In line with the general crypto market, the altcoin produced a modest rebound from the deep correction levels seen in mid-October. Amid this price action, renowned market analyst Ali Martinez has shared a developing bullish pattern that suggests more profits ahead. Buy The Dip At $15 – Here’s Why In a recent X post on October 25, Martinez postulated that LINK could be gearing up for a major rally, with technical indicators hinting at an incoming bullish opportunity. In analyzing the LINKUSDT daily chart, investors may have a chance to notch a 300% gain in the com…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The Australian mining sector was buzzing this week off the back of the critical minerals deal announced by US President Donald Trump and Australian Prime Minister Anthony Albanese in Washington D.C. on Monday. News of the deal filtered through on Tuesday morning local time, just hours ahead of the opening of Australia’s largest mining event, the International Mining and Resources Convention (IMARC) in Sydney, and it dominated discussions during the conference. Association of Mining and Exploration Companies CEO Warren Pearce told the conference the deal was much better than expected. “We’d hoped for a high-level agreement which would enable negotiations and h…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Dogecoin’s higher-time-frame structure is starting to look constructive again. In a technical analysis posted on X, crypto analyst EtherNasyonaL noted that Dogecoin’s market cap has completed a build, and momentum is ready, pointing to a cup-and-handle breakout retest breakout on the monthly market-cap chart. The chart he shared shows Dogecoin’s market cap hovering just under $30 billion, riding above its 25-month moving average with a gentle series of higher lows that has been developing since the 2022 bear market base. Cup-And-Handle Breakout With A Convincing Retest The chart shared by EtherNasyonaL looks at a cup-and-handle structure that has been developing on Dog…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
How Interest Rates Shape Global Markets Interest Rates Today Interest rates are one of the most powerful forces in global financial markets. They influence everything from the cost of borrowing to currency values and investment decisions. Whether you trade forex, stocks, or bonds, understanding how interest rates drive market behavior can give you a major edge. With the next FOMC decision due to be announced on October 29, expectations are for another 25bps rate cut followed by a similar reduction in December. Why interest rates matter: The Cost of Borrowing Interest rates directly affect the cost of financing trades. When traders use leverage or margin to increase the…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin has performed strongly below expectations in October, with total monthly gains now estimated at around 1.54%. Following a bullish start, which established a new all-time high at $126,000, the premier cryptocurrency experienced a heavy correction mid-month, resulting in present price levels around $111,400. Amid these developments, crypto analyst Amr Taha has noted a recent shift on the Binance network, with potentially bullish implications for market participants. Exchange Reserves Near Critical Low In a recent QuickTake post on CryptoQuant, Amr Taha shares insights into Bitcoin’s possible near-term trajectory, using data from the Bitcoin Exchange Reserve on Bi…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Throughout October, Bitcoin’s (BTC) price action has seen a constant tug of war between bullish sentiments on the back of institutional interest and cautious profit-taking. Earlier this month, BTC made its all time high (ATH) at $126,198, driven by a strong demand for BTC ETFs and a weakening dollar. In latest crypto news updates, its price action is consolidating jut above $112,400. Can it retest its ATH? Let’s find out. Looking back, mid-October, BTC’s price action saw a strong pullback, slipping below $105,000. Emotions were running high, with some traders thinking of this as a potential bottoming of its price. But as we have witnessed time and time again, BTC is resi…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
In 2025, the Asian crypto landscape has evolved. Till last year, it could have been said that the Asian crypto landscape in general was in its experimenting phase, a side project almost. However, since 2025, crypto in the Asia has seen a massive uptick in adoption on the back of clearer policy frameworks. Countries like India, South Korea, Japan and Vietnam are leading the charge, in their own way, contributing to trading volumes, institutional investments and retail participation. This past week, there have been more developments in this region. Here’s the rundown. Indian Exchange WazirX To Resume Operations From 24 October 2025 WazirX, the Indian exchange is all set …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
According to the latest on-chain data, XRP’s open interest has returned to a low similar to the one seen in May 2025. Below is the potential implication for the XRP price. Derivatives Activity Sees Significant Dip — What This Means In a Quicktake post on the CryptoQuant platform, on-chain analyst PelinayPA delved into the underlying activity within the XRP derivatives market and how it could affect the altcoin’s price in the coming weeks. The analyst’s report revolved around results obtained from the Open Interest metric, which tracks the total amount in USD of derivatives contracts of a cryptocurrency (XRP, in this case) that are open and have not been settled at a gi…
Last reply by Ben Graham,
